NPB
22.4K posts


27/million and 10/million are admittedly very low, so criticism of my tweet/this study is warranted.
Initially, I put too much weight in the non-vaxxed vs vaxxed side of this without thinking critically enough.
I just looked up the general rate of myocarditis in children and it matches the above, so could be a lot more noise here than any signal.
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@MattFinkes Congrats, this tweet will be popular among the stupidest humans on the planet. Enviable level of stupidity.
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The WNBA will be gone in 3 years. It was already a losing entity, now they just multiplied the loss. The NBA owners won’t give away money for long.
Ball Don’t Lie@Balldontlie
The WNBA league minimum jumped up by about $234K 😳 📈
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@benbbaldwin I request you add a home/road split button so we expose dome merchants 🙏
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Updated the stats site (and a lot of others) to be a million times faster and have data go back to 2002. Try it out! rbsdm.com
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@NFLPinnacleBeat @geoffschwartz The upside is playing like he did in GB but over the course of the season.
So it's the exact opposite of "blind" since it's his demonstrated performance.
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@NFLPinnacleBeat Ceiling is highest for Simpson, 90th percentile is highest for Brissett
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@rgarcia57 Not really. Just was the best prospect choice for the poll.
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@PaPfe23 @geoffschwartz blind optimism isnt upside. Any young qb can have high upside if all it took was just being a little unknown to lazy people who dont care about reality.
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@geoffschwartz Signing a starting QB with high upside to a cheap 2 year deal for just over $20m per while getting younger, cheaper and building the foundation seems to be the plan.
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@DMacWake316 @tejfbanalytics Not similar in anyway actually. Darnold was unwatchable for half a season , played for an all time coaching staff on a great roster. Josh is a top 5-7 qb all time.
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@tejfbanalytics I think the biggest thing people miss with the “Sam Darnold jump” is that he was a really really good QB prospect with talent out of USC to begin with (biased to my own eval)
Similar to the Josh Allen leap requiring an alien like talent to begin with
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it’s funny that the “sam darnold jump” is now the new “josh allen leap”
it can happen as we’ve seen darnold, baker mayfield and daniel jones all be first round picks who had success in new environments. however, there’s a reason there’s one name attached to it and it’s not called something like “the year five surge”
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@Amonahan Season 1 of prison break is maybe the best single season in tv history and isn’t talked about enough
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@reinhardNFL This makes no sense. Considering he is bad at football and should compete for a roster spot
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This is the kind of trade/extension a team gets done when they have very different priors about a player than the rest of the league
Ken - Packers Cap@KenIngalls
Zaire Franklin agreed to a new deal with the Packers after the trade. Gets a $2m raise for his services in 2026 and $3.75m guaranteed, while keeping his 2027 cash the same. This is not a cap saving move - 2026 becomes $125k more costly. No void years - just more money.
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@cajun_vegas i have rybakina around 75.5% here for exp hld% vs AS. she held 83.5% on hard last 52 weeks. obv you can disagree and say that is too high. but doubt it is far off enough to move the numbers a lot
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@cajun_vegas not at all. obviously how often you expect them to hold depends on your assumptions on the players and your assumptions about the conditions etc. those could easily be wrong but certainly accounting for that lol.
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@theblockspot He did that with no real pass rushers or coverage units around him.
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Brock Purdy on 20+ air yard throws, 2023-2025
1st in on target rate
4th in QBR
2nd in completion rate
4th in EPA/db
(Also 8th in completions, despite missing games)
HiminyCrickets@IsMyHawkOut
@minakimes Difference is Lamar only had to hand it off to him where Purdy has to throw the ball farther than 20 yards and we know that isn’t happening
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