Larry Sabato

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Larry Sabato

Larry Sabato

@LarrySabato

Director, UVA @Center4Politics. Author, The Kennedy Half Century https://t.co/JYUokVHxEZ. Read the Crystal Ball every week: https://t.co/7WXMMNgCNw

Charlottesville, VA Katılım Şubat 2009
37.6K Takip Edilen199K Takipçiler
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Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato@LarrySabato·
A favorite JFK quote: "The hottest places in hell are reserved for those who, in times of great moral crisis, maintain their neutrality.'
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David Doak
David Doak@SouthPoint1000·
@LarrySabato Larry you stirred up the Trump/Putin bot farms all the way to the Kremlin.......
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Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato@LarrySabato·
In a new post Trump denounces Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) as “VERY disloyal to me”. Cornyn has voted with Trump on practically everything.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
US inflation is persistently running above the Fed’s target: US PCE inflation has surged +28.5% since February 2018, to an all-time high. Had inflation run at a steady 2% target, it would have risen +17.4% over the same period. In other words, the current path overshot the target by +11.1 percentage points. The gap began to widen in 2021 following massive economic stimulus in response to the pandemic and near-zero interest rates in 2020 and 2021. As a result, PCE inflation has been above the Fed's 2% target since April 2021, spanning 60 consecutive months. The most recent reading for March stood at 3.5%, the highest since June 2023. Inflation in the US remains way too high.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Jonathan Lemire
Jonathan Lemire@JonLemire·
“Trump’s old methods will be turned to a new task: trying to deceive the American people and the world into believing that the war he lost was really a big win, the biggest ever, so big you cannot believe it” theatlantic.com/politics/2026/…
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Republicans against Trump
Republicans against Trump@RpsAgainstTrump·
Megyn Kelly, who endorsed and campaigned for Trump in the 2024 election: “I didn’t expect the corruption to be quite as widespread as it has been. The self-dealing, the lining of his and his family’s pockets. It’s shocking… You look across the board at the Trump family, I’ve never seen a family get so rich off the presidency.”
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Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato@LarrySabato·
Nightmare at 37,000 feet. The Twilight Zone in real life.
Mr PitBull Stories@MrPitbull07

“The plane went silent.” That’s what passengers aboard British Airways Flight 9 remembered most. Not screaming. Not alarms. Silence. On June 24, 1982, the Boeing 747 was flying over Java at 37,000 feet with 247 passengers onboard when Senior Engineer Barry Townley-Freeman noticed engine temperatures rising dangerously fast. Then passengers started calling flight attendants: “There’s something glowing outside the window.” Blue light flickered through the engines. White sparks danced across the wings. It looked beautiful. In the cockpit, Captain Eric Moody watched Engine 4 fail. Then Engine 2. Then 1. Then 3. Within minutes, all four engines were dead. A fully loaded 747 became a powerless glider descending toward the Indian Ocean. No thrust. Barely any radio communication. No idea what caused it. Passengers woke from sleep to something deeply unnatural: The absence of engine noise. At 37,000 feet, a jetliner should roar. Instead, there was only wind. Captain Moody got on the intercom and delivered one of aviation history’s most famous announcements: “Ladies and gentlemen, this is your captain speaking. We have a small problem. All four engines have stopped. We are doing our damnedest to get them under control.” Some passengers thought it was a joke. The flight attendants’ faces said otherwise. What nobody onboard knew was that the plane had flown directly through a volcanic ash cloud from Mount Galunggung. The ash was made of microscopic glass particles. Inside the engines, the particles melted at extreme temperatures and coated the turbines like cement, suffocating all four engines one by one. At 15,000 feet, oxygen masks deployed. At 12,000 feet, the crew prepared for a night ditching into the ocean. Captain Moody knew the odds of surviving a water landing in a 747 were almost nonexistent. Then he tried restarting the engines one final time. Engine 4 sputtered. Caught. Then another. Then another. All four engines roared back to life. But the nightmare still wasn’t over. The volcanic ash had sandblasted the cockpit windshield so badly the pilots could barely see through it. Captain Moody had to land a damaged 747 at night using only a tiny clear section of the side window while his first officer called out altitude and distance manually. Against every odd, the aircraft landed safely in Jakarta. Every single person onboard survived. After the incident, volcanic ash became a globally monitored aviation hazard. And Captain Eric Moody’s calm announcement became legendary — still taught today as a masterclass in crisis leadership: Tell the truth. Stay calm. Give people dignity. Even when you’re falling out of the sky.

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Political Polls
Political Polls@PpollingNumbers·
New - Generic Ballot poll - Hispanic voters 🔵 Democrats 60% (+34) 🔴 Republicans 26% Last poll - Republicans +4 (38% Swing from 🔴 ⏩ 🔵) Echelon #B - 5/18
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The Associated Press
Pope Leo XIV called for robust regulation of artificial intelligence and for its developers to work for the common good rather than profit, issuing a sweeping manifesto on safeguarding humankind as the technology impacts everything from work to war. apnews.com/article/pope-a…
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Ben Meiselas
Ben Meiselas@meiselasb·
You are seeing in real time why Trump companies went bankrupt so many times. Set aside your politics. This guy is incapable of making a deal or meaningful decision and it follows the same cycle. Big flashy announcement (Epic Fury). Adversity hits (Hormuz closed). Defraud stakeholders (promise two week solution). Freeze up (endless two week cycle loop). Compound the problem (resource depletion). Final chance to save face rejected (what you’re seeing now). Bankruptcy strikes and blame others during chaos. Rinse repeat.
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Gary Sinise
Gary Sinise@GarySinise·
Today is our nations Memorial Day. Enjoy your day and take a moment to remember the true meaning of this day. A day to pay our respects to all those who have given their lives in our country's defense. God bless these brave heroes and their families.
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The Atlantic
The Atlantic@TheAtlantic·
“How much Iran will get away with, and how much humiliation the United States will endure, has yet to be ironed out by the negotiators, but the war is now almost certain to end with Tehran’s theocrats firmly in power,” @RadioFreeTom argues: theatln.tc/cILod0Jm
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Scott MacFarlane
Scott MacFarlane@MacFarlaneNews·
Trump's fingerprints are all over a new Justice Dept court filing defending the Trump Ballroom Random capitalization Claims that Trump is providing America an "invaulable gift" Claims the project is "underbudget" despite Senate request for $1 billion in taxpayer money (MORE)
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
What is happening here? The US birthrate is now down -30% since pre-2008 levels while financial wealth is at record highs. Why? Because only asset owners are able to afford this economy. As shown in our below analysis, this crisis accelerated in both 2008 and 2020. And, with every recession and every round of inflationary economic stimulus, the crisis simply accelerates even further. Now, we are seeing the biggest divergence between the S&P 500 and the US birth rate in history. The result? Tons of young Americans simply cannot afford to have kids in another sign of the "K-Shaped" economy. The US is facing a massive demographic crisis.
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Citizens for Ethics
Citizens for Ethics@CREWcrew·
Surely it's just a coincidence that the 1789 Capital, the investment firm Trump's son Don Jr is a partner for, saw the assets it manages skyrocket from $200 million to $3.5 billion over the past year ft.com/content/712a6a…
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The Associated Press
BREAKING: Pope Leo XIV makes historic apology for Holy See's own role in legitimizing slavery and for failing to condemn it for centuries. apnews.com/article/pope-a…
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Brian Allen
Brian Allen@allenanalysis·
Trump is now reportedly responsible for roughly 27.7% of the entire U.S. national debt accumulated under all presidents combined. That is an astonishing figure historically. The national debt just crossed $39 trillion. President Trump has added roughly $12–13 trillion to the debt across his two terms in office. That’s approximately 30% of ALL U.S. national debt accumulated since 1789. In 2016, Trump said he would pay down the national debt “over a period of eight years.” Instead: - First term: +$7.8 trillion - Second term: roughly +$4–5 trillion already And yes, COVID affected first-term spending. It does not explain adding another trillion dollars every five months without a pandemic. A political movement built on: “fiscal conservatism” “small government” “balanced budgets” has now overseen the largest debt expansion tied to any single presidency in American history.
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David Shuster
David Shuster@DavidShuster·
According to Al Jazeera, the Iran deals includes unfreezing billions in Iranian funds, lifting U.S. blockade, pulling U.S. forces away, reopening strait of Hormuz though with tolls to Iran, and allowing Iran to keep its enriched uranium. This would be a total U.S. surrender.
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The Tennessee Holler
The Tennessee Holler@TheTNHoller·
Here’s a thought — Maybe these people don’t deserve to be handsomely rewarded?
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