TeäSFÅ

16.9K posts

TeäSFÅ banner
TeäSFÅ

TeäSFÅ

@Jello_33

#YourBreathPrint+#YourFingerPrint|| #YourIdentity!! #Tigray https://t.co/cEsizet892 | https://t.co/CDSS5xDcFy

TN Katılım Ocak 2013
777 Takip Edilen749 Takipçiler
Dane Giraud ✡️
Dane Giraud ✡️@Dane_Giraud·
@JanKEliasson @tparsi @HelenClarkNZ Question: Iran is a criminal state that exports terror and nowhere does it say there is any obligation for such a state to have a nuclear anything. So why do people exist who think this was a good idea?
English
2
1
33
1.2K
Trita Parsi
Trita Parsi@tparsi·
Why did Israel target Ali Larijani, and what are the implications if it is confirmed that he was killed? I see three potential motivations behind the assassination attempt: 1. Israel is trying to literally kill off Trump's off ramps: Larijani was not only a key figure within the regime who had emerged as the chief consensus builder, but alto kill off Trump's off ramps literallys someone who favored talks with the US and who could build consensus within the system for an Iranian off ramp at some point. He also favored de-escalation with the GCC states and supported Pezeshkian's message on that point (though not the apology). There had been some efforts by Larijani to speak directly with senior Trump officials in December, for instance, to prevent the war. The Israelis want the war to continue to degrade Iran's military capabilities further to shift the balance in the region in Israel's favor for years to come. They have fought for more than two decades to get the US to go to full war with Iran, and having finally achieved that goal, they do not want Trump to cut the war short. Without figures like Larijani in the Iranian system, Trump's pathways to ending the war just got narrower. 2. The US/Israeli strategy may be shifting back to regime decapitation. The reason for this is that it's becoming increasingly clear that reopening the Straits of Hormuz militarily is simply too risky, and there is no international coalition willing to support Trump. But the Straits must be reopened from Trump's perspective because of the impact on energy markets, which eventually will impact gas and food prices in the US, and push Trump's own base to turn against this war. But if he cannot open it militarily, then the original idea of regime implosion may prove another path. As such, the killing of Larijani may have been seen as a second bite at the apple. The first bite, the assassination of Khamenei, did not yield results. But a few more assassinations of key figures may, the thinking would go. 3. Opportunity: The assassination may have also simply occurred because the opportunity presented itself, rather than having been motivated by either a shift in strategy or a sabotage effort by the Israelis to kill off Trump's off-ramps. Either way, while this undoubtedly is a significant tactical blow to the Islamic Republic, it is difficult to envision it considerably impacting Tehran's war execution. Plans for these eventualities had already been established during the June war. Moreover, when relatively moderate voices have been killed by Israel, they have more often than not been replaced by a younger generation of more hawkish voices who opposed Iran's policy of "strategic patience", who opposed the June ceasefire, and who currently oppose any de-escalation or ceasefire. Whether this was Israel's intent or not, the most likely outcome, nevertheless, is the destruction of potential off-ramps for Trump.
English
266
990
3.1K
471.5K
Kjetil Tronvoll
Kjetil Tronvoll@KjetilTronvoll·
Very interesting take on the pllitics of the Strait of Hormuz, by @shanaka86 :
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

Iran did not close the Strait of Hormuz. It converted it into a tollgate. The toll is not money. It is alignment. And the country with the world’s largest navy is not on the list of those who may pass. Foreign Minister Araghchi stated it explicitly: the Strait is “open but closed only to our enemies and their allies.” Ten countries have been offered safe passage: China, India, Pakistan, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Oman, the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, and Iraq. Iran ships approximately 1.3 million barrels per day to China through the “closed” strait via shadow fleet and dark transits. India is in active talks with Tehran for the release of three seized tankers in exchange for medicines and equipment. The waterway that Goldman Sachs says collapsed from 19.5 million to 0.5 million barrels per day is not closed to everyone. It is closed to the coalition that bombed Iran and open to the rest of the world on terms Iran dictates. This is not a blockade. It is a permissions system. And the permissions are rewriting the geopolitical map in real time. Every country on the safe-passage list gains a competitive energy advantage over every country excluded from it. Chinese refineries receive Iranian crude at $9 to $12 below Brent while Western buyers pay $96.72. Indian tankers negotiate passage while American carriers patrol outside. Turkish trade continues while British Airways cancels flights. The selective enforcement creates a two-tier global economy: countries that can access Gulf energy because Iran permits it, and countries that cannot because Iran does not. The first tier includes every major non-Western economy. The second tier includes the world’s superpower and its allies. Iran’s endgame is not victory. It is attrition toward terms. Araghchi told CBS the war ends only when Iran is “certain it will not be repeated” and reparations are paid. No ceasefire has been requested. Resistance continues “as long as it takes.” The selective Hormuz enforcement is the mechanism: it sustains revenue through China flows, preserves diplomatic options through India and Gulf talks, and inflicts maximum economic pain on the coalition while minimising alienation of the countries Iran needs for long-term survival. The US objective is the mirror image: targeted degradation of nuclear, missile, drone, and naval capabilities to restore free Hormuz transit without a ground war. Fifteen thousand strikes have destroyed Iran’s air force, navy, and air defences. But they have not reopened the Strait because the Strait was not closed by military hardware. It was closed by insurance cancellations, mine threats, and a permissions list that no bomb can erase. The war has produced a paradox that neither side anticipated. America can destroy everything Iran builds but cannot open the waterway Iran controls. Iran cannot stop the bombs but can decide who sails. The military supremacy is American. The chokepoint sovereignty is Iranian. And the ten countries on the safe-passage list are watching both sides bleed while their tankers transit under the protection of the regime the superpower is bombing. Araghchi demands guarantees and reparations. Trump demands warships and coalition escorts. Neither has what the other requires. The guarantees require American withdrawal. The escorts require allied participation that Japan, Australia, and Germany have refused. The war continues because neither side can offer what the other needs to stop it, and the Strait remains a tollgate because the toll, political alignment, is the one currency America cannot pay. Full analysis - open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

English
2
1
2
3.8K
TeäSFÅ
TeäSFÅ@Jello_33·
Still fresh and painful! And yet the perpetrators continued to act as if nothing happened in #Tigray! .@reda_getachew.@ProfKindeya—want us to forget and dine with the bloodthirsty murderers, rapists & genocidaires!! #NeverForget #TigrayGenocide #JusticeToTigray
Touati Charlotte@DrChTouati

A clandestine diary has resurfaced after two years of war in #Tigray. An exceptional historical document chronicling a genocide without images. #TigrayGenocide #crsv mondafrique.com/a-la-une/guerr…

English
0
0
2
75
TeäSFÅ
TeäSFÅ@Jello_33·
#Fact101:#Tigray is forever changed! [#Abiy+#Isayas+#AmharaElites]- have forged an alliance to completely annihilate #Tigrayans & they acted accordingly! I can't simply forget & get along with the very leaders & masters that commanded the genocide in #Tigray! So.@ProfKindeya🖕
Kindeya Gebrehiwot, PhD, Prof@ProfKindeya

Breathtaking Sof Omar cave! Weyib River flowing through, with stunning pillars, chambers, religious significance and more! #Bale #Oromiya #tourism #Histoy #Ethiopia

English
0
0
0
119
TeäSFÅ
TeäSFÅ@Jello_33·
What division? Are you suggesting that those individuals who committed grave atrocities including crimes against humanity, gang rape and genocide against the people of #Tigray shouldn’t be held accountable?? Interesting…🤔!
Tseday@Tseday

We must always demand accountability for past atrocities in Tigray, but ICE slapping a blanket "terrorist" label on the Fano movement is deeply problematic. Fano has legitimate grievances and reasons to resist today. A deliberate PSYOP to divide Amhara and Tigrayan communities.

English
0
0
0
89
TeäSFÅ retweetledi
Tom Gardner
Tom Gardner@TomGardner18·
"Even academics and analysts cast away any semblance of objectivity and begin to shill for their side. ... on the Continent it’s most pronounced among Horn scholars and experts."👏 @kopalo The director of @ACLEDINFO is just the most recent egregious e.g africanistperspective.com/p/conflict-in-…
English
3
16
39
3.9K
TeäSFÅ
TeäSFÅ@Jello_33·
To begin with, he has always been at the forefront of the regime's propaganda, and he plays here and there!! ዋናው እስስት አይደለም እንዴ!
Tseday@Tseday

When someone like @NatyYifru joins the Ethiopian regime propaganda team, they lose their soul in the process. SMH In 2023, I was an "incredible woman" In 2026, I am a "lightweight loudmouth"

English
0
0
3
61
TeäSFÅ
TeäSFÅ@Jello_33·
And yet the carpet bombing of children schools in #Iran by #USA & #Israel is totally acceptable for the #Western leaders - such total hypocrisy is said to be one of the pillars of “democratic #Westerners”…!!
Maria M Stenergard@MariaStenergard

Pleasure to speak with HH Prince @FaisalbinFarhan Foreign Minister of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Iranian attacks against Gulf countries are unjustifiable and threaten regional and global security. I am grateful for Saudi Arabia’s assistance to stranded European citizens, including to the Swedes who have traveled by bus from Doha to Riyadh for onward flights.

English
0
0
1
117
TeäSFÅ
TeäSFÅ@Jello_33·
.@Cryptocito - Karma is watching what the #UAE has been doing for years - #UAE is accused of supporting rebel groups across the horn #Africa & actively involving in mass killings, genocide & tearing apart communities in #Sudan, #Ethiopia, #Yemen& #Libya! First, educate yourself
Cito@Cryptocito

Managed to get out of Dubai. The following is my personal opinion & experience 🇦🇪 Everything went quite seamless. Careem cabs operate normally. The airport is extremely well organized, considering the circumstances. The world has changed since Saturday and unfortunately, the country I moved to 3 years ago has been under heavy attacks. Why? No one really knows. However, I find it extremely disturbing that most media - including our beloved CT - exploits that serious situation to take cheap shots at Dubai and people who moved here. There are real families and hard working people affected. Most are scared or feel extremely uncomfortable. It's a traumatizing experience to hear missile interceptions right above your house. Nothing I wish for any human to ever experience, no matter if you pay 0% or 50% taxes. I don't even know what the link between those two things should be?? If anything, it proves that the UAE cares about their people and is able to protect its residents. Even at 0% income tax. Dubai was not known for it's strong military. It was always portrayed to be bling-bling golden steaks and influencers. But the UAE has shown the entire world that it can defend 1,000+ drones and 200+ missiles from a direct neighbor. That is impressive, whether you love or hate the UAE. Many countries would likely not be able to absorb that. So, if anything: Dubai and the UAE have demonstrated that the system works. I have lived in multiple countries around the world and the UAE is by far the most capable of handling crisis. Why did I leave Dubai then? Because it's not a situation I want to be in. Missile interceptions and drone explosions are no joke. Besides the danger that debris could hit your roof, there's an incredible intensity in the air. Most describe it as "intense calmness". While the Government managed to keep everyone from panicking, it's impossible for everyone to stay fully calm. And you can feel that in the day to day. The first night I got virtually no sleep. The night of my departure neither. I haven't left my house at all after the attacks started. But I'm out now. I really hope that leaving the country wasn't necessary, and that I will be able to come back to Dubai as soon as possible. And no, I'm not paid to say this, nor did I sign anything. Maybe part of the truth why no one who lives in Dubai has bad things to say about it is because it's one of the rare places on earth where people actually trust the Government and respect them? Not only for creating wealth and understanding business, but for caring and communicating in a way most other countries are simply incapable of. Anyways, I guess the point of this post is to 1) Tell everyone in Dubai that it's possible to leave right now. I know many people are very scared and want to get out. Be persistent with the airline if they cancel your flight and push hard to get rebooked on the next available one. And maybe choose a destination that isn't Europe, considering most of these flights are overbooked already and impossible to get on. 2) Dubai's self defense is impressive and we should acknowledge that. At least this one time, let's not derail into irrelevant discussions but show respect to the leaders + express empathy for those affected. 3) As an expat living in Dubai, I can still feel proud of my home country and do not have to choose. This isn't a black and white situation. Dubai is a melting pot of cultures and great place for Business. Other countries have better nature, social life or other things. It's also up to individual preference. 4) If you hate Dubai, yalla you don't need to live here, visit nor speak about it. Enjoy the place you live in and focus on your own. No need to feel triggered and take cheap shots at hard working people and families that are currently under heavy missile attacks. One final thing that really became clear to me this week is that after all, safety, health and living in freedom are absolutely priceless. May this all be over with soon and for sustaining peace to come in 🤲🏼

English
0
0
0
151
TeäSFÅ
TeäSFÅ@Jello_33·
And yet your predecessor were not only supporting #WarOnTigray & the genocide against the ppl of #Tigray, but also denied justice to their fellow citizen #MariaHernandez who were brutally massacred by #Ethiopian soldiers for her humanitarian work in #Tigray! .@EmbSpainAddis
Pedro Sánchez@sanchezcastejon

Real allies owe each other mutual support in times of struggle, but not blind obedience down a reckless path. War is not the answer. economist.com/by-invitation/…

English
0
0
0
28
TeäSFÅ retweetledi
Tseday
Tseday@Tseday·
Her name is Arsema Yemane, an Orthodox Christian from Tigray. She was killed inside the church she served in November 2020 in a war led by Abiy Ahmed, the Evangelical PM of Ethiopia, a regime financed by the UAE. She is one of the faces of Tigray Genocide. Learn about it!
Tseday tweet media
English
14
272
632
19.9K
TeäSFÅ retweetledi
The Sudanist
The Sudanist@500wordsmag·
Sudanese–British journalist Yousra Elbagir named Television Journalist of the Year at the Royal Television Society (RTS) Television Journalism Awards held on 4 March 2026 at the London Hilton on Park Lane in London, England. Yousra Elbagir Named Television Journalist of the Year at the RTS Television Journalism Awards thesudanist.com/yousra-elbagir…
The Sudanist tweet media
English
3
92
347
9.1K
TeäSFÅ retweetledi
Amnesty Eastern Africa
Amnesty Eastern Africa@AmnestyEARO·
New investigation out tomorrow documents sexual violence, summary killings, and displacement in Ethiopia’s Oromia region. These are not isolated abuses; they are war crimes that demand justice.
Amnesty Eastern Africa tweet media
English
28
252
357
37.2K
TeäSFÅ
TeäSFÅ@Jello_33·
.@reda_getachew .@ProfKindeya - rebel army is now becoming the next mercenary for genocidal #RSF after #Ethiopia opened a military training camp for #RSF!!
Patrick Heinisch@PatrickHeinisc1

Upon Shewit Bitew's release, #Ethiopia's army is reported to have proposed a new form of partnership to send militias to neighbouring countries. Under the proposal, TPF could have been deployed to #Sudan to support RSF, or #South_Sudan in support of SSPDF. africaintelligence.com/eastern-africa…

English
0
0
1
70
TeäSFÅ retweetledi
Wedi Abay Tigray
Wedi Abay Tigray@Fisseha_ka·
ሓቂ!✅ "...መንግስቲ ኢ/ያ ቀዳማይ ፀላኢ ህላወ ትግራይ 'ዩ..." ሳወት #ትግራይ
AM
0
7
11
749