NotJustinLawGuy

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NotJustinLawGuy

NotJustinLawGuy

@NotJustinLaw

this is my first Twitter account.

Katılım Ağustos 2023
220 Takip Edilen391 Takipçiler
NotJustinLawGuy
NotJustinLawGuy@NotJustinLaw·
@davidslosttt The point of the gerrymander is not to protect Democrats in a R+ 9.5 year, It's to ensure that Democrats control the house in a Dem +5 year. The result of Virginia in a R+9.5 year is irrelevant.
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David
David@davidslosttt·
It would only take a R+9.5 red wave year, but the VA gerrymander can technically break
David tweet media
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Shirley S Poster
Shirley S Poster@RonPepeX·
@NotJustinLaw @BCatturd @TheLaurenChen They made 5 "competitive" districts all with very odd representation that include parts of the suburbs/urban areas of democratic strongholds. If republicans were in control they'd easily make 4 red districts out of this by focusing on these circled areas. That's whats going on.
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Lauren Chen
Lauren Chen@TheLaurenChen·
Most people have no idea how much Democrats have screwed over Republicans with their gerrymandered districts On the left are the results from New Jersey's 2025 gubernatorial election by precinct On the right are the same results by congressional district How is this allowed?
Lauren Chen tweet mediaLauren Chen tweet media
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Shirley S Poster
Shirley S Poster@RonPepeX·
@BCatturd @TheLaurenChen Not even close to being the point of contention. The issue being shown in NJ is clearly the fact that they didn't make a red district in the north and have every district with their tail ends into NYC. That's how they gerrymandered it, it's not rocket science.
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NotJustinLawGuy
NotJustinLawGuy@NotJustinLaw·
@shipwreckedcrew Everyone has heard the evidence. The evidence is a photograph. There has been no secret phone calls where Comey calls the president and says he's going to kill him.
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Shipwreckedcrew
Shipwreckedcrew@shipwreckedcrew·
That's why we have juries. 12 people who sit in the courtroom and hear the evidence, then THEY DECIDE BASED ON THE EVIDENCE if such a belief was reasonable. Have you heard the evidence?
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick@ReichlinMelnick

The idea that any reasonable person would view seashells spelling out “86 47” to be a true threat by Comey that he was going to kill the president is so laughable that anyone who genuinely believes that has either pickled their brain online or was dropped on the head as a baby.

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Michael L. Russell (Combat Neuropsychologist)
@bscholl You can't end gerrymandering--you can appoint an independent commission of leftist academics to give you a blue map, or politicians to generate a red map, but there is no truly independent model.
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Blake Scholl 🛫
Blake Scholl 🛫@bscholl·
Unpopular opinion: SCOTUS whiffed hard when they had the opportunity to blow up gerrymandering and didn't. Gerrymandering is one of the worst practices in American politics— D/R safe districts turn the primaries into the generals, rewarding extremism over centrism.
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NotJustinLawGuy retweetledi
Michael Li 李之樸
The utter incoherence of Callais is captured in this paragraph (pg. 36). Under Callais, plaintiffs have to show you could draw a Black-majority district that would elect Julia Letlow, a white Republican. That defeats the purpose of the claim, which is to end vote dilution.
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TheDugOut
TheDugOut@The_Dug_0ut·
@maya_sen The reason is that discrimination based on partisanship is legal, whereas discrimination based on race is not. You need to disentangle those two to prove it's race-based - surely you're smart enough to understand this.
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Maya Sen
Maya Sen@maya_sen·
This, in Alito’s opinion in Callais, summarizes many of the problems Of course the plaintiffs’ experts did not analyze voters’ candidate preferences by controlling for their party - that makes no sense
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NotJustinLawGuy
NotJustinLawGuy@NotJustinLaw·
@maya_sen Doing everything they can to take advantage of the fact that the three liberal justices won't just call the Republican party a white supremacist party lol
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Supreme Leader in waiting Dennis
A consequence of the Supreme court redistricting case is that blacks running as Republicans is going to be a viable option in many more places. Hot take: In 50 years, the black vote will be far more evenly split between the parties.
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NotJustinLawGuy
NotJustinLawGuy@NotJustinLaw·
@kerrc17 This is a 4-3-3 with everyone moved around. Also, Tessman is the CB you've been looking for.
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Kerr
Kerr@kerrc17·
It's becoming more and more clear who our best XI is. - Trusty vs McKenzie can be up for debate. For me, I want a left footer on the left side. - Same convo if you want to start McKenzie instead of Freeman. - Johnny has always had the tools but turned the corner last window
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Steve Evets
Steve Evets@SteveEvets8·
@SeanTrende @adub01488424 But I thought you had argued in other cases that things like “intent of aiding a party” and “unduly favoring one party” can’t be quantified?
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Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP@SeanTrende·
The irony of all this is that if Texas had waited, the three judge panel in the LULAC lawsuit might have ruled against its 2022 map and it could have drawn this with a pretty clear justification for doing so.
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NotJustinLawGuy
NotJustinLawGuy@NotJustinLaw·
@tsarlet2 What on earth are you talking about? Everybody understands that Illinois is currently gerrymandered and would be unraveled by a national ban.
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Tsar Apu II Apustayevich
Tsar Apu II Apustayevich@tsarlet2·
"Democrats remain willing to prohibit gerrymandering nationally" and then they'll draw the craziest snake district you've ever seen because Latinos having their own ethnic enclave doesn't count as "gerrymandering" to them
Tsar Apu II Apustayevich tweet media
Josh Barro@jbarro

The whining from Republicans here is just preposterous. Democrats remain willing to prohibit gerrymandering nationally. Republicans thought they were better off fighting this battle state-by-state and are sore that that wasn't true.

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NotJustinLawGuy
NotJustinLawGuy@NotJustinLaw·
"there's no way to prevent partisan gerrymandering" says the conservative party in the only Western democracy that allows partisan gerrymandering.
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Casey Mattox
Casey Mattox@CaseyMattox_·
There is no way to "end partisan gerrymandering." You might make it a little less extreme. But "nonpartisan" commissions, etc. don't work because the incentives still demand partisan gerrymandering and people are human. Gerrymandering of the kind we're seeing is a symptom of the problem of unconstitutionally empowering the federal government. If you want to actually FIX this, you make Congress live with Article I, Section 8 - including a limited understanding of its commerce power and the necessary and proper clause. And you also stop Congress from sucking power into the federal vortex only to delegate it to unaccountable executive branch agencies. The moves from red and blue states to squeeze out more representation in Congress reveals a deeper sickness. Monkeying around with district lines to squeeze out a seat or two isn't going to cut it. In a constitutional world where Virginia, Alabama and California can all make many more of the decisions affecting their citizens' lives, the focus is there instead of how to draw maps to get another Congressman or 2 to vote your way on the limited powers enumerated to Congress. IOW, Overturn Wickard. Among others.
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