Adam Kobeissi TK ✪

@CuriousMacroX Nice

Gold and silver are slipping in thin air 👇 Gold is back below 4600 Silver is back below 75 That is not strong But today needs caution Liquidity is thin because China, Japan and the UK are closed So these moves can look cleaner than they really are Volume is low RSI is neutral That means this is not a panic flush It is more a test of whether both metals can reclaim their key zones Reclaim them, and today’s weakness looks less convincing

@HostileCharts Lovely

$NBIS - Such a clean setup....

@bcomp47 Nice

@PaulaBTCEdge @PeterMallouk Nit cool

⚡️Why Bitcoin is the better way. Chart by @PeterMallouk

@CuriousMacroX Looks buying

Gold and silver open into an uneasy setup👇 Brent ended Friday 1.74% lower That helps the macro backdrop a little because lower oil can ease some pressure from inflation expectations and yields But the chart is not calm Since the Middle East escalation oil has been trading in a much higher range And even after Friday’s drop Brent is still sitting in the upper supply zone So metals are not opening into comfort They are opening into a market where one pressure point cooled while the bigger geopolitical risk is still alive That is the balance for tonight If Brent stays under pressure after the open gold and silver may get room to stabilize If oil turns higher again or Iran headlines heat up gold probably reacts first Silver still needs more than lower oil It needs follow through

@EthanKasner_ Stay winning

With no $MSTR purchase this week, all eyes will be on $ASST’s buy tomorrow. Could be a big one for the company.

@MacroBombastic @KobeissiLetter Beer suite

@KobeissiLetter Mate just saying its not profit taking if they're selling at all time highs

Hedge funds are rushing to reduce tech exposure: Hedge funds just posted their largest 2-week reduction in US information technology exposure over the last decade, excluding the meme stock frenzy in early 2021. This was driven by long sales outpacing short covers at a ratio of 1.5 to 1. Nearly every subsector saw exposure cuts, led by Semiconductors and Semi Equipment via long sales. Furthermore, hedge funds sold Magnificent 7 stocks in 4 of the last 5 trading sessions. Hedge funds are cashing-in massive profits in tech.

Now MSTR's Carbon Structure has flipped from gray to gold, indicating even more bullish strength. Any retest of $150-165 is a chance to add this stock. Next resistance will be the control line at $230, which is aligned with the 0.382 fibonacci level

$MSTR triggered its first 2 bullish blue stars back in January, and people thought I was crazy. Then a 3rd triggered in early April and it rocketed up, reclaiming the 200 WMA.

Weekly Market Outlook is ready. This week I mapped the top down approach on all assets I am personally trading. $ES $NQ $XAU $XAG $CL bitcoin:native $HYPE Every TimeFrame biases and narratives with explainers and economic Calendar. Full breakdowns below 👇

GDX - WEEKLY Gold Miners just posted another sub 12 in the weekly Bullish Percentage Index via @StockCharts Our chart below shows the subsequent GDX rallies Bullish Miners $gdx $ gdxj $gdxu $gold $silver $slv

MSTR bears are worried about dividends not getting paid but refuse to acknowledge the data. Here’s the facts. The current dividend obligation is $1.48B annualized. Huge number if that’s all you look at. The big question, how are these dividends paid? The common stock. MSTR Volume Run Rate — YTD 2026 •Average daily trading volume (last month) in USD: $2.685B •Longer-term avg. share volume: ~21.6M shares/day , with today’s stock price ~$172 •Trading days YTD 2026 (Jan 1 – May 2): ~83 trading days •Trading days remaining in 2026: ~169 •Total trading days in 2026: ~252 YTD Dollar Volume (estimated): Using the ~$2.685B/day avg (last 30 days as a proxy for recent pace): $2.685B × 83 days ≈ ~$222.9B YTD Annualized Run Rate: $2.685B × 252 trading days ≈ ~$676.6B annualized $676B in volume. In other words, they must raise a whopping .21% of the entire volume on the stock throughout the year. Take a lap bears and come back when you have an actual case to make.

@CuriousMacroX Crazy

Gold has done enough to stay alive 👇 But not enough to regain control That is the message from the weekly chart The sharp reset did not break gold buyers stepped in and defended the structure That part is constructive But the last few candles are where the caution starts Smaller bodies more overlap less distance from the recovery zone Gold is no longer falling apart But it is also not pushing away with authority For now this looks less like a fresh impulse and more like a market trying to prove the bounce is real

@CuriousMacroX Nice

Copper and silver are not fully in sync yet 👇 For most of this chart they moved in the same rhythm Same rallies same pullbacks same industrial cycle Then copper broke away At the widest point the performance gap was around 37 percentage points Now it has narrowed to around 22 So silver has started closing the distance The obvious question is what you can do with that information Does this predict silver? No But it helps you avoid chasing the wrong move If silver rises while copper stays strong the rally is easier to trust If silver rises while copper weakens it may be more of a short term bounce And if copper stays strong while silver keeps lagging the catch up setup stays alive Copper does not tell you when to buy silver It helps you judge whether a silver move has real backing

@brent_rc @princeharry_za Nice word

@princeharry_za Haha, I hope you are right. To bounce back in under 2 months would be exceptional.

We will call this the "Sam Dare Revenge" cup, handle, head and shoulders breakout for a +50% Bittensor $TAO run in May ✍️

@simple_setups Nice ate

NATGAS - DAILY NATGAS Bullish UNG has a triple bullish RSI (5) divergence And a close above the 10 dma We'll be looking for a long entry this week $natgas $ung $boil

@sebastianrcs28 Certainly

Premium Environment is ELEVATED at 74 right now. My scanner is showing 67 live opportunities — SPY IC at 87 edge, 82% probability, $74 daily income with only 22 risk score. This is the environment short vol traders wait for.

@UKbitcoinHODL @DominicFrisby @HopeSussex Not bad

Enjoyed @DominicFrisby live at @HopeSussex last night Even got my old paperback signed Bought a pair of souvenir mugs too

@TheGr8tBenihana Crazy

Top pick besides $GME 6% dividend, Nice double bottom on the 3month chart. Buy and forget stock, will check back in a few months $UPS $SPY $SPX $QQQ $NDX $GLD $SLV $VIX $SQQQ $SOXS $ES_F $NQ_F $GC_F $SI_F

@CuriousMacroX Nice

Silver: can price be predicted? 👇 Not with certainty But structure and positioning can help you reduce risk 🔹Structure is the chart itself trendlines, fibs, candles, bodies and wicks, RSI, volume It shows where price reacts and whether buyers or sellers actually defend that area 🔹Positioning shows where exposure is concentrated open interest, options, COT, positioning zones It shows where the market is crowded and where price may react because of that crowding Together, they do not predict the future But they help you map risk 1⃣Silver touched the 0.5 fib area But there was no clean breakout No confirmation More caution than confidence Action: wait for confirmation, do not chase 2⃣Silver touched the 0.5 fib again And also met the falling trendline Then it dropped back below the 76 Pos zone The upper wick showed sellers were active Action: avoid chasing longs while sellers control that area 3⃣Silver pierced the trendline and the 76 zone But the trendline was not perfectly clean So the pierce alone was not enough Price failed to hold Another upper wick Another seller reaction Action: reduce risk or wait for lower levels 4⃣After that rejection, price started falling hard The 73 zone became the next logical area to watch Not because price had to go there But because it was the next clear reaction zone Action: wait for price to reach a cleaner reaction area 5⃣At this point, the candle showed wicks on both sides Buyers and sellers were both active Action: stay patient, no clean edge yet 6⃣Silver broke through the 73 zone Now the question changed Where does price react next? That is where 72 and 71 came into view Action: do not guess the bottom, wait for buyers to show up 7⃣Price reached the 71 zone Buyers reacted But the candle still showed balance This could be an aggressive risk entry But not a clean one yet Action: only act here if you accept elevated risk 8⃣This was more interesting Silver bounced back toward 73 Then pulled back again But buyers stepped in near 72 That made 72 look like support twice This is where the setup started to improve Action: possible entry, but only with smaller size 9⃣Then silver broke above the falling trendline Positive But a breakout alone is not always enough A retest gives better information Action: wait for the retest instead of chasing the breakout 🔟The retest came Price returned to the trendline area Held around 73 And then moved higher This was the moment where the setup finally came together where structure, positioning and candles aligned Action: on this chart, this was the cleanest entry point 1⃣1⃣Silver then ripped above 76 and the 0.5 fib Strong move But the upper wick showed buyers no longer had full control That is where partial profit or risk reduction starts to make sense Action: tighten risk or take partial profit ▶️The lesson This is not prediction It is preparation The goal is not to know the future The goal is to avoid chasing wait for confirmation and know when the setup is no longer working This example mainly used price action and positioning zones You can add another layer with RSI, volume, COT Not to make the prediction perfect But to test whether the move has confirmation behind it That will not make trading certain But it can make decisions cleaner and risk easier to define