Bob Dewey

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Bob Dewey

Bob Dewey

@macroleverageTP

Most people think the future is collapsing. I study how progress actually happens.

Connecticut, USA Katılım Mart 2009
986 Takip Edilen1.6K Takipçiler
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Bob Dewey
Bob Dewey@macroleverageTP·
Gold is repricing trust. Below is the updated debt-to-gold ratio. For 100+ years it climbed almost in one direction as fiat replaced discipline. As @LynAldenContact has shown, gold couldn’t keep up with the telegraph — money had to move faster than metal. As @saifedean explains, WWI accelerated the break from sound money and ushered in the debt-laden fiat century. The ratio just turned — but not because debt fell.
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Bob Dewey
Bob Dewey@macroleverageTP·
@MrCDraws @DzambhalaHODL Not true. Every means of owning any asset involves risks. Don’t forget that ETFs are a giant, concentrated risk of a hack that is more likely targeted by the largest best attackers.
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Chester Draws
Chester Draws@MrCDraws·
@DzambhalaHODL If you’re in bitcoin purely as an investment you’d be out of your mind to get exposure to it through anything but an ETF these days.
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Steven Lubka ☀️
Steven Lubka ☀️@DzambhalaHODL·
I am honestly grateful that I never recommended a Coldcard to over 1,000+ private wealth clients. The main reason was recommending a complicated and technical setup to non-technical users was a no-go, but that heuristic was sure protective here.
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Bob Dewey
Bob Dewey@macroleverageTP·
Very well said. Important to remember that no matter where you keep your hard-earned savings, there is risk today like there was throughout history. Think back 25 years ago, 250 years ago, 2,500 years ago, etc. And every time we think we have eliminated or minimized the risks, we learn otherwise. It is a fact of life. AI has made electronic protections vulnerable in the near term, but self-custody may be a relatively safe tech because there are so many relatively small targets.
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Eric Yakes
Eric Yakes@ericyakes·
The key takeaways from the coldcard incident, IMO: Small hobbyist companies are a risk and this is a good filtering mechanism: I would say the primary reason I wasn't recommending coldcard was because of this. Look at the team at @Bitkey - large companies can afford top people. This isn't an algorithm but it's a heuristic that I often follow and see in my day to day interactions frequently - the quality of people signals a lot about a company. Podcasters who sell adds are podcasters who sell adds. Take responsibility for your actions: Unfollow whoever you want. If you're blaming an influencer for recommending a product that requires more personal agency and technical knowledge than 99% of consumer products, and you decided to put your life savings on it, and it turned out to be a shit product...then you are a low agency buffoon and life will continue to surprise you negative outcomes. Nobody owes you anything, nobody cares about you. Trust judgement, not morals. Verify, don't trust is a meme: every day you're trusting things - that your car works and your home is structurally sound and your friend is dependable. As you become a more capable person, people begin demanding more and more of your time and it becomes more and more scarce. Spending all of your time verifying the reality of any dependency you ever take is a losers path through life - pursuing this means you have no time for creation and growth. Trusting the right things is the winners path through life (not easy and winning isn't easy). Learn how to do this. This meme of verify everything is only tenable for people who's time is not scarce. Do not be someone who's time isn't scarce. Bitcoin is the most unique industry in the world: at the drop of a hat, experts from the around the industry dedicated days and nights to ensure people do not lose money. I don't often see pure altruism but I believe I saw it here. There is a sympathy amongst bitcoiners as a group where hearing these stories of loss are simply to hard to hear and many of us couldn't imagine this happening to ourselves. People stepped up and got shit done and that is a beautiful thing. Bitcoin is unique in that every one holding it has a vested interest in it's broader success and that has created the voluntary collaborative environment in pursuit of the actual social welfare. This incentive is why bitcoin will win. AI will make software truly secure beyond human comprehension, literally: the ability to hack and the ability to secure are two sides of the same coin. There is an arms race emerging and no software is safe. There will be casualties along the way. As a venture investor in this space, this arms race is what I am most concerned about right now (10x more than quantum computing). What's important is that our industry continues to harden as rapidly as we can. We're securing the worlds first neutral monetary system. Because bitcoin is purely digital, there is no greater incentive to attack it - it's the most marketable asset that you can sell and use purely on the internet. This will incentive it's ecosystem to create the most hardened financial software layer that exists and 5-10 years from now that will make all of this difference.
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Bob Dewey
Bob Dewey@macroleverageTP·
@TimKotzman Great idea, Tim. Building a strong media ecosystem alongside the companies themselves will help everyone better understand this new asset class. Happy to help however I can.
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Tim Kotzman
Tim Kotzman@TimKotzman·
Calling all journalists, analysts, commentators, and writers. Bitcoin Treasuries Media is expanding our team of contributing editors. If you’re passionate about Bitcoin, Bitcoin treasury companies, AI, capital markets, or the future of corporate finance, we’d love to hear from you. We’re looking for thoughtful voices who want to contribute articles, analysis, interviews, and original research to help shape the conversation. Interested? Comment below or send me a DM. Let’s build the leading publication covering the Bitcoin treasury ecosystem together.
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Bob Dewey
Bob Dewey@macroleverageTP·
@RasterlyRock Oh no, the boogie man is coming. And there is nothing anyone can do to stop it.
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Ryan Rasmussen
Ryan Rasmussen@RasterlyRock·
Jim Cramer on CNBC this morning: “I’m going to sell my bitcoin” because of quantum risk.
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David Zell
David Zell@DavidZell_·
A journalist from @theragetech informed me today about an upcoming article on Bitcoin Policy Institute's participation in the State Department's new Freedom Tech Excellence Program. They asked me for comments on the Department's "stated remarks to use debanking to disrupt left-wing supporters" and "the admin's stifling of expression beyond the remarks". The journalist said my statement was too long to include in full. Therefore, I'm publishing it here: "We have opposed politicized debanking across two administrations. Cutting people off from the financial system over their beliefs corrodes a free society, and it makes no difference whether the account belongs to a Bitcoin company, a gun shop, a conservative charity, or a progressive nonprofit. The administration recognized this in its August 2025 executive order on fair banking. We agreed with that order when it was signed and we still do. We believe technologies that make debanking and censorship of speech impossible are squarely in America's strategic interest. When people anywhere on earth can spend and speak as they please, our authoritarian rivals lose the machinery they rule through. That gain decisively outweighs the frustrations freedom technology creates for domestic law enforcement. We joined the Freedom Tech Excellence Program to help the government understand this."
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Bob Dewey
Bob Dewey@macroleverageTP·
@DavidNage Is there a path to resolution? Are there any from the GOP that are holding it up for that reason?
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Ram Ahluwalia CFA, Lumida
Ram Ahluwalia CFA, Lumida@ramahluwalia·
Mark Zuckerberg is urging policymakers to keep open-weight AI legal to accelerate domestic innovation and eliminate bottlenecks. While AI is currently in its productivity phase, solving complex problems rather than handling delegated work, the transition toward true applied intelligence is well underway. Supporting open innovation today will ensure we maximize its real-world potential tomorrow.
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Bob Dewey
Bob Dewey@macroleverageTP·
Live long and die fast should be the objective, right? But medical progress is resulting in the opposite. Since 1990, it has added 9 years to global life expectancy. It only added only 7 healthy ones. The gap is real, it's growing, and it's widest in the United States. Progress and better health are not the same claim. Full report: #fig4" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">thelancet.com/journals/lanpu…
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Jeff Park
Jeff Park@dgt10011·
July 31 2007 was the day Bear Stearns liquidated its subprime mortgage portfolios, marking the beginning of the GFC, and the eventual birth of Bitcoin. Today the 30yr yield passed 5.2%, the highest level of the year and since that dramatic event. The time for Bitcoin is near.
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Troy Cross
Troy Cross@thetrocro·
This is interesting. Thanks, Claude.
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Bob Dewey
Bob Dewey@macroleverageTP·
@matthew_sigel Excellent analysis that none of them had perspective on. Hard not to blame political bias, but that might be too knee-jerk. Good to ponder why.
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matthew sigel, recovering CFA
Asked Claude to pull every Fed presser question in 2022 vs 2026: "In July 2022, with CPI running at 9.1%, unemployment at a 50-year low of 3.6%, and the fed funds rate at just 2.25–2.50% — deeply negative in real terms and well below what any standard Taylor rule specification would prescribe — the Fed press corps treated Powell like a man about to cause a recession: 36% of questions were about job losses, soft landings, and financial stability risk, and not one reporter challenged him for being insufficiently hawkish. Fast forward to July 2026: inflation is less than half that level at roughly 3.5%, unemployment has risen 70 basis points to 4.3%, the fed funds rate sits at 3.50–3.75% — meaningfully positive in real terms and broadly consistent with Taylor rule estimates given the current output gap — yet 64% of journalist questions pressed Warsh on why he hadn't hiked, with zero questions about employment downside or overtightening risk. The press corps didn't just flip — they abandoned the employment side of the dual mandate entirely at precisely the moment the data most justified raising it. The most charitable explanation is that five-plus years of above-target inflation permanently reset journalists' priors, making hawkishness the default frame regardless of context. The less charitable one: reporters followed the three FOMC dissenters and the bond market into the room and called it journalism." Thoughts?
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matthew sigel, recovering CFA
Instead of hiring (or training) an experienced market reporter for their "cross assets" team, Bloomberg went with the guy whose idea of journalism was tear-jerkers about tenants paying $200/month suing their evil landlord. Day 3 and already showing his cards. Don't call me.
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Ben Weiss@bdanweiss

hi! today is my third day at Bloomberg. i'll still be reporting on crypto shenanigans but also prediction markets and other newfangled financial products for the cross-assets team. pitch me at bweiss109@bloomberg.net. send me tips (not pitches) at bdanweiss.123 on Signal!

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