Ian Fotheringham

19.8K posts

Ian Fotheringham

Ian Fotheringham

@NoPoke

In favour of counting and physics. If we all do a little then we will only achieve a little.

Katılım Haziran 2009
381 Takip Edilen323 Takipçiler
PatriotTakes 🇺🇸
PatriotTakes 🇺🇸@patriottakes·
Trump posted an AI video of himself wearing a crown and dumping shit from a “King Trump” jet on No Kings protesters. This is where we are as a country.
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Ediz
Ediz@ediz1975·
Highly trained hard working safety conscious cyclist cycling safely with a safe stopping distance ……
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MaxParzen
MaxParzen@maxparzen·
@xiaowang1984 Here a prototype that considers grid constraints for Mexico: powernetzero.org/2050 (pick Mexico & then click total system costs) some regions can run future net zero power system on lower costs as today! If limitations are addressed, the costs would even reduce more.
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Ediz
Ediz@ediz1975·
I love my LTN …. Cycling lobby groups continue to support harming outsiders … @PGCommunity shame on you
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Neil Stone
Neil Stone@DrNeilStone·
💥BREAKING 💥 As rumoured, RFK Jr will link autism to Tylenol (paracetamol/acetaminophen) in pregnancy Whilst I don't trust him at all, this would be less damaging that blaming it on vaccines I'm open minded Let's. See. The data.
Yashar Ali 🐘@yashar

BREAKING via WSJ RFK Jr., HHS to Link Autism to Tylenol Use in Pregnancy and Folate Deficiencies Kennedy’s autism report, touted by Trump, will suggest that using the pain reliever during pregnancy may be linked to the developmental disorder Full Story: bit.ly/42iHRDs

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Ian Fotheringham
Ian Fotheringham@NoPoke·
@DanielJHannan Dog whistle much. The judgement will be accompanied by reasoning as to why that judgement was determined.
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Daniel Hannan
Daniel Hannan@DanielJHannan·
The Appeal Court judge who overturned the closure of the Epping migrant hotel, David Bean, was a founder of Matrix Chambers, a former treasurer of the Society of Labour Lawyers and a former chairman of the Fabian Society. See the problem?
Daniel Hannan tweet media
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Jess Ralston
Jess Ralston@jessralston2·
This £3000 added by wholesale prices is 7x (‼️) the costs of renewables schemes over the same period (such as the Renewables Obligation, Feed-In Tariffs, & CfD agreements).
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Jess Ralston
Jess Ralston@jessralston2·
💵 ENERGY BILLS & RENEWABLES How much are they going up by? Why are they going up? What are the long-term causes of high bills? A short 🧵 on why the answer isn't all blowing in the wind...
Jess Ralston tweet mediaJess Ralston tweet mediaJess Ralston tweet media
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Ian Fotheringham
Ian Fotheringham@NoPoke·
@mgshanks The wholesale cost of gas varies between 2p and 3p per kWh. Yes it has been lower in the past and higher during the early Russian invasion of Ukraine. But honestly gas is not the driver of high UK electricity costs. You MUST know this already.
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Michael Shanks MP
Michael Shanks MP@mgshanks·
1/ Blaming price rises on wind farms is simply misleading. Critics like to diagnose the problems with Britain, but at the same time block the solutions. Our reliance on fossil fuels is still the main driver of high energy prices in the UK. But there's more to it than that 🧵👇
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Ian Fotheringham
Ian Fotheringham@NoPoke·
@mgshanks Which generators currently receive the most constraint payments? Is it new generation that is receiving the most constraint payments or that old infrastructure?
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Michael Shanks MP
Michael Shanks MP@mgshanks·
2/ Our energy infrastructure was designed decades ago to connect coal power stations. It has suffered from years of underinvestment. This means we see increases in system costs like constraint payments.
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Ian Fotheringham
Ian Fotheringham@NoPoke·
@L__Bow I know the UK nuclear fleet is at or past eol. I thought that the French fleet had many years left. The tough political decision for France will be if they stick with the EPR or not.
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Lewis Bowick
Lewis Bowick@L__Bow·
@NoPoke It could also get interesting if France decide not to renew all of their nuclear fleet
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Ian Fotheringham
Ian Fotheringham@NoPoke·
Given that 1) Electricity price is set by gas almost all the time in the UK 2) The price of electricity varies a lot during any given day. Does that imply that the price of gas must vary similarly during each day? AFAICT gas prices do not change much during a day. Help!
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Ian Fotheringham
Ian Fotheringham@NoPoke·
@LonghoC @simoncgallagher How to cut through that complexity? How to avoid complexity leading to poor decisions and outcomes? The truth may be "out there" but it is damned hard to uncover.
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Chris Longhorn
Chris Longhorn@LonghoC·
It's a complex subject, but natural gas for powerburn isn't necessarily determinant of final price. Even though natural gas is the largest single source of supply, in terms of derated margin and what the clearing price was at the capacity auctions, nuclear nearly matched that in the T-1. The fully context is here Statutory Security of Supply Report 2024 - GOV.UK but like I say, there's no single answer to the question "what is the cost?"
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Ian Fotheringham
Ian Fotheringham@NoPoke·
@simoncgallagher Stopping burning gas is probably the wrong approach. I expect current Net Zero plans will make for a slower and more expensive transition to burning less stuff. Best should not be the enemy of good.
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Simon Gallagher ⚡Energy & the Grid ⚡
We need some honesty in this debate In £ right now, fossil fuels (gas in the UK) is the cheapest form of secure electricity. I believe the long term costs are catastrophic in terms of climate change and we must move to stop burning gas, but renewables add cost right now.
Ed Miliband@Ed_Miliband

1/ We know that any price rise is a concern for families. Wholesale gas prices remain 75% above their levels before Russia invaded Ukraine. That is the fossil fuel penalty being paid by families, businesses and our economy.

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Ian Fotheringham
Ian Fotheringham@NoPoke·
@simoncgallagher I was looking at wholesale. Gas price is relatively stable, electricity is not. Where is the causal link for high electricity prices that is implied by gas setting the price most of the time in the UK.? Fuel cost must matter but perhaps much less than we are frequently told.
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Simon Gallagher ⚡Energy & the Grid ⚡
@NoPoke Retail prices are largely fixed. Suppliers buy on long term contracts, short term and from intra day markets - then come up with a (fixed) price and sell it to you. In the middle is Network costs, balancing, risk, margin and policy costs.
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Ediz
Ediz@ediz1975·
Seriously why would you not stop ? We need to follow rules to ourselves and others safe. This cyclist was overcome by bike brain and being brainwashed that actions like this are to keep him safe …
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Ian Fotheringham
Ian Fotheringham@NoPoke·
@L__Bow That's where I am. Its not the fuel that matters, though cheaper fuel should be better. Unless we really screw up the market that is. Oops.
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Lewis Bowick
Lewis Bowick@L__Bow·
@NoPoke It leads me to think a lot of the price spikes must be more to do with scarcity of generation capacity, or rarely used capacity covering cost, rather than anything to do with the fuel the generator runs on. Some of it due to bringing low fuel efficiency plant online?
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Ian Fotheringham
Ian Fotheringham@NoPoke·
@L__Bow Which makes me believe that gas setting the price is not the cause of high electricity prices in the UK. It is going to get ugly when we get retirements in our ageing CCGT fleet. Early next decade?
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Lewis Bowick
Lewis Bowick@L__Bow·
@NoPoke The gas plant which runs most of the time sets prices at fairly tolerable levels (£72/MWh at 3am today) and the gas plant which runs less sets high prices (£145 @ 7pm yesterday). We're moving towards more of the capacity running less of the time
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Ian Fotheringham
Ian Fotheringham@NoPoke·
@janrosenow It raises questions about just how expensive infrastructure is in the UK. It does not challenge the value of dispatchable llow carbon power.
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Jan Rosenow
Jan Rosenow@janrosenow·
Data from BNEF on Sizewell C shows electricity costs could hit £286/MWh, much more expensive than other technologies. While it helps decarbonise, this price tag raises major questions about cost-effectiveness. Is nuclear too expensive to be a key part of the UK's energy solution?
Jan Rosenow tweet media
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