Kailea & Tim
296 posts



So during my deep dive into Space, cross checking names that Renaissance holds, I came across only two names under $1B MC. > $SATL (~$1.4B MC now) - I called an entry for you at ~$3, now it's ~$9.60 (I hope you’re enjoying that 3x+). > And $AMPG. Currently sitting at ~$98M MC. (While I remain bullish on both names, I’ll lightly compare the two for the sake of this post) The interesting part is the actual fundamentals behind it, backed by numbers... $AMPG is debt-free (very rare for small caps), 165% revenue growth in 2025, $50M revenue guidance, with a $20M+ backlog. Imagine revenue being half your market cap… that’s asymmetry. $AMPG is generating ~14x more revenue per dollar of MC than $SATL at this very moment. Meaning, they have similar revenue, but $SATL is trading at 14x more. I can see why it's the only space-related name RenTec holds under $1B MC... it also has multi-sector exposure, (satellite, 5G, defense, quantum) making it a multi-thesis bet. And you know me, I love those valuation gap fills. If $AMPG scales towards $SATL's ~$1.4B MC, that's quite literally 14x from here. And if you want direct product competitors, there's even more asymmetry (mind you $AMPG is in a unique position in its own unusual niche): > $MTSI offers the same products and end markets. Sitting at ~$27B MC. > $QRVO is a major RF/microwave competitor as well, which currently sits at ~$8B MC. > From the defense aspect, $LHX is the most vertically integrated comparison at ~$58B MC. As for technicals, using Startup.io indicators, we just got the third BD (final buy-signal) on the Weekly timeframe. We've seen how this usually plays out. I started a position after my research. Will ride this for a while. As usual, NFA.


Bitcoin pullback as expected.










It does look like the winning streak for swing shorts may be coming to an end. It was a solid run. De-risking 50% on the retest below 80K $BTC turned out to be a good call. Invalidation remains the same, a 1D closure 84K. You can definitely short my stop loss, it’ll probably mark the local top given they are paying attention to everything I do.
























