Moose

@Temple_Eight What about $Q?

Insane compounder. I think Entegris will be similar. $ENTG

@yarbatman His way of telegraphing that he wants to be kooned so bad by a rough bearded Iranian because, well, fantasies.

Tapping the sign…

@build_canada @begiantca You guys are learning all the wrong lessons from the US. Good luck imposing a value on 40 million people!

Politeness is a Canadian value. Speaking up should be too. 🗣️🍁 Say It!, the case for a united Canada, & @begiantca shares findings from their Canadian entrepreneurship survey. 📊 It's all in this week's newsletter, in your inbox or on Substack at buildcanada.substack.com/p/say-the-thing

@yarbatman Is “industrialist” in Iran a euphemism for crony?

"Economic normalisation, therefore, is not a concession; it is a stabilisation tool. For capital to flow will, above all, require stability: confidence that trade routes will remain open, agreements will be honoured and geopolitical risk will remain contained." Great piece by Iranian industrialist Ali Amiri on the economic incentives for a US-Iran deal. economist.com/by-invitation/…

@ShShahidsaless Risk premiums priced into bonds have been on a rapid decline since end of March. The market is not expecting further escalation for the time being and a market-loving president isn’t going to piss off the market every couple months. Add on that midterms getting closer by the day.

هشدار! هر ایرانی ای که حتی اندکی دلش برای کشور بسوزد باید خواهان کوتاه شدن دست ج.ا از ایران باشد. اما شروع جنگ، اینبار، به بازگشت ایران به دوران قاجار خواهد انجامید. و از آن سو نیز، ویرانی کشورهای منطقه و برخلاف تصور ترامپ پایان حیات سیاسی اش را به دنبال خواهد داشت. بخوانید: ترامپ: "ما داریم معامله‌ای بسیار منصفانه و منطقی را پیشنهاد می‌کنبم و امیدوارم که آنها آن را بپذیرند زیرا اگر نپذیرند آمریکا تک‌تک نیروگاه‌ها و تک‌تک پلها را در ایران از بین خواهد برد. دیگر از "آقای خوش‌اخلاق" خبری نیست! آنها سریع و آسان فرو خواهند ریخت و اگر توافقذرا نپذیرند برای من افتخاری خواهد بود که آنچه را که باید انجام شود انجام دهم، کاری که باید در ۴۷ سال گذشته توسط رؤسای‌جمهور دیگر در قبال ایران انجام می‌شد. زمان آن فرا رسیده که "ماشین کشتار ایران"ًبه پایان برسد! رئیس‌جمهور دونالد جی. ترامپ."

@AlexT3527251374 @ShShahidsaless کم نبود اما این کجا و آن کجا (از حیث جرات و زرنگی)

@ShShahidsaless ممنون ولی این پست شما توصیه بود تا تحلیل. بعد هم اون جمعیتی که برای شاهزاده رضا پهلوی اومد به خیابون کم بود؟

@citrinowicz He who has the money has the power. Moj has the money.

My friend, don't underestimate my contribution to the security of Israel and the United States in the campaign against Iran. Unlike you, I have also practicality operated in the field (even as a major belive it or not) and I am familiar with the limits of power when dealing with Tehran. As I wrote, I understand the frustration well and I’m certainly not angry. One does not judge a person in their moment of distress.I understand the shock that comes with realizing the gap between what is written in a theoretical or your imagined world and what actually happens in reality. It has happened even to those far more experienced than you. That said, to my colleagues who are analysts of the Iranian arena that knows Iran, I say this: this is how total meltdown looks like. Those whose entire professional life focus has been the campaign against Iran, and who are now realizing how flawed their strategy was, are looking scapegoat to blame. If I were in their position, I would be concerned about what comes next, and what they will do the day after, when it becomes clear that their entire professional lives were built on illusions. It’s not an easy, I am sure of that. I wish them all the best, and I would suggest they leave the Iranian analysis arena to true experts before continuing to offer misguided advice. Stay safe Richard. You have my deepest sympathy.

@YossiBenYakar She is referring to the government, not the people or the country as a whole. People don’t base personal decisions like kids colleges or buying a house on the govt bc govts come and go. The fundamentals in the US for both housing and higher education remain strong regardless.

x.com/gilileoB/statu… Mark Carney, Canada’s Prime Minister and leader of the Liberal Party, says: “We cannot trust America.” Meanwhile: - His wife lives in the United States - All four of his children live and study in the United States - 91% of his investment portfolio is in the United States - He owns a house in the United States Yet he tells Canadians they can’t trust America. Hypocrisy at its finest.

@ParsaTajik Now tell us how much of the value you created you captured yourself.

Can confirm this first hand. We rebuilt almost the entire ad stack for X in 5 weeks with a team of 10 engineers. It’s been the hardest and most rewarding challenge of my career. We might publish a blog to tell the story of project Avicide.

@RashnuDaad @yarbatman خوشم میاد با ۳ تا فالوور انتظار داری ادمهایی که خیلی ازت مهمترن به کامنتهایی که زیر پستاشون میذاری توجه یا جواب بدن. تو ام‌ تو این زمینه ابر امیدواری‌🤣

@yarbatman یه گروه اسمشون پنیکنه، یه گروه هم مثل شما ابرامیدوارها به مذاکره

«در این دور از مذاکرات»

@aarondmiller2 Possible that they already got some agreement on the Hormuz issue. You would then want to exert public pressure on the remaining open items. Parties rarely walk back on agreements they’ve made on an issue while a negotiation process is still ongoing.

If Administration believed after only 21 hours of negotiations, Iran would give up enrichment which is what Vance implied, they totally misread the moment and the Iranian dominated IRGC.

@AliVaez It seems failed if you set the goal as a comprehensive peace deal at 1st try. It wouldn’t have lasted 21 hours if both sides had been as dogmatic as the media suggests. They won’t throw away what progress they made. The public statements are to exert leverage prior to next round.

Islamabad failed because Washington wanted a quick, face-saving surrender, Tehran wanted a slow, dignity-first negotiation, and for both sides the political cost of compromise still looked higher than the cost of another confrontation. nytimes.com/live/2026/04/1…

@2iceagain @MiddleEastEye Economic progress needs security to be sustainable/protected. One option would’ve been to buy security from the US, but that would’ve been counter-ideological. China/Russia unreliable. Join NATO? Difficult. Regional bloc? Gulfies not interested. What do you do?

@MiddleEastEye And the country tens of years economic progress.

"[Uranium] enrichment proved ineffective as a deterrent, failed to generate electricity, and never culminated in a nuclear weapon. Ultimately, it cost Khamenei his life" ✍️ Opinion by Shahir Shahidsaless middleeasteye.pulse.ly/ejgoj0gdl2

@2iceagain تو ۵۷ بی تفاوتی خیلیا باعث شد یک مسیر اشتباه توسط اون عده مشتاق برا همه ترسیم شه. امروز هم جنگ طلبا به مراتب پر انرژی تر و همبسته تر از ضد جنگیا عمل میکنن تقریبا هر اخر هفته تو خیابونا تظاهرات میکنن اما نتایج جنگ پاچه همه‌ رو با هم میگیره. خیر، استوری گذاشتن اعتراض نیست تنبلیه.

@2iceagain در دراز مدت ملتها نتیجه تصمیماشونو میگیرن چه خوب چه بد. ملت اون سال انقلاب کرد این شد. امروز جنگ میخوان، شاید دراز مدت خوب شد شاید بد. اینکه ملت همیشه خودشو به قربانی بودن میزنه شونه خالی کردن از مسوولیته. خدا هم که بیاد پایین نمیتونه جلوی ۹۰ ملیون دل متحد رو بگیره اما کو اتحاد؟

بامزه‌س که طرفداران حکومت و طرفداران ترامپ هر دو اعلام پیروزی و شکست دادن/کم آوردن طرف مقابل رو کردند. هر دو هم فکر می‌کنند شق القمر کردند. ما که بخیل نیستیم. اما بیچاره مردم ایران که بازنده‌ی اصلی هستند. خودشون موندن و حکومت نابکار دزد مردم‌کش.

@ShShahidsaless تا وقتی یه رقیب منطقه ای اتمی داره و عملا آتش به اختیاره، کشورای اطرافش مجبور میشن یه فکری به حال خودشون بکنن. ترکیه ‌که عضو ناتو شد. عربها یا باهاشون عادی سازی کردن (if you can’t beat them join them) یا حمایت اتمی رو از پاکستان خریدن. ایران دنبال چین رفت اما ترسید دبّه کنه.

پیشنهاد می کنم این تحلیل من را که امروز منتشر شد بخوانید

@ronkean @ZeinakhodrAljaz True that attack started this round of the battle that’s been going on for decades. Brutal asymmetric retaliation though won’t mitigate future threat, just provides a feeling of justice served. Probably even breeds more enemies. Sometimes the right thing to do is the smart thing.

@ZeinakhodrAljaz Attacking and killing Israelis started this whole thing.

More Israeli strikes in southern #Lebanon ... more civilian casualties ... intense bombardment continues ... town of Maaroub in Tyre district up to 6 women and children killed ... earlier a strike in Qana killed 5 ...

@glcarlstrom It’s not about attention to detail. It’s about “getting it.” Getting the Iranian, Shia, revolutionary psyche. You need to have studied them and familiarized yourself with how they see the world. That’s who’s really need and isn’t there.

It's ironic, because ~15 months ago the Iranians were guardedly optimistic about dealing with Witkoff: had the president's ear, seemed pragmatic and eager for a deal, at one point even wanted to fly to Tehran for talks. Obviously that view was short-lived Sending Vance is a signal of seriousness, and I do think he's sharper and more attentive to detail than the real-estate clowns (admittedly a low bar). But at the end of the day the decision is still up to Trump And of course if this goes badly, Vance will turn into a very convenient scapegoat wsj.com/world/how-vanc…

@yarbatman Everytime discussions like these happen they’re expected to produce such profound outcomes that the high expectations contribute to their failure. JCPOA best example. Profound outcomes are the result of small compounding steps over time, not some grand deal struck in a day or two

After everything the Iranians inside the country and the diaspora have gone through in recent months and years, there is understandably a lot of consternation about the diplomacy now underway in Islamabad and what it means for the preservation of the Islamic Republic. The lesson of the last two decades is that ordinary Iranians cannot live the lives they deserve without a transformative change in U.S.-Iran relations. If such a change can be achieved today, without further destruction and loss of life, the opportunity must be seized. This is an imperative even if the leaders negotiating the deal, on both sides of the table, have often failed to uphold the decorum of their offices and lack clear mandates from their electorates. I firmly believe that Iran needs to experience fundamental political change. Ordinary Iranians have been failed by a political class unwilling or unable to ensure security, provide prosperity, deliver equality, and safeguard basic civil liberties. The political project of the Islamic Republic has failed. However, in the face of this failure, Iranians have been persistent in their political activism and social organization. They have pushed back against state repression and economic deprivation to preserve spaces for self-expression and innovation and community to a degree rarely seen in the Middle East. There are amazing things happening in Iran each day that speak to the resilience of ordinary people and their incredible capacity to imagine and realize better conditions for themselves and their communities. Each of the forty days of the war, we learned about a new person, or initiative, or place that represented the best of Iran and we also learned about how the war was threatening or destroying those sources of positivity: a schoolchild, an artist, a small business, a historic palace, a steel factory, a bridge, a medical institute etc. If the talks now taking place in Islamabad can remove just some of the obstacles that have slowed the progress of the Iranian people in creating a more just and prosperous society, than diplomacy deserves our support. Iranians cannot reasonably achieve their political aspirations if they are forced to live in a country traumatized and damaged by repeated wars. They will likewise struggle to pushback against authoritarian forces if their leaders remain completely unaccountable to the international community and especially the United States. Isolation breeds despotism. Insecurity breeds repression. Antagonism breeds paranoia. This is the lesson of 47 years. The kind of diplomatic agreement that is being discussed right now could profoundly shift Iran's trajectory in political and economic terms. This would have an inherently positive impact on Iranian society precisely because the social fabric of Iran, although worn and tattered by so many years of internal repression and external pressures, remains that of a country in which people remain able to imagine and pursue their personal fulfillment so long as they are provided just a modicum of stability, support, and freedom. Even in the difficult circumstances of the Islamic Republic people have managed to find dignity in their work and meaning in their social relations. But too few people are being provided such opportunities today. A diplomatic agreement that could improve economic welfare and reduce the isolation of the Iranian people is inherently worthy for it would mean more Iranians can access the stability, support, and space they need to lead fulfilling lives. There is no promise that the talks will succeed. But there is no shame in hoping. Hope has gotten us this far.

@ShShahidsaless ضمنا عکس گرفتن با کسایی که کمتر از یک هفته پیش تهدید به زوال کل تمدنت میکردن خیلی افت داره تو چشم هوادارای که ۴۰ شب خیابونا بودن (حالا به زور یا اختیاری) .

حرکات احمقانه ای که کار را به جنگ کشاند شروع شد. مذاکرات با حضور مذاکره کنندگان در اطاق های جداگانه و غیرمستقیم . یا مذاکره می کنید یا نمی کنید. اگر می کنید این صحنه سازی مسخره یعنی چه؟ که نشان دهید هنوز روح خامنه‌ای بر کشور حکم می راند؟