Bud Davis
7.2K posts
@JBudDavis
CFB Analytics |🏆 1st Place - 2021 SIS Data Analytics Challenge
Breaking @TheAthleticFC FIFA Appeal Committee has rendered request by Belgian FA as “inadmissible” as Belgium “not a party to the proceedings and, as such, has no standing to appeal the decision.” Which means according to FIFA, Balogun can play tonight nytimes.com/athletic/74247…
📊Recruit Expected Value v3 ▫️Updated using latest & greatest data & model fit ▫️Assuming high-end 3 Star (Rank #300) is "replacement level": - #1 Recruit is worth ~20X - Top 10 Recruits: 8-15X - Other 5 Star: 5-8X - 4 Stars: 1-5X ▫️Spend NIL accordingly
📊Title Win Rate by Class Expected Draft Value ▫️From 100-300 EDV: linear increase of 0-20% Title Win Rate. 10 pts of EDV worth 1% increase in Title Likelihood ▫️Above 350 Win Rate increases rapidly, with 10 pts of EDV worth 3% increase in Title Likelihood
📊Historic Draft Value By Recruiting Class ▫️Alabama 2017 is BY FAR the GOAT ▫️Florida 2010 highest Expected DV but no hardware (thanks WM) ▫️Actual DV above on near Expected DV = higher title likelihood. ▫️No title-certainty for high level of Actual or Expected DV ▫️Poor USC
