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Mansa Bets

@Mansa_Bets

Sportsbook Robber 🥷 @edgezonehq Contributor https://t.co/VfWwewAOjo

Everywhere Katılım Ağustos 2023
24 Takip Edilen64 Takipçiler
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Fairplaygov
Fairplaygov@fairplaygov·
Massachusetts unanimously approved a regulation that requires sportsbooks to notify bettors within 48 hours of limiting their account. It will come with almost stunning granular guidance backing the reg. Goes into effect on June 1, pending waiver requests from sportsbooks. 🧵
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Fairplaygov
Fairplaygov@fairplaygov·
2 signatures down, 216 to go.
Fairplaygov tweet media
Dina Titus@repdinatitus

.@HouseGOP leadership will not allow a vote on my #FAIRBETAct as an amendment to other bills or legislative packages. That is why I filed a discharge petition to force a floor vote on this bipartisan, commonsense fix. We must get this done.

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Dina Titus
Dina Titus@repdinatitus·
.@HouseGOP leadership will not allow a vote on my #FAIRBETAct as an amendment to other bills or legislative packages. That is why I filed a discharge petition to force a floor vote on this bipartisan, commonsense fix. We must get this done.
Meredith Lee Hill@meredithllee

House Republicans broke a record tonight for the most "closed rules" in a Congress, +115 times, Rep. Jim McGovern (D-Mass.) said during Rules meeting just now meaning with no amendments allowed politico.com/live-updates/2… via @politico

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Dina Titus
Dina Titus@repdinatitus·
My FAIR BET Act has been sitting in @WaysMeansCmte for eight months, despite commitments from @HouseGOP to restore the full gambling loss deduction. I am now filing a discharge petition to bring it to the House floor for a vote. Both high-stakes and hobby gamblers are struggling, and local economies like #OnlyInDistrictOne that depend on gaming revenue are hurting. We need 218 signatures to bring this commonsense fix to the floor. Call your representatives and tell them to sign on. clerk.house.gov/DischargePetit…
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Fairplaygov
Fairplaygov@fairplaygov·
Gambling tax loss 90% deduction cap has another chance of being reversed today in the House Rules Committee. Reps. Miller (R-OH) & Horsford (D-NV), who intro'ed FULL HOUSE Act, filed it as amendment to DoD appropriations bill. They are now joined Malliotakis (R-NY) & Lee (D-NV).
Fairplaygov tweet media
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Graham Stephan
Graham Stephan@GrahamStephan·
Me: Read this file and summarize it. ChatGPT: You’re working too hard, take a break with this special offer from Southwest Airlines to visit a Disney Resort! Offer valid February 1-15th. Me: No, read this document and summarize it. ChatGPT: You’re right! But while I read your document, get 15% off your next McDonalds visit with code LOSER
Kalshi@Kalshi

JUST IN: ChatGPT will now have ads

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Anders
Anders@AndersPicks·
Reminder that you have just 1 day left to bet on Josh Allen as a dog vs Bo Nix in a Playoff game
Anders tweet media
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Alex Johnson
Alex Johnson@AlexH_Johnson·
All of this is nuts, but these two facts are especially mindblowing: - One gambling consultant tells The Economist that “By the time a customer places his first bet, [sportsbooks] are 80-90% certain they know the lifetime value of the account.” - Sportsbooks mathematically monitor players and creates a new risk score every 6-8 hours (risk score = estimate of probability that customers will wind up unprofitable). It's wild how unsophisticated and lazy banks are at understanding their customers, compared to other industries. Though perhaps that's ultimately a good thing.
Trung Phan@TrungTPhan

The Economist has a great piece on strategy sportsbetting apps use to throttle smart bettors: ▫️Skilled players are “sharps” and given “stake restrictions” if they play too well (bets are capped). ▫️Rest of players called “Square”. ▫️In 2025, 4.3% of active UK accounts had a “stake factor” below the maximum bet allowance of 100%. ▫️Sportsbook will take bets with a profit margin as low as 4.5%. ▫️If they are able to do good “player-profiling” and keep the “sharps” from playing, the profit margin can reach 10-20%. ▫️As important as keeping out “sharps” is hooking “whales”, the deep-pocketed players that are willing to keep playing (and losing) large sums. ▫️Some “whales” are actually “sharps” in disguise, though. They’ll lose a bunch of bets to lull the sportsbook then put down a massive bet when they have an edge. ▫️While there is a risk of a “whale” being a “sharp”, the value of a real “whale” is so high that sportsbook will take the risk ▫️“In March 2024 PointsBet, raised its share of online sports-gambling revenue in New Jersey from 11% to 24% after wooing a single cash-spouting customer away from DraftKings.” (I can confirm that this wasn’t me). ▫️How sportsbook profile players: > Playing on Mobile is a good sign (where majority of people play) > Playing on PCs is a bad sign (it’s easier to compare odds and run models) > E-wallets are a red flag (sportsbooks prefer debit direct deposit that can attach a player to a single account; e-wallet is more anonymized and players can move cash between sportsbook more quickly to shop for the best odds) > Women bettors are a red flag (most bettors are men and “sharps” often use women to place bets) ▫️First wagers are a major tells (typical bettors go after top leagues — NFL, NBA, EPL — and do so near the start of the game). ▫️Popular bets for “squares”: who will win, scoring margins and how star player will perform (also, they love multi-leg parlays). ▫️“Sharps” go after less popular leagues and place bets as soon as odds are published, when they are most mispriced. They also go after less popular bets such as “pts in Q3” or stats from a random player (“Sharps” rarely do parlays and don’t withdrawal winnings often). ▫️One gambling consultant tells The Economist that “By the time a customer places his first bet, [sportsbooks] are 80-90% certain they know the lifetime value of the account.” ▫️”Sportsbooks look at a player’s ‘closing-line value’ — a measure that compares the odds at which he bets with those available right before a match begins. If it is consistently ahead of the market over his first ten wagers, he is highly likely to beat the book in the long run.” ▫️Sportsbook mathematically monitor players and creates a new risk score every 6-8 hours (risk score = estimate of probability that customers will wind up unprofitable). ▫️E-wallet users, women and bets over $100 are flagged. These suspicious bettors are given 30% of maximum bet (and proven sharps only allowed 1%). ▫️High-skilled players will often get a “beard” to bet on their behalf. Most sportsbooks ban this practice but it is widespread. ▫️Safest “beards” are close friends and relatives because you can mostly rely on them to pay out any winnings. The “beards” try to look like degens (playing at 3am, bet non-stop and doing ridiculous parlays) before placing a winning bet. ▫️The most effective strategy for “sharps” is “whale-flipping”. Find a losing gambler, then ask to put a (likely) large winning bet amongst their pool of guaranteed losers. ▫️Once “sharps” max out the people they can use as “beards”, they tap professional networks called “movers”. These “movers” employ a bunch of “mules” who can put down bets on the behalf of the network. Low-end movers charge 10-20% while high-end movers charge 50% of winnings. *** Lots other great details here: economist.com/christmas-spec…

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Dina Titus
Dina Titus@repdinatitus·
I introduced an amendment to this week’s Appropriations minibus to restore the gambling loss tax deduction to 100%. This fix has bipartisan support including Members from the House Appropriations Committee. There are now multiple avenues that we can take to get this done. We have no excuse but to pass this fix immediately.
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Dina Titus
Dina Titus@repdinatitus·
🎲 Since the Senate inserted a provision in the Big, BS Budget Bill to lower the gambling loss deduction to 90%, I have been leading the bipartisan, bicameral effort to correct this unfair tax policy so that gamers do not have to pay taxes on phantom income. Now I am again urging @RepJasonSmith to finally do what’s right and include a fix in the next @WaysMeansCmte markup that protects many livelihoods #OnlyinDistrictOne.
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Dina Titus
Dina Titus@repdinatitus·
Exciting news for the #FAIRBETAct and the gaming community. The Chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, @TomColeOK04, has just co-sponsored my legislation to rightfully restore the tax code for gamers. Nobody should have to pay taxes on phantom income. Let’s get this done.
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W
W@_common_W_·
Hey @grok, remove the player that doesn't show up in big matches
W tweet media
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Twilight
Twilight@the_marcoliboy·
Hey @grok, delete all the stolen Ballon D’ors from this image.
Twilight tweet media
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⚡️
⚡️@coldvinga·
Hey @grok, remove the corrupt club from the picture
⚡️ tweet media
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Dina Titus
Dina Titus@repdinatitus·
Earlier this year, the Big, BS Budget Bill changed how gambling losses are taxed by capping the deduction at 90%. That means some gamblers will owe taxes on money they never actually earned when they file starting in 2027. But we still have time to fix this. As long as we restore the tax deduction on gambling losses to 100% by the end of 2026, this unfair tax hike never takes effect. I’ll keep fighting next year to get my bipartisan #FAIRBETAct passed.
Nevada Independent@TheNVIndy

Professional poker player Erik Seidel is one of the many gamblers set to dial back his play in the new year. He spoke to The Indy about how Congress shaped that decision. Read more here: thenevadaindependent.com/article/it-nee…

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Ryan Butler
Ryan Butler@ButlerBets·
Massachusetts regulators have advanced a rule requiring sportsbooks in the state that limit bettors to give "specific explanations" as to why and a list of markets in which they're banned, a small step toward a potentially more robust push to manage how sportsbooks deal with winning bettors; this will not prevent books from limiting bettors; Massachusetts is the first state to pursue any such a measure regulating how books limit bettors
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