Jonathan Nordstrom
1.4K posts


#corn has not been this cheap relative to crude oil since 10-6-14. Corn futures were 3.33, crude oil was 90.34. The correlation matters today.
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@DanielHusseyJr Friendly wager. This isnt as bearish as x is trying to make it be. China's most likely all bark and no bite.. we shall see Sunday night.
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Ok so, war may not be bullish Corn and Soybeans at face value...
But...
We are heading into an era of Agriculture becoming our next energy sector...
Crude oil prices back above $100 make E-15 arguments and SAF push through a much greater possibility...
And no one is arguing war doesn't drive crude oil prices higher...
So war: near term bearish due to the trade turbulence with China... but long term bullish because alternatives to Crude Oil become more and more financially viable?
Like I said before- LOTS OF CROSS CURRENTS these days.
#OATT
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@Zach768641 @ISU145 $10 dollars is a ralley in crude? Lol. If there is/was war it wont be a 10 dollar rally. Try 50+
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Gotta watch 2 things in an upcoming war. 1. Does that country or their allies buy our corn or soybeans? 2. How big is world and domestic supply? China is aligned with Iran and we have a big domestic and world supply of soybeans. If China doesn't take the remaining 13 mmt of USA soybean commitments they made, then we have a problem....
GIF
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@JasonBohlke @GrainsGorilla Lol. Everyone was talking about yield and stuff this morning and I went wtf. Need to use the SARCASM font 😂
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@JNort96 @GrainsGorilla I surely don’t that’s why I was being sarcastic. I never had one. Though that was obvious.
GIF
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@JasonBohlke @GrainsGorilla Who cares about a yield model in February. Its gunna change a bazillion times...
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@GrainsGorilla I would love to see 94 million acres. Don’t see it. We will need weather to change this. I have seen several yield models higher then mine so I don’t doubt a big crop. Right now crop has zero issues so it suggests a big crop.
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@Zach768641 .5 to 1 inch. Usually once rains return, they continue.
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PSA: South America's driest areas are getting rain. #Argentina #soybeans
Paulina lescano@paulina_lescano
#lluvias🇦🇷 según este mapa llegaron a una de las zonas mas castigadas por seca
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@JSeimes Winter weights help. Can go extra 8000lbs up to 88,000lbs.
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@GrainsGorilla Meat grinder would be less painful long term... gunna be a long 3 years
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Jonathan Nordstrom retweetledi

@CRNAfarmer2 Two things that ruined rural North Dakota and the farmer, CRP and CHS, just remember that
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@mocornfarmer @_TheMizzouTiger Your not following the law when you dont tell a law enforcement agent that you have a weapon on you... thats concealed carry 1o1... and it becomes more of a problem when you resist and don"t do what your told...
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@_TheMizzouTiger Enjoy the other side seaching for weapons. They were just following the law
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@FabianWierczoch When it's all bearish info... its almost always priced in.
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Soybeans are back in their old range from 1040 to 1070. E15 and an upcoming Trump speech in Iowa are supportive, but will it be enough to break out to the top?
Fundamentally I can't see any new impulse. Weather in South America is improving, another record crop in Brazil is getting harvested and all the chatter about China is basically snow from yesterday. Also, Brazil's record crop export window is opening from February.
Thinking ahead about the upcoming planting season it's save to say that corn acreage will drop. Guess what will be planted instead... right, soybeans.
If I were a farmer I would use the rally to risk manage and sell some bushels here...

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@BradyD78 @Cetter15 You really think they are gunna pay? I've seen that before. last year I should have got 100% payout. They made the number work to where it was 8% of what my gaurentee value in SCO was. And the price lost almost a third of the value and the yield should have been less than spring.
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@BradyD78 Government doesn't have that much money to throw around IMO. Have seen everyone talk about how much we will get in the past and And then we get almost nothing. Don't get your hopes up.
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@JNort96 Nope, they are not going to let that happen. Additional $15 billion will be coming before October. Then, in October ARC/PLC payments will hit.
So, we have $11 billion FBA, another $15 coming and an estimated $13 billion ARC/PLC.
Farms will probably show a “profit” this year.
Brady@BradyD78
What to expect from D.C. presentation takeaways: 1. Additional $15 billion “very likely”. probability similar payment rates to the FBA 2. Seems very likely there will be a fix to eliminate the regulatory burden preventing year around e15 offering. No talk of making it mandatory 3. Larger discussions taking place on the future of farm policy going forward.
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@BradyD78 If thats the case. 2026 will be 1985. Will see a fair amount of land for rent for 27
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@sanegrain Seems like denial or anger. Got a long ways to go in guess
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