Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬

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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬

Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬

@lymanstoneky

Lutheran Husband Dad Kentuckian Demographer. Please forgive me: my tweets are often accidentally mean. @DemographicNTEL, @FamStudies Pronatalism Initiative

KY-DC-HK-QC-KY Katılım Temmuz 2012
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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬@lymanstoneky·
Statista graph sharing is not a sell indicator on a person because the data is wrong It’s a sell indicator because of what it says about how they think and reason about the world
Stephanie H. Murray@stephmurrayyyy

Seems weird to blame this on statista tho. It's just showing us America's TFR over time. That's a totally normal measure demographers have long used to track shifts in fertility behavior. @lymanstoneky is building on a 2024 paper to argue we should be interested in EFR instead.

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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬@lymanstoneky·
When the paper came out, I flagged that 1) wow it's a lot of interaction terms and 2) the car seat laws seem fuzzy and 3) wait, the "fertility" variable isn't a fertility variable. it's a kids in the home variable. I suspect the paper is substantially in error.
Scott Winship@swinshi

If the car seats as contraception papers holds up I’ll be shocked. I say this as someone who hasn’t read it, so take it for what it’s worth, but go ahead and time-stamp it.

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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 retweetledi
Clara Bow
Clara Bow@uxorious100·
It’s embarrassing to admit that for me, the most annoying part of raising kids is: if I want my kids to be curious & independent, then I need to say yes enthusiastically when they ask if they can make eggs and I know I’m about to have the most annoying 15 minutes in human history
O.W. Root@owroot

Our older kids (6, 4) get their breakfasts ready just about every morning. It takes about 4 times as long as it should, there is probably more mess than there should be, but they do a pretty decent job, it gives us one less thing to do (even if unfortunate spills might occur), and it teaches them something they need to know. I think this is what a lot of parenting amounts to.

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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬@lymanstoneky·
@ehaspel Hmmmmm given fungubility of money I’m unsure this is a very informative result. Better to ask some kind of money shortfall question informative for bettors and non-bettors and see if bettors have it more
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Elliot Haspel
Elliot Haspel@ehaspel·
Think sports betting is just an individual vice? Think again. Nearly ONE IN THREE households with children in which there's a family member engaged in sports betting has pulled back on essential spending in the past year to either make bets or cover losses.
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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 retweetledi
John Arnold
John Arnold@johnarnold·
A fire alarm is going off and everyone is ignoring it.
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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬@lymanstoneky·
Good. The Senate's vision for ROAD is a trainwreck. The Build-to-Rent rule is crazy.... and so is the Build Now Act, or, as I call it "Send Arizona's money to New York City":
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Brendan Pedersen@BrendanPedersen

News in Midday: The House’s ROAD gambit has broken the Senate’s housing coalition. Key voices say they’re open to the House’s reworked Senate bill, including Banking members like Sens. Gallego (D-Ariz), Lummis (R-Wyo) and Smith (D-Minn) Other populists are preparing for war

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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 retweetledi
Community Notes & Violations
Community Notes & Violations@CNviolations·
There are over 12 hours of film footage explaining why you should put it back
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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 retweetledi
Carter Skeel
Carter Skeel@CarterSkeel·
You’ve also spent a lifetime inhaling ambient cultural messaging that there is something reckless or soft-minded about starting a family. That taking risks to achieve your professional dreams is shrewd but pursuing a family is rash..." Incredible from @AbigailShrier @TheFP
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Elephant_Frog
Elephant_Frog@elephant_ben·
@lymanstoneky Lottery studies have done across many populations doesn’t solve the selection bias at all though unless participation was mandatory or reached some insane share of the population.
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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬@lymanstoneky·
Lottery studies exist across a pretty wide range of pops and seem to show this approximate pattern of results in most, so generalization is prob fairly credible. One-time windfall wealth has no effect positive OR negative on women's fertility, slightly boost men's.
Nicholas H Wolfinger@NickWolfinger

Thread, with an interesting result about marriage intentions. Question: are there differences between lottery players and non-players? NB @BradWilcoxIFS

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Keşfet

@LeahLibresco @ehaspel @SearchlightInst @RadWill_ @RepTomSuozzi @RepDebDingell @Benthamsbulldog @AlexNowrasteh