John Johnson

@kevinxu I'll take profit by buying the dip.

i worry for $SIVE investors this week. i hope they know how to take profit.

@dusty_bull @kevinxu Serenity charges $0 for his information and Kevin charges $200 a month. Sounds like Jesus to me.

I can’t stand Serenity bc I swear he truly believes he’s the greatest thing since Jesus and he will block anyone that disagrees with him or calls him out, but unfortunately I believe he’s right about $SIVE / $SIVEF. And once they get uplisted to Nasdaq it’s really going to pop up.

@krasko1199362 @Fiona_Banderas @aleabitoreddit No it isn't. I see your point. I'm telling you wrong.

@JohnJohnsonTKN @Fiona_Banderas @aleabitoreddit The point is going above your head but that's ok. You do you.

I don't post dollar amounts because they don't matter. What matters is return %. Speaking of that... YTD: 3840.39%. I'm probably the only one in the world. Who called out multiple names that 10x'd in a short timeframe. Do you remember these thesis anon? 1. $AXTI 2. $SIVE 3. $AAOI 4. $LITE 5. $IQE 6. $AEHR 7. $CRCL 8. $EWY 9. Unimicron 10. Nitto Boseki 11. $OSS 12. $GDRZF 13. $RPI 14. $SOI 15. $ALRIB 16. $SNDK 17. $SIMO 18. $VPG 19. $TSEM 20. $ARM 21. $MRVL 22. $INTC 23. $LPK 24. $NBIS 25. $MU They're all up 100-1000%+, because... 1. I post a thesis. 2. People can see how the stock performs months later. 3. They turn out right (thesis validation) because they're up hundreds of percent + hold their returns. I really dislike the traditional X influencer who shows large dollar amounts or fancy watches/cars/private jets. Then use that to get more by selling expensive subscriptions rather than through market returns. So trying to set a new trend off pure information discovery/synthesis from free thesis posts and the results that follow in terms of return percentages. TLDR: Market returns in terms of percentages matter the most to validate a thesis. Not the dollar amount made.

@pepemoonboy Then a big red candle on TACO Tuesday?

We may see the biggest green candle we’ve ever laid eyes on next week… 👀🚀🍿🎬

@krasko1199362 @Fiona_Banderas @aleabitoreddit 10x is 10x no matter what. Stop acting like everyone has a million dollar trading account. Conviction =/= how much money put in. You actually contradict yourself by looking at dollar amounts. Billionaires can invest millions, does that mean we shouldn't try? No.

@JohnJohnsonTKN @Fiona_Banderas @aleabitoreddit % returns validate the idea, dollar amounts show the conviction in the thesis. I can be super confident in a thesis but if I'm only investing a dollar in it from 1m disposable income, that amont speaks to my conviction of the thesis being correct.

@traderb89 @Fiona_Banderas @aleabitoreddit That you didn't make as much money as you wanted to. I know you are dense in the head but do you not understand the point you were trying to make? I'm glad you see my point now though. That's why percentages are better for tracking performance.

@JohnJohnsonTKN @Fiona_Banderas @aleabitoreddit What’s my fault? We both performed the same

@hiro_invst @aleabitoreddit If you're only making 1% on a mil then you deserve to stay poor lmao

@aleabitoreddit 100% on 1000dollars = 2000dollars. 1% of 100000$ and you would have gained the same. Ofc dollar amount matters.

@traderb89 @Fiona_Banderas @aleabitoreddit That's your fault. Has nothing to do with the performance of the stock picks. Stop being a brokie and get your stacks up.

@JohnJohnsonTKN @Fiona_Banderas @aleabitoreddit I have $2m net worth and bought $10 combined of his picks and my account is now worth $384.00. #Winning. My buddy bought $1m worth and now has $38.4m but it’s pretty much the same thing at the end of the day…. % is all that matters!!

@Fiona_Banderas @aleabitoreddit 3840% means 3840%. The dollar amount is what means nothing. Percent is what's relevant. You are silly if you think otherwise.

@aleabitoreddit nothing matters but the numbers matter they said proceeds to list 25 stocks like a shopping list wonder if they feel anything at all probably not this is fine i am fine 3840 percent means nothing

@ParadisLabs Go for it. You would definitely get some signups. I personally won't at the moment because I'm inundated with so much information currently, I couldn't handle anymore. I appreciate the public posts though.

Guys, I need your help: Been getting dozens of messages daily about starting a Subscription on X. It would basically contain things that I don't wanna spam on my main feed. Like lots of random research/thoughts on different companies/news/macro. AI & non-AI related. Maybe even some community-requested research like I've been doing recently w/ $PENG / $OUST? And all funds would be donated of course. Would this even be of any value to you guys? Genuinely curious.

@LeverageETFs Announce major milestones. You don't have to repost "NVIDIA HITS RECORD MARKET CAP" every time they make a dollar more lmao

🚨 NVIDIA heads into earnings at record levels $NVDA reports today after surging past $5T in market value. Markets will watch Blackwell demand, China commentary, margins, AI capex trends, and 2H guidance. After a rally like this, the bar remains extremely high.

@Frenchie_ No more Israel! I'll take the hit. :)

Vous vous réveillez après 30 jours dans le coma Votre portefeuille actions est à -50% Sans avoir suivi l’actualité, quelle est la première explication qui vous vient en tête ?

@pepemoonboy I have APH and JBL on a watchlist but haven't dug too deep into them yet. Thanks for the info.

I think humanoid robots could become one of the biggest investing themes of the next decade. The real gains are often made before a trend becomes obvious. Here are a few companies I’m researching:

@adrianstockss @wallstengine People know what 13Fs are. We already know it's "old" data from the previous quarter. Don't let your ignorance induce panic.

@wallstengine why arent you mentioning that this is fucking old like 2+ months old "Opened PUTS on" honestly fuck you dude, this is during IRAN tensions and he could have been hedging again fuck you for spreading panic

Leopold’s Situational Awareness 13F is out. New positions include $TE, $HIVE, $SHAZ, $INTC, $AMD, $SMH, $TSM, $MU, $GLW, $ASML and $NVDA Added to $KEEL, $CLSK, $RIOT, $IREN, $APLD, $BTDR, $CRWV and $SNDK. Trimmed $SEI, $CORZ and $BE. Exited $COHR, $LBRT, $TSEM, $HUT, $LITE, $KRC and $EQT. OPTIONS ACTIVITY: Opened PUTS on $NVDA, $ORCL, $SMH, $AMD, $INTC, $AVGO, $MU, $TSM, $ASML and $GLW ... Opened CALLS on $MU, $TSM and $SNDK; trimmed $CRWV calls... Exited $EQT calls. $BE calls and $INFY puts were unchanged.

@Aberdacho @aleabitoreddit It doesn't matter much. They still require the materials that these companies make to manufacture their own chips.

@aleabitoreddit x.com/KobeissiLetter…, Is this situation covered in the analyses? Thank you.

When I see comments like this (and there are a lot) from retail investors: I immediately think they lack the technical depth. I'll walk through each one from $SIVE to $LPK: 1. Photonics TAM goes from $14B -> $154B In just two years time, and it's likely going to keep scaling past 2030 as it's the next generation architecture of choice. It's not going away in 1 year. It's not going away in 3 years, which is why $LITE premiums keep going higher since they're backlogged into 2028. $SIVE supplies CW lasers and is highly tethered to CPO and now pluggable transcivers for 1.6T and 3.2... For expected companies like $JBL, Ayar, Lightmatter, Lightelligence, $POET, $MRVL Celestial, and $AMD. This isn't a "trade", it's the core chokepoint and IP holder for the next generation of photonics. And it's a comfortable hold for the next few years as they scale to become the next $LITE. The risk I personally see (since they're already qualified with so many players), it's mainly how much TAM they can capture of the overall optical supercycle. (And potential risks with Win Semi volume ramp, but Win is massive so I can sleep tightly there). As just supplying lasers isn't enough to justify valuation. It's TAM expansion downward into making the entire ELS or entire pluggable transceiver that makes these laser companies so valuable. Then afterward, they can vertically integrating upward for gross margin expansion upward like $COHR into doing the laser fabs or even substrate level. And that in my view is a very asymmetric risk/reward ratio as we've already seen this done with $LITE as they went from $2B to $80B. 2. $LPK - Is the purest exposure, without the messy financials of SKC Absolics, as the next advanced packaging shift for glass substrates. Almost every single major semi company from $INTC to Samsung are adopting glass substrates. $LPK is basically $ASML of this chokepoint, since they supply to ~80% of the global players currently. Yes, there's "trade cycles" for equipment suppliers like $ASML, where if there's more foundry capex, ASML scales up. But if there's downturns, these tend to perform poorly, and don't capture all the volume ramp that happens after. However, if the MC is $650m and they're making $100-200M, revenue per costumer volume ramped, the amount they make from the glass substrate cycle will likely exceed current valuations. And they'll have baseline fundamentals (as more companies adopt the packaging shift), that keeps their valuation up. It's just a waiting game for volume ramp at this point. 3. $AAOI - This is literally $INTC but for America + Photonics. It's like saying Intel is not a long term investment. Guess where all your optical transcivers are made? China. Thailand. Malaysia. If you look at Innolight, Eoptolink, $FN, and others. AOI is building the largest Made in America supply chains for both CW laser fab, as well as 800g, 1.6T assembly. Yes, there are pluggable cycle ups and downs to this as well. There's going to be a wave for 1.6T next year, then CPO cannibalizes pluggables down the road. But since they make the entire supply chain in house, they have extreme optionality for other segments. And like $NVDA older gen-GPUs, there's going to be sovereign DC requirements for older gen pluggables from names like $AAOI. It's likely going to keep rising as it hits that $400m+/month revenue target H2 2026. There's just a lot of different short term volatility along the way like the $600m dilution. 4. $IQE - ??? It's one of the most important players in the Western word for epiwafers. $MTSI went out of their way to pay off IQE's debt because they can't have them going under. $IQE is also supplying to $LITE. The world is currently bottlenecked both on the epiwafer level from Landmark comments and InP substrate levels. Their financials were track but the raw book value, and value they hold to the entire Western supply chain... completely justifies their valuation. And other optical companies will not let their core upstream supply chain go under. As these tens of millions worth of materials would screw up tens of billions worth of downstream products. Again photonics is the next generation architecture required to scale AI. It's not Quantum where it's just "In development". It's literally here and the architecture of choice by $NVDA. I would not be surprised if all of these are a lot higher in 3-4 years time. People who think it's one and done in 3 months time "only because I mentioned it" don't know what they're talking about. Institutions would have bought up the name eventually (like Point 72 on $IQE) and retail would only find out after their valuations are 600% higher. Should really do the research before adding comments like these: These are all forward growth companies that require in-depth supply chain knowledge.

@pepemoonboy I saw the other post. Looks solid mate!

I feel really good about my open $NBIS options trades. If $NBIS is above $200 by 12/18: • My 700 shares get called away at $200 • I keep the full ~$17k covered call premium • I keep the full ~$21k cash secured put premium • My upside is capped above $200, but I locked in strong income If $NBIS is below $200 by 12/18: • I keep my 700 shares • I keep the ~$17k covered call premium • I get assigned 400 more shares at $200 • The ~$21k CSP premium lowers my effective cost basis to roughly $147.50 Since I’m bullish long term and comfortable owning more shares, I view this as a win-win setup. What do you think?

@aleabitoreddit What about SERV? low mcap, cash holdings for runway, expansions to healthcare and kitchen applications.

All right chat. I need some more ideas on the early $RKLB equivalent for humanoid exposure. 10x+ potential returns only in the next 2 years and more pure play exposure than $TSLA. What’s your best ideas?

@aleabitoreddit Schaeffler AG - less than 10b mcap. low pe compared to competitors.

@TrumpTruthOnX The propaganda media is so stupid lmao

BREAKING: 🦠 9 confirmed Hantavirus cases, while 16 people in the U.S. have been placed in isolation. New pandemic?

@GoonNRG @aleabitoreddit IBKR is pretty much the only option. You can find some of them on US brokers but they come with extra fees.

@aleabitoreddit If you’re American, what exchanges are you guys using to trade in these markets?

Random CPO related names I like: - $SIVE - Foci (3363) - $TSEM - Browave (3163) - PCL (4977) - $AXTI - Msscorps (6830) - $IQE - Shunsin (6451) - Furukawa Electric (5801) - $MTSI - Nextronics (8417) - $LITE - $COHR - FitTech (6706) - $GFS - $ASX - LandMark (3081) - $SOI Disclosure: I own most, not all though.