Julien Garran

18 posts

Julien Garran

Julien Garran

@JulienGarran

London, England Katılım Kasım 2022
128 Takip Edilen144 Takipçiler
Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@SketchesbyBoze Hi Boze, early nominations for ‘word of the year’; ‘dandle’, ‘palimpsest’ and ‘beeswing’. All from ‘The return of Sherlock Holmes’. J
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Boze Herrington, Library Owl 😴🧙‍♀️
It’s important that you’re obsessed with at least one era of history. You need to learn about that era via actual books, not reels or AI reconstructions. A delight in studying history makes you a deeply interesting person. Everyone get more curious & well-informed, now!!
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@RealJimChanos @YouTube @SpaceX Are you sure this isn’t a deepfake AI generated video? The contents may or may not be correct, but I’m suspicious about its origin.
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@edzitron They’ve been charging US$3.79 since July, I have the screenshots, less if you rent for longer. I estimate they lose 25% on the cost of debt buying and renting Blackwells, assuming a 2.5 year economic life and assuming the price doesn’t fall.
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Ed Zitron
Ed Zitron@edzitron·
Seems like Lambda is charging about $3.79/hr per B200 GPU - i realise the price seems whacky here but it's for 16 B200 GPUs in a pod for 168 hours ($60.64 an hour for 16, so $3.79/hr). Seems available, but I have emailed to confirm x.com/edzitron/statu…
Ed Zitron@edzitron

@baroqueobama87 Okay how about Lambda?

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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@alexisxrivas @VladTheInflator @coverbuild Well, that’s luxury. It took us three years to get permission for a 30% extension in the New Forest in Britain, £28k, with minor changes we’d have agreed on the first day. My take after three years; it is the erosion of private property rights, and the erosion of civilisation. J
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Alexis Rivas
Alexis Rivas@alexisxrivas·
45 days ago, we submitted a permit application for a 1 bed, 1 bath pre-approved ADU on a simple flat lot. We built the exact same one last year in just 45 days – from breaking ground to final inspection. Pictured below. Now, it's taking the city longer to approve the permit than it takes us to build the home. And this is supposed to be an expedited fire rebuild permit! Make it make sense.
Alexis Rivas tweet media
Alexis Rivas@alexisxrivas

Day 44, still no permit. We reached out to the LA planning department to inform them of the mayor’s new order from yesterday - in case they missed it. Hopefully this gets cleared quickly now.

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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@wesbury Stop forwarding things behind paywalls. Either do your own work or reference the public domain.
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Brian Wesbury
Brian Wesbury@wesbury·
One of the problems with Sovereign Wealth Funds. What Went Wrong at Neom, Saudi Arabia’s Futuristic Metropolis in the Desert - WSJ wsj.com/finance/saudi-…
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@Johncomiskey77 Hi, my understanding is that it is corporates filing late for reclaiming from paying workers furlough money, and the government taking its sweet time sending the money over.
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@AnnaEconomist Are you sure this isn’t AI generated and therefore worthless. I love your work, but I think this is fake.
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Anna Wong
Anna Wong@AnnaEconomist·
My son and I just watched this. He said this is the “best and funniest movie ever.”
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@Dr_Gingerballs I reckon the price to rent Blackwell GPUs is now the most important signal in global macro. In the meantime, whatever Super Micro does re hiring auditors over the next few days, if you were a neocloud creditor, would you lend into this ecosystem?
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Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs@Dr_Gingerballs·
Guys, I can purchase compute on a 64x H100 cluster for $2.55/hr/chip, which is basically the capex and opex costs to run the equipment. Generative AI is cooked. The largest multi-level marketing scam in the history of the world, and the largest misallocation of capital. $NVDA
Dr_Gingerballs tweet media
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@Dr_Gingerballs Lambda is offering $1.89/hr on its website for H100s, and you could likely get it cheaper. . If we reckon Blackwell GPUs need to make their money back in 18 months to get funding, with an all in installation of US$65k or so per GPU, they will need to be rented out at US$5/hr min.
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@EricRWeinstein Hi Eric - I love libraries. But I love them more when I can walk into them and read books. I couldn’t there, or in Oxford where I wasn’t working but not studying. So yes, that is beautiful, but unaccessible. I prefer the great bookshops. Daunt’s in Marylebone.
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@PhilosophyTube @Dr_Gingerballs Great - I asked ChatGPT ‘Name seven taco ingredients that end with ‘pe’. Here was the answer; 1. Guacamole 2. Salsa 3. Jalapeño 4. Sour cream 5. Crema (Mexican sour cream) 6. Chipotle 7. Queso (cheese)
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@concodanomics But when excess reserves run out a system level, which now looks likely in Q4, then you have a problem. It will force the regional banks to run off their loan books aggressively.
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@concodanomics No, if you add deposits, bank liabilities, and reserves, bank assets, you are double counting.
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@burrytracker just fyi, the consumer balances numbers you quote are way out of date, as they are from a 2019 survey. There is, according to an NY Fed paper published in November, around US$1.25trn of additional excess savings in the system as of December 2022.
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Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟
Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟@burrytracker·
Michael Burry: "consumers choose violence rather than cut back on spending in the face of inflation" 1) Credit Card debt is now ~$986B 2) The average American's CC balance is ~$6000 3) The CC APR is ~25% 4) The Median Bank Acct balance is ~$5500 Looks like #'s back him up
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@KansasCityFed Natural gas prices have gone down, massively, what are you talking about?
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St. Louis Fed
St. Louis Fed@stlouisfed·
A recent analysis examines whether inflation since April 2021 can be linked to consumption growth and whether the tightening in monetary policy is working to reduce such growth ow.ly/E9TI50MhNE5
St. Louis Fed tweet media
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Julien Garran
Julien Garran@JulienGarran·
@paulmotty I don’t believe for a minute that most people come to Britain to commit crime. But there is a very large incentive to come to Britain to claim benefits and receive State services. And for that, you have to register.
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