Mark Checkwicz

Hey Professional Responsible Gambling folks w/ cute messages: I know more about problem gambling than you do or ever will. YOU’RE NOT CURIOUS. You’re sloppy and self-serving. And far too many of you never found a way to gamble responsibly. Seems like a BIG hole in your game. 🤷‍♂️

@SoftwareBrian @SherryPluskota @GK66534349 @isaacasimoff @mjbloech @JoeyGPoker @Tracie82662487 Exactly. Players need CHIP protectors.

@SherryPluskota @GK66534349 @isaacasimoff @mjbloech @JoeyGPoker @Tracie82662487 There are plenty of wrong answers @SherryPluskota. What is with this pack? I’d definitely goof on someone who pulled out half this stuff. First off card protectors?!?! The card protectors are provided with the tournament, they’re called chips.

During the Daily Coverage Space we went around the horn to fill a Poker Backpack. Our recommendations to a Vegas Summa Camp first timer. Hope this helps you plan for your trip! Thanks @isaacasimoff @mjbloech @JoeyGPoker @Tracie82662487

@HaroldWren22 @PokerCookieM @MizDonna69 @sethjlevy I was talking about Paxton, Dumbass. Now go ahead and block this account too Marshmallow Boy

Its always amusing watching you trump hating sycophants point out every perceived flaw of his, while you ignore so many others. You wont be honest, but we see it regardless— you’re just personally invested in hating a political enemy & hiding behind self righteousness. Its weak & its fucking pathetic. Go tell it to your bluesky echo chambers. They might give you the superficial validation you seek as you virtue signal. None of the rest of us give a shit. Having now pointed this out, I’ll agree: your not worth any further time from anyone else; not because of your contrary opinions, or even your fake morality— but because you didn’t show up to have a good faith conversation. GTFOOH.

On Thursday last week the Senate was mad at Trump and they left town instead of voting for his priorities. The next day Cornyn said he would pull a Truman vs Dewey victory over Paxton despite Trump's endorsement. They left town in order to let Cornyn do his thing. He lost. It wasn't even close. We still have the wildcards in the Senate who are out this cycle. But maybe. Just maybe. Their colleagues will tell them to sit down and shut their mouths. Fwiw. Rounds is up next week in SD. The same state as Thune.

Many have tracked their poker result and alcohol will definitely impact it. This impact is NOT wildly overstated.

This is exactly my unsolicited advice to myself when I disagree with my wife. I, like Kalshi, fail to take the advice.

@SteveRuddock He also tweeted relentlessly that he was an INDEPENDENT voice and that it was made him credible. That he and other independents would be the leaders. When he stopped being independent, he deleted his entire account. Criminals should not be the leading voices on harm-prevention.

Harry and I don't see eye-to-eye on a lot of things, but I thought this was a well-known part of his story. He certainly doesn't shy away from talking about it... The excerpt is from my podcast with him:

Whyte on, Brother

@ZayvenKnox You could just buy a ladder and paint houses. You know, contribute to bettering society.

An Anthropic engineer paid for my espresso at Sightglass when he saw my screen I was running my Polymarket bot from the counter. He was next in line. Looked over my shoulder. Stopped scrolling. "That's not a normal trading app. What's it actually running on" I told him. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month. He sat down without asking. "I'm on the agent team. We stress test Claude for exactly this. You're letting it find its own edges" Not just edges. Wallets. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. "You're feeding Claude raw wallet data and letting it identify who consistently wins. Then cloning them" He said it slowly. Like he was writing the threat model in his head. One prompt. Find every wallet with 100 plus trades and win rate above 70%. Rank by profit. Export top 50. Claude scanned 14,000 wallets in 4 minutes. Returned 47. The top 20 made more than the bottom 13,000 combined. "That's not a stat. That's a hit list" Exactly. "And you didn't write the scoring function" Claude did. I just wired it into an if-statement. Then I showed him the second repo. Official Rust CLI. No API key for reads. 500 markets, Claude scores them in minutes. Gap. Depth. Resolution window. 487 markets become 35 before a dollar moves. 93% killed before I even see them. A green fill landed on the screen. +$84. He watched it hit. "How does it decide to actually enter" Three agents. Shared wallet. No shared memory. Arbitrage, convergence, whale copy. 2 agree, full size. 1 alone, half. Disagree, no trade. Consensus filter alone killed 40% of losing trades. "And the exits?" The 47 whales never hold to settlement. 91% exit early. 73% of max profit captured. Redeploy immediately. My bot cuts at 85% of expected move or on a 3x volume spike. "You built a whale copy bot that exits before the whales" Yeah. He put his espresso down. "How often does it trade" 10 a day on average. Most of them skipped before I look up from my coffee. My setup: Claude API - $20/mo VPS in Germany - $5/mo poly_data - free polymarket-cli - free Polymarket/agents - free $200 seed. 27 days ago. $14,300 now. Copytrade here: t.me/KreoPolyBot?st… 271 trades. 74% win rate. Sharpe 2.47. I haven't touched it in 27 days. He stared at the screen for a long time. "This is literally what our red team simulates. Except you actually shipped it" He emailed me the next morning. "Any chance you'd take a call with our policy lead" I told him the article is the call. Read it twice. Too late to gatekeep. You only need Claude + laptop + 1 hour/day. Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word 'Claude' 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me @ZayvenKnox

Counterpoint: Young men will find out EARLY that gambling isn’t the answer. They’ll lose thousands instead of TENS/HUNDREDS of thousands. They’ll leave gambling fallacies behind by age 30 & grow up instead of remaining infantilized. Note: Dear Moms, don’t bail out your loser son

As I suspected, and just like so many who tout ideas for helping gamblers, you don’t actually engage with gamblers, @jesswelman. A simple open debate about a topic that is important to you… An exchange of thoughts and experiences that just won’t happen. Too bad.

“There is a difference between RG and PG” Really? I ask you, Jessica, what is that? I’m a lifelong gambler. I’ve lost plenty AND I’ve won a WSOP bracelet with $0 in my pocket which changed my financial life. I’m willing to engage in debate on this subjective statement. Are you?

@rumnchess I’d be a fan in theory except that the fields are filled with players who are socially awkward and many others who are socially negative. So, for that reason,

I’d be a fan of a full ban of electronics at the poker table. Sounds extreme, but with tech advancements, full ban seems cleanest. Would be great socially too, making the playing experience more fun & faster. Logistics would be tough but doable. Chess has been there for years

@pamelam35 You’re a good egg

I say hello to everyone when I walk. There’s a crossing guard in my neighborhood I talk to almost every day. Her husband has dementia so whenever I ask how she’s doing, she usually tells me about him. Today I stopped and asked again. “How are you doing?” She broke down. Caregivers spend so much time being strong for someone else that people forget to ask how they’re holding up too. Sometimes people just need someone willing to hear the real answer.

@Furu_Bartuc @powerpacks @SaulSellsStuff @gamestop I’ll hold out for the Lawrencium pulls

Our @powerpacks community friend @SaulSellsStuff Has developed and shared some massive findings with our @gamestop community Over 3.5MM in @powerpacks revenue in the last 12 hours Over 40% of that comes from Neutronium 24,000 pulls with an average pack value of $150

@JeffreyBenson12 @TheAxiomGroup I’ll save you time. I don’t

@TheAxiomGroup If you are a good bookmaker you can tell with one or two bets whether an acct has a clue

@John_Mehaffey Annnnnnd Vegas has AREA15!

Las Vegas has 100%+ single-line video poker, 99.5% multi-line video poker, European Roulette, 3:2 2D S17 blackjack, triple on Field 12 in craps, $5 3:2 blackjack, and $3 craps. I doubt any other casino market has more than two. Most have none.

@John_Mehaffey When @MGMSpringfield opened their sportsbook, they used subcontractors for certain. iPads everywhere!

@Mark_Checkwicz I don't know how it works. They could be straight commission contractors. They certainly act like it. A few years ago, I could shake them by ignoring them. They have gotten more aggressive with me lately. It's become very annoying.

The BetMGM employees hanging around MGM sportsbook entrances trying to sign up new players are the new timeshare salespeople.

@HV33898 @wiseguyswager @BillKrackman @southpointlv Looked it up. Carson STREET Coffee shop. The Caribe Cafe at The Mirage was also a favorite of ours on the strip

@HV33898 @wiseguyswager @BillKrackman @southpointlv Carson City Cafe I think. My wife and I hit that up around 4:30 before all of our early summer-morning road trips.

The days of the 24 hour casino coffee shops are numbered. We do have a few like @southpointlv Coronado Cafe or Jerry’s Nugget. Local place Blueberry Hill on Charleston is 24/7.

The best “philosophy” of a prediction market is to influence the accuracy of predicting your own outcomes, Noah. I’ll go so far as to predict that you won’t spend enough time-capital into predicting AND influencing better outcomes for your own life. But you should.