Neural Crypto Lab

Red candles don’t fall. They crawl. Ruin takes your hand. Panic plays the flute. Shame grins through bone. My new essay: Within the Danse Macabre of the Bear Market. ➡️ neuralcryptolab.substack.com/p/within-the-d… #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #Trading #BearMarket

@CalebFranzen ?? That's normal in a bear market. Altcoins are yet to take a real beating. Perfect buying opportunities once the bottom is reached.

So let me get this straight... Bitcoin is making new multi-month highs, but... • $ETH isn't • $XRP isn't • $SOL isn't • $SUI isn't • $BNB isn't • $HYPE isn't • $LINK isn't • $OTHERS isn't Don't you find that interesting?

@MissCryptoGER Moin. Alles nach Plan: BTC mit Fakeout Richtung CME Gap 82K USD o. höher. Danach: nächstes Leg down im Mai plus Juni auf 48K USD im Docht. Das wäre zumindest der Base Case. Man achte auf das beschissene Volumen. ^^

Guten Morgen 📈

@nicrypto Hehe, definitely. I just don't want to leave my continent. ^^

@NeuralCryptoLab I mean kinda essential if you want to leave your continent (unless taking a ship).

Airlines have never before planned around fuel availability - only price. That changed this week. Global airlines cut 2 million seats from May schedules in the past two weeks alone. Lufthansa cancelled 20,000 flights through October. Singapore and Tokyo asked carriers not to add extra services to limit jet fuel use. Vietnam has introduced rationing. The summer travel season starts in weeks.

@fejau_inc Volume is terrible. The broader market offers no bullish narratives. #Bitcoin will rise to $82,000 (CME gap) or even higher, then crash to $48,000 in May and by the end of June. That is my main scenario.

Great to see BTC above 80k too. Everything is going up and the sun is shining and spring is here Life is good

@nicrypto Volume is terrible. The broader market offers no bullish narratives. #Bitcoin will rise to $82,000 (CME gap) or even higher, then crash to $48,000 by the end of June. That is my main scenario.

Bitcoin broke above $80k! Here's why that's important: - Highest in 3 months - Key psychological level - Middle of massive CME gap ($79k - 84k) - Above Bull Market Support Band for first time in 6 months - Above key on-chain levels (True market mean, Short-term holder realised price) If we can hold here, the next levels are: - Average ETF cost basis at 83k - Closed CME gap at 84.5k It's going to be an interesting week...

Passende Montags-Mood. ^^

Kreuzfahrtschiffe nenne ich auch virologische schwimmende Labore. Was Normalos daran finden, eingepfercht mit anderen rumzuschippern statt in bewusster Einsamkeit kontemplativ irgendwo Urlaub zu machen, werde ich nie verstehen. Grauenhaft. Und potentiell tödlich.

@MissCryptoGER Wurscht. Nur Boulevardnoise. ^^

Ok, finde ich verrückt: Tether ist mit über 97.000 BTC einer der größten Bitcoin-Inhaber der Welt! Damit hat das private "Stablecoin-Unternehmen" mehr Bitcoin als börsennotierte Unternehmen wie Mara oder Metaplanet, nur mal so 😳

@MooninPapa Your assessment is solid and rational, and it’s obvious that 99% of degens out there, driven by emotions and low IQ, just don’t get it. ^^ At the end of the day, it’s ridiculously simple: do nothing. Wait for real bottoms. Then enter. Until then, just chill.

I think May and June could be brutal for crypto, and in this video I walk through exactly why I still believe BTC could push all the way down to $38,555 before this bear market leg is done. The core of the argument comes from the crypto calendar and how the last real bottom years behaved, especially when you compare monthly closes with the full wick-to-wick volatility inside those candles. I break down what those historical averages imply for BTC first, then apply the same lens to ETH and the broader market. The important point is not just that monthly closes could be red. It is that the intramonth volatility can get much uglier than the close alone suggests, which is why a move that looks manageable on paper can still feel like a bloodbath in real time. I also zoom out to TOTALES and the smaller-cap market to show how deep the damage could go if the same kind of bear-market behavior repeats. That is where the opportunity comes in too. If this forecast is even directionally right, the next two months could create some of the best accumulation windows of the cycle, but only for people who stay patient, think probabilistically, and avoid pretending projections are guarantees. The biggest takeaway is that this is a forecast, not a certainty. July has historically looked stronger, but I do not treat that as proof the full bottom is in. Right now I am using the best historical data we have to map the downside, prepare for volatility, and think ahead instead of reacting after the damage is already done. Crypto Calendar: calendar.thebettertraders.com Chapters: 00:00 Bitcoin to $38,555 by June? 01:48 BTC May and June historical forecast 03:19 Bitcoin volatility and lower wick projections 06:40 June could be even worse for BTC 10:47 Why this data comes from The Better Traders Club 12:34 Ethereum May and June forecast 15:30 ETH volatility and the $1,000 target 20:02 What TOTALES shows about the whole crypto market 23:29 TOTALES May and June downside projections 27:04 TOTALES vs TOTALLY50 vs TOTALLY100 explained 31:39 TOTALLY50 forecast and mid-cap risk 34:51 TOTALLY100 forecast and smaller-cap risk 36:21 Why July could bring a bounce 37:40 These are projections, not guarantees 40:02 How traders should prepare 41:48 Trading volatility and final thoughts 🎲 Play Moonin Papa BINGO with today's video: bingo.thebettertraders.com 💹 Take Your Trading to the Next Level! 💰 Sign up & Trade on Kraken 👉 invite.kraken.com/JDNW/n2vjiyla 🥇 Toobit: $15k Bonus 👉 go.coinbureau.com/aarontoobit 🥈 TBO indicator: identify trends early, confirm breakouts, and maximize profits by staying in the trend 👉 thebettertraders.com/TBO 📚 Learn Proven Crypto Strategies: Master bot trading, scalping, day trading, and swing trading with our courses: thebettertraders.com 🌐 Stay Connected: Follow me for market updates and insights across platforms: linktree.com/aarondishner

@MooninPapa Aaah. Now I get it. ^^ TOTALE50, not TOTAL50. So, the crypto market WITHOUT the top 50 or 100 cryptos. Got it.

@MooninPapa 30:00: Huh? Total100 refers to the first 100 cryptocurrencies, and Total50 to the first 50. Therefore, the sum must be Total100 > Total50. Or am I misunderstanding something here?

It looks like, with time, Stablecoin Dominance has a good chance of resuming its Macro Uptrend #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin

Nothing beats your own brain - practicing, reflecting, learning. But sometimes… AI-built panels for monitoring, validation or invalidation feels like magic from the future. Extremely useful - but only if you use it with awareness. #Crypto #Altcoins

Hm vielleicht kommt ja der parabolische Strom-Move dann verspätet Richtung Jahresende und 2027, evtl. nach einem Rücksetzer?

Financials bigger picture. Momentum pushing lower historically resolves price to 50month ema.

Once Miran leaves, there will be no more "doves" (per BofA)

Looks to me like something is about to kick off The ratio of VIX to VIXEQ (equal weight implied vol across SPX constituents) is turning higher, indicating that index‑level volatility is beginning to outperform single‑stock volatility. Suggests risk is becoming increasingly concentrated at the index level, rather than being absorbed through offsetting stock specific price action. When this ratio rises, market moves tend to become more synchronized, as shocks propagate across constituents rather than remaining idiosyncratic.

💪 #XRP