MQ

The day to full port short has finally come @Yam_Trades. Ready to delete this tweet if wrong. $SPX $NDX $QQQ $RUT

@agtrader lol

Then cross the strait! What's the issue???

Revisiting Entropy - May 11, 2026 open.substack.com/pub/machinaqua…

@AuclairsDad Ya I’m finding the hedges aren’t hedging. Not even worth hedging many times

@Marlin_Capital Well done and well deserved

The sun is shining, we’re up BIG, and Marlin Capital is the 10th fastest growing Substack in the world! $LITE $COHR $RKLB $AEHR

@BoringBiz_ Might as well get sales staff to start doing mechanical work to fix cars in the shop. Claude can guide them.

Coinbase fired 14% of their staff and CEO openly talked about non technical folks writing product code using AI Just a few days later, their site goes down for hours in a row and customers are unable to access their account or money You literally cannot make this up

@agtrader @TheAndreiZZ Agreed

@TheAndreiZZ was wrong? will close the year lower than here though

claude making dials.. had to see this spot up/vol up

@Melon_Trades Good luck taking that away from me Claude

You should literally be unemployedmaxxing

A bull market needs rotation so its good to see money rotating out of semis back into semis.

Is JPM cornering the potatoes market now?

@realharveymark Still seeing too much doom and gloom out there? :)

@Tom__Capital Sounds like peace deal is going well. If anyone is following it

🫡

Maybe it’s different this time

The market immediately after you sell.

We are at the stage where less than +1% up days I consider as markets crashing.

@hoomansv This is too good man

$AMD dips 4% Dip buyers:

This

Read the Market Wizards chapter on Kristjan Kullamägi this weekend. The one section that really stood out was when he discussed his drawdown off of his 2021 peak. "I started 2020 with $3.5 million and ended the year at $36 million. It was a thousand percent year. Then I ran that $36 million to a high of $105 million, and the last portion of that move from $65 to $105 million occurred in just a month and a half. For a brief period, just a few days, I was over $100 million. You have to understand what that did to my psyche. It made me feel completely detached from reality. I thought, “I’m going to get to $200 million in six months.” I was completely sure of that. I started seeing trading as a video game, which I kept winning. Measured from my $105 million peak in November 2021 to my mid-2022 low, I lost approximately $60 million. About half of that loss represented the late 2021 retracement of the large open profits at the November peak to the stops on those positions. The initial retracement loss was so large because I was leveraged long at my peak. My long exposure was $150 million—a number I recall because I remember bragging about it to a friend" These boom and bust type tales are as old as time. Look at Jessie Livermore as the classic example. Net worth of $0 in 1906 to a peak of $1.6 billion (inflation adjusted to 2021 dollars) in 1929. Just 5 years later he blew up and owed $104 million dollars to his brokers... Or look at Paul Tudor Jones. Hit one of the most legendary trades in history, making roughly $200 million dollars during the 1987 crash. It cemented him as a legend. His mental coach Tony Robbins said that Jones consistently lost money for the next 4 years after that peak. Dan Zanger parlayed $10,000 into $42 million during the late 90's. Then in late 2000 he took a 70% drawdown when he was 200% long 3-4 fiber optic stocks as the dot-com bubble was popping. Charles Harris reached 8-figures status after he ran up his account over 4,000% from 2020-21, then experienced a -80% drawdown, mostly due to his big TSLA bet in 2021-2022. I have seen a few people speculating on Kristjans story from the outside. Saying "I would have stopped trading at $100 million" or "I would have just taken that money and started investing". To those people I ask if you have ever experienced a real euphoric run in your trading account, let alone turning 5k into 100mil? Extreme winning streaks like the ones above breed overwhelming euphoria and overconfidence. The mind shifts its focus from process to outcomes, with ego-driven decisions overriding risk parameters and rules. From my experience I have found it near impossible to be aware of this at the peak of the run. It is almost like you are blacked out and the greed/ego completely takes over your trading. Then the drawdown begins. The emotions shift from euphoria and greed to revenge, fear, and doubt. This is where things can really start to spiral out of control. It is only after the drawdown has run its course that you finally come back to your senses and your emotions drift back towards baseline levels. Then all you're left with is regret... Few people ever talk about what a big winning streak can do to you. It can literally change the way you think and operate. Often the ability to achieve super returns is also its biggest drawback—a true double-edged sword. To be able to conquer both sides is the holy grail... From the Hour Between Dog and Wolf by John Coates: "When traders enjoy an extended winning streak they experience a high that is powerfully narcotic. This feeling, as overwhelming as passionate desire or wall-banging anger, is very difficult to control. Any trader knows the feeling, and we all fear its consequences. Under its influence we tend to feel invincible, and put on such stupid trades, in such large size, that we end up losing more money on them than we made on the winning streak in the first place. It has to be understood that traders on a roll are traders under the influence of a drug that has the power to transform them into different people."

Holy crazy this is what caused the first downturn this year

@thisisorlando This is great view

If you’re trying to understand deep value beyond just “cheap stock”.. This is how I think about cycles, psychology, and where real opportunities come from. Check out my breakdown below 👇🏼

Alpha Alert 🚨 Something I’ve learned about market cycles, deep value plays, and what I pay the most attention to when analyzing trends: Every major tech-driven cycle looks the same. Early innovation is ignored, then overhyped, then wiped out. The market goes from undervaluing the idea to overpricing the dream. Most investors get wrecked trying to skip to the profit phase. But the path is always: promise → mania → collapse → real adoption. The real alpha is in tracking the collapse and positioning early in real adoption. That’s when price stops chasing hype and starts following fundamentals 🧠 We saw it with the internet after the dot-com bubble, biotech post-2016, and cloud and growth names after the 2021 wipeout. EVs for an example is entering real adoption now after collapsing. Solar is getting close to it. AI is still balls deep in mania 📈 Adapt to liquidity. Understand cycles. Stop chasing dreams while smart money buys reality.