MrToad28

13.6K posts

MrToad28

MrToad28

@VALUBULL28

Value investor, analyst. Macro. Independent moderate conservative. Anti-Division, we're in this together. NO DM's @Valubull28.bsky.social

Michigan Katılım Eylül 2013
3K Takip Edilen522 Takipçiler
MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@RepChipRoy NO. It's a reasonable compromise to end a crisis. The House is at fault for not enacting it. Blaming the Senate for doing their job is "absolutely offensive."
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Rep. Chip Roy Press Office
Rep. Roy: "It is absolutely offensive to the people that we represent that the Senate would send over a bill that doesn't fund Border Patrol and the core components of ICE. Could the Senate be any more lazy than to send to us a bill that doesn't do the job and then leave town? So we're going to stand up and say NO to that. We're going to send back a bill that's responsible to the American people."
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MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@RepOgles NO. The House should pass the Senate compromise and quit playing BLAME GAME politics. It's your FUCKING JOB to compromise to get the people's business done.
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Rep. Andy Ogles
Rep. Andy Ogles@RepOgles·
YES or NO VOTE below ⬇️ - Senate must immediately return to DC - Remove Majority Leader Thune - Install an America First majority leader - Immediately vote to nuke the filibuster - Pass the Save America Act - Confirm the president's nominees - Publicly apologize to the American people List from @toddstarnes
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Caspian | Suit & Surf
Caspian | Suit & Surf@Alpha9Mindset·
A peak absurdity: The Pentagon is redirecting $750M of Ukraine-bound Patriots to the Gulf, while Ukraine deploys 200+ specialists to the UAE to teach them how to intercept drones on the cheap. Zelensky’s UAE pact strips away the "Emperor’s New Clothes"—costly U.S. systems are facing fiscal bankruptcy against saturated attacks. Ukraine has proven that in this era, whoever mass-produces low-cost physical defense holds the true strategic lever. Washington’s hubris is costing it the power to define ally defense. #Geopolitics #Trump #Ukraine #MiddleEastUpdate #DefenseInnovation
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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
BREAKING: Zelensky just landed in the UAE and signed a defence cooperation agreement with President MBZ. The deal on the table changes everything about this war. Ukraine is offering Gulf states 1,000 drone interceptors per day. Each Sting interceptor costs $2,100. Each Patriot missile it replaces costs $3.9 million. In exchange, Ukraine wants the Patriot missiles the Gulf states are burning through, because Kyiv cannot get enough of them to stop Russian missiles. Read that again. The country America refused to arm fast enough is now arming America’s allies with a weapon that costs 1,857 times less than the one America cannot produce fast enough. The National reported on March 27 that Zelensky told reporters: “We’d like to quietly receive the Patriot missiles we have a deficit of, and give them a corresponding number of interceptors.” AFP confirmed the UAE agreement on March 28. Eleven countries have formally requested Ukraine’s drone defence expertise per Zelensky’s own count. Over 200 Ukrainian military specialists are already deployed across the UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Jordan. Here is the arithmetic that should terrify every Pentagon procurement officer on earth. The United States fired 943 Patriot interceptors in the first four days of the Iran war per a US Congressional study cited by the Jerusalem Post. That is eighteen months of Lockheed Martin’s annual production consumed in 96 hours. Each of those 943 shots cost $3.9 million. Total expenditure: $3.68 billion in four days on defensive interceptions alone. Iran produces 10,000 Shahed drones per month per Reuters. Each drone costs $20,000 to $50,000. The cost exchange ratio is 114 to 1 in Iran’s favour per Military Times. Ukraine’s Sting interceptor inverts this arithmetic entirely. At $2,100, the cost ratio flips from 114-to-1 against America to roughly 10-to-1 against Iran. Ukraine can supply 1,000 per day. That is 30,000 per month against Iran’s 10,000 Shaheds per month. For the first time in this war, the defender’s production rate exceeds the attacker’s production rate at a fraction of the cost. And the country that built this weapon is the same country that Trump publicly rejected. “No, they are not helping. We do not need their help. We know more about drones than anyone else” per Fox News. He doubled down: “The last person we need help from is Zelensky.” Meanwhile the Pentagon notified Congress of plans to redirect $750 million in Ukraine-bound Patriot missiles to Gulf states per House of Saud reporting. America is simultaneously refusing Ukraine’s cheap solution and cannibalising Ukraine’s expensive one. Zelensky framed this explicitly. He told The National: “No matter how many Patriots, THAADs, or other air-defence systems are in the Middle East, that alone is not enough for fully effective air defence.” He told the UK Parliament: “When it comes to shooting down massive Shahed attacks, only Ukrainian experience can really help with this today.” The Pentagon is spending $3.9 million per interception, raiding Swiss fighter jet accounts to cover shortfalls, and diverting Ukraine’s own Patriot supply to the Gulf. Zelensky is offering the same result for $2,100 and producing 1,000 units per day. The market has a word for this kind of disruption. The $2,100 drone is the most important weapon in this war. And the country that built it is the one America said it did not need. Full analysis - open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@ProfessorPape 17,000 Troops is still not an invasion force against Iran's million man standing army and, according to merchant marine, the US isn't in process of building a sufficient force. They may go for Kharg or other Islands, but full Iran invasion isn't on the menu, yet.
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Robert A. Pape
Robert A. Pape@ProfessorPape·
Another 10,000 Ground Troops preparing for Iran, raising total to 17,000. Stage 3 of Escalation Trap gets closer by the day, even as Sec Rubio says ground forces unnecessary. Track troops and logistics, not rhetoric wsj.com/livecoverage/i…
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MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@Weinsteinlaw 💯Hegseth is the least qualified, least professional SecDef in history. His only 'qualification' is loyalty to Trump.
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MrToad28 retweetledi
Andrew Weinstein
Andrew Weinstein@Weinsteinlaw·
Pete Hegseth just removed four decorated Army Colonels from a promotion list they earned through decades of service. Two are Black. Two are women. The Army Secretary called their records “exemplary." Hegseth called it “meritocracy" while overriding him. When you purge the best officers in the world because they don't fit your preferred demographic, you’re not defending the country. You’re betraying the values that define it. nytimes.com/2026/03/27/us/…
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Joanne Moretti
Joanne Moretti@JoanneMoretti01·
@VALUBULL28 @WhizBuckleyNFH @RepAOC @NoFallenHeroes Emotions can do a lot to the mental state of an individual. I had to seek help through microdosing psilocybin to enable me take care of my anxiety and depression. Heard it also helps take care of ADHD, PTSD, Chronic pains and OCD @ SporeAndSoul on x is the mycologist that guided
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Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Our current drug scheduling system in the U.S. does little to deter drug abuse or overdose rates, but instead hinders research and unfairly criminalizes communities. We need to invest in actual solutions like prevention, treatment, and recovery.
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MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@CraigDMauger Sounds like Magical Thinking. I was underwhelmed with Johnson's ads and now understand he's delusional.
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Craig Mauger
Craig Mauger@CraigDMauger·
Perry Johnson is promising GOP voters that he'll get rid of Michigan's personal income tax. He says he won't hike other taxes to replace the revenue. Others say the plan will lead to massive cuts to key programs. A story from Shelby Township --> detroitnews.com/story/news/pol…
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MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@data_republican As a conservative who historically voted for Republican, but has and will not vote for Trumplicans, I feel your pain. I'm hoping for moderate Midwest D candidate for 2028 like Shapiro &/or Whitmer instead of Newsome or AOC.
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MOMof DataRepublican
MOMof DataRepublican@data_republican·
I have never been a Democrat. My views align more closely with Republicans, but after the last 24 hours my disgust is paralyzing. I have not supported a third party because I remember when it handed Bill Clinton the presidency. I signed the petition for the Convention of States but remain skeptical because there will be no agreement. What's left? I love our country. What can we do besides shout on X which doesn't seem very effective?
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Chris
Chris@itsCblast·
🚨Trump: We're on track to fully eliminate capital gains tax in 2026
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MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@RepDonaldsPress @ICEgov The Senate passed a reasonable compromise to solve a crisis. The House didn't do it's job and pass the bill. Don't blame the Senate for House failure.
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Congressman Byron Donalds
Congressman Byron Donalds@RepDonaldsPress·
I don’t care that the Senate’s on vacation. I don’t care about their CODELs. I don’t care about their events. They didn’t do their job. They purposely left @ICEgov child sex trafficking investigation units UNFUNDED. This package needs to be amended and sent back to the Senate.
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MrToad28 retweetledi
Joshua Landis
Joshua Landis@joshua_landis·
❝Switzerland ordered some Tomahawks years ago. Now the US said they can't deliver them. So Switzerland said then we won't pay. The US have now seized the funds we paid for the F-35s (which we probably won't get as well) instead.❞ "Trust in the USA is suffering" The development has been poorly received in parliament. "It's infuriating when we halt payments and then the money is simply diverted," srf.ch/news/schweiz/z… via @srfnews
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MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@PacoOnPause If a person has had Covid or self-identifies as a Covid denier or anti-vaxxer, denying the evidence of brain damage is a reassuring self-deception.
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MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@StefanFSchubert @jburnmurdoch Grok may be right-leaning but it's still great for offering a far more balanced assessment of reality than many of the click-bait posters on X
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Stefan Schubert
Stefan Schubert@StefanFSchubert·
While social media is polarising, evidence suggests AI may nudge people towards the centre. This holds true of all studied models. Grok is more right-leaning than other models, but also has depolarising effects. By @jburnmurdoch.
Stefan Schubert tweet media
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MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@TheELongWave The US has led the world in scientific innovation. The Trumplicans have defunded science research by like 85%. Even with AI as a catalyst, that's gotta have an impact.
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The Economic LongWave
The Economic LongWave@TheELongWave·
Radical Abundance with Kondratieff's Fifth Wave! The data marks a clear shift: global population growth is no longer accelerating—it peaked decades ago and now declines steadily. However, even as population growth decelerates, it's important to note that something far more powerful is gaining momentum. Human innovation. Patent activity—both overall and per person—continues to rise exponentially. This tells a very different story about the future. Fewer people do not mean less progress. It means more innovation per person. This increase in innovation aligns with what you would expect as we shift into the next phase of the Economic LongWave: Schumpeter’s Creative Destruction → old systems break down, clearing the way for entirely new industries and solutions As a result, as population growth slows, the world shifts from quantity to quality—from adding more people to empowering each individual with greater technological capability. These changes have profound implications: This is why the next wave has the potential to be extraordinary. Slower population growth and faster innovation point to a future of radical abundance—where technology, not demographics, expands wealth and reduces global poverty.
The Economic LongWave tweet media
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James Tate
James Tate@JamesTate121·
Ukraine wanted tomahawks, they were denied.
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MrToad28
MrToad28@VALUBULL28·
@RepOgles Or you could vote for the Senate compromise and this shutdown would be over. ICE has funding from OBBB. Why didn't you just do your job?
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Rep. Andy Ogles
Rep. Andy Ogles@RepOgles·
Thune screwed America and left town, so I’m in my office having dinner til we vote later tonight and clean up his mess. The House will fund TSA, Homeland, Cybersecurity, Human Trafficking Investigations…. Secure America 🇺🇸🫡
Rep. Andy Ogles tweet media
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