John

1.2K posts

John

John

@John421000

Katılım Eylül 2023
513 Takip Edilen168 Takipçiler
John
John@John421000·
The real debate is more about future generations using the product… they are trying to address this by attacking the freemium side. Listen to the earnings call it will give you color. Truly cheap but until the market sees the strategy working, I find it hard to believe it can have any sustainable rally
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A.J. Button
A.J. Button@AJButton2·
I DMed you about this. All the headline numbers look great. 9.5X earnings, 9X cashflow, 8.5M shares bought back, budget to buyback 30% of the entire market cap. Before pulling the triggers through I want to know what the bears are saying, so I can investigate their arguments. Can you fill me in?
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Mighty
Mighty@MightyGazelle1·
"Uhh, thats not a good art style. That doesnt look right for Link, let alone a Zelda game. Trash 😤" Link has literally never had an artstyle in 3D that didn't eventually become beloved and appreciated. Knee jerk reactions are so freaking dumb.
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Jimbo
Jimbo@Jimbosl75206881·
$baba #China going to be a tough day $190 looks like a good selling time in hindsight
Jimbo tweet media
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John
John@John421000·
Glad to see you back on X bird! Are you back in? Been holding stock steadily and diversified my baba levered plays into other stock. Still think there is massive potential but will take longer than expected to really deliver margin growth and a narrative the market can cling on long term. Happy to see part of the team back✊
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John
John@John421000·
@BrianTycangco Why would chinese mainlanders buy chinese ADRs that are listed in HK? Non dual listed, might get affected, but no reason to buy ADRs when stock connect available
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Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊
Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊@BrianTycangco·
An almost forced liquidation of Chinese ADRs held by mainland investors operating through $FUTU $TIGR creates a unique situation that will be surely aggravated by opportunistic short-sellers today… but has little impact on the fundamentals of other ADRs. China’s CSRC has long called out these two brokers for their practices that flirt with running afoul of Beijing’s existing and VERY strict capital controls. It’s possible they didn’t move to completely address concerns laid out by the CSRC, which is why they are being dealt with harshly today. The regulatory risk has always been there.
Wall St Engine@wallstengine

China, CSRC has opened investigations and issued advance administrative-penalty notices against $TIGR, $FUTU and Longbridge as eight Chinese regulators launch a two-year cleanup of illegal cross-border securities, futures and fund services targeting mainland investors. CSRC says the firms operated securities brokerage, margin financing, public fund sales and futures brokerage services in mainland China without approval. The regulator says they solicited mainland investors, handled trading orders and earned revenue from those services. Existing mainland users on unauthorized platforms can only sell and withdraw funds. No new buy orders. No new fund transfers in. After the cleanup period, unauthorized platforms must shut down mainland-facing websites, trading software and related services.

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John
John@John421000·
@pandawatch88 Does not affect ADR demand at all, all noise. Wrong signal at the wrong moment, but non event for ADRs.
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goldenlabubuwatch
goldenlabubuwatch@pandawatch88·
I call bulshit on bigbrain commentators saying Chinese ADRs are falling because of FUTU clients are selling: 75% of FUTU trading volumes is US market, and mainland customers that go through the dodgyness of opening a non-compliant brokerage account don't go to the US market to buy BABAs when they can buy them legally in HK via southbound connect. They go there to buy Nvidias and Microns and Teslas. Chinese ADRs are falling because of more obvious reasons, don't get too technical.
goldenlabubuwatch tweet media
goldenlabubuwatch@pandawatch88

Now we know. I am building a good hit ratio on this.

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Jimbo
Jimbo@Jimbosl75206881·
$BABA will be a trillion dollar company. I just might be 80 years old by then
Jimbo tweet media
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Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊
Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊@BrianTycangco·
Alibaba $BABA suffers another day of net outflows from the #StockConnect worth US$43m, significantly lower than yesterday's dump. But the string of broker upgrades continues post ER with emphasis on improving cloud + AI segment growth.
Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊 tweet media
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John
John@John421000·
@AJButton2 Yes, all about AI. Guidance was clear and bullish. Now they have to deliver. Trump in China helped as well, chinese adrs rallied.
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A.J. Button
A.J. Button@AJButton2·
HUGE UPDATE: After reading the call transcript, I have come around to seeing what investors loved in Alibaba's recent release: > TRIPLE DIGIT AI-related Cloud growth. > Guidance for massive 3-5 ROI after the next 2 years' is are done > 57% growth in quick commerce; competitive gains against others in the Quick commerce war. Given this info I'm not surprised that $BABA turned around its early losses after the earnings call got underway.
A.J. Button@AJButton2

Anyone else kinda NOT that impressed with $BABA's recent release: > Earnings up 3% 🤮 or 11% not counting divestments > Adjusted earnings miss 🤮 > Free cash flow negative to the tune of $2.5B 🤮 > Server cost inflation = 100% 🤮 > GAAP earnings beat by double 🥳 > CLoud segment grows 38% when Google Cloud growing 60% + from a larger base Sorry guise I just wasn't blown away by any of this apart from the GAAP earnings beat

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John
John@John421000·
@BrianTycangco AI guidance was kinda bullish, not gonna lie... Hopefully it holds
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Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊
Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊@BrianTycangco·
$BABA getting past its rev and earnings miss to reflect its booming cloud + AI potential.
Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊 tweet media
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John
John@John421000·
@EquityBrian @Jimbosl75206881 Great bounce… just started listening to the call. Was it the AI guidance that caused the pop?
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Brian Coughlin
Brian Coughlin@EquityBrian·
$BABA: “We expect that in about one year, AI-related product revenue will cross the 50% threshold, becoming the primary engine driving cloud business revenue growth. As a result, Cloud Intelligence Group’s external revenue growth is expected to continue accelerating beyond its current 40% rate over the coming quarters. Given the certainty of long-term AI demand and our full-stack technology advantages, we expect this trajectory to sustain strong growth over the medium to long term.”
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Brian Coughlin
Brian Coughlin@EquityBrian·
@John421000 Think the opposite honestly. Their AI/cloud spend is still tiny relative to revenue compared to U.S. hyperscalers. If cloud is sustaining 35-40%+ growth, the market will probably view higher capex as demand-driven and necessary.
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John retweetledi
CN Wire
CN Wire@Sino_Market·
📊Alibaba’s Qwen 3.6 Ranks No. 2 Globally in AI Coding Benchmark Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.’s latest large language model, Qwen 3.6-Plus, ranked second globally on Code Arena, a coding-focused benchmark under LMArena, becoming the highest-ranked Chinese model. The model trailed Anthropic’s Claude-Opus-4.6-Thinking (1540) but outscored offerings from OpenAI and Google, including GPT-5.0-High (1448) and Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (1440). Released April 2, Qwen 3.6-Plus features native multimodal reasoning and strong coding and agent capabilities, with further models, including a Qwen 3.6-Max version, expected soon. #CHINA #TECH #AI #ALIBABA $BABA #QWEN (mktnews.com/flashDetail.ht…)
CN Wire tweet media
CN Wire@Sino_Market

Alibaba Unveils Qwen3.6-Plus (AI Coding Near Top Tier) Alibaba launched its next-generation Qwen3.6-Plus large language model, featuring native multimodal understanding and reasoning with significantly improved overall performance. In benchmarks including SWE-bench and Claw-Eval, its coding capabilities approach leading global models such as Anthropic’s Claude series. Qwen3.6-Plus is now available on Alibaba Cloud’s Bailian platform, with input pricing starting from 2 yuan per million tokens, and has also been integrated into Alibaba’s AI apps and platforms including Tongyi and Wukong. #CHINA #TECH #AI #ALIBABA $BABA (mktnews.com/flashDetail.ht…)

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John
John@John421000·
@SecRubio Double standard Mr.Rubio….
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Secretary Marco Rubio
Secretary Marco Rubio@SecRubio·
China’s decision to detain or otherwise impede Panama-flagged vessels engaged in lawful trade destabilizes supply chains, raises costs, and erodes confidence in the global trading system. The United States stands with Panama against any retaliatory actions against its sovereignty and will always support our partners in the face of bullying. state.gov/releases/offic…
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John
John@John421000·
@dirtygreenpaper Cheaper than baba beacuse of the massive investment in quick commerce. This is very misleading
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WarInChineseBuffet 🇨🇳
WarInChineseBuffet 🇨🇳@dirtygreenpaper·
$amzn $meta $msft These stocks are cheaper than $baba. I'm about to full port. FA
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