@FrankLuntz Not necessarily. He would have lost his first election. Who knows what would have happened then.
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Mark Motley
1.3K posts
Mark Motley
@MarkMotley43667
Your friendly neighborhood mathematician
Katılım Ağustos 2025
8 Takip Edilen74 Takipçiler
If we did this, the President of the United States would currently be Donald Trump.
Dream for America@DreamAmerica_
PETE BUTTIGIEG: "What if we selected our President by letting the person who got the most votes take the office, instead of the Electoral College?"
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@shane1step Is it not true that the only way for a player to end up in danger is because you chose to push the blue button?
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Забавно, как эта картинка очень обижает красных.
Они начинают оправдываться: "вы сами залезли под камень, мы не при чем!"
Они подменяют условия задачи.
И просто пишут оскорбления тебе, твоей семье, вообще всем. 300 комментариев — все оскорбления от красных.
я не Женя@shane1step
Фанаты красной кнопки: нет, вы сами выбираете умереть, мы просто стоим в сторонке. Как они стоят в сторонке:
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@GoblinWizard420 @ML_ennial If the players are all of sound mind and understand the game, the vote should be red unanimously. Your mental model of a rational player should predict their choosing red—no need to hypothesize any group of blue button pushers to save.
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@MarkMotley43667 @ML_ennial If you assume everyone is equally as rational as yourself, then there’s no dilemma because the vote will be unanimous. If you think that some rational people will press blue, wouldn’t that be a reason to also vote blue? To stop them from dying?
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a really weird aspect to this discourse is some people saying “oh when it said EVERYONE on earth you meant EVERYONE?!”
Jaden Williams@JadenJTW
@1MikeMcMichael If children, animals, and ANY AND ALL life without full reasoning ability are counted, I'd press blue. A higher share of blue means more lives saved, and at that scale, the math makes blue the only choice.
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@ReadingSteiiner @ML_ennial That’s clearly a different problem. I think a cleaner form is: say 10000 people, all of sound mind, play. A random N of them are forced to choose blue. Now how do you play? Now the N=1 and N=5000 problem are both thought provoking, but in very different ways.
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@MarkMotley43667 @ML_ennial The basics of reading the hypothetical properly means you understand that Red button is never going to have 0 deaths….100% being genuinely impossible.
Understanding the weight of a vote includes people that can’t vote is also thought provoking too either way.
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@theramblingfool @swingsandmises Could you elaborate? No one in this scenario is obligated to take on any risk. Is your reasoning that there’s some subgroup of the players who are too dumb to realize this and are bound to choose blue, and so the rest of us should choose blue as well to save them?
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Every Pro-red argument:
(1) Cynicism: "It's impossible for blue to win. Don't be suicidal."
(2) Narcissism: "There is no downside to pressing red."
(3) Changing the hypo: "Babies don't count. That'd be stupid! So there's a blender..."
(4) Psychopathy: "Blue pressers deserve to die."
(5) General poor analytic reasoning: "If everyone just pressed red!"
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@BrilynHollyhand Funny to say “Democrats can’t be allowed to rig our elections” in the middle of a tweet about republicans rigging Alabama elections.
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BREAKING: Democrats are now set to lose ALL of their U.S. House seats in Alabama now that Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey has called a special session on redistricting.
Democrats can't be allowed to rig our elections any longer.
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@Danish_SMF Isn’t atheism the *belief* that no gods exist? Any time you take a definite position on a question of fact, that’s a belief.
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Atheism isn't a belief.
It's the absence of belief in gods.
Just as 'off' isn't a TV channel and 'bald' isn't a hair color, atheism isn't a religion.
It's a single answer to a single question: 'Do you believe in any gods?'
No creed, no scripture, no rituals.
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TheHammer@Rat_Mitten
@Danish_SMF Atheism is a belief, it is a type of religion.
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@Noahpinion None of this takes artificial general intelligence though, right? Just a specialist AI that’s good at bioengineering in the hands of a nut job.
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That said, I think if AI wants to wipe us out, it'll be a LOT easier to do it with viruses than by managing a whole automated drone supply chain.
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion
Yes. Fully autonomous superintelligent AIs (skynet) would be able to hunt down and destroy humans with swarms of drones like these. Shotguns would not protect you. Access to your own drones would not protect you. You would merely die like a hunted animal.
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@DavidShafer I’m 53 and the KKK literally marched through the middle of my hometown. I was 18 at the time.
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I am 60 years old and have lived virtually my entire life in the American South. I have never to my knowledge met a single member of the Ku Klux Klan. It is a ghost kept alive by millions of dollars in funding by the Southern Poverty Law Center to keep us divided.
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@TheTravisRyder @RepJackKimble Looks like the congressman changed his mind.
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@DanDavisWrites I think the PIE word for salmon sounds a lot like “lox” too.
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You could go back 5000 years to the Pontic steppe to meet a PIE-speaking herder, point at the cattle and say "cows" and he'd be like "yeah I know, bro."
weird medieval guys@WeirdMedieval
etymology fun fact: "cow" and "beef" come from the same root word!
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@cammakingminds I have access only to my own experience of consciousness. If I examine a recording of the brain activity of another person (which will differ from my own) how to I know whether their subjective experience (if any) is so radically different from my own I wouldn’t recognize it?
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@cammakingminds At what point in the process do I learn their experiences in this thought experiment? Say I’m totally deaf but have access to the data collected from a high resolution brain scan of a hearing person. Can I infer what the experience of hearing is like from this?
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@cammakingminds Because I’m imagining a thing that *behaves* like me, not one that *is* like me. As an outsider I have no access to this other being’s subjective experiences (or lack thereof).
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@MarkMotley43667 You are a thing that has subjective experience how could you imagine a thing like you without subjective experience? That's not a thing like you?
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@yumtapwater I like they wrote “Discrete fun” suggesting the fun comes in separate little bite sized pieces.
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