Nickel Dimer Bets

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Nickel Dimer Bets

Nickel Dimer Bets

@NickelDimerBets

No nonsense daily college basketball picks based on a simple proprietary model calibrated to short, medium, and long term trends. Thoughts and bets are my own.

Katılım Kasım 2025
371 Takip Edilen78 Takipçiler
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Nickel Dimer Bets
Nickel Dimer Bets@NickelDimerBets·
Alright team lets go to work. A couple things to note: 1. Lines and totals are averages from various books at the time of posting. I encourage shopping around for the best number. 2. These are high volume system plays. I'll play exactly what the model tells me to and won't deviate from it. 3. All plays are 1 unit in size. 4. If my lines/totals differ significantly from current lines/totals, it may be worth exploring why. My plays aren't influenced by game day news such as injuries/suspensions. Significant deviation may indicate material information that I am missing, which may warrant staying away from the game. 5. Most importantly stay disciplined, bet responsibly and have fun!
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Nickel Dimer Bets
Nickel Dimer Bets@NickelDimerBets·
$Clov fluff piece following surprise CMS final rate notice. I smell an offering very soon.
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Da_Pupul
Da_Pupul@SPrintzian·
Special Interest Media@thoughtson_tech

Watched a hospital system spend $4 million and eighteen months building a prior auth workflow tool that their vendor could have sold them for a fraction of that. At the time, that build cost was the vendor's best sales argument. "You'll never replicate this internally." They were right, until now. That shift from precious to abundant hits healthcare harder than most sectors, because so much of health tech's valuation was built on exactly that scarcity. The moat wasn't proprietary data or clinical expertise or FDA clearance. It was just that software was expensive and time-consuming to build, so once a vendor was in, the rebuild cost kept them there. That logic is collapsing fast, and the companies most exposed are the ones whose entire value proposition was "we encoded your business rules into software before you could afford to do it yourself." What doesn't commoditize is what software was always wrapping around: longitudinal patient data, payer contracts, regulatory certifications, and the clinical relationships that make any of it actually usable in practice. Software being free changes everything about the build-versus-buy calculus for large health systems and payers, and almost nothing about what actually makes a healthcare company defensible once the build cost is gone. Wrote about the full breakdown across payers, providers, and pharma here: onhealthcare.tech/p/the-free-lun…

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GunShow Trader
GunShow Trader@GunShow_Trader·
$CLOV AND Jamie Reynoso gets 600,000. That’s 6.8 million shares added to the float. Did I misunderstand something when executive compensation via shares was supposed to be done after January? They just issued 3 more years worth.
GunShow Trader@GunShow_Trader

Not to be outdone, Andrew took 3.6 million more shares and sold 350,000+ shares. 6.2 million more shares to the float. This is ridiculous. For what???? They just took another $12 million from profits we don’t fucking have. investors.cloverhealth.com/node/12271/html $CLOV

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GunShow Trader
GunShow Trader@GunShow_Trader·
If bankruptcy was prior to him getting to Clover Health, we learn from our mistakes. Failures lead to success and currently, Clover Health is still operating. A success. Too many people don't realize how much we learn in failure. Furthermore, we don't know all of the circumstances of those hospital failures. Andrew is the beneficiary of @VivekGaripalli's sacrifice as a CEO. He stepped down and let Andrew take the lead. Without that raise in 2021, Clover isn't standing today and Andrew wouldn't have had a chance. Andrew's success up through 2024 was on the back of Vivek's foundation. I think Vivek offered himself as the sacrificial lamb so his pride and joy could move forward. He put his ego aside. That's hard to do with something one creates. That tells me he saw the bigger picture. And I wouldn't call it paying himself handsomely. His stock was worth way more in 2021 than it is today and he's thrown more money at Clover. I'd gladly take Vivek's return to the helm.
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GunShow Trader
GunShow Trader@GunShow_Trader·
$CLOV - IF Andrew steps back into CTO role and @VivekGaripalli steps back in as CEO, I called it. You look goofy if you believe otherwise.
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Jdubbs
Jdubbs@Jdubbs00627840·
One year ago in MARCH $CLOV bought back ~5M shares at $3.60 Not hype. Not dilution. Actual conviction Today: ✔ Stronger margins ✔ Cleaner balance sheet ✔ Net GAAP income positive (Q1 2026) The market priced it like it was broken. It wasn’t. It was early
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Vanward Edge
Vanward Edge@VanwardEdge·
Clover Health Announces CFO Transition and Reiterates 2026 Financial Guidance Expected Stock impact: Slightly Positive $clov #stocks #stockmarket
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Grant Hesser
Grant Hesser@GrantHesser·
For those paying attention, this is a big deal buried on page 60 of the LEAD RFA released today.
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Nickel Dimer Bets
Nickel Dimer Bets@NickelDimerBets·
$Clov how many subdomains are we up to?
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Jonathan Zhao
Jonathan Zhao@TheRealJZhao·
@Impervious38 @CloverHealth …that’s generally a bad sign? Companies shift reporting metrics from net income and FCF to hide operating margins, stock based compensation and weak guidance lol
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CDN Ricky Bobby
CDN Ricky Bobby@mo32564305·
$CLOV Patience is the only remaining variable.
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