Logan

461 posts

Logan

Logan

@LoganPredicts

Prediction Market Trader

Katılım Şubat 2025
349 Takip Edilen2.6K Takipçiler
Logan
Logan@LoganPredicts·
Getting some love in the AP stream chat
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Logan
Logan@LoganPredicts·
@PredMTrader I dont think ive ever talked in the AP stream chat 😭
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mason
mason@onehandpolitics·
This country isn’t real man 😭
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Logan
Logan@LoganPredicts·
@GaryGrumbach @primo_data When will someone open a permanent prediction market bar? I go to a regular bar several times week to trade
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Logan
Logan@LoganPredicts·
@semajeth @benwfreeman1 Can't speak for Ben but don't think most traders would want that. I significantly prefer Kalshi for plenty of reasons but most of us still use poly as well.
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semaji.eth
semaji.eth@semajeth·
@benwfreeman1 Sure, my bad on that. Consider it rephrased with "Kalshi Partner". In most worlds you would be delighted if Polymarket evaporated tomorrow, right?
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Benjamin Freeman
Benjamin Freeman@benwfreeman1·
I truly want Kalshi, Polymarket, and other prediction markets all to succeed, but when lawmakers are threatening to curb prediction markets for all government action, it’s critical to point out that this is a Polymarket problem (which isn’t legal in the US), not a Kalshi one
Chris Murphy 🟧@ChrisMurphyCT

We need to end prediction markets for government action. NOW. This bone chilling story about a reporter’s life threatened bc he simply reported on Iran missile strikes: “After you make us lose $900,000 we will invest no less than that to finish you.” timesofisrael.com/gamblers-tryin…

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peepeepoopoo
peepeepoopoo@DeepDishEnjoyer·
@Zarya03631822 i don't want to go into too much detail into what they're trading exactly (though i suspect it's probably reasonably well known in the professional space at this point) but given what they're trading the answer basically is "depends on how long this war lasts"
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Logan
Logan@LoganPredicts·
@Ivangtv Worked out well. Oil markets low key pretty fun gonna need to follow it more going forward.
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Logan
Logan@LoganPredicts·
Closed my oil long tonight. Was first time trading oil futures so probs undersized but still made $7500 overall.
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Bernard B
Bernard B@bernardbulletin·
The first Kalshi mentions market under the new contract is about to go live.
Bernard B tweet mediaBernard B tweet media
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Faytuks Network
Faytuks Network@FaytuksNetwork·
NEW: South Korea’s KOSPI Index sinks 8%, triggers 20 minute circuit breaker.
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Logan
Logan@LoganPredicts·
@PredMTrader Happy to spin up a random number generator and quote u some -ev rng bets if ur interested
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Logan
Logan@LoganPredicts·
@uf__001 Yea tbh I just accidentally slept until 7pm on Friday because I hadn't slept since the war started and so it all worked out.
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peepeepoopoo
peepeepoopoo@DeepDishEnjoyer·
also why i have no blue check
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peepeepoopoo
peepeepoopoo@DeepDishEnjoyer·
this is the p4 promise that i will continue in pointless shitposting unpolluted by commercial purposes
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Logan
Logan@LoganPredicts·
@DeepDishEnjoyer @acemoney21 If it makes you feel any better I closed my oil today instead of Friday but sized it so small that my port is only up ~1% on the trade.
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Logan
Logan@LoganPredicts·
@Scrubbypzhl @DeepDishEnjoyer Sorta seems possible thats what happened even tho that would be regarded since Iran is nothing like Venezuela. Even if everyone executed things perfectly, you couldn't Venezuela Iran.
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Scrubby
Scrubby@Scrubbypzhl·
They were hoping they could regime change real fast and pull another Venezuela. Israel got the blood lust again and decided to kill everyone, including the controlled opposition. Now you have a semi-decentralized scared shitless army shooting at anything that moves and no “Adults” so to speak to talk to.
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