Jarad

@AtlasShrug1 @lktlkt07 Any reason SMH and not soxx? i think one confirmation would be to jump above 50ma, or 21 ema

That is a good question. I am watching how individual names behave, what the reactions are to positive earnings beats looks like, and some index levels. If I look at the $SMH, for me to change my mind I’d need to see it above the $615-618 level. Then the picture would begin to change. Would take a lot of repairing of some pretty rough charts that lie beneath but anything is possible. I never rule anything out. To me the much more likely scenario is that this is the casino spitting out 3 coins before it takes your next 5. That’s just how this typically works. If it happened all at once it would be too easy. Keep some perspective. Is $VICR paying out today the way it would have in a bullish tape? Or is the reaction fairly muted. I’d watch the bigger cap names. I am very happy fir the $IQE bulls getting a big pop this morning, but let’s be honest, if 2 months ago I had told these folks they’d be giddy about a move up to 43p they would have said “impossible”.

Bear market rallies tend to be about 10-15%, we saw 3 episodes of that in the 2022 bear market with the S&P 500. Obviously we are talking about a narrower group of tech-related themes right now (the indexes have yet to give up the ghost). Most will see a violent move up and believe it is a return to the way things used to be. That’s fine, if you believe this was just a correction, then you buy the dip. I believe this was more than a correction and that this sector is now broken. Therefore, my playbook will be to sell into any 10% plus rally and take down net exposure again. Regardless of your view, I think it is helpful to recall the nature and extent of the countertrend rallies from 2022 because they are normal, they always occur due to oversold conditions among other factors. —JG

@drayinvests No idea - keep buying

Can someone explain to me why $CELH is dumping today? Down almost 40% YTD

Following a call with $IREN management, Needham analyst said ''cloud contract economics are strengthening''. ''The newest cohort of deals was priced above the NVIDIA contract at $15m per megawatt and the Microsoft contract at $10m per megawatt. We understand the main GPU types in the latest contracts to be B200s and B300s.''

@LongGameEquity yes sirr!

$CELH will outperform everything for the rest of 2026. 🚀 Bookmark this.

@drayinvests Bill Packman also panic sold Netflix when it crashed

Bill Ackman, one of the most influential investors today, just explained why he’s buying $MSFT Two factors drove his decision: business quality and price He rotated out of $GOOGL and into $MSFT after it had fallen 20% because he believes it would offer a better return on his investment How can you not be bullish on Microsoft when Bill Ackman is calling it extremely cheap?

Up already 55% on $ELF within couple of weeks It was so freaking obvious at less than 15x forward PE - truly don’t know how it got there but thanks for the easy money

@CatLadyCapital I was buying elf heavily in the 50s when everyone was dumping it Rhode alone is worth more than 3.5bn easily…

Started a position in $ELF today. Late to the party, I know. 😅 Funny enough, I told my husband to buy in when it was $49. He didn't listen. Turns out my instincts were right, I just didn't listen to myself either. What changed my mind? Social arbitrage. 👀 I keep seeing ELF everywhere, on influencer posts, in stores, all over. They're constantly dropping new products and now expanding into hair care. Couldn't resist starting a position. If it dips further, I'm adding more. This feels like just the start. Consensus price targets: 🎯 Average: $75 (fairly flat from where it's trading now, mid $74s) 🎯 High: $97, recently raised by Canaccord Genuity after strong early hair care numbers 🎯 Low: $50, from firms like Piper Sandler citing softer demand in core cosmetics

@jiahanjimliu Awesome post Jim

$IREN: New Enterprise Customers and Raised 2026 ARR to 4B+ Increase ARR Explained Previously, for 2026 GPUs, PG and H1-4 were signed while Mackenzie and Aircooled Childress was unsigned. IREN has signed partial or all of Mackenzie and the contract values came in higher than expected so 2026 ARR increased. Previously expected contribution from Mackenzie to 2026 ARR was 1.3B and but now with just in time contracting, Mackenzie has 1.6B+ 2026 ARR contribution. IREN's strategy of signing contracts as late as possible when GPUs arrive allow them to have the highest GPU price possible as GPU price has been increasing. Mackenzie is 80MW and the first shipments of GPUs to Mackenzie have started to arrive. IREN has only signed 85% of it's 2026 GPUs with 85% skewed by an overweighted amount going to MSFT. The remaining 15%, once signed, will likely result in another upgrade in 2026 ARR of ~200m. Combined with Nvidia contract next year, 4.4B ARR translates to 4.7B ARR for early next year contracted. With only 480MW buildout this year, the 730MW next year will be mostly VR which will be contracted at 50%+ higher per MW. With IREN's 2027 total active power of 1210MW and the majority being VR, ARR will likely reach 15B+ by end of 2027. Enterprise Customers - Figure AI Critics have wrongly assumed IREN's bare metal could only serve hyperscalers and AI Platforms but this is false. Even before Mirantis acquisition closing, IREN is now able to land Perplexity and Figure AI. Figure AI is a very promising startup working on robotics competing with Tesla Optimus. Figure AI had previously poached engineers from Tesla and I personally know people who moved from Tesla to Figure AI when Figure was first founded in 2022. Figure AI is now at $39B private valuation. Many Figure AI engineers are from Tesla - they like to do everything in house including the full training/inference stack. Thus, Figure AI has chosen bare metal GPU with both IREN and hyperscalers. When I say bare metal it include include Kubernetes aka bare metal+ which IREN has without Mirantis. Having the full software stack in house allowed Tesla to iterate faster than it's competitors. If AI software is publicly available on a cloud then it's available to all the competitors and is undifferentiated. Enterprise Customers - Fal AI Fal AI is a AI Platform similar to FireworksAI, TogetherAI, Baseten, Modal, and Nebius' new business line. It specializes in LLMs for image, video and audio (1). It allows for development and fine tuning on managed/orchestrated GPUs so it's considered a full AI Platform (1). It's customers include Shopify, Adobe, Canva, Quora and has over 1.5m developers (1). Fal AI is known for having the fastest diffusion model inference outside the hyperscalers (1). I envision the future to be where each AI Platform has a specialized segment where they are the best. IREN is positioned to serve as the IaaS backbone for these AI Platforms. Enterprise Customers - New Leading AI Developer IREN has left this up to speculation. I will not mix speculation into this concrete only post so I'll address it else where. Prepayment at 45% Across the industry, GPU prepayments have been rising so IREN benefits from this sector uplift. 45% is a great prepayment ratio! Cash in Hand 7.6B Everyone has been disappointed by IREN's ATM. However good news revealed today is that IREN is not ATMing just to get by. They are stockpiling all the way to 7.6B for a larger purpose. IREN's Robinhood shares is 358m but with the ATM and RSU package, it's likely at 410m which puts IREN's market cap at ~16.4B. Subtracting out cash on hand, you are buying IREN's business at 8.8B! Microsoft H1 Handover July 19 was the internal H1 handover date and word on the street is that there's alot of heat coming out of H1 so Microsoft is likely running everything at full throttle for acceptance testing. For a large heterogenous DC, this can take 1-2 weeks but Horizon 1 is homogenous GB300 so I expect acceptance testing to be between 3 days to 2 weeks with the higher end of the estimate if post-handover adjustments are needed like networking configuration. Looking Ahead IREN's shorts likely got squeeze today resulting in a +20% move back to $40. I believe this is the start of the positive dominos for IREN aka IREN D-Day. 1. H1 official acceptance will be a huge derisk. 2. H2 GPUs are coming in and expected ready in late September or October. 3. H3-4 in Nov/Dec. 4. Rest of Mackenzie, Aircool Childress for 2026 ARR while CF is signed for end of 2026 or 2027 billing. 5. Sweetwater Signed in Fall Most important for stock price is each quarterly earnings to reflect IREN's execution which market is not pricing in right now because of H1 delays. I expect Q2 earnings to be overall neutral getting back on track. I expect Q3 and Q4 to get successively more impressive.

@zarieinvests U said also elf wasn’t a buy at 50s 😂

I don’t know who to needs to hear this But $NFLX here is a sh*t buy Unless you like holding falling knives

@SayNoToTrading How do u value it

Neutron alone is worth $50B. That’s the tweet. $RKLB

back to the trendline ? $IREN

$ELF wants 100 😍 been buying in the 50s!

@BitcoinAIGuy 😂

good morning

@NotA_Bull Maybe we gaap up on earnings :)

When will $CELH find a bottom? What’s wrong here?

@JonahLupton Valuation ?

Can someone help me understand why $AEHR has given back 85% of the post-earnings gains? Makes no sense to me. The company raised FY2027 guidance to 65% above consensus and gave a bunch of reasons why there's still upside to the $130-150M range plus new products and pilot programs with large semi companies. Margins are also expanding nicely. Did I miss something? Is the market expecting an equity/convert offering? Is the market now waiting to close the earnings gap? I'm confused. NFA. DYOR. *We are long $AEHR at @FirstWaveFund

@LandoInvests Interesting thanks for sharing :) I could’ve tell from the chart but nice info to have

$IREN has a huge wall at $40 break through that and it could get interesting 👀

$IREN AI Cloud customer list is a much bigger deal than most investors realize. Its customer base now spans: • Hyperscale cloud • GPU infrastructure • AI search • Humanoid robotics • Model training and inference • Generative media • Voice AI • Specialized AI cloud infrastructure I will skip the obvious names like $MSFT and $NVDA. Perplexity One of the leading AI-native search and answer platforms. Its rapid growth and compute-heavy roadmap make it exactly the type of customer an AI infrastructure provider wants. Figure AI One of the best-funded and most ambitious humanoid robotics companies. Its robots rely on advanced vision, language and action models that could require significant training and inference capacity. Together AI A major independent AI cloud and model platform focused on training and serving open-source models. It recently raised $800 million at an $8.3 billion valuation. Fluidstack An AI infrastructure specialist building large-scale compute deployments. It is helping deliver Anthropic’s announced $50 billion infrastructure expansion. Fireworks AI A fast-growing inference platform founded by former Meta engineers who worked on PyTorch. The company was valued at $4 billion in its latest funding round. fal A leading infrastructure platform for generative image, video, audio and media models. Its investors include Sequoia, Kleiner Perkins and NVIDIA. Hume AI A specialist in emotionally intelligent voice AI and conversational interfaces. Google DeepMind licensed its technology and recruited its CEO and several engineers.

$NOW reports earnings on Wednesday after close. Most of analysts have raised price targets and are bullish going into the earnings. This print will likely decide on the direction the share price is heading..

i think the day $MNST dumps, is the day where $CELH will start to recover lol... zero worries tho at this valuation of 18x 2026E PE and 14x 2027E... insanely low

''Bloom Energy $BE shares are trading lower after New Mexico regulators rejected, for a second time, permits for a gas pipeline planned to supply Oracle’s Project Jupiter data center. The decision could delay the campus, which is expected to use up to 2.5 GW of Bloom Energy’s…'' $IREN does not have this problem