
Ian Fotheringham
19.8K posts

Ian Fotheringham
@NoPoke
In favour of counting and physics. If we all do a little then we will only achieve a little.
Katılım Haziran 2009
381 Takip Edilen323 Takipçiler

@patriottakes Distraction from the leaked chat by "young" Republicans praising Hitler and worse.
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X is going to display where accounts are posting from
I predict this will expose many propaganda accounts
To be clear, I am posting from London, United Kingdom!
🇬🇧
Wall Street Mav@WallStreetMav
BREAKING 🚨 X to begin displaying what country an account is posting from. I like it.
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@ediz1975 @CliveDymond Perhaps, perhaps not. Cars can out brake bicycles
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@maxparzen @xiaowang1984 Is that using current infrastructure or is it a blank sheet exercise?
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@xiaowang1984 Here a prototype that considers grid constraints for Mexico: powernetzero.org/2050 (pick Mexico & then click total system costs) some regions can run future net zero power system on lower costs as today!
If limitations are addressed, the costs would even reduce more.
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@ediz1975 @bc7653 @PGCommunity The cars will be belching fumes no matter where they are. Those fumes do not stay still but spread to adjacent roads.
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@NoPoke @bc7653 @PGCommunity Why do you think it’s ok to increase congestion upon children outside LTNs ?
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I love my LTN ….
Cycling lobby groups continue to support harming outsiders …
@PGCommunity shame on you
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@bc7653 @NoPoke @PGCommunity 1000% … these people hate children that they actually support harming them ….
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@DrNeilStone Probably as strong a lnk to say eating ice cream in pregnancy.
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💥BREAKING 💥
As rumoured, RFK Jr will link autism to Tylenol (paracetamol/acetaminophen) in pregnancy
Whilst I don't trust him at all, this would be less damaging that blaming it on vaccines
I'm open minded
Let's. See. The data.
Yashar Ali 🐘@yashar
BREAKING via WSJ RFK Jr., HHS to Link Autism to Tylenol Use in Pregnancy and Folate Deficiencies Kennedy’s autism report, touted by Trump, will suggest that using the pain reliever during pregnancy may be linked to the developmental disorder Full Story: bit.ly/42iHRDs
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@DanielJHannan Dog whistle much.
The judgement will be accompanied by reasoning as to why that judgement was determined.
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@jessralston2 Might be fairer to call that £3000 as added by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
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@mgshanks The wholesale cost of gas varies between 2p and 3p per kWh. Yes it has been lower in the past and higher during the early Russian invasion of Ukraine. But honestly gas is not the driver of high UK electricity costs. You MUST know this already.
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@mgshanks Which generators currently receive the most constraint payments?
Is it new generation that is receiving the most constraint payments or that old infrastructure?
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@L__Bow I know the UK nuclear fleet is at or past eol. I thought that the French fleet had many years left.
The tough political decision for France will be if they stick with the EPR or not.
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@NoPoke It could also get interesting if France decide not to renew all of their nuclear fleet
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@LonghoC @simoncgallagher How to cut through that complexity? How to avoid complexity leading to poor decisions and outcomes?
The truth may be "out there" but it is damned hard to uncover.
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It's a complex subject, but natural gas for powerburn isn't necessarily determinant of final price. Even though natural gas is the largest single source of supply, in terms of derated margin and what the clearing price was at the capacity auctions, nuclear nearly matched that in the T-1.
The fully context is here Statutory Security of Supply Report 2024 - GOV.UK but like I say, there's no single answer to the question "what is the cost?"
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@simoncgallagher Stopping burning gas is probably the wrong approach. I expect current Net Zero plans will make for a slower and more expensive transition to burning less stuff. Best should not be the enemy of good.
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We need some honesty in this debate
In £ right now, fossil fuels (gas in the UK) is the cheapest form of secure electricity.
I believe the long term costs are catastrophic in terms of climate change and we must move to stop burning gas, but renewables add cost right now.
Ed Miliband@Ed_Miliband
1/ We know that any price rise is a concern for families. Wholesale gas prices remain 75% above their levels before Russia invaded Ukraine. That is the fossil fuel penalty being paid by families, businesses and our economy.
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@simoncgallagher I was looking at wholesale.
Gas price is relatively stable, electricity is not. Where is the causal link for high electricity prices that is implied by gas setting the price most of the time in the UK.?
Fuel cost must matter but perhaps much less than we are frequently told.
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@NoPoke Retail prices are largely fixed.
Suppliers buy on long term contracts, short term and from intra day markets - then come up with a (fixed) price and sell it to you. In the middle is Network costs, balancing, risk, margin and policy costs.
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@L__Bow That's where I am. Its not the fuel that matters, though cheaper fuel should be better. Unless we really screw up the market that is. Oops.
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@NoPoke It leads me to think a lot of the price spikes must be more to do with scarcity of generation capacity, or rarely used capacity covering cost, rather than anything to do with the fuel the generator runs on. Some of it due to bringing low fuel efficiency plant online?
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@L__Bow Which makes me believe that gas setting the price is not the cause of high electricity prices in the UK.
It is going to get ugly when we get retirements in our ageing CCGT fleet. Early next decade?
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@NoPoke The gas plant which runs most of the time sets prices at fairly tolerable levels (£72/MWh at 3am today) and the gas plant which runs less sets high prices (£145 @ 7pm yesterday). We're moving towards more of the capacity running less of the time
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@janrosenow It raises questions about just how expensive infrastructure is in the UK. It does not challenge the value of dispatchable llow carbon power.
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