Matt Link

15 posts

Matt Link

Matt Link

@MattLink04

Katılım Kasım 2021
35 Takip Edilen1 Takipçiler
Matt Link
Matt Link@MattLink04·
@heynavtoor Grok got this question correct when I just asked
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Nav Toor
Nav Toor@heynavtoor·
🚨SHOCKING: Apple just proved that AI models cannot do math. Not advanced math. Grade school math. The kind a 10-year-old solves. And the way they proved it is devastating. Apple researchers took the most popular math benchmark in AI — GSM8K, a set of grade-school math problems — and made one change. They swapped the numbers. Same problem. Same logic. Same steps. Different numbers. Every model's performance dropped. Every single one. 25 state-of-the-art models tested. But that wasn't the real experiment. The real experiment broke everything. They added one sentence to a math problem. One sentence that is completely irrelevant to the answer. It has nothing to do with the math. A human would read it and ignore it instantly. Here's the actual example from the paper: "Oliver picks 44 kiwis on Friday. Then he picks 58 kiwis on Saturday. On Sunday, he picks double the number of kiwis he did on Friday, but five of them were a bit smaller than average. How many kiwis does Oliver have?" The correct answer is 190. The size of the kiwis has nothing to do with the count. A 10-year-old would ignore "five of them were a bit smaller" because it's obviously irrelevant. It doesn't change how many kiwis there are. But o1-mini, OpenAI's reasoning model, subtracted 5. It got 185. Llama did the same thing. Subtracted 5. Got 185. They didn't reason through the problem. They saw the number 5, saw a sentence that sounded like it mattered, and blindly turned it into a subtraction. The models do not understand what subtraction means. They see a pattern that looks like subtraction and apply it. That is all. Apple tested this across all models. They call the dataset "GSM-NoOp" — as in, the added clause is a no-operation. It does nothing. It changes nothing. The results are catastrophic. Phi-3-mini dropped over 65%. More than half of its "math ability" vanished from one irrelevant sentence. GPT-4o dropped from 94.9% to 63.1%. o1-mini dropped from 94.5% to 66.0%. o1-preview, OpenAI's most advanced reasoning model at the time, dropped from 92.7% to 77.4%. Even giving the models 8 examples of the exact same question beforehand, with the correct solution shown each time, barely helped. The models still fell for the irrelevant clause. This means it's not a prompting problem. It's not a context problem. It's structural. The Apple researchers also found that models convert words into math operations without understanding what those words mean. They see the word "discount" and multiply. They see a number near the word "smaller" and subtract. Regardless of whether it makes any sense. The paper's exact words: "current LLMs are not capable of genuine logical reasoning; instead, they attempt to replicate the reasoning steps observed in their training data." And: "LLMs likely perform a form of probabilistic pattern-matching and searching to find closest seen data during training without proper understanding of concepts." They also tested what happens when you increase the number of steps in a problem. Performance didn't just decrease. The rate of decrease accelerated. Adding two extra clauses to a problem dropped Gemma2-9b from 84.4% to 41.8%. Phi-3.5-mini from 87.6% to 44.8%. The more thinking required, the more the models collapse. A real reasoner would slow down and work through it. These models don't slow down. They pattern-match. And when the pattern becomes complex enough, they crash. This paper was published at ICLR 2025, one of the most prestigious AI conferences in the world. You are using AI to help you make financial decisions. To check legal documents. To solve problems at work. To help your children with homework. And Apple just proved that the AI is not thinking about any of it. It is pattern matching. And the moment something unexpected shows up in your question, it breaks. It does not tell you it broke. It just quietly gives you the wrong answer with full confidence.
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Eli Steele
Eli Steele@Hebro_Steele·
"Thomas Sowell might be one of the smartest Americans who has ever lived, and his contributions to economics are undeniably momentous. Any other black intellectual of his stature would be much more famous, but Sowell’s conservatism means his extensive writings on race are ignored because they don’t advance the political causes of the Left." -- Shelby Steele
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Grok
Grok@grok·
@MattLink04 @WalkerAmerica Yes, the quote is real. It's from Adrian Orr, Governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, during a Finance and Expenditure Committee hearing on February 13, 2024. The video clip matches the transcript.
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Walker⚡️
Walker⚡️@WalkerAmerica·
“It’s a great business to be in, Central Banking. We print money and people believe it.” — NZ Central Banker If these people disgust you, study #Bitcoin
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The General
The General@1776General_·
🚨Yale medical school invites Columbia PhD to present on killing White people at the children's center. What are your thoughts on this?
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Matt Link
Matt Link@MattLink04·
@GadSaad What were you expecting with that poll? None of the other options chant "death to America". Even if it is a minority subset of the population... Out of those options in the poll there is no other choice
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Gad Saad
Gad Saad@GadSaad·
So far, this is deeply Islamophobic.
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yip
yip@yipfella·
@nicksortor 11 billion just disappeared from the budget… I wonder where it’s really going now.
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Nick Sortor
Nick Sortor@nicksortor·
🚨 #BREAKING: CDC under RFK Jr. just canceled $11 BILLION in COVID funding for state health departments GREAT news! “The COVID-19 pandemic is over, & HHS will no longer waste billions of taxpayer dollars responding to a non-existent pandemic that Americans moved on from years ago,” a CDC spokesperson said.
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Gunther Eagleman™
Gunther Eagleman™@GuntherEagleman·
A Democrat rep just claimed "manufacturing" is a sexist term because it has "man" in it. We just might win the next few elections if they keep this dumb sht up.
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😎billnottingham
😎billnottingham@billnottingham·
@EmTeeLivingItUp @MarioNawfal Agree. Seriously, the psychology of people when they make a purchase can't be overlooked. For most people, $10 seems so much higher than $9.99. That could really hurt retailers and brands. But there has to be a solution.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
DOGE TARGETS THE PENNY PROBLEM: WHY MINT MONEY THAT LOSES MONEY? DOGE's first revelation exposes an absurd inefficiency: The U.S. Mint produced 4.5 billion pennies in 2023 - each costing over 3 cents to make. This negative-return manufacturing cost taxpayers $179M last year alone. Even worse? These pennies rarely circulate. With 240 billion pennies already sitting idle in American homes (about $7.24 per person), we keep minting replacements for coins nobody uses. It's exactly the kind of bureaucratic waste DOGE was created to eliminate. Canada solved this by eliminating their penny in 2013. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen had the legal power to end penny production but wouldn't even discuss it - proving why we need DOGE to tackle these "small" inefficiencies that add up to massive waste. Source: NY Times Magazine, @elonmusk
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Department of Government Efficiency@DOGE

The penny costs over 3 cents to make and cost US taxpayers over $179 million in FY2023. The Mint produced over 4.5 billion pennies in FY2023, around 40% of the 11.4 billion coins for circulation produced. Penny (or 3 cents!) for your thoughts. Sources: jmbullion.com/investing-guid… coinnews.net/2024/01/19/u-s…

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Micro2Macr0
Micro2Macr0@Micro2Macr0·
I've called this #Bitcoin bounce almost PERFECTLY! If you agree, please 🙏like, share, and most importantly make a comment below (17.5 x multiplier to exposure).
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Micro2Macr0@Micro2Macr0

So, far I've been spot on with #Bitcoin's recent bounce. Down to the measured move to $98,500. So, what's next? - We're now above the 50 (1), 100 (2), and 200 (3) moving averages on the 4 hourt chart. <--- Very bullish. - The next step is breaking above $98,600 (3ish) and turning it into support. <-- this number has changed slightly based on how the volume profile has been building up. - After we break above and establish support, we're off to the $100,000-101,000 range, where we might encounter more resitance before heading higher. <-- Anything quicker is CRAZY BULLISH... Roughly 2 weeks till a new #Bitcoin Strategic Reserve announcement along with a slew of others that should be positive towards the economy. Even if it takes a minute for investors to understand. If you appreciate my takes, please like, share, and comment below. Definitely comment. It's a huge multiplier to reach. 😁

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Matt Link
Matt Link@MattLink04·
@Micro2Macr0 @Gfilche Exactly, this comes every 80 years according to Neil Howe an "The Fourth Turning" The infection or crisis point is predicted to be sometime in the next 4 years! Bringing in golden 20 years for everyone!
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Micro2Macr0
Micro2Macr0@Micro2Macr0·
You can see my yearly performance below. I've shot up to $4.5 million right now and on pace for my $6.5 million projected level for next years low. Here's my Portfolio Allocation as of writing this. Recently, @Tesla exploded to a MUCH larger portion of my portfolio, along with strong increases in @Paypal recently as well. Starting next week, I might grab another 3-10% and shovel that into the Bitcoin world if it hasn't taken off more already. NOTE - I share my thoughts, for very little, in hopes that you find it valuable perspective. If you want to support my work, I have the following methods. 1. You can subscribe here on X for unique posts I don't show anywhere else. 2. You can join the @Discord for discussions from the 800 community members in regard to all of the charts I share for different companies. whop.com/Micro2Macr0 3. You can subscribe on Youtube to be able to chat in live streams. @Micro2Macr0" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@Micro2Macr0 4. Just comment on videos, share, and/or like. 5. Do nothing and hang out. <-- Not recommended. :P
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