Nomatic
20.2K posts






I’ve been one of the biggest market makers on Polymarket for a long time. At peak I was doing $10M+ daily volume and paying thousands in fees every single day. The current state is the worst the platform has ever felt. Ghost fills still everywhere. Markets constantly breaking. Payouts randomly missing. Exploits going on for months while the team says “it’s fixed”. You spend more time defending against bugs than actually trading. Meanwhile, communication is a joke. They say “we’re listening” → ignore emails, ignore DMs. They say “we’ll work with top users” → instead it’s random private Telegram groups with whoever shouts the loudest. They say “issue fixed” → it clearly isn’t. At some point you stop believing anything they say. The fee situation is another one. If you’re generating serious volume and paying serious fees (thousands a day), most exchanges shower you with attention and perks. I'm not asking for that but would be nice to at least be acknowledged that you exist and have basic communication, especially after they've announced publicly multiple times that they will start doing this. Instead we got a week-long hype campaign for a “big update” that turned out to be… a hidden fee increase. How dumb do you think your users are? And then stuff like April 5th, missed referral/rebate payments, no announcement, no explanation, nothing. Just silence. That’s not a bug, that’s trust damage. The bigger issue is it feels like nobody on the team has actual trading experience. The design decisions show it. Every update introduces new edge cases, new exploits, new ways to break the order book. People have made many millions exploiting this stuff. Many of these accounts are obvious, trackable, preventable. The community has been pointing it out for months. Ignored. Only now that the markets are borderline unusable does it seem like there’s urgency. Right now the platform is honestly close to untradeable: – ghost fills – manipulation – unreliable payouts – constant bugs – zero transparency And surprise, volume is dropping. Meanwhile Kalshi is catching up fast (have basically overtaken in volume in almost every category except for politics) and Hyperliquid is entering with a team that actually understands trading systems. I want Polymarket to succeed. And yes, maybe the upcoming ghost fill fix helps. But if this pattern continues, terrible communication, fake timelines, ignoring core users, then this won’t be a place serious traders stick around. You can’t build a market while eroding the trust of the people who provide the liquidity, especially not as a many multi billion dollar company! I have spoken to many large polymarket whales (of which a considerable amount have already given up on the platform) and they all share this sentiment. @Polymarket @mustafap0ly @SuhailKakar @_kanarazu_




When I have thought of this in the past, I was picturing the honey pot scenario and didn't realize how distributed these coins were. While I know little about quantum computer setups, the bit I do know is they aren't simply a mouse click hack, but have hardware, energy and probably physics/engineering constraints (also a setup still likely doesn't currently exist that can pull this off). All that to say if there are constraints, you're likely not gunning for a 50BTC wallet. Also this isn't like some silver bullet defense. I just wasn't aware of this. I Still have Quantum concerns. This is just a better scenario than I was imagining.


i had many discussions about quantum & bitcoin in las vegas this week, both on and off stage, with skeptics, advocates, and many overall smart bitcoiners some consensus i feel is emerging: 1) satoshi’s coins (P2PK) should not be touched. violating his property rights could be disastrous for bitcoin’s core value proposition. but the risk is also lower than many realize — satoshi’s coins are in ~22,000 addresses, each of 50 BTC. a long range attack would have to crack them all (i.e., it’s not one giant honeypot). the giant honeypots are mostly exchanges or active entities who can upgrade to a PQ-address if needed, so mostly not realistically at risk. the hourglass proposal could also further mitigate if we thought long-range Qday was imminent meanwhile, neutral atom tech can only do long range attacks, and google quietly opened a neutral atom lab just prior to their recent paper (maybe just hedging, but possibly an admission of superconducting’s limitstions? unclear, but distinguishing between long & short range is essential, and impacts the satoshi-coin issue) data from @_Checkmatey_ and others also shows that bitcoin markets routinely absorb 1m+ BTC, even just from oct25 to pres, let alone during bull markets. suffer a 50% drawdown (even if it were possible to take all of satoshi’s coins) to preserve bitcoin’s core property rights? i think most bitcoiners would accept that trade off, particularly given the mitigations (satoshi’s many addresses, hourglass, and market’s capability to absorb them if needed) 2) it is good to work on new crypto for bitcoin, post-quantum or otherwise. developing it, testing it, compressing its signatures, proposing and debating implementation — all of these are good for bitcoin the risks are a) this work occupies people’s time, potentially diverting from other important work; b) something untested or too novel is added to the protocol; c) calls to implement on the protocol create consensus gridlock, hamper other upgrades but most people i talked with in las vegas agreed that background work, perhaps resulting in a new PQ implementation being “put on the shelf” in case it’s needed, is unequivocally a good thing. this mostly seemed to be a reasonable middle ground on the contentious mainstage panel as well, despite disagreements on urgency. perhaps with the right funding and resources, good work can be accomplished while 2a and 2b are mitigated? i do think quantum is a problem worth working on, even if there is only a 1% chance that it ever affects bitcoin. i also think alarm bells about urgency have ultimately been positive for pushing these discussions forward. but finally, i am also very encouraged that there are a lot of people who are indeed thinking deeply about the implications, mitigations, and solutions, including many bitcoin developers these are just my impressions and are definitely open to discussion and disagreement



A 2005 state-designed worm designed to corrupt physics simulations sat undetected on VirusTotal for nearly a decade. Fast16, intercepted executable files at the kernel level and silently rewrote floating-point calculations to make them produce slightly wrong answers. Targets: high-precision engineering suites used for structural analysis, crash simulations, and physical process modeling, including LS-DYNA, a tool cited in reports on Iran's nuclear weapons research. The sabotage vector relied on deployment of the driver across a network via worm, corrupting calculations on every machine, and eliminating the possibility of cross-checking results against a clean system. Stuxnet got the documentary. Fast16 got twenty years of nothing. sentinelone.com/labs/fast16-my…


BREAKING: Kevin Warsh just said it. "AI and Bitcoin will ignite a massive economic boom in America." The man who controls U.S. monetary policy starting May 15. Not a influencer. Not a Bitcoin maximalist. The next Federal Reserve Chair. Putting AI and Bitcoin in the same sentence as economic boom. The most powerful monetary position in the world. Just validated both industries simultaneously. The regime change is complete. Act accordingly.







I still haven't solved the CO2 bedroom challenge You open the window and you wake up from a 6am garbage truck or barking dogs and sunlight You close it, you suffocate in 1200 ppl at 5am I guess you really need some mini tube in your wall with a vent that opens and closed based on internal CO2 but how do I build that?




The COVID cover-up goes all the way to the top. Fauci funded the Wuhan lab. Senior intelligence officials hid classified evidence from the president himself. Scientists were silenced. Millions paid the price. The DOJ has until May 11th to prosecute Fauci before the statute of limitations runs out. I am not letting this go. The American people deserve justice.






