LightBulb
1.2K posts


Why is Pradeep Gupta not releasing his Bengal exit poll data? There are only four possible scenarios. Let’s break them down:
Scenario 1: BJP is getting a clear majority
If this were true in Gupta’s poll, there’s almost no chance he would hold back the numbers. Releasing such a prediction would make BJP happy, and if TMC were actually losing Bengal, there would be little reason for him to fear any backlash from them afterward.
So this scenario looks unlikely.
Scenario 2: TMC is getting a clear majority
If his data shows a strong TMC win, releasing it would hurt BJP’s morale and create negative political messaging at a time when Modi and Shah would not want that.
In this case, withholding the numbers makes strategic sense.
Scenario 3: BJP is winning, but he is being pressured to show TMC winning
This is highly unlikely.
Gupta has generally been seen as someone whose projections tend to favor BJP, not hurt it. It’s hard to imagine him releasing numbers that go directly against BJP if his actual data shows them winning.
This scenario can be ruled out.
Scenario 4: TMC is winning, but he is being pushed to show BJP winning
This is the most plausible explanation.
If his real data shows TMC ahead, but he is expected to project a BJP win, he faces a problem:
If he releases pro-BJP numbers and they turn out wrong, his agency’s credibility takes another hit.
He has already faced criticism in the past for inaccurate projections.
So the safest option is exactly what he has done: don’t release the data at all.
According to you, which scenario is correct?
English

@iamnarendranath @_TheEnigmous Thoda zyada bata rahe ho
Mark this
TMC 183
BJP 99
Others 12
English

West Bengal Exit Poll
TMC: 222
BJP: 71
@_TheEnigmous का एग्जिट पोल!
अंतिम दो चुनाव में इनका नंबर भी सटीक रहा है!
हिन्दी

@curlykrazy07 @AmitShah BJP fought well
They will touch 100 this time
Another 5 Years for a serious fight
English

Almost equal to no violence during the voting 🗳️ process in West Bengal is the most positive change.
BJP may win or not but @AmitShah ji gets the credit for peaceful elections.
Very well done 👏
English

90% exit polls predicted a TMC victory in 2021.

The Enigmous@_TheEnigmous
Congratulations to BJ Party for Forming Government in West Bengal Exit Polls for 2nd Consecutive Times!! 🧡🧡
English

@iTejasJagtap How do ugly faces like these make it to the movies ??
English

@Kairavii_Rajput Option 1 : Earn 1 Crore
Option 2 : Earn Potentially 3,000-5,000 Crore
Option 3 : Whats the point
Option 4 : Lose 3,000 Dollars
English

Long rows of vehicles on petrol pumps in #Islamabad as people fear an Expected hike in petrol price ⛽⛽⛽😕
English

@Trendulkar Not if you have 2 sons, 1 daughter and you plan to spend 5,000 crore on their weddings respectively
English

@AstroSharmistha TMC 160
BJP 128
Others 6
This is a likely result
But Will TMC handle the Operation Lotus after that ??
Ye game hai !!
English

Every other handle of X is giving prediction on Bengal election Seats. Unfortunately, via astrology there is no such technical formula to predict seat numbers. Rough idea can be there but no way via astrology one can give exact seat numbers. So, if any astrologer is giving predicvtion on seats, you know how to take it. Jai Shree Ram.
English

@FrontalForce Any Human dies it is Sad…
Anyone who celebrates it is a Demon…
But it doesnt change the fact that , death doesnt absolve a Bad Person of his Sins…
#Truth
English

@rishibagree They have been terrified since the SIR proceedings
They value their lives and citizenship
Thats why they cant opely reveal that they voted for TMC
English

@Retarded_inc @VarahaWarrior @AstroCounselKK @hebbarkeshava63 @RahulRa00703319 @jpr_wale @uncanny4484 @thatmarineguy21 @CountryGulshan @the_kerala_girl @HPhobiaWatch Trash ??
The wheat, water, cattle, land of Punjab
Rich minerals of Baluchistan
Ports of Sindh
Pakistan is a Goldmine which is in wrong hands
English

@VarahaWarrior @AstroCounselKK @hebbarkeshava63 @RahulRa00703319 @SBhalaji94 @jpr_wale @uncanny4484 @thatmarineguy21 @CountryGulshan @the_kerala_girl @HPhobiaWatch Bhai I get akhand Bharat.
But why do people want the trash of Pakistan in our country. Let them balkanise and be Bhutan like allies
English

Nowadays, people work hard for their government and favorite political parties, yet those same governments and parties do nothing for them.
Dafenet@patdafenet
Hot take:
English

















