Rolli
815 posts
The number of data center companies in this list who own energy is very telling of where he thinks liquidity is gonna flow to. Position accordingly, this is just the beginning.
$NBIS $DGXX $WYFI $IREN $ALPD $CRWV $CORZ
Sean Dekmar@DekmarTrades
For those who do not know, Leopold Aschenbrenner is the 25 year old man who predicted the spike on $LITE, $SNDK, $BE, and more! He is one of the most watched names on Wall Street as his hedge fund gained from $200 million to now over 5.5 BILLION dollars! HIS NEW PORTFOLIO!
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leopold aschenbrenner just released his fund's latest investment portfolio & honestly its not what i expected
he's gone massively short the entire semiconductor supply chain but also revealed what he thinks the next AI constraint is:
> biggest surprise: he's short intel. he sold out of his massive Intel position that made him famous.
> he's also gone short $9B worth of puts in nvidia, asml, amd, oracle and van ecks semi etf.
> biggest long positions are in memory (sandisk) and power (bloom) with a combined $3.5B value (these are his next bottlenecks)
> he trimmed ~$1B of bloom energy position but still holds $1 billion of it. his single largest long holding.
> his lumentum position is gone (bearish optics?)
> the one consistent thesis is he continues to hold data center bets (ai labs will still need gpus)
> fund is now worth $13.7 billion (notional). it was just $5.5B 3 months ago and $220 million ~1yr ago
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Leopold 13f is out. He owned $iren, $te bitdeer. 😂
And totally missed $nbis.
To be fair, he has plenty of nice picks. Very concentrated in ai, energy, and storage.
simple investing@simpleinvest01
Leopold Aschenbrenner’s 13F is out:
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$FCEL is up 200% in two months. Everyone on X is watching it.
Here's the next one — and the flow started showing up Friday.
$BW. Babcock and Wilcox. 150-year-old boiler company that quietly turned into an AI power play. Most traders haven't looked at this name in a decade.
The reason it matters is simple. Every AI data center needs power. The bottleneck isn't capital or land — it's gas turbines. Lead times for new combined-cycle plants have stretched to 5+ years. $GEV is sold out into the early 2030s. The hyperscalers can't wait that long.
BW skips the queue. They build gas-fired boilers paired with steam turbines from Siemens Energy. Same end result, gigawatt-scale dispatchable power for AI campuses, but they bypass the constrained equipment entirely. It's a workaround that only works because gas turbines are scarce — which buys them maybe 3-5 years before turbine supply catches up.
The anchor deal is a $2.4B contract with $APLD's IPP arm. 1.2 GW across four 300 MW modules, target completion end of 2028. Boilers are already in production. That single contract is ~86% of current backlog, so the whole equity story rides on this one project executing cleanly.
Friday's tape was what caught my eye. Volume picked up significantly — $296K in Aug 21 $20 calls and $175K in Aug 21 $25 calls on a stock trading at $21. Prior OI on those strikes was 930 and 1,206. Not roll activity — fresh positioning. For a small-cap with thin options, that's the kind of footprint worth tracking.
High beta names don't come without their fair share of risks.
Shares outstanding up 35% per year. Three equity raises in 18 months. Negative book value. Applied Digital can terminate their guarantee on the Base Electron deal for $50-100M, which is cheap relative to a $2.4B contract. If they ever wobble, the whole thesis is in question.
Watching for a second GW contract from their stated $14B pipeline. If the Aug 21 call buildout continues into June and July, that's the options flow confirming. If they dilute shareholders again without a contract win attached, the dilution narrative wins and the trade is dead.
Same lane as FCEL — small-cap, real thesis, early flow. Not predicting it runs like FCEL did. But it definitely has the potential.
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Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness Fund initiated a new ~$44M position in $TE last quarter.
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay
LEOPOLD’S SITUATIONAL AWARENESS 13F IS OUT New positions included $NVDA, $AMD, $INTC, $TSM, $ASML, $MU, $SMH, $GLW, $HIVE, $TE and $SHAZ. Added to AI power and compute names including $IREN, $APLD, $CLSK, $RIOT, $BTDR and $CRWV. Trimmed $SEI, $CORZ and $BE, while exiting $COHR, $LBRT, $TSEM, $HUT, $LITE, $KRC and $EQT.
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Leopolds 13F is finally out. Think his adds to $KEEL $CRWV and $IREN is what stands out to me right of the bat.
Also that he has exited $LITE and $COHR
What stands out to you?
Wall St Engine@wallstengine
Leopold’s Situational Awareness 13F is out. New positions include $TE, $HIVE, $SHAZ, $INTC, $AMD, $SMH, $TSM, $MU, $GLW, $ASML and $NVDA Added to $KEEL, $CLSK, $RIOT, $IREN, $APLD, $BTDR, $CRWV and $SNDK. Trimmed $SEI, $CORZ and $BE. Exited $COHR, $LBRT, $TSEM, $HUT, $LITE, $KRC and $EQT. OPTIONS ACTIVITY: Opened PUTS on $NVDA, $ORCL, $SMH, $AMD, $INTC, $AVGO, $MU, $TSM, $ASML and $GLW ... Opened CALLS on $MU, $TSM and $SNDK; trimmed $CRWV calls... Exited $EQT calls. $BE calls and $INFY puts were unchanged.
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25 years and a 99.99% drawdown later, $FCEL is seeing its heaviest volume ever.
With 2 full weeks of trading still left in May, FuelCell has already broken its monthly volume record.
Would you ever give a name like this a second chance?
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The Leopold Aschenbrenner effect.
$TE
Benny The Bull@bennybigbull
$TE I don't have a position, but I know it was a retail favourite. Can't deny how good this chart setup is looking...
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For those who do not know, Leopold Aschenbrenner is the 25 year old man who predicted the spike on $LITE, $SNDK, $BE, and more! He is one of the most watched names on Wall Street as his hedge fund gained from $200 million to now over 5.5 BILLION dollars!
HIS NEW PORTFOLIO!
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LEOPOLD ASCHENBRENNER JUST DROPPED HIS Q1 2026 13F
Here are his positions:
For context, this is the guy who turned $225M into $5.5B in roughly 18 months betting on AI
THE LONGS — buying the buildout
$BE — Bloom Energy — $879M
$SNDK — SanDisk — $724M
$CRWV — CoreWeave — $556M
$IREN — IREN — $401M
$CORZ — Core Scientific — $389M
$APLD — Applied Digital — $320M
$RIOT — Riot Platforms — $142M
$CLSK — CleanSpark — $104M
$SEI — Solaris Energy — $62M
$TE — T1 Energy — $44M
$BITF — Bitfarms — $39M
$BTDR — BitDeer — $30M
$PSIX — Power Solutions Intl — $26M
$WYFI — WhiteFiber — $21M
$AMD — Advanced Micro Devices — $20M
$BW — Babcock & Wilcox — $20M
$SHAZ — SharonAI — $18M
$PUMP — ProPetro — $13M
$SMH — VanEck Semiconductor ETF — $10.3M
$INTC — Intel — $8.9M
$ASML — ASML — $6.1M
$HIVE — HIVE Digital — $6.4M
$TSM — TSMC — $7.6M
$MU — Micron — $5.9M
$GLW — Corning — $718K
$NVDA — Nvidia — $498K
THE CALLS
$MU — Micron — $422M
$SNDK — SanDisk — $389M
$TSM — TSMC — $355M
$CRWV — CoreWeave — $141M
$BE — Bloom Energy — $55M
THE SHORTS — betting against the chip complex
$SMH — VanEck Semiconductor ETF — $2.04B puts
$NVDA — Nvidia — $1.57B puts
$ORCL — Oracle — $1.07B puts
$AVGO — Broadcom — $1.01B puts
$AMD — Advanced Micro Devices — $969M puts
$MU — Micron — $584M puts
$TSM — TSMC — $535M puts
$ASML — ASML — $494M puts
$INTC — Intel — $159M puts
$GLW — Corning — $21M puts
$INFY — Infosys — $6.75M puts
That is not a hedge. That is a statement.
What stands out
$IREN sits at $401M, making it a top 5 long position in the entire fund. For a stock that many still treat as a second-tier name, that is a significant stamp of conviction from one of the sharpest macro minds in AI right now.
The framework has not changed. Long the electrons and the rack space. Short the silicon. He has been running this playbook since launch and it has compounded violently in his favour.
The Q1 2026 filing is live on SEC EDGAR now.
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The Situational Awareness 13F filings are dropping TOMORROW📁
Leopold Aschenbrenner is known for his heavy AI infrastructure thesis and has turned $225 million into 5.5 billion in the last YEAR!
Thanks to him, I bought $BE at $67 and now it’s worth close to $300.
Here’s a link for when it drops: 13f.info/manager/000204…
Estimated time frame is 6am-10am
Who else is excited?💸
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@Sin_Nombre89241 @TheBigBerbowski Look into $CGEH
Time to power play like $BE
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Share your best stock ideas with these simple requirements:
- Sub 5b mc
- Founder led / skin in the game
- Growing top-line
- Not too hot/expensive
I know about $PENG, but is there something equally good or better?
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JUST IN: Leopold Aschenbrenner just updated his stock portfolio for his Situational Awareness Fund
This is every SINGLE STOCK he owned so far the end of Q1 (This does not include options)
$878.7M of Bloom Energy $BE
$724.4M of Sandisk $SNDK
$556.1M of CoreWeave $CRWV
$401M of Iren Limited $IREN
$389.1M of Core Scientific $CORZ
$320M of Applied Digital $APLD
$142.2M of Riot Platforms $RIOT
$104.5M of Cleanspark $CLSK
$62.5M of Solaris sei-network:native
$43.9M of T1 Energy $TE
$38.8M of Bitfarms
$29.8M of Bitdeer $BTDR
$26.3M of Power Solutions $PSIX
$21M of Corning $GLW
$20.9M of WhiteFiber $WYFI
$20.2M of $AMD
$19.9M of Babcock and Wilcox $BW
$18.1M of SharonAI $SHAZ
$13.1M of Propetro $PUMP
$10.3M of $SMH
$8.9M of Intel $INTC
$7.6M of Taiwan Semi $TSM
$6.4M of Hive Digital $HIVE
$6.1M of $ASML
$5.9M of Micron $MU
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Leopold Aschenbrenner just updated his stock portfolio for his Situational Awareness Fund, every stock he owned so so far for the last 3 months:
$878.7M of Bloom Energy $BE
$724.4M of Sandisk $SNDK
$556.1M of CoreWeave $CRWV
$401M of Iren Limited $IREN
$389.1M of Core Scientific $CORZ
$320M of Applied Digital $APLD
$142.2M of Riot Platforms $RIOT
$104.5M of Cleanspark $CLSK
$62.5M of Solaris $SEI
$43.9M of T1 Energy $TE
$38.8M of Bitfarms
$29.8M of Bitdeer $BTDR
$26.3M of Power Solutions $PSIX
$21M of Corning $GLW
$20.9M of WhiteFiber $WYFI
$20.2M of $AMD
$19.9M of Babcock and Wilcox $BW
$18.1M of SharonAI $SHAZ
$13.1M of Propetro $PUMP
$10.3M of $SMH
$8.9M of Intel $INTC
$7.6M of Taiwan Semi $TSM
$6.4M of Hive Digital $HIVE
$6.1M of $ASML
$5.9M of Micron $MU
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Leopold’s Situational Awareness 13F has FINALLY dropped. ALL of retail was waiting for this one, here is everything he did:
New Adds: $TE $HIVE $SHAZ $INTC $AMD $SMH $TSM $MU $GLW $ASML $NVDA
Increased: $KEEL $CLSK $RIOT $IREN $APLD $BTDR $CRWV $SNDK
Trimmed: $SEI $CORZ $BE
Exited: $COHR $LBRT $TSEM $HUT $LITE $KRC $EQT
Options:
• Opened puts on $NVDA $ORCL $SMH $AMD $INTC $AVGO $MU $TSM $ASML $GLW
• Opened calls on $MU $TSM $SNDK
• Trimmed $CRWV calls
• Exited $EQT calls
Thoughts?
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@kxshxl Million dollar question lol, I don't have a crystal ball but:
Energy: $FLNC / $BE
Cooling: Auras
Minerals: $IQE / $AXTI due to still tiny MCs
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Overlooked AI supply chain chokepoints:
According to new analysis from World Economic Forum.
1. Energy
2. Water/Cooling
3. Minerals
4. Land
List of key names in each chokepoint:
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1. Energy:
- $GEV: one of only Western HD gas turbine OEMs + $163B AI backlog.
- $VST: 2nd largest U.S. nuclear operator + 20 yr PPAs w/ $META & $AMZN AWS.
- Mitsubishi Heavy (7011): HD gas turbines, Sold out into 2028 w/ 2x capacity expansion planned to meet demand.
- Siemens Energy: huge order book €136B w/ 60% of turbine orders tied to data centers.
- $BE: 2.8 GW MSA for $ORCL fuel cell capacity + Brookfield $5B AI infra partnership to deploy fuel cells across AI factories globally.
- $FLNC: battery energy storage systems + software e.g. Mosaic. MSA w/ 2 hyperscalers.
-
2. Water/Cooling:
- Daikin Industries (6367): Critical fluoro/refrigerant supplier for low-GWP coolants used in direct-to-chip systems.
- AGC (5201): fluorochemicals + electronic materials (CMP slurries, mask blanks).
- $MOD: chillers + CDUs + data center coils. DC segment growing 50%+ + approaching ~30% of rev.
- $NVT: liquid cooling enclosures + busways, Partner in $NVDA Blackwell ecosystem.
- AVC (3017): named by $NVDA at GTC 2026 as one of four standardized cold-plate suppliers for Vera Rubin.
- Auras Technology (3324): $NVDA GB300 cold plates 25% mkt share. $AMD vapor-chamber certified.
- Delta Electronics (2308): Co-leader w/ $VRT in CDUs for GB200 racks.
- Wiwynn (6669): hyperscaler ODM rebuilding around liquid-cooled MGX/HGX racks.
-
3. Minerals:
- $FCX: largest publicly traded copper producer
- $MP: permanent magnets critical in DC HVAC + robotics.
- $AXTI: InP, GaAs substrates for optical interconnect (CW laser sources for CPO)
- $IQE: Epi wafers for VCSELs.
- $VNP: Gallium/germanium oxides for semiconductor substrates.
- Tri Chemical Laboratories (4369): Hafnium precursors for high-K gate dielectrics. Sole-source positioning into $TSM / $INTC / Samsung.
- Tokuyama (4043): Japanese poly + IPA + photoresist materials. Multi-product AI semi supply chain exposure.
-
4. Land:
I don't personally see much alpha in land.
But AI campuses need large footprints for compute, power + cooling.
-
There are honestly so many names in each chokepoint lol.
So have to focus on purer-plays where AI-driven revenue drives a significant % of company growth.
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aschenbrenner's q1 13f filed today. this isn't "long the AGI theme" — it's surgical rotation inside a $5.5B book.
trims:
• $BE common: 10.1M → 6.5M shares (-35%). took ~$480M off his biggest winner near the highs.
• $CORZ: -9.5% (he holds 9.4% via 13D — a real trim, not a rebalance)
• $INFY: dumped -24%. IT services isn't the trade.
new builds in the miner basket:
• $CLSK: +648% shares (1.6M → 12.3M). massive new conviction.
• $BITF: +188% shares
• $RIOT: +86% shares
• $BTDR: +92% shares
top-tier AI host adds:
• $IREN: +34% shares → $401M position
• $CRWV: +18% shares → $556M position
• $APLD: +19% shares
he kept the $BE calls. 408,500 contracts, +55% value q/q. converted appreciated common into pure optionality. still long the power thesis, just asymmetric now.
the cleanest signal: $CORZ -9.5% while $IREN +34%. inside the top tier of miner-pivot names, he picked $IREN as the relative winner. owns $CRWV bigger in dollars but $IREN got the bigger % add.
the playbook:
1. sell common from biggest winner near the highs
2. keep optionality via calls
3. recycle proceeds into laggards in the same thesis
4. pick relative winners inside each basket ($IREN > $CORZ)
not chasing. compounding. that's the discipline behind a $5.5B AGI book.
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Former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner’s AGI fund is making one massive bet:
The AI bottleneck isn’t software anymore.
It’s Power + Compute + Infrastructure.
Top holdings include:
$BE
$CRWV $IREN $CORZ $APLD
$SNDK
$GLW
No crowded Mag 7 trade.
Pure second-order AI infrastructure plays.
Power → Compute → Storage → Connectivity
Smart money is positioning for AGI before the market fully catches on.
Not financial advice.
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