James 🇺🇲🇦🇲

12.8K posts

James 🇺🇲🇦🇲

@JaamesWJ

Dem from CT | Progressive and Social Democrat | I wish I didn't get 2024 right.

Connecticut Katılım Ocak 2019

4.8K Takip Edilen3.2K Takipçiler

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·2 Kas

November 1st (2nd) Prediction. My last prediction, I don't have much changing from October, I just don't see Dems doing well this election. If I'm wrong you can make fun of this post but this is what I genuinely believe the election is at.

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·2d

@AustinHoney30 IL could draw out one more red seat

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Debbie Dingell Stan🇺🇦🇵🇸🇬🇪@AustinHoney30·2d

Dawg they are 15-2 and 7-1 we already gerrymandered IL to the max and MD would be at risk of the court striking it down

Nick Field@nick_field90

"The pressure on [Abigail Spanberger] mounted when Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker and Maryland Gov. Wes Moore “shit the bed,” as one House Democratic leadership staffer put it, by not delivering Democrats more seats from their deep-blue states" puck.news/virginias-redi…

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·20 Mar

@bronxneoliberal Both are

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daniel 🇺🇸🇩🇴🇵🇷🇺🇦@bronxneoliberal·19 Mar

New York map is illegal.

Based Tom 🇺🇸🇻🇦✝️☦️@TomEDewey1948

I made congressional maps of New York and Illinois. Dataset is the 2024 Presidential election. New York is 15-11 Republican and Illinois is 9-8 Republican.

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·20 Mar

Map of the bowow act vote

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·15 Mar

@Jetpakrider @SauronDeciever @StatisticUrban @LinkofSunshine MA-7 is made to maximize minority representation, not sure if breaking it up would get it struck down but definitely at least gets a challenge to it. But i havent seen a map that both has a Trump 2024 district and doesn't put areas that shouldnt be together in the same district

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Jetpackrider 🌹@Jetpakrider·15 Mar

@SauronDeciever @StatisticUrban @LinkofSunshine That may be true but I think the actual map is better in more important fairness areas like COIs and compactness. I’m also pretty sure this map could get struck down for VRA reasons. @JaamesWJ please correct me if I’m wrong.

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Basil🧡@LinkofSunshine·14 Mar

Massachusetts is literally impossible to draw a Republican district in, wtf formula is the Washington Times using

Mark Pocan@MarkPocan

Hopefully someone will gift a calendar to the WI Supreme Court. The 3 judge panel they appointed has heard the Congressional redistricting case. Now the Court has to prioritize their time to finalize by 4/1 or we don’t get fair maps. Democracy is at risk. Tick tock. ⏰

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·8 Mar

@bronxneoliberal I would never have graduated high school if that was a requirement lol

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daniel 🇺🇸🇩🇴🇵🇷🇺🇦@bronxneoliberal·8 Mar

we should force high schoolers to learn proof writing btw and not the pussy geometry shit i mean actual written proofs.

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·6 Mar

@tomas_s242 @Uncrewed VRA legislative districts in cities have to look like that to not pack Black neighborhoods, Atlanta area has similar ones

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SoFlo Democrat 🇺🇦☀️@tomas_s242·6 Mar

@Uncrewed what the fuck is that district lmao

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Uncrewed@Uncrewed·6 Mar

Illinois Lt. Gov/US Senate hopeful Juliana Stratton got her political career started in 2016, when she unseated Democratic incumbent Ken Dunkin in the #HD05 primary. Dunkin had infuriated pretty much every Democrat in Illinois by voting with Bruce Rauner, so Stratton won by 36!

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·5 Mar

@AnthonyMEmerson Hes backing Bodnar

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Anthony Emerson❤️🌲🦞🇾🇪🌹@AnthonyMEmerson·5 Mar

JON TESTER WHERE ARE YOU BROTHER

Bradley Warren@bradmwarren

BREAKING: Senator Steve Daines appears to have withdrawn from the race for reelection. Working this. #MTpol #MTnews

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John Tyler Project@ProjectJTyler·4 Mar

The John Tyler Project is proud to endorse Ken Paxton! We endorsed Paxton's for reelection in 2022, and we have not been disappointed. There are too many controversies from only the last 4 years to list in a single tweet, but we hope to see him win today's Senate primary.

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John Tyler Project@ProjectJTyler·3 Mar

The John Tyler Project is proud to endorse Jasmine Crockett! We have been impressed with her campaign, alienating many voters and focusing on personality. We strongly support this and hope to see her win the primary today.

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John Tyler Project@ProjectJTyler·3 Mar

The John Tyler Project is proud to endorse Tony Gonzales! We strongly support his actions regarding his alleged affair, and it is exactly what we look for in a candidate. We hope to see him win the primary tomorrow.

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John Tyler Project@ProjectJTyler·2 Mar

The John Tyler Project is proud to endorse Valentina Gomez! Running an unserious campaign after carpetbagging from Missouri demonstrates that she is a great candidate for our endorsement. We hope to see her win the 31st district primary and be elected to Congress.

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John Tyler Project@ProjectJTyler·2 Mar

The John Tyler Project is proud to endorse Henry Cuellar! We strongly support Cuellar, a candidate we twice-endorsed before for his alleged corruption that led to his indictment in 2024. We strongly support Cuellar and hope to see him win his primary tomorrow.

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·2 Mar

@mormonmommyuwu Happy birthday!

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Mint (lapis)@mormonmommyuwu·1 Mar

happy march 1st for those who celebrate

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·28 Şub

ZXX

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·26 Şub

@enjayglowbe72 Ok

HTF@enjayglowbe72·26 Şub

reply and i’ll give you a jersey town based on vibes

Sebastian@webban25

reply and I’ll give you a jersey town based on vibes

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·22 Şub

@davidslosttt

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David@davidslosttt·22 Şub

here's a 10-4 edition but this map is sloppy

David@davidslosttt

NC Democratic gerrymander This map has 5 Safe Dem flips (1, 8, 9, 10, and 11). If you like these maps, you should follow @davidslosttt and @MapWisePolitics!!!

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·22 Şub

@MarionStefan yeah the easiest way to make 4 follow the Ohio rules is probably to add Calvert

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M Stefan@MarionStefan·22 Şub

@JaamesWJ got it ... guess Calvert could be added to 4 but then not sure if you'd get 2 Black-maj. seats centered on PG? (frankly 4 & 5 were kind of afterthought in sense that main goal here was to make all other seats as Dem as possible while still having least number of county splits)

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M Stefan@MarionStefan·21 Şub

Ugly (imho) but effective Maryland redistricting, using "Ohio rules" - *least possible* county and city splits, and with 3 Black-majority seats ...

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·16 Şub

@Jetpakrider @TomOwens67 @micah_erfan 2010s incumbentmandering lol

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Jetpackrider 🌹@Jetpakrider·16 Şub

@TomOwens67 @micah_erfan @JaamesWJ 💀

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Micah@micah_erfan·16 Şub

This is what your district looks like.

Congressman Brad Knott@RepKnott

They always seem to miss: 1. Democrats’ extreme gerrymandering (zero R’s in congress from New England, New Mexico, etc.), 2. 15+ seats added to blue states from illegal aliens, 3. Admitted errors in census that benefited, wait for it, blue states. And, conveniently, @HouseGOP received more votes in ‘24 than any other congressional cycle.

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·15 Şub

@Jetpakrider Andy Ogles is facing a major primary challenger and might be like a 50/50 shot he loses, and we dont know who the Dem is yet, so for now it's likely R

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Jetpackrider 🌹@Jetpakrider·15 Şub

@JaamesWJ Also idk if you are only factoring in the generic ballot but based on the spec results in TN, I’d expect the funny looking Nashville district to be closer

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James 🇺🇲🇦🇲@JaamesWJ·4 Şub

February 2026 Prediction I still expect these to change a lot by November and I made some small changes since January, expecting around a D+8 generic ballot, and I'm not factoring in potential redistricting (like in NY, VA, FL, & MO).

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Keşfet

@AustinHoney30 @bronxneoliberal @Jetpakrider @SauronDeciever @StatisticUrban @LinkofSunshine @tomas_s242 @Uncrewed