Michael Rios
46 posts
Michael Rios
@MikeBRios
Senior Data Scientist - @UCLA_VRP. @UCLALuskin | Civic Data, GIS & Policy Analytics | Interactive Mapping & Visualization
The Exit Polls are a survey with sampling bias and large margins of error. Our analysis of actual precinct data reveals Latino vote was about 5-7 pts less Dem than 2020 but still well over 60% for Harris, in some instances 67% or 70% in favor of Harris. Our receipts:
Taking the stage next is @RepMonicaDLC but please don't tell her that the Southern part of TX-15 which is majority Latino just got 7-points MORE DEMOCARTIC. And don't tell the NYT but the RGV just got a little bluer on March 5th. 📊 by @MikeBRios @ahariharan014 @MichaelHerndon_
Check out this precinct plot by @MikeBRios @ucla_vrp showing % Dem in 2020 presidential vs. % Dem in 2024 primary -- Hidalgo County TX -- as precincts get more heavily Latino, Dems are OVERPERFORMING RN compared to '20 -- NO RED WAVE?!
¿Que está pasando en South Texas? This is Nov 2020 Biden/Trump share as compared to total votes cast tonight in Dem/GOP presidential primary. Total Dem votes cast tonight shows significant INCREASE in Dem votes compared to 2020📊📉by: @MikeBRios @ahariharan014 @MichaelHerndon_
🚨NEW @UCLAlatino Report: Despite the increased role of Latinos in determining elections & the vast evidence showing the crucial role of long-term & sustained contact for their turnout—investment in the mobilization of Latino voters has lagged behind. @MikeBRios @roddominguezv
My @GlobeOpinion latest is on @UCLAlatino’s new report authored by @roddominguezv & @MikeBRios 👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽 Latino voters may determine control of the US Senate bostonglobe.com/2022/07/22/opi… via @BostonGlobe
BREAKING: A new report from @UCLAlatino found that #LatinoVoters supported Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins in 2020 in 6 key Senate races, but a considerable number split their ballots btwn parties when choosing Senate and presi. candidates. 👉latino.ucla.edu/research/2020-…
Want to see in real time how Latinos are voting in the #CAprimaries? 🗳️ Set your alarms for tonight, 6/7 ⏰: 8pm PT: @UCLAlatino live tweeting #PrimaryElections data on #LatinoVoters 📈 also at 8pm PT: @SonjaFrancine on @KQED 📻 9pm PT: @SonjaFrancine on @AirTalk 📻
In WA state the @RedistrictingWA commission failed to deliver maps by Nov 15 & worse, it failed to draw a Latino-performing district in the densely Latino Yakima region - a direct violation of the #VotingRightsAct Read @ucla_vrp's memo to @WACourts⚖️⬇️ latino.ucla.edu/wp-content/upl…
Latino voters were more likely to vote to keep Newsom in office than non-Latino voters in the recall election, according to a new analysis by @UCLAlatino, via @sacbee_news & @Report4America sacbee.com/news/politics-…
Proud of @MikeBRios and @SonniWaknin for speaking about the important of complying with the Voting Rights Act at the Orange County Supervisors meeting today!
Yet, from March 2020 - March 2021, the number of Latinas in the workforce dropped by 2.74%– the biggest drop in labor force size of any demographic group during that time. (3/4) #LatinaEqualPayDay
In most counties, support for @GavinNewsom ⬆️ as the concentration of #Latino voters in precincts ⬆️. For the full data, click here: latino.ucla.edu/research/latin… (3/3) @namisumida @SuzGamboa @bigdanimals @joegarofoli @llerer