tangerine skies

2.2K posts

tangerine skies

tangerine skies

@MtLemonLookout

United States Katılım Ekim 2024
49 Takip Edilen5 Takipçiler
tangerine skies
tangerine skies@MtLemonLookout·
@DeltaPoliticsUS @JPatchHall @ECaliberSeven That’s what it seemed to me from outside, but imo she seemed to make the same mistake that Warren did in 2020. Getting into a squabble with the candidate whose voters you need to be 2nd choice of is a bad move. Honestly I’m not picking in primaries I’m not involved in anymore.
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Ethan C7
Ethan C7@ECaliberSeven·
12% ticket split between Benson and El Sayed, FFS. Gonna take a LOT to drag El Sayed’s sorry butt over the finish line in November. And no, these gaps do NOT inevitably close. In 2022, Vance underran DeWine by 19% in OH. Walker underran Kemp by 9% in GA.
Ethan C7 tweet mediaEthan C7 tweet mediaEthan C7 tweet mediaEthan C7 tweet media
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022

MICHIGAN POLL By EPIC-MRA (A) GOVERNOR 🟦 Jocelyn Benson: 47% 🟥 John James: 38% — 🟦 Jocelyn Benson: 48% 🟥 Perry Johnson: 36% —— SENATE 🟥 Mike Rogers: 46% 🟦 Abdul El-Sayed: 43% — 🟦 Haley Stevens: 44% 🟥 Mike Rogers: 42% EPIC-MRA (A) | 7/24-7/31

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tangerine skies
tangerine skies@MtLemonLookout·
@earthejerr @ECaliberSeven Against either Steven’s or Abdul Mike Rodger’s is gonna have to stand on a debate stage and convince people he will be different to every other GOP Senator who kowtows to Trump. I don’t think he can do that, and in this environment 50+1 of voters will care about that more imo.
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earthjerr
earthjerr@earthejerr·
@MtLemonLookout @ECaliberSeven That not the own you think it is, MAGAs also achieved a majority in the GOP in primaries and proceeded to nominate nutjobs who lost in 2022
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tangerine skies
tangerine skies@MtLemonLookout·
@NickyFrank30 @earthejerr @ECaliberSeven Not really, even in polls that do show either Steven’s or Abdul losing it’s only y a few points. The same when they’re winning. Despite what CNN or Fox tells you Dem policies are popular; their politicians are not. The same 15-20% of indies don’t care beyond “do something for me”
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earthjerr
earthjerr@earthejerr·
@MtLemonLookout @ECaliberSeven Sure, guess they’re the majority of the primary electorate now That a own you think it is, esp seeing MAGAs achieving majority in primaries and nominating nutjobs who lost in 2022
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earthjerr
earthjerr@earthejerr·
@ECaliberSeven Honestly delusional for lefties to just wishcast AES will overtake Rogers for reasons unknown, or thr eNvIrOnmEnt Not even a blue wave will save a deeply shit and flawed candidate named “Abdul” in a swing state
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Patrick O' Houlihan
Patrick O' Houlihan@JPatchHall·
@ECaliberSeven I wish we'd gotten McMorrow. But I much prefer running a generic Dem like Stevens to easily hold this seat rather than taking goofy risks with El-Sayed. Dumb timeline.
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tangerine skies
tangerine skies@MtLemonLookout·
@nikicaga I bet you could watch her debate in the primary last time, her SoS race, or any local interview and know that’s not why. It’s because Arizona GOPers are nuts and she doesn’t need to platform herself on stage with them like they’re equal.
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tangerine skies
tangerine skies@MtLemonLookout·
@mattyglesias I dunno, does questioning Rodger’s actions come into play? The fact he supports a bunch of corrupt pedos, data centers, and the war going to appeal to “persuadable voters”?
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Matthew Yglesias
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias·
Gotta admit I’m kinda dooming on this situation
Matthew Yglesias tweet mediaMatthew Yglesias tweet media
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Jarren Duran Stan
Jarren Duran Stan@JarrenDuranStan·
Jarren Duran hate is out of control. Whole team is struggling yet all I see is “get Duran off my team” because he tried stealing on a lefty’s first move (which ur supposed to do). Drones on this app man.
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Hunter📈🌈📊
Hunter📈🌈📊@StatisticUrban·
Can we talk about how utterly ridiculous Inside Elections’ Senate ratings are? North Carolina and Georgia are toss-ups, but Maine is tilt R and Texas is likely R? Seriously?
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tangerine skies
tangerine skies@MtLemonLookout·
@Themiddlespeed @electionsjoe @fawfulfan Yes and no. If she loses then yes it’s 2006 redux, but also just the margins will matter. Her district has solid chunks of suburb, exurb, and rurals that will give an idea what’s happening turnout wise/margins.
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Joe
Joe@electionsjoe·
Republicans better PRAY for high turnout
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022

WaPo: Republicans see ‘scary’ lack of enthusiasm among core voters ahead of midterms. In reliably red Iowa—where open governor & Senate races look surprisingly competitive—AFP Action door-knocking in suburban Des Moines found voters critical of the Iran war and high inflation. Some even say they’ll back Democrats this fall. AFP Action’s Nathan Nascimento: "About 1 in 5 reliable Republican base voters are at risk in November" (may stay home or vote Dem) across IA, OH, NC, MT, NH & MI. Top concern: inflation and the economy.“This is a big chunk. This is a scary number.” Reaching them at the door usually moves them toward GOP candidates—or at least away from Democrats toward undecided.And that 20% doesn’t even include low-propensity Trump voters who turn out for him but often skip midterms. Cygnal’s Mitchell Brown: Dems as fired up as 2018 (when they flipped House). GOP lagging hard. Young men under 40—key to Trump’s ‘24 wins—most at risk over economy/prices. washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/…

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New Mexico Man(Cyrus)
New Mexico Man(Cyrus)@Cyrus2036·
@MtLemonLookout @KalshiPolitics @umichvoter Spartz genuinely does not give a shit about her re-election cycle, so she will underperform like crazy. She almost lost to a no-name who had no funding and whom no one knew. However, if she loses re-election, the Democrat is DOA in 28.
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Kalshi Politics
Kalshi Politics@KalshiPolitics·
It’s 100 days until Election Day. What’s your most surprising 2026 Midterm prediction? Name the race, state / district, and margin
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tangerine skies
tangerine skies@MtLemonLookout·
@demsocsean @playdda Got to include Ossoff in any southern primary. Honestly if he and AOC dared to do the dual ticket in primaries they sweep.
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Sean
Sean@demsocsean·
Even if you want to write off SC to Kamala, who comes after her is important. Imagine if AOC gets second in SC beating Newsom and Pete and then first in NH and NV.
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024

South Carolina Democratic Party chair Christale Spain told Axios that a progressive candidate such as New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez "absolutely" could win the state's primary in 2028. "I hate that the narrative kind of seems like 'Well, a progressive can't win in the South,'" said Spain, who worked for Sanders' 2016 campaign. "The work that you have to do in the South is retail politics."

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jeremy
jeremy@thought_less_·
@rjohnston4 @daveweigel Dave is dirtbag left so he is not capable of considering the possibility Biden wanted to achieve policy goals not exclusively political goals
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David Weigel
David Weigel@daveweigel·
Biden comes out of this looking like the world's biggest sucker. Wonder how this effects a future Dem president's calculation about what to build in states that didn't vote for him. brookings.edu/articles/the-b…
David Weigel tweet media
David Weigel@daveweigel

"Federal officials acknowledged this month that they had terminated [clean energy] funding 'based solely' on political criteria, targeting projects in states that were represented by Democrats and had voted for Kamala Harris." nytimes.com/2026/07/24/bus…

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Chill Wind
Chill Wind@1Chillwind·
@daveweigel How does this make Biden look like a sucker? He put these investments where they were most desperately needed. Trump's juvenile garbage ass behavior doesn't make Biden look like a sucker, but it does make a lot of moron voters who purport to champion the "working man" look stupid
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Political Polls
Political Polls@PpollingNumbers·
New - Fox News 2026 prediction Congress 🔵 Democrats - 211 🔴 Republicans - 208 🟡 Tossup - 16 Senate 🔵 Democrats - 48 🔴 Republicans - 48 🟡 Tossup - 4
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tangerine skies
tangerine skies@MtLemonLookout·
@DrDarkAge @DrewSav @StatisticUrban You can’t trust a democracy that made a bad choice after a pandemic and economic inflation, but your willing to trust an actual dictator who has camps for Uyghurs, ended Hong Kong’s freedoms, and is literally creating fake islands so they can steal S China Sea. You’re a putz.
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Callum
Callum@DrDarkAge·
@MtLemonLookout @DrewSav @StatisticUrban The world still remembers and the actions of this admin have made it worse. Tariffs, annexation threats, causing an energy crisis, supporting a genocide, disappearing people into camps. We can't trust people who will vote for this movement every other election.
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Keşfet

@DeltaPoliticsUS @JPatchHall @ECaliberSeven @earthejerr @NickyFrank30 @nikicaga @mattyglesias @JarrenDuranStan