Bud Davis

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Bud Davis

Bud Davis

@JBudDavis

CFB Analytics |🏆 1st Place - 2021 SIS Data Analytics Challenge

Katılım Haziran 2020
1.1K Takip Edilen8.8K Takipçiler
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Bud Davis
Bud Davis@JBudDavis·
📊How I Perform Opponent Adjustments ▫️Treat each play as a unique matchup ▫️Use Ridge Regression to solve play's resulting EPA given the Offense, Defense, & league-wide homefield advantage ▫️FBS vs FBS games only ▫️Method & code below: blog.collegefootballdata.com/opponent-adjus…
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Brian Burke
Brian Burke@bburkeESPN·
You remembered! Pain Index is a combination of all the undesirable schedule effects--rest diffs, travel, b2b road trips, short weeks, etc.
Brian Burke tweet media
David Meredith@DMeredith28

@bburkeESPN Pain index?

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Bud Davis
Bud Davis@JBudDavis·
That's what the regular season is for!
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Cam S Pumpkins@JC_M_F

@JBudDavis NIL -> talent not concentrated on a few teams -> more upsets and higher variability + teams peak at different times -> more CFP spot needed In the era where only SEC did NIL selecting the top 4-6 was enough These are different times.

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CS
CS@csATLdawg·
@JBudDavis The only reason I’d say 8 is because I do not trust the CFP with the power of granting bye weeks.
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Bud Davis
Bud Davis@JBudDavis·
The perfect size of the CFP is 6 Every other number is wrong ▫️2 byes means regular season perfection is huge ▫️5 games in 3 rounds makes all games a must watch and gets it done efficiently ▫️6 teams keeps out the bloat of "good not great" teams
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Bud Davis
Bud Davis@JBudDavis·
@JC_M_F But a playoff isn't about "Can an X ranked team beat a Y ranked team" CFB is high variance. Upsets happen all the time. You shouldn't design a playoff around every potential non-chalk scenario
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Cam S Pumpkins
Cam S Pumpkins@JC_M_F·
@JBudDavis This is an incorrect take. Last year # 10 made it to the finals and we strongly suspect # 11 would have made a deep run. The year before that # 6 won the championship. They would have been left out in a 6 team CFP because preference is given to conf champs.
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Jacob McNeil
Jacob McNeil@realjakemcneil·
There is only one sure fire way to know you are winning at life: beat @JBudDavis in LinkedIn daily games. Most days you do not win at life.
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Bud Davis
Bud Davis@JBudDavis·
@thejonahfoster By benchmark, I mean a method to quantify how much an LLM costs on daily basis. Would let a company who is counting on a LLM costing X-dollars, hedge against future conditions where it costs X+Y. Create an entire futures market for LLM compute.
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Jonah
Jonah@thejonahfoster·
@JBudDavis What do you mean by token benchmark? Seeing how many tokens the “5x” or “20x” plans from Claude/Codex actually provide?
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Bud Davis
Bud Davis@JBudDavis·
i think i know how you could make a a token benchmark, but it would be relatively difficult and expensive to implement i do know that because it is so necessary, someone is going to do it
MatLab crashes@memecrashes

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Bud Davis
Bud Davis@JBudDavis·
@realjakemcneil Only true grinders wake up every morning striving to beat a very specific person at Queens
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Jacob McNeil
Jacob McNeil@realjakemcneil·
We must stop this man
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Bud Davis
Bud Davis@JBudDavis·
@dmills91 @The_Coach_A I think you're reading too much into things. 1. "you’ve been going on about this since January" - I haven't posted about Indiana since January 2. "I didn’t see a response." - Not every discussion is in the public comments
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Bud Davis
Bud Davis@JBudDavis·
I think the next datapoint in the "how do we explain Indiana?" question is going to be when the defensive playbook eventually leaks.
Bud Davis@JBudDavis

Indiana having the #2 Defense in 2025 with only 2 NFL Draftees on that side of the ball is INSANE

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Drew Miller
Drew Miller@dmills91·
@The_Coach_A @JBudDavis @jbuddavis - Cody Alexander might be a top .001% ballknower. I don’t know anyone who breaks down schemes better than he does. If you can’t accept his comment, maybe look into the relationship between Hetherman and Haines.
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Bud Davis
Bud Davis@JBudDavis·
Indiana having the #2 Defense in 2025 with only 2 NFL Draftees on that side of the ball is INSANE
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Bud Davis
Bud Davis@JBudDavis·
@AndyStaples Exactly why the strategy of scouting for cheaper, underrated, diamonds-in-the-rough probably isn't the edge some think. You're gonna have to pay diamond prices for diamonds eventually
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