Luke Hartcher

2.5K posts

Luke Hartcher

Luke Hartcher

@LukeHartcher

Just a man...some say ordinary....others say nothing...

Newcastle, Australia Katılım Nisan 2009
188 Takip Edilen231 Takipçiler
Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@JCAGOLFReport @AndrewKirbyGolf @LIVGolfComms @livgolf_league I noticed on the Team/Group View that some of the cameras on some holes were fogged up with a large circle in the middle of the screen disrupting the view. Surely it's not that hard to see that stuff and send someone to go fix it! Or use better equipment!
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Andrew Kirby
Andrew Kirby@AndrewKirbyGolf·
The LIV broadcast and pylon is way off at times today At times frozen on the leaderboard Has a PGAT vibe 🙄😬🤦🏻🤡 Someone is not doing their job @LIVGolfComms @livgolf_league
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@mrmckee The lack of coverage by the CGM of this event - the reception and what it means for LIV and 🇿🇦 - says enough about how the traditional golf media are all owned by and bend to PGAT and cannot be trusted as true and unbiased reporting of golf.
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Chris McKee
Chris McKee@mrmckee·
Honest question for the mainstream golf pundits like Eamon Lynch or Evin Priest etc who hate LIV, can you explain to me why this is bad for golf but whats happening at the Valspar Championship this week is better for golf?
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Bob Harig
Bob Harig@BobHarig·
@Robopz @LukeHartcher @ThorbjornOleZyn You have done God’s work attempting to explain this system to people who are continually aggrieved about some perceived slight while blind to their own bias. It’s exhausting. But kudos to you.
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Thorbjørn OleZyn
Thorbjørn OleZyn@ThorbjornOleZyn·
the level of groupthink demonstrated RE: misconstruing the point of my post is astonishing... i'm talking about SG allocation difference between tours this isnt space jam, they didn't lose skill by signing a contract with LIV, though u might believe that looking at their ranks
Robopz@Robopz

The level of ignorance demonstrated RE Strokes Gained in this thread (and responses) is astonishing... Kudos to @DataGolf for at least trying to educate...

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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@ThorbjornOleZyn @Robopz As for the double accounting - IMO its more a self feeding system where the OWGR is basically a closed feedback loop ie high rankings generate high tournament points, which mathematically ensures those same players keep their high rankings. It slows global advancement.
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@ThorbjornOleZyn @Robopz That’s an OWGR problem, not an SG problem. SG events are a data point for that specific day. The SG flaw is the cross-tour bridge where models like DG & TUGR run a basic 'A vs B vs C' assumption connectivity model - IMO an oversimplification that ignores courses, conditions etc.
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@Robopz @ThorbjornOleZyn Back to the original point - SG is only reasonably accurate at an event level. I get what you believe, but to say that is a factual representation of global golf is incorrect. Assumptions need to be made in order to align data across tours. You said I was incorrect, I'm not.
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Robopz
Robopz@Robopz·
SG is an adjusted scoring average stat based on real results... that's all it is. I'm not sure I even understand what you are saying anymore... but it seems to me you expect it to be something, or do something, that it, nor any other type of ranking system can possibly do... My bottom line: IMO SG is a tremendous measure of relative talent levels across tours. And I believe the high correlation of output between SGWR, DG & TUGR demonstrates none of them are grossly inaccurate or putting a thumb on the scale. (Although SGWR is still "out there" on some LIV guys SG until enough LIV results are added to normalize them. But as a whole, the sum of SWGR LIV over/underranks still pretty much cancel each other out.) So i just don't see why so many LIV fans freak out over SG... especially seeing as how LIV itself has used both TUGR and DG ranks themselves. (For promotion event entries for instance). If it's good enough for them, then excuse me if I fail to see the problem... Now... I truly am done with this one...
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@Robopz @ThorbjornOleZyn No. It depends on the model applied to bridge the gap in SG data. It's non-deterministic - you cannot guarantee the same outcome & you need to apply a bridge model. This is fact! All you're doing is trying to explain how you like the gap filled - it's your opinion only, not fact!
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Robopz
Robopz@Robopz·
@LukeHartcher @ThorbjornOleZyn With a high degree of reliability, big data can rank players within the enormous dataset of past outcomes... but what it can't do is predict future ones with reliable specificity.
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@Robopz @ThorbjornOleZyn I completely understand this is used to ATTEMPT to "bridge" the big data gap that exists, but your example is still only a subset. SG on its own cannot give you certainty and it is still all assumptions. They key: Big Data cannot be used to give a deterministic outcome!
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Robopz
Robopz@Robopz·
Those 2 guys alone are not enough, but the fact a lot of LIV guys play 30-50% of their rounds outside of LIV is... It's because of that outside play LIV events are able to increase or decrease in value over the season. In fact it's why LIV events are starting out weaker this year than last... because as a group, returning LIV players underperformed in their outside play from summer of last year through the end of the year.
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@Robopz @ThorbjornOleZyn Not sufficient overlap sorry. It's not the amount of data it's the quality and relevance of it. Back to my original point - SG is only accurate within a single event & conditions and then it fades away. It's a fact sorry. Big data can't fix it, only give a rough guesstimate.
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Robopz
Robopz@Robopz·
@LukeHartcher @ThorbjornOleZyn More is always better, but all the major tours have enough overlap to make the connections... PGAT, DPWT, LIV, KFT, HPT, JPN, AUS, AFR, ASA.
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@Robopz @ThorbjornOleZyn Ahhh "merge" is the magic word isn't it. It's how you "merge" them - It's not a fact there is an artificial "merge".
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Robopz
Robopz@Robopz·
@LukeHartcher @ThorbjornOleZyn Because course fit (and other event by event adjustments) account for specific anticipated situations... whereas ranking systems (or any stat) merge/average all observed actual results from all situations.
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@Robopz @ThorbjornOleZyn But they need consistent and trusted overlaps to join the data where the data cannot represent it. Just because there are separate data sets with billions of rows doesn't mean you can join them accurately.
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Robopz
Robopz@Robopz·
@LukeHartcher @ThorbjornOleZyn Strokes gained rankings are derived from many, many thousands, if not millions of actual REAL results. None of them made up.
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@Robopz @ThorbjornOleZyn If you're a true data guy, you know it's not 100% accurate - stop pretending. The "big data" cannot fill the gaps across courses, conditions, travel etc and any algorithm needs to make assumptions. Why would DG build a Courses Fit if SG was so accurate!
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Robopz
Robopz@Robopz·
@ThorbjornOleZyn @LukeHartcher Which is also true of any rank of scoring averages, money lists, driving/putting statistics, points based ranking systems... etc, etc. But you can still accurately rank them because of the enormity of the big data.
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@ThorbjornOleZyn @Robopz 💯 it is correct. People that like the current assumptions will defend it, and vice-versa. Removing courses from the equation, bridge players, assuming players skill will directly transfer across tour etc. It's all smoke and mirrors.
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Thorbjørn OleZyn
Thorbjørn OleZyn@ThorbjornOleZyn·
@Robopz @LukeHartcher It’s absolutely correct. The same round could be shot on the exact same course on two different tours and it becomes different SG simply based on who else is playing the same course.
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@Robopz @ThorbjornOleZyn The golf Majors are the only true way to compare globally and get solid crossover data. But when the Major entrance criteria uses a system based on those assumptions above, we don't really get the opportunity and it's just heavily weighted one way.
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Luke Hartcher
Luke Hartcher@LukeHartcher·
@Robopz @ThorbjornOleZyn SG is only accurate within a single event - same course and conditions. The further you start to move away from that, eg tour level, global level etc, the less accurate it becomes and it needs to put in lots of mathematical assumptions and guess work.
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