Markets, Options & more📈

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Markets, Options & more📈

Markets, Options & more📈

@Markets_Options

A Fountain of Useless Information: Business, Sports & anything else interesting or funny. Un-retired accountant, economist, stockbroker. Former Series 4 license

All over Katılım Ekim 2011
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John Hudson
John Hudson@John_Hudson·
can't believe that just happened: Trump got a NASA question and deferred to NASA administrator Jared Isaacman, saying "the best man to tell you that is the man sitting right over here. You heard that question with those beautiful ears of yours ... He's got super hearing"
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Markets, Options & more📈@Markets_Options·
Elon Musk is a mess.
George Noble@gnoble79

This is the most OUTRAGEOUS deal I've seen in my 45 years on Wall Street. SpaceX just disclosed Musk's new compensation package: He gets up to 200 million super-voting shares if SpaceX hits a $7.5 trillion valuation, establishes a permanent human settlement of at least ONE MILLION people on Mars, and deploys roughly 100 terawatts of space-based computing power. Let me put the 100 terawatts in perspective: The entire electricity generation capacity of the United States is around 1.2 terawatts. The comp plan asks Musk to build more than 80x America's entire power grid... in orbit. This is a science fiction screenplay that somehow landed in front of the SEC. But here's why it actually matters for your portfolio... The S-1 reportedly claims a $28.5 trillion total addressable market, with over 90 percent attributed to AI. CapeFearAdvisors flagged this one cleanly: when Palantir went public, it disclosed a $119 billion TAM and the SEC reviewed and accepted it. SpaceX is claiming a market roughly 240x BIGGER. Now let's talk about what is actually being sold here: Reported 2025 revenue is approximately $15.5 billion. Starlink delivers around $11 billion of that with healthy margins, and the launch business is genuinely dominant. The problem is xAI - the AI piece doing all the heavy lifting in the trillion-dollar valuation pitch. xAI generated just $210 million of revenue in the first 3 quarters of 2025 while burning through $9.5 billion in cash. Ben Brey and Rupert Mitchell - a former Fidelity portfolio manager and a former head of equity capital markets at Goldman and Citi between them - ran a serious discounted cash flow on the actual operating businesses and arrived at roughly $400 billion. Lawrence Fossi covered their work recently and the math holds up. The IPO is being marketed at $1.75 TRILLION. The gap between what these businesses support and what Musk is asking the public to pay is roughly $1.35 trillion of pure narrative. Then layer on what we just learned last week... The New York Times investigation revealed Musk personally borrowed $500 million from SpaceX between 2018 and 2020 at rates as low as 1%, while bank prime rates sat around 5%. The same SpaceX has been used to bail out SolarCity, prop up Tesla during cash crunches, and absorb xAI when the AI losses became unmanageable. This is the same playbook he's run for two decades. Use a privately controlled entity as a personal piggy bank, and when the bills come due, find new investors to absorb the losses. The IPO is structured to keep that game going FOREVER. The Texas reincorporation strips away Delaware's fiduciary protections. Controlled-company status on the Nasdaq eliminates independent board requirements. And retail is being offered up to 30% of the offering (3x the normal allocation) because the institutions who actually do the math are quietly stepping away. Here is the part that finishes the case for me: Roughly $40 billion of the IPO proceeds are already spoken for before a single dollar reaches operations. About $23 billion retires SpaceX debt. Another $17 billion retires the high-interest debt sitting on xAI and X. This raise is not funding the future. It's just plugging existing holes that retail investors will now own. In my 45 years I've never seen a deal where the comp hurdle is colonizing another planet. I've never seen a disclosed TAM that exceeds verified comparables by two orders of magnitude. I've never seen a company asking the public to fund the retirement of debt incurred by separate private entities controlled by the same individual. Every red flag I've watched precede a major bust over four decades is sitting in this prospectus, in plain sight. The Tesla mispricing is being repeated on a far larger scale. And this time the bag is being handed directly to retail. Don't be the one holding it.

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Stephen Punwasi 🏚️📉🐈☃️
🇨🇦: Toronto’s death spiral continues. This was one of the most exclusive retail strips in the world, converting into self-storage. Toronto is the best example of a city that had everything it needed to be great, squandered by elites who turned into a warehouse for workers.
UrbanToronto@Urban_Toronto

Plans have been filed for 2 Bloor Street East that would introduce a new use within the podium of the Hudson’s Bay Centre, bringing self-storage to one of Toronto’s busiest intersections, repurposing the largest vacant site at Yonge & Bloor. urbantoronto.ca/news/2026/04/s…

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Old Hockey Cards
Old Hockey Cards@oldhockeycards·
Here's a quick 30 seconds I put together of John Garrett's great Nordiques mask from '82.. #RIPCheech
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Dave Troy
Dave Troy@davetroy·
Not sure why there is so much confusion around this, but: 1. Cole Allen never reached the ballroom. 2. He never fired a shot. 3. He was not shot. 4. He was going to use buckshot, if he had reached the ballroom, but he didn’t. 5. The shots fired were by Secret Service; one officer took friendly fire, but it was stopped by tactical gear. 6. Allen was apparently subdued (tackled). 7. Officers recovered a handgun, a long-gun, and knives from Allen. 8. The security perimeter was inside the hotel and functioned as designed.
Adam Kinzinger (Slava Ukraini) 🇺🇸🇺🇦@AdamKinzinger

So he didn’t fire a shot?

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neyi kaybettiğini hatırla
neyi kaybettiğini hatırla@neyikaybettik·
Muhteşem bir cevap! 🇺🇸 Trump: İran nükleer silah elde etse İtalya’yı iki dakikada havaya uçurur 🇮🇹 Meloni: Şimdiye kadar bildiğim kadarıyla, dokuz ulus nükleer silaha sahip ve sadece biri onu kullandı. O da Amerika Birleşik Devletleri.
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Hedgeye
Hedgeye@Hedgeye·
Biggest Supply Shock Ever? Why Markets Are Getting It Wrong.
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Ben Eisenhart
Ben Eisenhart@BEisenhart·
This is the mortgage on a $500k home in a newer suburban area in Omaha with $100k down, including taxes and insurance. It is about as low as you will find in the Elkhorn/Gretna/Bennington, NE area. If you are in the camp that your mortgage shouldn’t be more than 20% of your net take-home pay, your household income needs to be at least $19k a month. Not a lot of people hit that, so are we talking about 30-40% of your net take-home pay? Throw in childcare, and Houston, we have a problem. Not sustainable.
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Jokerswild
Jokerswild@JokersWildUK·
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Matt Glantz
Matt Glantz@MattGlantz·
Current DOJ... 0 Epstein clients indicted 1 Instagram Seashell poster indicted
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Guilherme Tavares
Guilherme Tavares@i3_invest·
The S&P 500, adjusted for corporate profits, has reached levels similar to December 1999. Which was very close to a secular market top. Maybe this time is different—maybe not. One thing is certain: in terms of classic valuation metrics, current levels are far from a bargain.
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Daniel Foch
Daniel Foch@danielfoch·
Interesting tone shift. Government now seems to be cheering on house prices as a necessary evil in restoring housing affordability: Existing Home Prices Have Declined - from Canada's Economic & Fiscal Review, in the Housing Affordability has Improved Section
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Hedgeye
Hedgeye@Hedgeye·
🚨 A gallon of regular gas is 44% more expensive than three months ago
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Markets, Options & more📈@Markets_Options·
This is a good read: ICE engines are history?
Aakash Gupta@aakashgupta

Bugatti just lost its all-time speed record. To the Chinese EV in this video. 308 mph at Papenburg, on a battery. The Chiron Super Sport had held the record for six years. 1,600 hp, 8.0L W16, four turbochargers. Bugatti needed every horse of that to hit 304 mph. BYD's Yangwang U9 Xtreme did 308 with four electric motors and a battery pack. Marc Basseng, the driver, won the Nürburgring 24 Hours. He said the run was "technically not possible with a combustion engine." He's right. A combustion engine produces a power curve that peaks at a specific RPM and falls off either side. Past 9,000 RPM the valves float, the connecting rods stretch, the pistons can't reverse direction fast enough. The W16 is the absolute thermodynamic ceiling of 100 years of internal combustion. Every mph past 290 cost exponentially more engineering for diminishing returns. The U9 Xtreme uses four electric motors. Each produces 744 hp. Each spins to 30,000 RPM. No valves. No pistons. No connecting rods. Total system output is 2,978 hp, almost double Bugatti's W16. Power-to-weight is 1,217 hp per tonne. The motors were never the hard part. Mate Rimac said this years ago. The constraint was always the battery, because to deliver 2,978 hp into four wheels you have to discharge faster than any production EV ever has. BYD built the world's first 1,200-volt production car. Everyone else uses 800V. The Blade Battery runs lithium iron phosphate cells with a 30C discharge rate, ten times what a conventional EV battery handles. Heat generation falls 67% versus 800V at matching output. That last number is the whole game. Heat is what kills high-power EV runs. Other automakers derate within seconds at full power because the battery cooks itself. BYD's architecture lets the Xtreme hold maximum discharge long enough to actually approach the aerodynamic limit of the chassis. Bugatti spent 20 years engineering the W16 to its physical ceiling. BYD spent 18 months building the architecture that cleared it. They're making 30 of them. The crown for fastest production car on Earth has belonged to Bugatti, Koenigsegg, Hennessey, SSC. All combustion, all European or American. The crown is Chinese now, and it runs on a battery.

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Spencer Hakimian
Spencer Hakimian@SpencerHakimian·
🚨BREAKING: Steve Cheung voted Sexiest Man Alive by FIFA Peace Prize Magazine.
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