Maverick007

@servalan79 Premier genocide de l'Histoire

Pendant le premier génocide commis par les allemands... "Le dos d'un ouvrier namibien, couvert de cicatrices, suite à des années de coups de fouet infligés par un fermier allemand nommé Ludwig Cramer (1912-1913). Photographie prise par le missionnaire rhénan Johann Jakob Irle."

@HormuzLetter Read this and you'll understand why Trump not only doesn't care about the destruction of the Gulf's oil infrastructure but in fact WANTS it to happen. x.com/richimedhurst/…

NEW: A Trump administration internal document states that the primary cost of another attack on Iran would be Iran's massive retaliation against the entire infrastructure of regional Gulf states, with Trump not caring about it and considering this cost "acceptable," per a source close to Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf.

@StockShark16 Bond market also smelling resumption of war and looking to test the new Fed chair

The outcome of the Beijing summit: unlimited fried noodles for the visitors. That’s it. 😂 China is already under significant economic pressure, so going there expecting some grand trade breakthrough feels a bit unrealistic. $SPY - Market hyped it , now summit ended and air is coming out.

@datruthbomb Today, and also yesterday x.com/colin_gladman/…

I spent two years perfecting the Weekly Buy Signal trigger. Now let's see if the System nails the Sell side just as well.

@risenfit Looking good indeed

$FRMI FUZZY 🐼 STARTING TO GET SHORT SQUEEZED 🍋

@DougCli13776839 @datruthbomb Sure thing, especially if war resumes and inflation keeps going up.

@datruthbomb 8,300 next month then 9,500 by fall

Here are the Fibs if 7,450 clears: 7,500 7,650 7,800 8,100 8,300 Yes, David Hunter's 9,500 is a Fib (he does use them) as well as 9,100.

@VladTheInflator x.com/MichaelMOTTCM/…

The entire subprime mortgage market was $1.3T in 2008. Private credit today is $2T

@Mr_Derivatives x.com/MichaelMOTTCM/…

$SNDK $MU $WDC $STX The combined market cap of just these 4 memory/chip companies are $1.4T.

@datruthbomb Yesterday was a Treasury Settlement day. We had not had one in a while. Most of them give us red days. The next one is Thursday. And from next week onwards they will keep rolling in. Just a heads-up.

So far this is an Hourly Sell Signal - nothing more. The market has to stay under Pivot all day tomorrow to flip this to a Daily Sell Signal - not currently looking likely. SPX Pivot: 7,390

@datruthbomb x.com/JTheretohelp1/…

Closed above Pivot - Bulls did what they needed to do.

@MichaelMOTTCM x.com/JTheretohelp1/…

Are we in a bubble? Sure looks like it...

@datruthbomb Weekly buy signal still on? Not looking good right now.

Lots of room left on this Signal.

@datruthbomb Fun facts x.com/prometheusAB/s…

The System triggered an oversold signal on oil futures at the close Friday. The Daily Buy Signal has triggered today. Oil stocks are popping.

@MichaelMOTTCM Fun facts x.com/prometheusAB/s…

Are we in a bubble? I think so... Are we in 2000? No. In 2000, you had more than a handful of stocks lifting the entire index, and no 0DTE.

@DustinB71676118 @RnaudBertrand Precisely why the genocide.

@Maverick0087367 @RnaudBertrand Looks like Israel is stealing that gas from Gaza.

There’s no overstating how extraordinary this Atlantic article is, given the author and the outlet. As a reminder Bob Kagan is: - The co-founder of Project for the New American Century, probably the single most imperialist Think Tank in Washington (which is quite a feat) - A man who spent his entire life advocating for American military interventions, especially in the Middle East, and a vocal advocate of the Iraq war. He started advocating for intervention in Iraq before 9/11, which speaks for itself... - The husband of Victoria Nuland, an extremely hawkish former senior U.S. official (a key architect of U.S. policy in Ukraine, with the consequences we all witness today) - The brother of Frederick Kagan, one of the key architects of the Iraq surge In other words, we ain’t exactly looking at some sort of anti-imperialist peacenik. This is quite literally the guy Dick Cheney called when he needed a pep talk. And the man is writing in The Atlantic, the most reliably pro-war mainstream media outlet in the U.S. (also quite a feat). So when HE writes that the U.S. “suffered a total defeat” in Iran that has no precedent in U.S. history and can “neither be repaired nor ignored,” it’s the functional equivalent of Ronald McDonald telling you the burgers aren’t great: it means the burgers really, really aren't great. Extraordinarily (and somewhat worryingly, for me), his arguments for why this is such a defeat are virtually the same as those I laid out in my article “The First Multipolar War” last month (open.substack.com/pub/arnaudbert…). Here they are 👇 1) Vietnam/Afghanistan were survivable, this isn't He agrees that this war - and the U.S. defeat - is fundamentally different in nature from previous U.S. interventions. Where I wrote that the wars in Vietnam and Afghanistan didn’t change the equation much in terms of power dynamics (“in the grand scheme of things, the giant walked away with little more than a bruised ego”), Kagan writes that “the defeats in Vietnam and Afghanistan were costly but did not do lasting damage to America's overall position in the world.” And when I wrote that “it’s painfully obvious that the Iran war is of a qualitatively different nature” from these, he writes that “defeat in the present confrontation with Iran will be of an entirely different character.” Same point. 2) Iran will never relinquish Hormuz and uses it as selective leverage When I wrote that Iran has turned “freedom of navigation” on its head by establishing “a permission-based regime” through the Strait of Hormuz, Kagan arrives at the same conclusion: “Iran will be able not only to demand tolls for passage, but to limit transit to those nations with which it has good relations.” He also agrees that “Iran has no interest in returning to the status quo ante,” when I myself cited Iran’s parliament speaker Ghalibaf in my article, saying: “The Strait of Hormuz situation won’t return to its pre-war status.” Same point and virtually the same words. 3) Gulf states will have to accommodate Iran He agrees that most Gulf states will have no choice but to accommodate Iran, effectively making Iran into a, if not THE, dominant regional power. Kagan writes “the United States will have proved itself a paper tiger, forcing the Gulf and other Arab states to accommodate Iran.” On my end, I wrote that “the Gulf monarchies will eventually have to choose between two security propositions. One where they stay aligned with a distant superpower that [can’t protect them]. The other proposition being: make peace with the regional power that just proved it can hit [them] whenever it wants.” Which is not much of a choice… 4) Military impossibility to reopen Hormuz Kagan writes that “if the United States with its mighty Navy can't or won't open the strait, no coalition of forces with just a fraction of the Americans' capability will be able to, either.” On my end, in my article I cited Germany’s defense minister Boris Pistorius: “What does Trump expect a handful of European frigates to do that the powerful US Navy cannot?” The exact same argument. 5) Global chain reaction Kagan agrees that this is a global strategic failure that fundamentally changes the U.S.’s position in the world. As he puts it: “America's once-dominant position in the Gulf is just the first of many casualties… America's allies in East Asia and Europe must wonder about American staying power in the event of future conflicts.” You’ll have guessed it, I wrote essentially the same thing: “Think about what it says if you’re Saudi Arabia, quietly watching your American-built defenses fail to protect your own refineries. Or any European country now facing the worst energy shock since 1973, caused not by your enemy but by your ally, and realizing that said ‘ally,’ supposedly in charge of ‘protecting’ you, couldn’t even protect Israel’s most strategic sites - when it’s the country with which it’s joined at the hip. I’m not even speaking about China or Russia who are seeing their worldview being validated on almost every axis simultaneously.” 6) Weapons stocks depleted, credibility shattered Kagan: “just a few weeks of war with a second-rank power have reduced American weapons stocks to perilously low levels, with no quick remedy in sight.” Me: “America’s most advanced weapons systems are much more vulnerable than previously thought - not theoretically, but in actual combat.” Kagan: “America's allies… must wonder about American staying power in the event of future conflicts.” Me: “The U.S. security guarantee has been empirically falsified in real time.” ----------- So, yup, Bob Kagan and I agree on nearly everything. I need a shower 🤢 Reassuringly though, we still differ on a few fundamental aspects. First of all, arguably the most important one, the moral aspect. In typical neocon fashion, his article contains not a word about the human cost of this war - not the 165 schoolgirls, not the devastation inflicted on Iranians during 37 days of bombing, not the toll this war is taking on the entire world through its devastating economic consequences (the economic devastation on ordinary people worldwide is referenced only as a political problem for Trump). For him, this is purely a strategic chess problem, morality and people don’t figure in his mental map. For me, the moral bankruptcy of this war isn't separate from the strategic failure - it is the strategic failure. Much like Gaza can only be a failure because of its sheer abjectness. Secondly, there is not an instant of reflection in the article on how we got there. Which is unsurprising because he personally, alongside his wife, his brother, and every co-signatory of every PNAC letter, spent a generation pushing for exactly this kind of confrontation. The man spend 30 years advocating for military dominance in the Middle East and hostility towards Iran, thereby forging them as an adversary and facilitating this very war that he now says has “checkmated” America. I know introspection has never been the neocon forte but at some point you have to stop setting houses on fire and then writing op-eds about how surprising the smoke is. Last but not least, we differ on what should be done. This is the funniest part of Kagan’s article - showing that the man is decidedly beyond salvation. On one hand he calls this a “checkmate” by Iran, and a U.S. defeat that can “neither be repaired nor ignored,” yet an the other hand his solution for it is… surprise, surprise… a bigger war still! He writes that what’s to be done is “engage in a full-scale ground and naval war to remove the current Iranian regime, and then to occupy Iran until a new government can take hold.” The arsonist's solution to the fire is a bigger fire ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ For my end, this was the conclusion of my previous article: "There is almost a Greek tragedy quality to U.S. actions lately where every move taken to escape one’s fate becomes the mechanism that delivers it. The U.S. went to war to reassert dominance - and proved it could no longer dominate. It demanded allies send warships - and revealed it had no real allies. It waged forty years of maximum pressure to break Iran before this moment came - and instead forged the very adversary now capable of meeting it. It started the war in part to have additional leverage over China - and handed the world the spectacle of begging China for help. The prophecy was multipolarity. Every American action to prevent it reveals it instead." I wouldn’t change a word. The only thing that's changed since I wrote it is that even the arsonists now smell the smoke. Src for the Atlantic article: theatlantic.com/international/…

@DustinB71676118 @RnaudBertrand And also from Lebanon and Syria. Not just Israel, US companies are in on this theft.

@ProfessorPape Sure, and Iraq had WMDs, right? All US intelligence of the past 30 years invalidated this claim so you are just damaging your credibility at this stage, if you had any.

Credible analysis shows Iran has plutonium for 200 nuclear weapons This is in addition to enriched uranium that has been the focus of Trump negotiations Iran rapidly emerging as 4th of world power Nuclear Iran coming soon thebulletin.org/2026/04/missin…

@ProfessorPape Ridiculous

@BowesChay Indeed x.com/i/status/20503…

Slovakia PM Robert Fico: ‘Are we such idiots? The Americans will just resell us Russian oil at a higher price’

@swampratwatch @MyLordBebo Americans did not want to enter ww2. The deep state engineered Pearl Harbour by cutting off Japan from its oil supplies, thus triggering support for the war. WW2 conveniently pulled the US out of the great depression and turned it into a rich occupying empire. 9/11 Same playbook.

@MyLordBebo Meanwhile we were absolutely solo-ing the entire Pacific theater.

🇺🇸🇩🇪🇷🇺 US didn't enter the battle until the Soviet Red Army entered Germany if you look at the map with dates Most of the liberation of Europe from the Nazis was carried out by the USSR But not according to Hollywood movies!