Nate Gerst

903 posts

Nate Gerst

@NateGerst

Katılım Kasım 2021

141 Takip Edilen31 Takipçiler

Nate Gerst@NateGerst·19 Mar

@MatSavant This looks awesome. Even the tracker with the team stats and individual points. I have a few questions on this. I do a very large fantasy team and the live stats are always the hardest to get. Ping me if you are open to the questions. Great stuff!!!

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MatSavant@MatSavant·19 Mar

Check out these point swings from the Consi 4 round. I suspect most people don't realize the significance of these consi matches when they happen. ILL dropped from 58 to 43 projected points that round. 58 pts would have had them beating OHST for 5th, instead they ended in 10th.

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MatSavant@MatSavant·19 Mar

I'm continuing to work on the NCAA Live Tracker. The code is all written and the backtesting looks beautiful when run against previous seasons, I just hope it actually works when the tourney starts tomorrow. 🤔 Another feature I added is a news ticker for big moments. Remember when Spratley upset Ventresca? That gave a 5 point bump to OKST's projected points (-6.5 for VT). This will help quantify the impacts of big upsets and unexpected bonus points. It will also call out significant changes in the top 10 and top 5 team standing projections.

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·14 Mar

@ErikJTurner @TheBillsGuys But wait I thought FA was over 🤣

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Erik Turner Cover 1@ErikJTurner·14 Mar

Bills are slowly but surely plugging players in.

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·6 Mar

@SleeperBills Hate cutting Knox but maybe a resign option. No big FA signings but solid guys who can contribute quickly. Leo and Mack step in to help out the 3-4 LBs. In the draft traded back missed my WR I wanted by two picks but give me the speed guy in Branch something the Bills could use.

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SleeperBills@SleeperBills·6 Mar

Post Dj Moore trade off-season mock 🦬 Thoughts? #BillsMafia

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·6 Mar

@UberHansen With the Defensive pieces we need I could really see this happening. I know we are crazy about getting a WR but our D continues to be the area we fail at. Get another WR and stack the D

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Hänsel@UberHansen·6 Mar

Pending how the 1st round of the #NFLDraft plays out, a move like this should be on the table for the #Bills.

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·6 Mar

@SocietyAI_Labs @grok is this actually worth while?

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Society AI@SocietyAI_Labs·2 Mar

In the 90s, you got your .com In the 2010s, your @ handle Now, your agent address Claim yours early Free invite code👇

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·6 Mar

@realdanmitchell Where in this theory are you fixing the D? I could see one more WR. But we don’t pick up two unless we drop Samuel, Palmer and/or Coleman I would think. Don’t hate your idea though 👀

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Dan Mitchell@realdanmitchell·5 Mar

If the Bills add Hollywood Brown/ Christian Kirk in FA then get KC Concepcion in the first. I’m a happy camper

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·5 Mar

@BillsChatPod It’s only a fleecing if Moore doesn’t produce at that level.

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Bills Chat Podcast@BillsChatPod·5 Mar

According to the Rich Hill trade value chart, this is equivalent to the top pick in the 3rd round Just no way around it. Feels like Beane got fleeced

Albert Breer@AlbertBreer

Full terms ... Bills get: WR DJ Moore, 2026 fifth-round pick. Bears get: 2026 second-round pick.

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·5 Mar

@StickToTheModel When does the GM model get updated with new signings and trades? Awesome stuff you all are doing

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Football Stats Guy@StickToTheModel·5 Mar

For anyone interested in building charts like this Or finding your early calls sticktothemodel.com/data/visualiza…

Football Stats Guy@StickToTheModel

Never seen a player more due for a trade than DJ Moore One of the best separators, deprived on a crowded team 28 years young, $35M dead cap makes it tough

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·5 Mar

@TheBillsGuys That’s the key. Get better and win now, worry about lottery picks and money later. Bills got a proven WR who made the team better at the end of the day. Rams went all in and worked maybe just maybe it’s the start of our chips going all in

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Air Raid | Buffalo@TheBillsGuys·5 Mar

Again, good player. We got better on the field.

Football Stats Guy@StickToTheModel

Never seen a player more due for a trade than DJ Moore One of the best separators, deprived on a crowded team 28 years young, $35M dead cap makes it tough

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·5 Mar

@SleeperBills Taking a proven NFL wide receiver rather than a second round lottery pick makes a ton of sense.

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SleeperBills@SleeperBills·5 Mar

A SECOND???? I guess it’s going all in, but that’s a steep price…

Tom Pelissero@TomPelissero

Done deal: The Bills are sending a 2026 second-round pick to the Bears for WR D.J. Moore and a 2026 fifth-round pick, per sources. A pick swap that gives Chicago extra draft ammo and Buffalo a new top receiver.

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·5 Mar

@AaronQuinn716 That’s the biggest thing we’re missing is yes we gave up a second round pick but we have proven value where we could swing and miss again with a wide receiver in the first or second round

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Aaron Quinn@AaronQuinn716·5 Mar

2nd Round pick, getting a 5th back, not the BEST value, but honestly I don't know who you are getting in the 2nd round that is better and ready to make more of an impact than DJ Moore is over the next couple of years. Give me proven production all day long.

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·5 Mar

@TheBillsGuys I agree but when you sit back and think about it you can take a swing at a first round wide receiver and miss or you can trade for a proven wide receiver give up a number two and still get a fifth and return.

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Air Raid | Buffalo@TheBillsGuys·5 Mar

2nd round pick … BRUTAL

Air Raid | Buffalo@TheBillsGuys

I’ll reserve judgement but initial reaction is … meh

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·5 Mar

@ErikJTurner Chenal and Blankenship. I think are musts. Lock in veterans to build this D back to what we need.

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Erik Turner Cover 1@ErikJTurner·5 Mar

Who ya got?! youtube.com/live/O_dt50uJR…

YouTube

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·4 Mar

@ErikJTurner @AaronQuinn716 Let’s go!

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Erik Turner Cover 1@ErikJTurner·4 Mar

New Film Room today at 3:15 PM!! We are discussing our Top FA Targets for the Bills... Honorable mentions for me: NT Khyiris Tonga G Dylan Parham LB Germaine Pratt Center Luke Fortner S Alohi Gilman

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·4 Mar

@KevinMassare Find a way to double up at WR in the draft. Focus all efforts on holes minus WR in FA. Get a WR round 1 Bigger and Physical and then find a way to get Branch from Georgia. Thats a pairing I think, Branch gives me Hill like vibes

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Kevin Massare@KevinMassare·3 Mar

Hmmmm (first four years off of their rookie deal)

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·1 Mar

@GregTompsett @Cover1 Love this pick if we get him. Secondary would be nicely rounded out for Leonard. Then focus on DT, EDGE LB and WR (in whatever order). Yes we need a WR, but our D is the reason we keep falling short stack it.

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Greg Cover 1 🏈@GregTompsett·28 Şub

Bills fans gonna be SO pissed when BUF takes him at 26, while @Cover1 staff quietly fist pumps… “nice”

Billy M@BillyM_91

Thieneman on-field drill workouts. SAF2

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·3 Şub

Thoughts on this mock? Heavy WR with height and one speed Set the S and LB core up to be better Grabbed rotational depth at DT and OG Free agency - Find the Edge Rusher! Get depth in secondary, OL and TE (assuming Knox is gone)

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·2 Şub

@TheBillsGuys This is where I landed. Still need a few pieces on OL, vet WR signing, and a few vet D signings based on the new scheme.

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Air Raid | Buffalo@TheBillsGuys·2 Şub

With all the holes we have now, every mock draft just doesn’t feel like it’s enough … NEED MORE PICKS

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·31 Oca

@TheSportsBully1 Don’t love Palmer, I think with the contract he is staying. Giving Josh two guys who can push the boundaries and the field and then Robinson and Shakir who are your underneath guys. Pair with Kincaid and I like this rotation. Still think they could upgrade more but we need D too

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Nate Gerst@NateGerst·31 Oca

@TheSportsBully1 Draft Round 1 WR or trade for JJ if possible. Pierce would be cool but I think it’s more likely we pick up a Robinson who consistently wins short yard and can handle targets consistently. WR x - FA or JJ WR z - Palmer WR y - Robinson WR Chess Piece - Shakir (Y,Z, etc)

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Gregory 🏈@TheSportsBully1·31 Oca

Free Agent WRs Tier 1 George Pickens Alec Pierce Christian Kirk Tier 2 Rasheed Shaheed Romeo Doubs Jauan Jennings Hollywood Brown Tier 3 Brandin Cooks Wandale Robinson Calvin Austin Tyquan Thornton

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Keşfet

@MatSavant @ErikJTurner @TheBillsGuys @SleeperBills @UberHansen @SocietyAI_Labs @grok @realdanmitchell