Larry Sabato

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Larry Sabato

Larry Sabato

@LarrySabato

Director, UVA @Center4Politics. Author, The Kennedy Half Century https://t.co/JYUokVHxEZ. Read the Crystal Ball every week: https://t.co/7WXMMNgCNw

Charlottesville, VA Katılım Şubat 2009
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Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato@LarrySabato·
A favorite JFK quote: "The hottest places in hell are reserved for those who, in times of great moral crisis, maintain their neutrality.'
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Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato@LarrySabato·
POSSIBLE non-citizen voter registration is minuscule—and most of them almost certainly didn’t vote! Thinking this is a big problem is a special kind of stupid.
Stephen Richer@stephen_richer

I've updated my tracker of noncitizen voting audits done by states since 2021. Alabama. Jan. 2026. 3.7 million registered voters. 186 possible noncitizen registrants. 25 possible noncitizen voters. Arkansas. Oct. 2026. 1.8 million registered voters. 240 possible noncitizen registrants. "30 to 40" possible noncitizen voters. Florida. Jan. 2026. 13.4 million registered voters. 198 "likely noncitizens" registered. 170 referred to law enforcement. Georgia. Oct. 2024. 8.2 million registered voters. 20 possible noncitizens registrants. 9 possible noncitizen voters. 156 for further investigation. Idaho. Oct. 2024. 1 million registered voters. 36 "very likely" noncitizen registrants. "A number of them do have some form of voting history." Indiana. Dec. 2025. 4.8 million registered voters. 165 possible noncitizen registrants. "At least" 21 noncitizen voters. Iowa. Mar. 2025. 2.1 million registered voters. 277 possible noncitizen registrants. 35 possible noncitizen voters in November 2024 election. Louisiana. Mar. 2026. 2.9 million registered voters. 403 noncitizens possibly registered. 83 possibly having voted in at least one election since the 1980s. Montana. Mar. 2026. 800,000 registered voters. 23 possible noncitizens registered. Cast "nearly 150 ballots" in past Montana elections. Michigan. Apr. 2025. 7.2 million registered voters. 15 possible noncitizens who registered and voted in November 2024 general election. Michigan. Jan. 2026. 7.2 million registered voters. Investigation of Macomb County (725,000 registered voters). Four possible noncitizens registered. At least 1 previously voted. Ohio. Sept. 2025. 7.9 million registered voters. 78 possible noncitizen registrants. 9 possible noncitizen voters. Oregon. May 2026. 3 million registered voters. Investigation into 2 possible noncitizen voters. Pennsylvania. Apr. 2026. 8.97 million registered voters. Review of 210,905 unique voter registration forms. 1 noncitizen improperly registered, but had not voted. Tennessee. Fall 2025. 4.3 million registered voters. Referred 42 potential noncitizen voters to the FBI. Texas. June 2025. 18 million registered voters. Referred “33 potential noncitizens who voted in the November 2024 General Election.” Texas. Oct. 2025. 18 million registered voters. 2,724 possible noncitizens registered. Further investigation prompted. Utah. May 2026. 2.1 million registered voters. 27 possible noncitizens registered. 25 warranting further investigation. Wyoming. 271,000 registered voters. Identification of 3 potential noncitizens registered. Sources: docs.google.com/document/d/10w…

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MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@LarrySabato Benefit to non-citizens for voting illegally: NONE, 0, ZILCH. Penalties: Fines, Jail, deportation. That's why non-citizen voting isn't happening. OTOH, HUGE incentive for Trump to RIG the midterms: Avoid prosecution, etc
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Freebird
Freebird@BayonneJo·
@LarrySabato So, can you hook me up with your Connection on The Corner? Got a big weekend coming up
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David Weigel
David Weigel@daveweigel·
New internal for pro-El-Sayed #MISen super PAC, with trends from before McMorrow quit: El-Sayed: 56% (+15) Stevens: 40% (+17) Tulchin (super PAC pollster) had found the McMorrow vote splitting, not all going to Stevens. What's extra interesting here is that El-Sayed is viewed much more favorably among Dem primary voters: 69/17 to 54/34.
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Kyle Griffin
Kyle Griffin@kylegriffin1·
BREAKING NYT: The Trump admin sought the phone records of several New York Times journalists and their relatives — including one reporter's mother — in its effort to unmask the confidential sources who had provided information for articles about the security capabilities of Trump's new Air Force One jet. nytimes.com/2026/07/20/bus…
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Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato@LarrySabato·
@RobertLusetich I'm not sending him a penny. And I cut my doppelgangers out in my new will.
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Robert Lusetich
Robert Lusetich@RobertLusetich·
@LarrySabato Last year, Lindell told a court in Denver that "we have no money left". And yet, here he is. Wonder what the grift is?
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Maria Koklanaris
Maria Koklanaris@MariaKoklanaris·
@LarrySabato Professor ! Now the lesser-known reason for the popularity of your classes comes to light.
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