JW

@sixringsofsteeI Lottery should change to two year weighted odds and a pick ceiling if they get top 4 the next year

I feel so bad for Nets and Kings fans they got absolutely screwed today

@BillyReinhardt Lottery needs to change to 2 year weighted odds with a pick ceiling if you get top 4 the year after

This fall is much more disappointing than last year’s for the Nets. Brooklyn did everything in their power to get as high of a pick as possible, achieving max odds for this draft, yet after falling 2 spots last year, they fall 3 spots this season, outside of the top-4 in a draft widely seen as having 4 elite prospects.

@NotionsofNick @JWeinbachNBA Should go weighted records off 2 years for lottery odds and a pick ceiling the year after

@JWeinbachNBA The Pacers are everything that is wrong with the NBA. Championship caliber team when healthy, decided to tank the season because their star would be out. Adam Silver cannot reward teams for doing stuff like this.

Indiana's potential starting lineup if they land the No. 1 overall pick: PG: Tyrese Haliburton SG: Andrew Nembhard SF: AJ Dybantsa PF: Pascal Siakam C: Ivica Zubac The Pacers would be the clear-cut favorite in the East next season if they win the lottery.

@mnrobinson30 @NBLPleb They’ll start him at the 3 and get an import PG

@NBLPleb … bit confused by this. Love this for the Phoenix.. but for Krebs.. he is sharing a very similar role to Glover? Would’ve thought he goes elsewhere to spread his wings a bit more. Must be some good coin. Free agency underway!

Tanner Krebs signing a two-year deal with the South East Melbourne Phoenix? The free agency floodgates have opened. #NBL #NBL27

@esidery My lottery reform - Go to drifting odds - 2 year weighted standings (No Indiana this year or GSW 2020) - ceiling cap if you get top 4 the year after (if you get lucky once can’t get lucky twice in a row)

How different the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery odds would look under 16-team 2027 reform: Hawks (via Bucks + Pelicans): 16.2% Grizzlies (own + Suns): 10.8% Hornets (own + Magic): 8.1% Jazz: 8.1% Kings: 8.1% Mavericks: 8.1% Bulls: 8.1% Thunder (via Clippers): 5.4% Warriors: 5.4% Heat: 5.4% Wizards: 5.4% Pacers: 5.4% Nets: 5.4%

@acervohagrid Both!

Albus Dumbledore sabia que o Harry Potter precisava morrer e mesmo assim criou ele como um cordeiro pro abate. Chamam de sábio, mas isso não é heroísmo é manipulação fria. Pra você, ele foi um herói ou o maior manipulador da saga?

@Wolvesmuse Lottery - non playoff teams - go back to previous odds based off two years win loss record - have a pick ceiling cap the next year if you get top 4

With the current proposed lottery rules, the Orlando Magic would have a 2.7% chance at the first pick They’re up 3-1 on the first seed right now NBA what are we doing

@mcuban My opinion Weighted wins off 2 years for mon playoff teams - Prevents gap years like Indiana this year and GSW 2020 If you have a top 4 pick you get a pick ceiling the year after. Get better if you get lucky. Won’t end tanking but will make fairer

When you flatten the odds, the number of trades will explode. It was impossible to know who would win the tankathon in the off season, and the leading tankers aren’t trading their picks at the deadline BUT you can have a good idea who isn’t a top 8 team in your conference. And teams will do everything they can to trade for their firsts. Get 2 non playoff firsts in a draft, and you have a good shot of having better odds than the bottom 3 this year. And even 2 picks at 5.4 pct each, makes you the equal of a tankathon 4 or 5 team. The question is what puts you in a position to trade for 1sts? Cap room at the deadline. Teams that were headed to the 2nd apron and needed saving. Give me that future first. Willingness to trade good players. Want my best player. We aren’t going anywhere this season. Give me that future first. I think the games to stay out of the bottom 3 will be fun. I think the protection limits are smart. Don’t want teams in the playin making decisions on draft vs win. But teams still have to figure out how to win and now, grabbing as many picks as possible, is the highest value approach Once you know you have the little c next to your team … can’t make the bottom 3, if it’s before the deadline, you can get aggressive If you don’t have a team you like, you make any trade that gets you a first. Just imagine if you have a good young team. But just not good enough to win a ring. And you believe the best player ever is coming this draft , you literally could trade your future firsts , plus your really good young , valued players and when combined with your own pick, or picks you already had, get 5 firsts that give you, with some luck , a 40.5 pct chance of winning the lottery. Still an almost 60 pct chance you won’t. But it sure would be interesting as it plays out. The good news for the nba, the bottom 3-2-1 is smart. The better news for Shams , the trade rumors are going to be off the charts as teams try to “aggregate up” to get the best odds they can

@Domo8186 Should have these rules - 2 year weighted odds (Indiana should have less odds at number 1 this year, GSW 2020) - if you get top 4 pick you have a cap ceiling next year (stops repeat tanking) If you get lucky/good pick - get better next year.

DET - 5 year tank ORL - 3 year tank CHA - 6 year tank CLE - 3 year tank OKC - 2 year tank SAS - 5 year tank HOU - 4 year tank MIN - 2 year tank

@Sam_Vecenie Should have 2 year weighted lottery odds (can’t have 1 bad year and get best odds) Pick cap the year after if you a top 4 pick (if you get lucky get better)

Gave some quick thoughts on lottery reform on the podcast at the end of the show last night. A. teams entering rebuilds right now are going to have a tougher time. B. This stuff is really seen as a short-term solution prior to the next CBA negotiations

@MZavagno11 Should go weighted odds off 2 years (stops one year tankers) and a draft cap if you get top 4 the season after

This is genuinely terrible - Punishes the worst teams (and keeps them bad). Fails to acknowledge teams can be bad without actively tanking - Moves the tank clearly to the 4-10 window which will do nothing to fix the watchability of March basketball

@ZachLowe_NBA @johnhollinger @ShamsCharania @KevinOConnor @BobbyMarks42

Example:
A team like Dallas (after a #1 pick) can’t jump again immediately.
A team stuck in the middle (like Chicago) benefits from that shift. The lottery stays random—but long-term advantage gets distributed more fairly. Would love thoughts on this

1. What if the NBA Draft Lottery kept its randomness… but eliminated repeat lottery luck and reduced tanking? Here’s a simple reform idea 🧵 The problem:
Teams can tank for 1 year and get rewarded.
Or worse—get lucky multiple years in a row and stack top picks.

@RealSpurstastic @SamQuinnCBS And if you’re 2 you can’t go higher than 4 the year after

@RealSpurstastic @SamQuinnCBS No you can’t go higher than 5 if you get one the year before.

We’re not gonna really feel the effects of these changes for four or five years because that’s how long it takes to measure second- and third-order consequences but I think we’re gonna do another round of this discourse with much more extreme ideas on the table by like 2033.