

Bob Dewey
4.8K posts

@macroleverageTP
Most people think the future is collapsing. I study how progress actually happens.









.@BlockstreamJade was added to the recommendation list.



🚨 New York Democrats introduce bill requiring 10% discounts on all items at self-checkout.

SITUATIONAL AWARENESS 13F Leopold Aschenbrenner’s 13F gets the most views on the Lumida Invest app. Let’s take a look at his factor exposures. You can see on the attached that Leopold has a whopping 3 standard deviations of Animal Spirits in his portfolio. Add to that boat loads of momentum. And the AI theme. That’s the recipe. That’s it. Note: We simulate the portfolio assuming quarterly positions are maintained. The volatility on this portfolio is not unlike a 3X levered bet on Semis. This portfolio, put simply, is really a giant bet on high beta AI stocks.



WHEN AI EMPLOYEES? We’re still early. The browser started as a web browser … in 5 years it opened. new markets: SaaS, e-commerce, online dating, social media, real estate, etc. We still don’t have an AI chief of staff that’s always on. (You can build one…still nothing out of the box.) The AI CoS watches Slack, Asana, Github, and your CRM. It remembers yesterday. It follows up. It wakes up on its own. The fact this obvious tool does not exist yet tells you how early we are. The breakthrough isn’t a smarter model. It’s persistent memory, continuous observation, and autonomous execution. *The real unlock is when AI can do the work, not just create more work for human review.* We are gradually exiting the age of AI slop. The next gen of software isn’t apps. It’s co-workers. Co-workers that need compute, memory, storage, and energy.






AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION CEO ROB NICHOLS SAYS HE SUPPORTS THE CLARITY ACT BUT WANTS ITS STABLECOIN YIELD BAN EXTENDED TO AFFILIATES AND EXCHANGES TO PREVENT DEPOSIT FLIGHT FROM BANKS AND CREDIT UNIONS





hi! today is my third day at Bloomberg. i'll still be reporting on crypto shenanigans but also prediction markets and other newfangled financial products for the cross-assets team. pitch me at bweiss109@bloomberg.net. send me tips (not pitches) at bdanweiss.123 on Signal!