Mantis Investments

@JonahLupton @damnang2 Looks like $AAOI back to printing money

@damnang2 I think there’s a bunch of stocks that could rip higher tomorrow off these $AEHR results. I’m glad we own some of them. Too many of these stocks pulled back too far, now we get to enjoy the snapback

Come on, optics and test. Time to come back to life!!!!!!! 🚀

@RosannaInvests @MatiGreenspan @PrestiaChess I tried that a few times and it felt so weird 🤣It probably is the strongest theoretically.

@MantisInvests @MatiGreenspan @PrestiaChess lol. One of our sons played it. Yes it is very sound. 👍 Sicilian is still the best! 😆

Ha!

@RosannaInvests @MatiGreenspan @PrestiaChess Caro-Kann is better!

@MatiGreenspan LOL! In chess it’s a good defense against E4. My son played the FRENCH defense against a GM and got a draw. ♟️ he’s a master too. @PrestiaChess

@JonahLupton @matthew_sigel think there is any chance $NBIS does a Colo with $IREN?

@matthew_sigel Texas DC’s looking a little better tonight.

Largest US power Grid Misses Power Target; PJM is Short the Equivalent of Seven Nuclear Reactors

@Sandeman52 is it possible the algo's mistook NY for NJ? lol

$NBIS down because of New York’s 1 year moratorium on new data centers? Algos: Sell first, ask questions later. NBIS has no projects in New York. Even if they did, all projects that are already permitted can continue. So what? So even if this starts a precedent with a few liberal states, 99% chance that all pre-permitted projects can move forward….meaning nobody is caught flat footed. $NBIS is GLOBAL! They already said if one data center project is nixed, they have an enormous pipeline of sites. Welcome to the era of bots trading at high volume on headlines without the benefit of common sense. Short term volatility will happen. Long term execution will be rewarded and overshadow all of this soon enough.

@penguinvesting Depending on how you figure the EV with the sub s and how you figure the 2027 ARR we are getting close to 1:1 lol

I always laugh seeing $NBIS getting destroyed on -no news -on neutral news -on good news -on other companies' news Like where is the stock going? to 4x 2026 ARR? 2x 2027 ARR? All while demand is exploding and we're in the beginning of the biggest tech revolution in human history? ✅This is when I turn real bullish. When the market will see how profitable such a business can be, a multiple expansion will come. The market does not currently price in at all a 25-30% EBIT margin for the foreseable future.

@daniel_koss Is the market basically saying that more models and more players = bad for Nebius and higher memory prices = more demand = good for Nebius?

$NBIS crybaby investors and panicans, it seems you need some common sense. Deepseek going public is BULLISH Nebius. During the Deepseek panic last time Nebius stock went down 40%. Guess when they had their BEST WEEK EVER in sales? Bingo. Back then. Repeat after me: memory prices going up is BAD for Nebius. Opensource winning is GOOD. Market has it sooooo backwards 😂😂😂

@daniel_koss Well Said!

Cisco is held up as the post child for how buying at the top led to massive underperformance, but if your bought in Jan of 95’ (well into the buildout) you did pretty well. Just Saying.

@Funmentalist $AAOI

If you had to pick one photonics play What would it be? $LITE $AAOI $SIVE $COHR or something else? I will do a deeper deep dive on one of these, want to see which ones are worth spending the time I already did a small research on all of them

@Asker_itwasme Thank you! Those are some really good feedback points

@MantisInvests The narrative point responses at the end might have been a bit easier to read as 1a 1b 1c etc. Your financial estimates are reasonable but you should probably organize them into tables like you did on the industry comp at the top. 1/2

@RosannaInvests @athuinvests Thoughts on Mark Mahaney? He's generally seemed to have good calls in the tech space.

@athuinvests Not sure I trust Evercore but I trust ATHU! 💪😆 Let’s go! Long $KXIAY

$SNDK PT update to $3100 by Evercore $KXIAY PT update to $100 by Athu

@RosannaInvests @WallStreetApes Stew Leonard's is a Connecticut thing. I love shopping there!

@WallStreetApes This seems like something they would do in Europe say maybe France?

At some point there should be a limit on the unhealthy food being sold to Americans This is the hot butter dipped ice cream cone at Stew Leonard's grocery store chain They’re known as as the "Disneyland of Dairy Stores" and sell things like this Based on Stew Leonard’s soft serve data, these are the rough estimates for nutritional content - Calories about 650+ at larger sizes - Total fat is 45g+ which is very high due to butter plus ice cream creaminess - Saturated Fat: High because butter is 60–70% saturated - Carbs: 35–50g - Sugars: 25–40g This is the opposite of Make America Healthy Again

@ariaradnia It might be the best buy in the tech market right now, with the exception of $RDDT

@ariaradnia $APP is a beast.

$APP is taking wallet share from $META and $GOOGL

Random thought about AI investment: One of the bear cases is that those making these AI investments can one day simply say that "enough is enough" and simply stop spending on increased AI usage. I think the problem with this is it ignores the compounding advantage that is inherent in AI adoption and investment. When you apply AI to your business to make it more efficient, that efficiency, and the learnings from using AI, can be reinvested into the business. This reinvestment flywheel means that those who adopt AI 6 or 12 months too late do not remain 6 to 12 months behind, their disadvantage compounds over time. Therefore, the potential opportunity cost of not investing in AI on the enterprise level is simply to large to ignore. Anyone who has played a real time strategy game knows that early advantages compound into very large advantages later on. Watch a professional StarCraft 2 series and you'll hear the casters make a huge deal about Clem getting an extra drone or 2 off of Serral in the early game harassment, it's because they know that at that level, the long term economic cost of losing a worker or two early on is immense. I think the same thing is true of AI investment.

@MsVeilMoney $GOOGL

If you had to retire using only one stock, would you choose $MSFT, $META or $GOOGL? 🤔

I think both can be true, Frontier will continue to be valuable for the hardest problems, and open source will be useful for more routine tasks. In my opinion I think the best way to play it is with the infrastructure layer, specifically $GOOG and $NBIS. Most companies even using open source models are still going to use them through an infrastructure as a service platform, which they will pay hosting fees and other costs to.

I am not understanding how this AI trade can play out well. I saw Gavin’s tweet about lower cost open source models, which conflicts with Altimeter’s assertion that the frontier guys will continue to gain more share. Either way, the casualties will be brutal. If the frontier models continue to dominate, OpenAI and Anthropic do well, but costs remain high and the whole Jevons Paradox thesis is delayed. That doesnt seem like a great outcome given where valuations stand today. On the other hand, if the low cost open source models take meaningful share, Jevons Paradox kicks in, but OpenAI and Anthropic business models may be at risk, they may struggle to consistently make money, and therefore their trillions of dollars in future purchase commitments that are the cornerstone of the buildout of “the ecosystem” may not be money good, creating potential liquidity problems and death spirals with all of the leverage now in the system. To me it appears that the odds of a major disruption of some sort is extraordinarily high one way or the other. And it may be the next iteration of companies that are either tiny and private now or that havent even been started yet that will figure out how to make money from whatever wreckage transpires. Am I crazy or is this plane unlikely to land smoothly?