J. Venable

@to_earth_1 @OpenSourceZone GOP is going to keep the House, Senate and obviously the Presidency. The House is actually quite easy to understand via Inside Elections. They have 217-207 with none of the Southern States redrawn. Senate is 51-55 GOP.

@OpenSourceZone they can take 1 chamber.. but not 2. Just kidding fuck them we taking both.. MAGA

NEW: The OSZ 2026 Senate Forecast is now live. Odds of senate control: 🔴 Republicans: 66% 🔵 Democrats: 34% Projected Seats: 🔴 Republicans: 51 🔵 Democrats: 49

@OzzyNFL @Schultz_Report @SNFonNBC Pats win

BREAKING 🚨 The New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks will open the season in the 2026 NFL Kickoff Game, per @Schultz_Report Game is scheduled for Wednesday, Sept. 9th at 8:20 PM EST on @SNFonNBC

@michaeljknowles He's going down in flames. New @QuantusInsights poll shows a 17% shift to Gallrein in 1 month. @EdGallrein 53% | @MassieforKY 45%. Poll conducted 5/11-12

Do you want Massie to win his primary? And who did you vote for in the 2024 general election?

@wisconsin_now Tom Tiffany use common sense. Trump would 100% BACK THIS. You're not going to win the key voters ONLY TRUMP has in WI unless you have some more moderate (like a few) policies. Trump won because he wasn't idealogical

Man, I’m almost starting to feel sorry for Gov. Evers, abandoned by his own side. Believing their rhetoric about wanting to fund schools and now learning it was all BS, like a broken relationship where he finally sees the truth about his own people. They’ve moved past him - to the far, far left. Maybe he can offer someone something to vote yes (time will tell), but it shouldn’t be this hard. I am sure Democrat Senators all have crazy asks. Most of the Democrat governor candidates are now against extra funding for schools. Evers’ thought bubble: “What???!” Actually, it’s not a thought bubble. He called fellow Democrats’ rhetoric and positioning here the “dumbest thing” and a “stupid idea” today. Just wow. Meanwhile, Tom Tiffany is bashing a bill supported by all Republican legislators except Steve Nass, Chris Kapenga, and Lindee Brill, which I understand even less. Is he used to running in a +27R district and hasn’t moved from that mindset to a general election strategy? Because it’s not wise to be against a bill that lets folks keep their overtime and tips, gives them property tax relief, and that funds special ed. Not when the election will turn on affordability. Telling people, I’m going to do something else down the road if I win doesn’t work when you’re opposing what they could get NOW. It’s just not a good play, and I am not pretending otherwise. Too much is at stake. Trust me, I’m not the only one confused by this pivot. Is he being advised by DC comms guys who sit on X and don’t get what’s happening on the doors? Until now, I thought he had run a tone-perfect campaign. The Assembly can be saved for Republicans. But it’s a 50-50 proposition at best. The six Republican legislators in the swing districts NEED this deal to go through. They need to be able to tell voters they’re doing concrete things to help them. They need the education and tax relief message. Having the eventual Republican nominee railing at them doesn’t help. Many are outside talk radio’s influence. This doesn’t help Tiffany win and it doesn’t help Republicans keep control of the Legislature. Lucky for them, the Democrats are almost all taking positions that won’t help them win either so maybe it cancels itself out. Except Missy Hughes, who has no chance of winning the governor’s race anyway. Frankly, both sides are melting down into bizarre divisions, and I understand neither. Evers vs Dems, Tiffany vs Repubs… What? I don’t get why one side doesn’t wake up and say, you know, if OUR side gets unified here, the OTHER side is going to look pretty bad. Stay out of the way of it. Sheesh. Is there some grand poobah who can drag everyone into a smoke filled room on the Republican side and get that done?

@AF_Insight @JoseButWithPH @QuantusInsights The younger voters who are potential Dem voters are not anywhere near as engaged as they were in 2018 or back in 2006.

@JVENABLECIN @JoseButWithPH @QuantusInsights 2026, by all accounts should be older than 24. Every single year the voting base has gotten older. In Texas the 2026 GOP and DEM primary voter were both older than their 2024 counter parts. Which in turn was older than 2022. etc.

Our Kentucky GOP primary sample is not 55% 65+ and/or it is not “55% boomers.” That claim is simply wrong. Our age segment tracks our benchmarked GOP primary electorate, where older voters make up a large share of the expected turnout universe but not 55%.

@AF_Insight @JoseButWithPH @QuantusInsights 2026 will be similar/slightly older than 2022. Worse for Dems, there won't be the youthful surge they need among 18-29 year olds.

The makeup in 22 was - 45% 62+ - 68% 50+ The makeup in 20 was - 40% 62+ - 63% 50+ For 2018 it was - 37% 62+ - 62% 50+ And 2016 - 36% 62+ - 62% 50+ It follows the trend that since the start of Trump in politics the primary voter base has gotten older. Which mirrors the general election base getting older. Each midterm has been older than the previous general.

@OzzyNFL Pats @ Seahawks Opening TNF

NFL SCHEDULE LEAK Bears at Panthers - Week 1 - 1:00 PM

@JohnDoyle 🟥 GALLREIN 53% (+8) 🟥 Massie 45% Quantus Insights (5/11-12 | 908 LVs) -was Massie +9 in early April

Thomas Massie is a principled America First Patriot. As such, he takes no money from organizations that are named in tribute of foreign countries. He instead takes money DIRECTLY from Patriot Zionist Billionaires like Jeff Yass.

@OpenSourceZone Good job Gov

Georgia Governor Brian Kemp calls lawmakers back for special session to Redistrict the 2028 maps Per AJC

@OpenSourceZone They're voting on this meaningless resolution. Maybe they could vote on something like the Save America Act if they cared about the US, we know the Dems don't but Republicans should be able and we have 3 idiots who are holding it back.

US Senate blocks Iran war powers resolution to limit unauthorized US military action against Iran Final Vote: 🟢 Yes: 49 🔴 No: 50 Republican Yes Vote: 🔴 Susan Collins 🔴 Lisa Murkowski 🔴 Rand Paul Dem No Votes: 🔵 John Fetterman

Under Pritzker & Democrat leadership, Illinois has surpassed New York to have the highest combined local and state tax rate in the country. When I was governor, I refused to raise taxes on the people. But a few months after I was hijacked from office, the Dems raised the income tax by 66%.

@ESPNNFL Hasselback doesn't know shit. If Burrow wasn't made of glass then we'd have a different story entirely. So sick of these stupid takes from professional asshats

"It feels like Matthew Stafford early on in Detroit. ... They just organizationally can't get it done. ... That's just what it's starting to feel like to me with Burrow's era in Cincinnati." —Tim Hasselbeck on the Bengals' struggles over the years 🏈

@tracegallagher Yes I think he and Bass will make it to a runoff based on polling I'm seeing. He has a real shot in a runoff!

NIGHTCAP QUESTION: The 'Ruthless' podcast hosts say Spencer Pratt is channeling the frustrations of millions of Angelenos as one local poll shows 88 percent audience approval in the last mayoral debate. Do you think Pratt has a chance to win in deep-blue Los Angeles?

@DecisionDeskHQ Yeah amazingly you assume that the polls in May from biased outlets are better than Election Day nearly. Left wing garbage

The electoral environment is keeping Democrats afloat: -Trump's job approval/disapproval is 40%/57%. -Democrats lead by 6.5 on the generic ballot, which would equal an 8-point swing from Trump +1.5 in 2024's popular vote. Read more about the House: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/house-2026-d…

Alabama's map likely hands Republicans +1 seat. But as DDHQ's newsletter lays out, Democrats are still somewhat favored to flip the House despite recent GOP redistricting gains. Unlike district lines, President Trump's job approval probably won't be comprehensively redrawn.

@DecisionDeskHQ Yes and the election is in November so a "6% lead" right now is not at all a guarantee to be the result. Factor in the GOP is getting much more motivated, and Dems will lose seats with fringe candidates they could win.

Republicans will almost certainly gain from redistricting, improving their chances of holding the House. But Democrats are still favored to flip the House. Trump's approval is bad & Dems have led generic ballot by 4-6 points, which more likely than not swings the House to Dems.

@ENGRColonel @PaulVallas Yes! Exactly right

@PaulVallas SCOTUS ended decades of Democrat racist manipulation

Governor Pritzker last week called the SCOTUS ruling on Louisiana redistricting “voter suppression that will silence black and brown voters.” An odd way to characterize the decision, the ruling held that the creation of a second majority-Black congressional district was unconstitutional racial gerrymander. Pritzker’s criticism is a smokescreen to conceal Illinois most gerrymandered districts in history. How is it Chicago shares a part of 7-8 of the states 17 Congressional districts despite having fewer than a fourth of the state’s population? The objective of the Democratic-drawn map isn’t equity. The purpose is to perpetuate one-party rule in which Democrats hold 14 of 17 Congressional seats and the state map gives that Republicans a veto proof state house and senate for the past decade. Pritzker lied in 2018 when he was first running for governor and promised to create an independent commission to draw political maps vowing to veto any "political," gerrymandered, or partisan map.

@PaulVallas Thank you for doing the job of the weak IL media, like Chicago Tribune and Others. Pritzker did say an independent commission and instead IL received an F- for gerrymandering by a non-partisan anti-gerrymandering group in 2022. Pritzker is so full of shit it's funny.

@GavinNewsom Gavin ur sad

The Republican Party to Black voters as they silence their voice in Congress:

@Bengals Happy Birthday to a great man, and a great coach.

Happy birthday Zac 🎉