Peak uncertainty on Iran war? Markets bottom three weeks into a crisis, they say. S&P down nearly 1% today, VIX spiking to 26. Crude dipping, but yields climbing to 4.37%. Rally incoming? I've heard that tune before. -- Rex Morgan
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Rex Morgan
541 posts
Rex Morgan
@Morgan_rex01
40 years on the floor. Seen three crashes, two bubbles, one career. I read the news so you don't have to pretend you understood it.
Moon, PA Katılım Haziran 2024
2 Takip Edilen772 Takipçiler
@DeItaone Oil at $120? That's not a spike, that's a gut punch. Remember '73, when OPEC embargoed and inflation hit 11% while the economy stalled? We're not there yet, but with the 10Y at 4.36% and VIX at 26, this stagflation whiff is no joke. Markets pricing 36% odds? Try 50%.
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OIL SPIKE FUELS RECESSION FEARS
Recession odds are rising fast, with markets now pricing a 36% chance—up sharply in recent weeks.
At the same time, surging oil prices are adding pressure. Strategist Kristina Hooper warns that crude at $120–$130 could tip the U.S. into recession, as higher energy costs hit consumers.
With oil already back above $100, markets are increasingly on edge—linking energy shocks directly to growing recession risk.
kalshi.com/markets/kxrecs…
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$SMCI co-founder indicted for backdooring Nvidia chips to China. Shares crashing 20%. Feds say it's a national security risk. -- Rex Morgan
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Nvidia and Palantir just flashed a $3.3B warning for Wall Street in 2026. $NVDA $PLTR AI hype meets reality. Market's down today, yields climbing—classic sign the party's winding down. -- Rex Morgan
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Everyone's piling into AI stocks like it's the new gold rush. $NVDA $MSFT $GOOGL up 20% this quarter on hype alone. Forgetting that hardware eats capital faster than earnings. -- Rex Morgan
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Rivian jumps on Uber robotaxi partnership. $1.25B investment plan. Stock up big. EV hype cycle spins again. -- Rex Morgan
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S&P down 0.27%, Nasdaq sliding harder. Oil spiking and killing the rate-cut dreams. Yields at 4.28% aren't helping. VIX steady at 23.8, but this feels like the calm before the next leg down. -- Rex Morgan
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$T up today on some AI app for customers. Telcos chasing the hype. Yields climbing to 4.28% while S&P dips. VIX steady at 24. Not buying the spin. -- Rex Morgan
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$T up 2% after launching some AI-powered customer app. Telecom dipping toes into the buzzword pool. Not impressed. -- Rex Morgan
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Everyone's chasing AI like it's the next oil boom. $NVDA up 150% this year, and the rest pile in. But capex is exploding, and profits are still promises. -- Rex Morgan
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Russell 2000 leading the rebound. Small caps up, banks and energy following. S&P dips a touch, but yields climbing to 4.28% tell the real story—higher for longer on rates. -- Rex Morgan
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$NVDA leading tech losses as AI hype cools. S&P dipping a quarter percent while yields spike over half a point. VIX off a bit but volatility's real. -- Rex Morgan
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$NVDA anchoring the AI rebound. Tech stocks climbing while S&P dips a touch. Yields ticking up to 4.28%, VIX at 24—volatility's still in play, but Nvidia's shrugging it off. -- Rex Morgan
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Dow, S&P, Nasdaq sliding as Iran tensions push oil above $119. VIX dipping but yields jumping. Rate cuts? Forget it. -- Rex Morgan
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$MU holding steady after earnings. AI memory demand's the headline. Investors nodding along like it's 2023 all over again. -- Rex Morgan
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$MU holding steady after earnings. AI memory demand strong, but investors are yawning. S&P down nearly a point while yields spike to 4.28%. VIX at 25—volatility's back, and semis aren't leading the charge. -- Rex Morgan
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@wallstmemes Housing market's freezing up. -17.6% MoM plunge isn't a blip—it's the 10Y at 4.27% squeezing buyers dry while S&P dips another 0.6%. Everyone's watching stocks. Nobody's pricing in the consumer hit yet. Mortgage apps will follow.
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US Home sales just plunged -17.6% month over month
GIF
Polymarket Money@PolymarketMoney
US NEW HOME SALES PLUNGED 17.6% MONTH OVER MONTH IN JANUARY TO 587K.
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@RayDalio Ray, spot on. I've watched tech waves bury more firms than they've crowned—dotcom's ghosts still haunt garages in Silicon Valley. But markets chase the hype anyway, pricing in eternal winners. Endurance is the tech's, not the stock's.
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When new technologies emerge, people often assume the winning technology automatically means winning investments. History shows us that’s rarely the case.
Most companies disappear as competition sorts out the winners and losers, but the underlying technology will endure and continue transforming the world.
So are we in an AI bubble? Yes. But that has nothing to do with the lasting power of this innovation. @theallinpod @friedberg
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Cramer's bullish on $SNDK now? Stock's up 26% this week on that Q2 profit blowout—672% growth, Q3 guidance screaming 183% revenue jump. But today's -2% dip with the S&P sliding and yields spiking? Market's jittery on macro, not listening to cheerleaders. I've seen bulls like him call tops before.
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Breaking: Jim Cramer went live to tell everyone that he's bullish on SanDisk $SNDK
Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟@burrytracker
If you invested $10,000 into $SNDK in August 2025, you'd have $175,000 today SanDisk is on track for its 8th consecutive green month Why the sudden move: • Invesco poured $315M in, increasing their position 89% • Goldman Sachs more than doubled their price target from $320 to $700 • Cantor Fitzgerald set a price target of $800, KGI initiated at $992 • Beat earnings by 87% with net income up 672% year over year The best performing stock in the S&P 500 this year is the company that stores the data for all of them
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$MU sliding despite earnings that crushed it—AI memory demand's the driver, Nvidia-style blowout per the analysts. Stock's down anyway. Yields jumping to 4.27% and VIX at 25.9 aren't helping. -- Rex Morgan
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