Kenerew
518 posts

Kenerew
@Kenerew
villain • frontend dev •


Today, we updated Gemini 3 Deep Think to further accelerate modern science, research and engineering. With 84.6% on ARC-AGI-2 and a new standard on Humanity’s Last Exam, see how this specialized reasoning mode is advancing research & development 🧵↓


CNBC x Kalshi The leading business news network integrates the leading prediction market. Kalshi’s data will supercharge CNBC’s reporting: unfiltered, accurate and market-driven. A new era of media is here.

Kalshi raised $1B at an $11B valuation. A decade ago, only a few thousand people knew what a prediction market was. Eighteen months ago, most prediction markets were banned - until we overcame the government to set them free. Over the past seven years, our community has opened up an entirely new category. Today, Kalshi is trusted, used, and loved by millions of people. It’s a part of everyday culture, and it’s driving one of the most important shifts in consumer behavior in recent history. The time has finally come for prediction markets to achieve their full potential and we are intent on making that happen. To all the believers and the early adopters: thank you.

Putin: ◾️ All the changes Europe tries to make to Trump's proposal are aimed to block the entire peace process, to put forward demands that are completely unacceptable to Russia. ◾️ Russia allows for Europe's return to negotiations if they " truly wish to return to reality, based on the situation unfolding on the ground." ◾️ We are not planning to go to war with Europe. But if Europe suddenly wants to go to war with us and starts one, we are ready right now. The only thing is that if Europe suddenly wants to start a war with us and does so, a situation may very quickly arise in which we will have no one to negotiate with. My comment: Europe is an integral part of the peace negotiations because this is about security on the European continent. The "unacceptable" suggestions are basically Ukraine's sovereignty.


on becoming "legible to capital": the most underrated factor in the success of firms is the degree to which they are legible to Capital. defining this precisely is hard ("you know it when you see it"): but an idea, a firm, or a person is legible to Capital (cap-C) when by dint of their existence capital forms behind them in excess. think of an idea being legible to Capital as being magnetically charged to the capital markets. dollars are just attracted to you: allocators discuss it at cocktail parties, funds market it at their AGMs, and twitter discusses novel financing schemes to get more dollars behind the idea. becoming legible to Capital is the single greatest superpower for a fledgling firm. look at ramp, look at cognition, look at leopold, look at toni and dan at dany. these are all superhumans at being legible to Capital. its worth noticing how ideas and people become legible to Capital: first, there is no divide between the ceo/mgmt and the idea. the story is NOT that of an individually successful and impressive individual bringing their talents to a new platform. you can see these kind of puff piece stories in many companies that are illegible to Capital. the company is never about YOU. for a founder to be legible to Capital there can be no air between them and the expression of the idea. their lives only matter insofar as they are building with intensity towards the pure form of the idea. second, the company can be understood fundamentally as an equation/trade. in a best case, the most legible companies grow as a superlinear function of dollars in. the founders are highly verbal, and can clearly articulate and understand the inputs to this growth equation: talent, capital, mgmt, etc. the companies that are most legible to Capital, and the mgmt that runs them, at their best: feel like clockwork toys in the hand. simply by looking at them the levers of progress and output become immediately clear. they are immediate, smack you in the face, expressions of an idea that is both small enough that you can feel the thing click around in your hand, but cosmically large enough the idea feels True in some sense beyond literal. when the trade is immensely clear, every capital provider across the stack can immediately understand their role today-- but more importantly their ability to scale to putting 10-100-100x the number of dollars into the thing as it reaches maturitiy. finally, a company becomes legible to Capital when it is clear the entire firm (from Capital, to mgmt, to talent) is singing from the same song sheet, they are all living their lives in expression of the same exact idea. an idea i've shamelessly stolen from @phineasb is the chocolate cake problem: many firms have great inputs (eggs, chocolate, flour, some beautiful icing) but mgmt thinks they're cooking a soufflé, investors think they're getting cup cakes, and talent thinks they're getting a pound cake. the companies that are most legible to Capital are obsessive about chasing the tolerances between competing ideas of the firm to zero by becoming legible to Capital a firm not only can achieve singularity in the private capital markets (ie unlimited free capital forever) but more importantly, it can unify the secret that ignites it internally with the world outside. when that secret is shared, there is truly no limit.


















