Jerry

1.4K posts

Jerry banner
Jerry

Jerry

@Jerrythe_trader

ES Futures Trader | Ex-Bain | Startup Investor

Austin, TX Katılım Mayıs 2020
424 Takip Edilen127 Takipçiler
Sabitlenmiş Tweet
Jerry
Jerry@Jerrythe_trader·
Profitable trading isn't about predicting market moves, but about executing well. Regardless of market direction, capturing a piece daily & taking profits is key. Success lies in patience, execution, conviction, and repetition, turning inconsistent results into consistent wins.
English
1
0
6
636
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@thekhomish Would probably take a few days to build a flag if we get one. Usually the first red bar is just the initial stage of flag construction
English
4
2
27
857
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Finally a small injection of volatility to work with in #ES_F (1st since Monday's 7199 long) but quality entries still far lower. 7377 1st support down and we are here now. This is a weak level, but watch for traps anyway. 7369, 7355 (watch failed breakdowns here) below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Poor conditions for day traders in #ES_F. I talk non-stop about leaving runners on every entry. Its so we *always* have exposure for moves like this. Last entry was Monday's 7199 backtest/7213 failed breakdown. Flagging now. 7400 (hit), 7411, 7426 next. Same supports (77, 69)

English
13
6
145
45.2K
Jerry
Jerry@Jerrythe_trader·
@BankofVol I’m waiting for ppl to catch on. % of Market cap growing larger by the day
English
1
0
2
23
Jerry
Jerry@Jerrythe_trader·
@BankofVol Market still hasn’t caught on otherwise it’d be up 1500%
English
0
0
3
62
BankofVol Grift¹⁰⁰⁰🤖🤖¹⁰⁰⁰⁰⁰⁰
We flagged SKM as the Anthropic proxy months ago to our subscribers before anyone on twitter knew how to spell it. Today they filed their 20-F with the SEC. The Anthropic stake is now 22% of SKM’s entire market cap. We are up more than 1000% on our SKM combo. The trade is still open. The IPO clock is ticking. $SKM prnewswire.com/news-releases/…
English
2
1
19
54.9K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
We got yet another multi-level run today even with 0 volatility. I posted at 10:04AM the 7058 reclaim triggers us up. Targets given were 7073 (this is a major resistance shelf but it hit), 7086 was 2nd target given, hit. 7093 above, then onto 7103+ bonus 7058, 7041=supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Grind up continues in #ES_F and little to do as there is 0 volatility. We got a setup finally though. I posted that 7056 reclaims see 7073. We reclaimed 7056, and ran to 7073. 7086, 7093 remain next (and if we need it today 7103, 7112, 7130 are bonus). 7056, 7041 now supports.

English
7
2
121
53.9K
Jerry
Jerry@Jerrythe_trader·
@AdamMancini4 And if you’d consider this past 2 weeks “healthy” or not having not backtested anything
English
1
0
0
263
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@Jerrythe_trader It can hopefully start to build some sideways structure - may begin now. Usually that starts with a red day. Obviously can't just go up forever and we'll get a red day at some point then can start working on new structure
English
4
0
26
886
Jerry
Jerry@Jerrythe_trader·
@AdamMancini4 Right, I guess I was just curious given the strength if we will follow the typical retest the breakout (600 points below so probably not) or if we just flag out for 2 weeks then up we go again
English
0
0
0
60
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@ashwagamma Been a very long time - almost never happens. Usually even in very strong uptrends we'll get 1 failed breakdown a day. In downtrends though we get 3-5 failed breakdowns a day
English
1
1
25
704
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
0 volatility lockout rally continues in #ES_F and 0 to do but hold our runner from Sunday's 6793 Failed Breakdown. We need a deep sell to open new entries. Yesterday's bonus target was 7073, stuck here No change: 7056-7073=a flag. 7087, 7093 next up. 7041, 7016=supports now
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Day 4 lockout rally in #ES_F after Sunday evenings 6793 Failed Breakdown, given live & in newsletter. Yesterdays targets gven 8am were 7048 main (hit), 7073 bonus (hit) Plan: 0 to do until deep sell. 7056-7073=flag. 7073, 7087, 7093 next slate. 7041, 7016=1st support of interest

English
11
3
119
49.8K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@Jerrythe_trader @PartiotSmith Have to remember how bearish sentiment was in March (take a look at my comments). I was getting trolls nonstop asking why I don't short, calling for another 1000 points of downside etc. That is the fuel for this
English
3
0
28
873
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Runners continue to print and there's 7058 1st bonus target hit. We are still long from Sunday's 6793 Failed Breakdown. Today's targets given at 8am were 7021 (hit), 7036 (hit), 7048 (hit). Bonus slate were 7058 (here now), 7073 above here, then lots more still above that
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

My last tweet was a few mins early because there's 7048 final target hit exact in #ES_F. Today's target slate was given at 8am. There were 3 targets: 7021, 7036, 7048. 7048 has hit. Anymore today from here is bonus for that runner. 7058, 7073 are bonus No entries until deep sell

English
10
4
126
53.1K
Jerry
Jerry@Jerrythe_trader·
@AdamMancini4 @PartiotSmith This has been a hated rally. When does the hated deep sell to backtest lower come? Strongest move in memory
English
1
0
6
522
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@PartiotSmith You want to see an overbought RSI on a strong rally, the more overbought the healthier. Not quite there yet but getting there
English
3
2
25
1.2K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@nsb000 At some point those who were shorting the entire way up will capitulate, flip long, then we can start a dip
English
7
1
27
1.1K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
The best long of 2026 just keeps paying. 6792 Failed Breakdown Sunday was our recent major add in #ES_F. Today's targets given 8am were 6948, 6958, 6967 (all hit). I then gave a bonus slate of 6978 (hit), 6994 (hit), 7002 (just hit) 7021 next, then lots more above. Same supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

0 volatility, 0 to do in #ES_F but ride runner until we get next pullback to trap bears again. We are +200 points from the Sunday 6793 Failed Breakdown, given live. Today's targets were 6948, 6958, 6967 (all hit). Bonus were 6978, 6994 (here). 7002, 7021 next 6978, 6930=supports

English
22
8
165
39.2K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@eamarconi @NoSpinRealist These types of runs typically just occur during the initial capitulatory bottoming process. Once that's done it typically becomes a much more organized grind with less sharp rallies
English
1
0
18
624
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Little to do now in #ES_F. Entries were the Sunday 6793 Failed Breakdown (given live Sunday 6pm) and the 6809 Failed Breakdown yesterday. I posted 2:55PM yesterday lots more green ahead with 6937 next, and we hit Today's 1st target was 6948 (hit), 6958, 6967 above. Same supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Note: There is just nothing to do now. Most of us have been long at least since last Tuesday's 6593 Failed Breadkown, but many since the 6360 Failed Breakdown. Now, we just let the runner pay. There are no setups until we get the next deep sell/bear trap per newsletter

English
11
6
127
44.4K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@BrianMelcher24 That's what a one month flag breakout looks like! Still tons of upside ahead also, just starting
English
5
0
36
1.3K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
We are officially +100 points on our long from the 6793 Failed Breakdown last evening in #ES_F (for those who missed it, I gave the 6809 Reclaim at 8am). Targets given were 6848 main (hit). Bonus were 6872 (hit), 6886 (hit), 6903 (almost). Lots more ahead. 6912, 6937 next above
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Runners still paying. 0 to do until the next selloff then bear trap/Failed Breakdown in #ES_F. 6809 reclaim was long trigger given live 8am (newsletter readers been long since 6592 last week). Targets given 8am were 6848 main (hit), 6872, 6886 bonus (hit) 6893, 6903, 6912 next

English
8
9
144
63.2K
Jerry
Jerry@Jerrythe_trader·
@AdamMancini4 @NerdRageDan I don’t think I’ve seen daily hidden bearish RSI this big in memory. But also high-lower time frame hourlies look fine. Interesting divergence
English
0
0
0
40
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@NerdRageDan I Dont pay attention to it - the structure here looks extremely bullish to me as we broke out a 1 month flag with force.
English
2
0
14
587
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Little to do now but let the runner pay, which is now +280 from Tuesday's 6592 reclaim long. Today's #ES_F trigger was the 6809 reclaim. Targets were 6819, 6830 main (both hit). Bonus were 6846, 6854, 6872 (all hit) Next we head to 6883, 6903 as the macro flag breakout continues
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Levels respecting perfectly today as the long keeps paying in #ES_F. Today's long trigger was the 6809 reclaim given live 8am. Core targets given were 6819, 6830 (hit). Bonus slate were 6846 (hit), 6854 (hit), 6872 (been here for an hour) Ride runner now 6883, 6902 2nd bonus set

English
5
8
105
49.9K
Jerry
Jerry@Jerrythe_trader·
@AdamMancini4 @Nikhil_pathak31 Gotta reset RSI and trap more shorts unless huge news first (but in typical fashion they’ll probably reset it, trap shorts, failed breakdown, then moments later huge news hits)
English
0
0
2
180
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@Nikhil_pathak31 A few points off. We are still in a downtrend channel though. Bulls ned to break that out with a massive parabolic bar or we just resume down
English
1
1
26
1.3K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Levels continue to respect in #ES_F and getting another micro dip now. 6592 was support given 8am. It held. Targets were 6624 (hit), 6638 (hit), 6647 (we spent 2hrs there, then rejected), 6672 (not yet) 6624, 6592 remain supports. We sell if 6592 fails only.
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Levels are certainly respecting well. There is nothing to do but hold runner in #ES_F. 6592 was support given at 8am. It held almost exact for low of day. Targets given were 6624 (hit), 6638 (hit), 6647 (we've been here 1hr, holding almost exact). There is just 6672 left above

English
10
10
123
73.6K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@EpicCharting Yes it definitely does. Last year was very much a crash, this more just a slow correction. Taken 2 months to do -10%. We did 15% in 3-4 days last year
English
2
0
33
1.5K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Now into mid-day #ES_F chop around the 6425 magnet. Don't force trades. I posted 6412 had to hold and recover 6425 to trigger up. We held, recovered 6425, and ran. Targets were 6434 (hit), 6454 (hit). Bulls want to hold 6425/6412 to keep this going to 6476, 6492, 6520+ Sell<6412
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Mid-day chop off to an early start in #ES_F but levels working. I posted that 6412 must hold today and 6425 reclaims trigger up. We reclaimed 6425. Targets given were 6434 (hit), 6454 (hit almost exact). Take profits lvl to lvl today as always 6476, 6492+ above. 6425 is a magnet

English
13
8
118
55.7K
Jerry
Jerry@Jerrythe_trader·
@AdamMancini4 Daily failed breakdown with macro failed breakdown and channel backtest…if bulls can’t run with this setup they’re screwed
English
5
0
7
1K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Standard weekly gap down in #ES_F, and as usual it triggered a quick Failed Breakdown. Per Friday's 4pm newsletter, flushes and recoveries of Friday's 6524 daily low trigger up. We flushed it, recovered, popped 12 points. *Protect gains level to level* 6542, 6564, 6591 above
Adam Mancini tweet media
English
46
8
213
62.3K
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Note: For those who want an unbiased, balanced, realistic view of what my newsletter offers (and importantly what it doesn't), I found this well-written review on reddit that covers most the bases. Not affiliated with the author at all reddit.com/r/Trading/comm…
English
39
17
271
35.1K
Jerry
Jerry@Jerrythe_trader·
@sama Fuck you
English
0
0
0
4
Sam Altman
Sam Altman@sama·
Tonight, we reached an agreement with the Department of War to deploy our models in their classified network. In all of our interactions, the DoW displayed a deep respect for safety and a desire to partner to achieve the best possible outcome. AI safety and wide distribution of benefits are the core of our mission. Two of our most important safety principles are prohibitions on domestic mass surveillance and human responsibility for the use of force, including for autonomous weapon systems. The DoW agrees with these principles, reflects them in law and policy, and we put them into our agreement. We also will build technical safeguards to ensure our models behave as they should, which the DoW also wanted. We will deploy FDEs to help with our models and to ensure their safety, we will deploy on cloud networks only. We are asking the DoW to offer these same terms to all AI companies, which in our opinion we think everyone should be willing to accept. We have expressed our strong desire to see things de-escalate away from legal and governmental actions and towards reasonable agreements. We remain committed to serve all of humanity as best we can. The world is a complicated, messy, and sometimes dangerous place.
English
3.5K
1K
9.2K
8.5M
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@Adam694663 The macro Failed Breakdown on Thursday - big failed breakdowns like that don't stop after a day. I've seen 1-2 year lows from setups like this
English
7
0
30
907
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
There's 6975 final target hit in #ES_F - anymore is bonus. Momentum still going from the Thursday evening Dec 17th 6772 Failed Breakdown. Today's targets given 8am were 6954 (hit), 6960 (hit), 6975 (done). 6986, 6998, then 7007 are bonus. 7007 backtests last Tuesday's breakdown
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

We are running the targets nicely today as #ES_F builds structure following Friday's macro 6772 Failed Breakdown of the Dec 17th low. 200+ points, best trade of 2026 Today's targets were 6954 (hit), 6960 (hit), 6975 next. Above there, we are off to 6986, 6998, then 7007 magnet

English
11
2
119
40.6K