Khurrum

Maybe, but under the JCPOA the Centrifuge limits would've expired in Jan 2026 anyway, and most of the main restrictions would've been gone by 2031. So, the problem was always going to become a serious issue again. The JCPOA just kicked the can down the road a little. – The real reason to believe that Iran won't make nukes is more the strategic problem that Saudi Arabia etc. have said that if Iran gets nukes they have to have them also. Iran does not actually want to start an arms race and turn the whole of the middle-east into a powder keg. The problem with this is that you need Israel and the Arabs to actually believe that they can trust Iran... Which they don't. UAE for example is pushing for not just full nuclear disarmament of Iran, but also a complete destruction of their missile program. Which is probably something that many of the Arab states would prefer also... Even more so now that Iran has been actively attacking them for months and damaging their economies. – The more basic point here is that this is not a good vs. evil issue. It's a geopolitics issue, with multiple self-centered actors trying to protect themselves (and maybe their people)

@KhurrumM @VantagePointHQx @WhiteHouse Maybe Donald Trump shouldn't have withdrawn from the JCPOA agreement.

“For Iran, the Clock is Ticking, and they better get moving, FAST, or there won’t be anything left of them. TIME IS OF THE ESSENCE!” - President Donald J. Trump

This is all a result of the 2nd and 3rd order consequences of the Oct 7 attacks on Israel. And not to go into too many details, Iran lost many of its agents, felt threatened, and made the bad call of enriching Uranium upto 60%. After that point, this was mostly unavoidable. This is ultimately about strategic calculations and miscalculations.

@KhurrumM @VantagePointHQx @WhiteHouse You left out completely unnecessary. Was that on purpose?

@DupondGwen44413 @SpencerHakimian And you don't understand geopolitics, or what is actually happening in that region.

@KhurrumM @SpencerHakimian Another US troll who has no idea on how Jews And Americans are hated all over the world.

Iran has 2 more weeks until they get another 2 more weeks.

@DupondGwen44413 @SpencerHakimian If Trump died, he would become a martyr, and the US would actually declare war on Iran. What we have so far is Trump mostly acting on his own, and this is how far he got with no real support.

@KhurrumM @SpencerHakimian Why not? It may be easier to send a drone on Mar-a-Lago?

@gina21764 @SpencerHakimian If the US left before this is fully resolved, I would expect the chances of Iran acually getting nuked by Israel to go up. Realistically, Iran needs to cave on the nuclear issue, and the US needs to offer them good terms for caving.

@KhurrumM @SpencerHakimian Going home is the rational choice

@sharbel There is stuff I'm planning to do with Claude Code, but all my major stuff is currently on Codex. And I'm not sure it's a performance thing as much as a brand problem. Although I do broadly like Claude.

Am I the only one slowly switching back from Claude to ChatGPT?

@sjkeegs @VantagePointHQx @WhiteHouse Governments create wreckage even when they are acting with good intentions. Like estimates of Americans wrongly in prison in the US are between 20K and 200K. Compared to Iraq / Afghanistan under Obama, this is far less destructive. And hopefully will remain so.

@KhurrumM @VantagePointHQx @WhiteHouse Doesn't matter. He still did it. Didn't spend the time or effort to ensure that they were bombing the correct target.

@DupondGwen44413 @SpencerHakimian No one believes that that is possible.

@KhurrumM @SpencerHakimian We prefer Americans leave the Middle East and pay reparations and Trump put in jail for war crimes.

@DupondGwen44413 @SpencerHakimian The Lebanese government is negotiating with Israel. It's Hezbollah that's not willing to accept such peace deals. And where the school children thing was tragic, there's no active attack on Iranian civilians going on. An attack on power plants though, would be one on civilians.

@KhurrumM @SpencerHakimian Bombing Iran children was the rational choice? Invading Lebanon was the rational choice?

@cursor_ai Cerebras fast mode for your Kimi variant might make it super interesting.

Introducing Composer 2.5, our most powerful model yet. It's more intelligent, better at sustained work on long-running tasks, and more reliable at following complex instructions. For the next week, we’re doubling the included usage of the model.

@cursor_ai How does its speed compare? Like 2x speed with similar ability would be worth a lot. And if you could get your own Cerebras fast mode also...

Composer 2.5 is exceptionally intelligent and up to 10x more efficient than similarly capable models.

@sjkeegs @VantagePointHQx @WhiteHouse That was a tragedy, but US Gov was not intentionally trying to bomb a school. Their data was out of date, and a school had been developed there over time. To destroy power plants at scale when they are needed for basic things like water for millions of people is very different.

@KhurrumM @VantagePointHQx @WhiteHouse After he already committed war crimes by bombing a school?

@scaling01 o3's personality is interesting, but functionally newer models might still beat it in some kinds of performance.

People still don't understand that comparing models from a year ago with today's models is not a fair comparison No shot I'm using Qwen3.6 27B over o3

@Osint613 If destroying the power plants meant possible genocide... Don't think Israel wants that for the Iranians because of conflicts with their government either.

Marco Rubio: The reason why Project Freedom stopped was at the request of Pakistan. The Pakistanis said, “If you guys stop Project Freedom, we think we can get to a deal.” We went ahead and agreed to stop it.

@Tina34832552745 Likely also that Trump didn't actually want to destroy the power plants at scale, which would've resulted in loss of access to water for tens of millions, and possibly mass deaths. He doesn't want that to be how he's remembered in history.

Marco Rubio: The reason why Project Freedom stopped was at the request of Pakistan (read: the request of the regime in Iran). The Pakistanis said, “If you guys stop Project Freedom, we think we can get to a deal.” We went ahead and agreed to stop it.

@miadmaleki If they can't export, their local market should be in less or fixable stress, no?

The internal Iranian regime narrative has shifted markedly in the past 72 hours. Multiple officials have now openly acknowledged Iran’s structural gasoline deficit, war-damaged energy infrastructure, and the urgent need for consumption management. Fuel shortages and tightened rationing are pushing drivers across the country into a rapidly growing gasoline black market. Citizens are describing hours-long lines at filling stations and sharply inflated under-the-table prices. a clear signal that the official quota system is breaking down on the ground. @IranIntl On the export front, the picture is just as stark: Iranian crude exports have collapsed by more than 80% between mid-March and late April, measured against a March baseline of 23.4 million barrels. @Vortexa. And there is no easy workaround. Iran’s overland export alternatives, via Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Uzbekistan, have a combined capacity of only 250,000–300,000 bpd. The math simply doesn’t work for Tehran. The cumulative picture: a regime now publicly conceding what it long denied, a domestic fuel market under acute stress, and an export channel with no viable replacement.

@Angry_Staffer It's sorta fine. Going for an all out attack would cause way too much trouble for pretty much the entire world. The postponements are preferable to the alternative.

Is it just me or does this lose the significance the 34th time you make the same threat

The problem is that both are using somewhat over the top threats, and not offering the other side much that they want. • Trump threatened to destroy Iranian power plants, and as a result basically destroy the country... But he doesn't want to go that far. • Iranians are threatening the Arabs, and thus much of the global economy if they get taken down. Practically, if attacks on Arab countries took years to recover from... Those would be very unpleasant years for much of the world.

@WhiteHouse Didn’t you say this back in March, April and a lot during May? It’s kind of repetitive. You sound like you don’t have an exit strategy. You sound like Carter or Biden, or Bush or Trump. Yeah, you are in their league now, Big Boy.

@SergeyLavrovSA @Kanthan2030 @WhiteHouse @Queen1111Q Afghanistan was mostly an expression of anger. There were no real goals.

@Kanthan2030 @WhiteHouse @Queen1111Q Did you manage to liberate the people of Afghanistan?