Numismatic Crux
230 posts

Numismatic Crux
@NumismaticCrux
Real person who works a corporate job
Katılım Nisan 2013
737 Takip Edilen48 Takipçiler

It's my 7 year anniversary at @StellarOrg. What a journey it’s been.
Seven years ago we made a bet that traditional finance had to be a part of this movement - not the target of it. So we built knowing institutions would come. They did.
Best part: still so much more ahead….
stellar.org/blog/foundatio…
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@Buckyball9000 @rawsalerts it was better under michael bloomberg, actually, and far less divisive.
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@rawsalerts Hate him all you want. But NYC was the best it has ever been in recent times under him as mayor.
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🚨#BREAKING: Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani has been hospitalized and currently in critical condition
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@TheRickWilson Who are the 68% brain dead republicans? Truly puzzling!
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@marcuslemonis Dude the republicans invented and mastered this game. Look at anti-democracy Texas. But no criticism when they do it.
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Does this mean Virginia is now gonna be anti-business, anti-democracy?
No Party should do this..
This is just bad form and setting a terrible example for young people by telling them that if they don’t like the game just change the rules?
this applies to everybody U2 Florida.
Leading Report@LeadingReport
Virginia voters have passed new Congressional map, expected to give ten seats to Democrats and only one seat to Republicans.
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Nearly 1 In 4 Americans Over 65 Are Still Working zerohedge.com/personal-finan…
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@SaraGonzalesTX Girl, your last name is Gonzales. I bet you too were a non-English speaking immigrant in your family history.
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@Travis_Kling Ummmm. Not sure if you noticed but the Strait was open before the war.
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@TheCatholicEngr Oh please. My kids went to day care and they’re fine. When asked about it now, they’re unbothered. Their memories are of our family together, not day care. Parents have to make a living. We also sent our kids to excellent universities bc we had invested in our careers.
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@scottmelker Well said. So nice to see a crypto leader breaking ranks from the Trump koolaid drinkers. Crypto’s embrace of Trump will prove to be short sighted and dangerous. MAGA’s corrupt, grifting, low IQ stench stinks up the space.
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Everyone has biases, even the people who insist they don’t. I admit mine openly. I’m skeptical of politicians on both sides, skeptical of institutions, and skeptical of neatly packaged narratives that arrive fully formed the moment a war begins.
That does not mean I can’t be objective. In fact, I try very hard to do exactly that – listen carefully, compare what I’m being told to observable reality, and adjust if the facts prove me wrong. I’m always happy to be proven wrong.
Since this war began, I’ve been accused endlessly of having “TDS” because I have questioned the motives, messaging, and stated goals. Fine. Here is how I see it, based on the information we actually have, not the emotional narratives people seem desperate to force onto everyone else.
At the start, we were told this was about stopping an imminent nuclear threat, crushing an evil regime, ending its ability to fund terror, and in some versions, even helping save the Iranian people. Those are massive claims. They also happen to be the kinds of claims governments have historically used to sell wars to the public, which is exactly why skepticism is not only reasonable, but necessary.
But lets take those at face value and look at the information we have today.
If this were truly a humanitarian mission, then threatening to bomb civilian infrastructure and effectively collapse a civilization would completely contradict that premise. Yes, that would hurt the regime. It would also devastate ordinary people far more profoundly. You cannot credibly claim to be saving a population while openly discussing actions that would immiserate that same population.
If this were truly about regime change, that case also looks weak based on the facts on the ground. We are now hearing that negotiations are happening with the same regime structure, reportedly through the Ayatollah’s son. There has been no clear public indication in the reported terms that regime replacement is a non-negotiable demand. If the same power structure remains in place, then either regime change was never the real objective, or the goalposts moved the moment reality got in the way.
Then there is the nuclear issue, which is where the skepticism becomes even more obvious. We have heard for decades that Iran is “weeks away” from a nuclear weapon. We were told not long ago that their capabilities had been destroyed. Now we are again being told that the threat is immediate and urgent. Maybe it is. I’m open to that possibility. But if today’s claim is true, then many previous claims were exaggerated, false, or at minimum deeply misleading. That should not make people less skeptical. It should make them more skeptical.
And even now, the reported ceasefire and negotiation terms appear murky and inconsistent. Some reports suggest Iran could retain some enrichment capability. Some reports contradict others. Iranian news cannot be trusted at face value, and frankly neither can the instant spin coming from politicians or war cheerleaders here. We know very little with certainty, and pretending otherwise is dishonest.
What we do seem to know is that the Strait of Hormuz has become central to the negotiations. Think about what that means. At the beginning, the strait was open. The public case for war was not presented as being about oil. Now the strait is effectively the key pressure point, Iran still appears to retain leverage over it, and reopening it is treated as a core objective. That matters.
Because if the war began with one stated rationale and is now being negotiated around maritime access and energy flow, then people are justified in asking whether oil was always a bigger part of the story than they were told. Especially when you then hear rhetoric about “keeping the oil” or controlling the outcome in ways that sound far more strategic and economic than humanitarian.
From what we are seeing publicly, the main objective is now to open a Strait that was always open until the war began.
So my position is simple: I do not claim perfect knowledge. I fully admit I could be wrong. I admit my own bias toward distrusting official narratives. But when I look at what we were told, then look at the facts as they currently appear, I do not see a clean moral story or a successful, clearly defined mission. I see shifting justifications, unclear objectives, contradictory reporting, and outcomes that do not seem to match the original sales pitch.
That is not “TDS.” That is applying the same skepticism to war propaganda that people claim to value in every other context.
You do not have to agree with me. But at minimum, don’t ask me to suspend pattern recognition, ignore moving goalposts, and pretend that changing narratives are proof of honesty instead of the exact opposite.
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@DannyCopus @scottmelker Exactly much koolaid did you drink?
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Apologies for jumping in again, but I hate to see someone so smart get it so wrong, all because you’re just not thinking strategically nor factoring in all considerations.
It’s simple, although admittedly longer than I’m sure you’ll give time to, to read. Buuut anyway …
Trump pushed for lower rates because he wanted a boost to the economy before doing what he knew he had to do in Iran, which he also knew would affect the economy negatively. And yet despite not getting the rate cuts (which really should have come anyway, with or without his efforts), he knew he had to do something about Iran NOW. Why? Because the Iranian Suprene Leader was the only one holding the regime back from building a nuclear bomb, forbidding his people from making one, yet he was 86 years old, and undoubtedly only had a few years left, but in just a few months, the Democrats might win a Senate majority or a Congressional one, and if they do, then there goes any real hope for getting this mission approved if it goes beyond 90 days and needs that Congressional approval … and it’s too risky to leave it to the next administration, because that could be JD Vance (he probably wouldn’t), it could be Marco Rubio (he probably would), or it could be a Democrat, who in typical form isn’t going to do anything about the matter … and, as such, there would go any real hope of stopping Iran from building a bomb once the Supreme Leader would have died of natural causes.
And then … the biggest funder of terrorism in the world, and our enemy who fuels our enemies, would be invincible, would control the Strait of Hormuz with a nuclear weapon, and would share their weaponry with their terrorist proxies.
Would you rather have that? As if that would be good for oil prices or anything. Come on now. There’s a reason why other leaders of the Middle East are fed up with Iran and are now joining the fight. Nobody wants this war, but absolutely nobody wants a nuclear armed Iran. Sometimes, we must do what we don’t want to do in order to ensure a better future. Just like in WW2, just like at any other time of history when the true protectors of the realm decided to no longer allow bad men to do bad things.
I don’t like Trump, I voted against him the first two times, but I voted for him in 2024 because the new Democrats proved to be utterly insane during the Biden Administration, and Trump was right about basically everything … and he’s right about Iran. to your point, though, let’s see if he goes all the way or two chickens out. There’s nothing wrong with finding an offramp if the job has been done well enough to bring about surrender and men to the negotiating table. But, I don’t believe a good deal can be made with bad men … at least not if any of those bad men remain in power.
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@AriFleischer Plus we’re at war. This is highly dangerous and disrespectful to all Americans. Disgusting - all elected officials should not be paid until this is sorted out.
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If we we go into this weekend with TSA unfunded, it won’t surprise me if all TSA agents stop working, shutting down US airports entirely,
This is madness. It’s brutal to TSA and their families and it’s punishing to the travelling public.
Congress must reach an agreement, before it’s too late.
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@RealBlackIrish Again, you have absolutely no idea about my life and why I don’t want children. I don’t need pity my life is fucking brilliant. And again as I keep telling you having kids means FUCK ALL. I’ve seen it with my own eyes, happiest residents I looked after in healthcare - CHILDLESS.
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@JohnStrandUSA @SenateGOP Got to hell! Goddammit the Americans are being held hostage by their elected officials. And you’re endorsing it?
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Warning to @SenateGOP:
Anyone who fails to vote in support of the SAVE America Act will be permanently branded a traitor to the Republic.
That’s a pledge by We the People.
We will primary you.
We will denounce you.
We will exile you from polite society.
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@PeterLBrandt Front running decisions of war & peace is a grotesque act of corruption - Caligula style. Totally indefensible to any American or human for that matter.
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@scottmelker My three are grown. Totally relate to this feeling - had it many times! Young children bring such joy but grown kids do too!
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@scottmelker Midnight: Go on tinder for a male hook-up while denouncing gay rights.
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A morning in the life of Lindsey Graham:
5:00 AM – Wake up
5:01 AM – Check overnight news to see if any new conflicts broke out while sleeping
5:03 AM – Quick prayer for peace, immediately followed by brainstorming three new wars
5:05 AM – Scroll headlines looking for countries we haven’t sanctioned yet
5:10 AM – Coffee
5:12 AM – Say good morning to my wife
5:13 AM – Ask her what she thinks about expanding the war
5:15 AM – Call a Sunday show producer to explain why the only way to stop war is more war
5:20 AM – Call a few foreign leaders to see if they’re interested in escalating something
5:30 AM – Breakfast
5:32 AM – Watch cable news while eating eggs and quietly rank potential battlefields
5:35 AM - Do some more war
5:40 AM – Group chat with defense contractor buddies
5:41 AM – Brainstorm innovative ways they can profit more from the next war
5:45 AM – Tweet about defending freedom
6:00 AM – Go on TV to explain the last 20 years of war failed because we didn’t commit to enough war
6:15 AM – Check if anyone online accused me of wanting war
6:16 AM – Go back on TV to clarify that I actually want peace through more war
6:30 AM – Start working on the afternoon plan: convincing three more countries to fight each other.
6:35 AM - Set up Axis & Allies board
6:40 AM - War
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