KAYONDO LINCOLN
368 posts
KAYONDO LINCOLN
@KayondoL
Dad, Husband, Entrepreneur, Project Mgt, M&E, Researcher, Arsenal for Life❤️🥳
Kampala, Uganda Katılım Temmuz 2014
832 Takip Edilen78 Takipçiler
Homeowner waits until construction job is nearly finished, then calls ICE on 6 workers she allegedly owes $10,000 to, she even helps agents detain them.
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Putin wants the war in the Middle East to distract you from the war in Ukraine.
But they're connected. @AlistairCarns explains ⬇️
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@MarioNawfal Don’t forget that something similar happened in Stalingrad. The fighting spirit to defend their homeland at all costs was never destroyed. Learn from history.
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S. and Israel just dismantled most of Iran’s conventional military leverage.
Leader gone, nukes hit, missiles degraded, command fractured. On paper, that’s a clean, decisive campaign.
And then Iran does the one thing everyone’s been predicting for 30 years: it stops playing on the battlefield and starts playing with the global economy.
Hormuz is the system. You don’t need a formal blockade when a few drones, some mines, and spiking insurance premiums can choke 20% of global oil. Traffic collapses, prices jump, and suddenly military success starts bleeding into political hesitation.
This is the uncomfortable part: tactical dominance doesn’t automatically translate into strategic control. Iran can’t win a conventional fight, but it doesn’t need to.
It just needs to raise the cost high enough that everyone else flinches first.
So the problem shifts. It’s no longer “can you destroy Iran’s capabilities?” It’s “can you remove its leverage?”
That’s where Kharg Island enters the picture. Destroy it and you lose leverage. Seize it and you own the switch: reopen Hormuz or your oil revenue goes to zero.
Messy, high-risk, escalatory. Also logically consistent with the current trajectory.
Source: The FP
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🇺🇸🇮🇶🇮🇷 U.S. airstrikes reportedly hit Iran-backed 61st Brigade militia, the Popular Mobilization Forces in Kirkuk, northern Iraq. Source: RN Intel
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"We had the UK say - this is three weeks ago - we'll send our aircraft carriers, which aren't the best aircraft carriers, by the way. They're toys compared to what we have."
Trump criticises the UK's military support in the Middle East.
trib.al/NOPnXzX
📺 Sky 501
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General. with all due respect, the Israel you’re quoting in the Bible is different from the one killing people today.
The Israel you’re referring to is not even Christian as you think. It’s disturbing that you’re confusing these issues. Kindly don’t use Christianity to justify such evil.
This is regrettable!!
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We stand with Israel because we are Christians. Saved by the Holy Son of God...Jesus Christ the only One who can forgive sins. The Bible says 'Blessed are you Israel! Who is like you, a people saved by the Lord? He is your shield and helper and your glorious sword.' (Deuteronomy 33:29)
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🇹🇷🇮🇱🇮🇷 Erdogan on Iran:
"Although the war is Israel’s war, the whole world is paying the price.
The war is Netanyahu’s war for political survival, but 8 billion people are suffering the consequences."
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Pentagon plans to send around 3,000 troops from the 82nd Airborne Division to the Middle East. Officials say no decision has been made on deploying ground forces inside Iran. Source: WSJ
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@ubctvuganda @Comrade_Otoa @NankabirwaRS @UNOC_UG @MEMD_Uganda Is this what our country reserves can hold? 😢
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🎥 Ruth Nankabirwa- “As of now, we have about 21 days of diesel, 26 days of petrol, and 40 days of Jet A1 fuel in stock. Plans are underway to increase these reserves, with shipments already en route, away from the Strait of Hormuz.”
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BREAKING. Thirty-six hours ago President Donald Trump said “obliterate.” This morning he said “productive conversations.” The question every trader, diplomat, and general is asking: what broke between Saturday night and Monday morning?
Six things broke simultaneously. Not one of them was Iranian.
First. The bill arrived. The Pentagon requested over $200 billion in supplemental funding. The war cost $11.3 billion in six days, $16.5 billion in twelve. At $1.38 billion per day and accelerating, congressional resistance to the supplemental is real. The money that was supposed to fund “days not weeks” now needs a vote that may not pass.
Second. The Fed killed the rate-cut thesis. On March 18, the Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5 to 3.75 percent and revised its 2026 PCE inflation forecast to 2.7 percent from 2.4, citing the Iran war energy shock. The dot plot shows one cut in all of 2026, down from two. Every basis point of delayed easing is pain for housing, credit, and the Magnificent Seven. The war that was supposed to demonstrate strength is demonstrating inflation.
Third. The allies revolted politely. Twenty-two countries signed up to coordinate on Hormuz. Zero committed a warship during combat. Japan is releasing strategic reserves. South Korea’s Kospi has fallen 12 percent. Europe’s gas surged 35 percent after Qatar’s LNG was knocked offline & declared force majeure up to 5 years. Trump called NATO “cowards” and got a press release. The coalition of the willing is a coalition of the waiting.
Fourth. TSMC sent the signal. Taiwan imports nearly 97 percent of its energy. Its LNG reserves cover 11 days. Qatar supplies a third of global helium, which TSMC needs for chip fabrication. The helium is bottled behind a closed strait. Every Nvidia GPU, every Apple chip, every AI cluster depends on a fab in Hsinchu counting its gas in single-digit days. The Magnificent Seven have shed hundreds of billions as energy rotation crushes tech.
Fifth. Birol named the damage. The IEA chief told Australia this morning that 40 energy assets across nine countries are severely damaged, global oil supply has fallen 11 million barrels per day, the crisis exceeds both 1970s shocks combined, and no country is immune. He named fertilisers and helium as interrupted flows. The man who runs global energy security called the war Trump started the worst energy crisis in modern history.
Sixth. The midterms. Gas prices are up 93 cents per gallon. Sixty-six percent of Americans call this a war of choice. Sixty percent disapprove. Fifty-seven percent say it is going badly. The numbers that matter in Washington are not barrels per day. They are approval ratings in swing states where voters fill their tanks every Tuesday.
Six pressures. One post. President Trump did not discover diplomacy. He discovered arithmetic. The 48-hour ultimatum was a threat. The 5-day pause is a confession that the threat’s consequences were worse than its target. Destroying power plants would have sealed the strait permanently, triggered Ghalibaf’s promise to “irreversibly destroy” Gulf desalination and energy infrastructure, crashed TSMC’s supply chain, spiked inflation past 3 percent, and handed the midterms to the opposition on a platter of $7 gasoline.
The pause is real. The relief is not. The strait is still closed. The 40 assets are still damaged. The fertiliser is still blocked. The planting window is still closing. The five-day clock is already ticking.
The molecules do not negotiate. The molecules wait.
Full deep dive analysis:
open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86
BREAKING: In the last 24 hours, the 2026 Iran war crossed four thresholds simultaneously. Each one would be the lead story of any other week. Together they form the architecture of an escalation spiral that has no off-ramp visible from any capital on Earth. First. Iran struck Arad and Dimona in southern Israel on Saturday night, injuring approximately 180+ people. These are the towns nearest Israel’s Negev nuclear research centre. Tasnim confirmed the strikes were retaliation for Israel’s attack on the Natanz nuclear facility. Iranian missiles penetrated Israeli air defences and left large craters in residential areas. Prime Minister Netanyahu called it “a very difficult evening in the battle for our future.” The IRGC said it targeted military installations across five cities: Arad, Dimona, Eilat, Beersheba, and Kiryat Gat. Second. Israel continued strikes on Tehran and Isfahan overnight into Sunday. Massive joint US-Israeli air raids hit multiple areas of the capital. CENTCOM confirmed the US has now struck over 8,000 military targets across 23 days of war, including 130 Iranian vessels, which it called “the largest elimination of a navy over a three-week period since World War II.” Iran’s energy minister confirmed on Sunday that “the country’s vital water and electricity infrastructure has suffered heavy damage” from US and Israeli strikes, including “dozens of water transmission and treatment facilities” and “critical water supply networks.” Israel previously struck South Pars, Iran’s portion of the world’s largest gas field. Eighty percent of Iranian electricity comes from natural gas. The attack on South Pars directly threatens power generation for 90 million people. Third. President Trump posted his 48-hour ultimatum Saturday night: reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Monday evening or the US will “hit and obliterate” Iranian power plants “starting with the biggest one first.” Iran’s armed forces responded that the strait would be “completely closed” if power plants are hit. Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf posted on X that all energy and oil infrastructure across the entire region would become “legitimate targets” and be “irreversibly destroyed.” That word “irreversibly” is doing the work of a thousand missiles. It means desalination plants. It means refineries. It means the infrastructure that produces drinking water for the Arabian Peninsula. Fourth. Saudi Arabia expelled Iranian diplomats. Riyadh declared the military attache, his deputy, and three other embassy members persona non grata with 24 hours to leave. This follows ongoing Iranian strikes on Saudi territory. Turkey’s foreign minister warned from Riyadh that Gulf countries may be forced to retaliate. The Gulf states, which have so far absorbed Iranian attacks without entering the war, are running out of room. Now hold all four escalations simultaneously. Iran strikes Israel’s nuclear doorstep. Israel and the US hammer Iranian water and power. Trump sets a 48-hour clock on power plant destruction. Iran promises permanent Hormuz closure and irreversible destruction of regional infrastructure if the clock runs out. Saudi expels Iranian diplomats. The Gulf moves toward belligerency. Brent trades above $113. WTI above $100. Goldman forecasts $110 to $125 for April with tail risk to $150. The IEA has released 400 million barrels of emergency reserves, the largest in history. The 48-hour clock expires Monday evening. Every barrel trapped in the Gulf is a barrel that does not become fertilizer. Every power plant destroyed in Iran is a megawatt that does not synthesise ammonia. Every desalination plant threatened in the Gulf is drinking water for millions. The war is no longer about missiles and territory. It is about molecules: water, nitrogen, helium, crude. The missiles are the mechanism. The molecules are the consequence. And the clock is ticking. Full Deep dive article - open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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Arsenal fans are now washing their jerseys with milk and honey as they continue to enjoy what seems to be a special season.
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They have just confirmed Maradona's infamous 1986 World Cup handball using #VAR. #AFCON #Senegal🇸🇳 #Morocco🇲🇦
@CAF_Media
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Me and my daughter at 2am ... Letting her know that it's 2am and people are all sleeping 😂
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Iran has confirmed that Ali Larijani has been killed, making him the highest-ranking official assassinated since Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. A central figure, he shaped Iran’s politics for decades.
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🚨 Declan Rice, UEFA Man of the Match for Arsenal-Bayer 04 in UCL RO16. 🏴
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بسم الله الرحمن الرحیم
ملت عزیز و سربلند ایران!
الشعوب المسلمة وأحرار العالم:
«بندهی خدا، به خدا پیوست.»
لقد لحق عبدٌ من عباد الله بربّه شهيدًا.
العربية
🚨🇲🇦 BREAKING: Morocco have been announced as AFCON winners with final result overturned by CAF.
Senegal have been declared to have forfeited the match with Morocco declared 3-0 winners by official statement.
CAF statement tonight. ⤵️🇲🇦
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Ssaabasajja Kabaka Ronald Muwenda Mutebi II asiimye n’alambula ku basuubuzi abakolera mu katale ke ak’e Katwe Kyaddondo abaafiiriddwa emmaali yaabwe mu muliro ogwakakutte mu kiro ekyakeesezza eggulo n’abasaasira.
Abasuubuzi katono bafe essanyu olw’okulaba ku Beene ate n’okubafissizaawo obudde okubalambulako okubasaasirako, kyebagambye nti kibazzizzaamu amaanyi.
#CBSFmUpdates
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