@VexedVortices They're actually so smart and amazing. Like I disagree with abt half of what they say, but like they never just say shit. All their views r really well substantiated and informative
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Aussie Oddly into US Politics
5.8K posts
Madeline Pendleton is cool. I like her
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@tetrarosie @Nebraskademsoc Idk, people liked the dems back in 2018 and were less polarised. They still remembered a half decent president in Obama. Biden wasn't great comparatively
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@Nebraskademsoc d+10.1, 1.5 points bluer than 2018 seems reasonable
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@AllStarP_ Montana/Nebraska may be viable for independents. If it's a good year for Dems then there's Texas (Cruz always sucks and under performs) and Ohio (Moreno is pretty weak) assuming no other electoral shifts between now and then.
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Aside from *maybe* Pennsylvania if Shapiro runs this map has next to no pickup opportunities if Dems have the Presidency. Likewise there's atleast 4 for Republicans, It's kinda cooked 😭
Owen@Nebraskademsoc
I think the only swing state Senator that will hold on in 2030 is Tammy Baldwin if it's a red wave year
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@Press4BC Glengariff has historically underestimated el sayed and is the sole reason he had a large general election polling gap compared to Steven's and McMorrow. Said gap wasn't seen by other high quality pollsters like Emerson. So imo Steven's is probs only leading Abdul by like 2-3
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16 point polling/favorability gap seems crazy right?
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022
Michigan Senate Democratic Primary 🟦 Haley Stevens: 48% 🟦 Abdul El-Sayed: 41% ⬜️ Not sure: 10% —— Fav-unfav El-Sayed: 52-15 (+37) Stevens: 50-24 (+26( —— • Detroit News/The Glengariff Group • July 8-11 | 500 LV | ±4.4% detroitnews.com/story/news/pol…
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you know susan collins’ 2020 performance really wasn’t EXTREMELY impressive?
if rcv fully went through, collins would’ve won by about 5.3, and the generic ballot in 2020 was only d+3.1, meaning she only overperformed the gcb by 8.4
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@davidslosttt U do know the reference, right?
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This is the electorate that Susan Collins is running in
Kirk Chungus@wyatt_riot_69
I saw this sign for a Free Planter and nearly had a heart attack. The Maine voters are tiiiiiiired
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@Salamander765_5 @Hercules1125_ Explain. Justify ur incorrect view. A 30 something year old man had sex with a 15 year old. His physical age is irrelevant when both the anime and novels make clear that his mind remains unchanged
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@OddlyIntoUsPol @Hercules1125_ You're retarded.
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@justjoenyc @BaileePolitics Being in the streets = you deserve to be ruthlessly, single-handedly executed by the state with no trial. Brother do u hate freedom?
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@BaileePolitics Being in the streets is why you’re getting yourselves killed, but feel free to continue…
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Another fucking murder. We need to be in the streets.
Nathan Bernard@nathanTbernard
ICE agents fatal shooting footage from Biddeford, Maine has been released by Portland Press Herald.
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@douglasblaikie @PpollingNumbers Eh, if I were in America I'd say I'd hate both parties and I wouldn't miss an election. U can always hate one party wayyyyy more than the other
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@PpollingNumbers What a stupid, meaningless question. Don't you think if a person hates both parties they probably won't vote? But it is the kind of meaningless cross tab in a bogus poll not to give helpful information, but instead drive a narrative.
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New - Generic Ballot poll (Voters who hate both parties)
🔵 Democrats 55%
🔴 Republicans 29%
Verasight #C - RV - 6/23
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@MatthewMangan9 @beatmastermatt I do also agree with this. I dislike that state/federal government r basically entirely removed from eachother
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@OddlyIntoUsPol @beatmastermatt I just think layered representation would work best
From the town, to county, to state, and THEN to DC
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11,400? Sounds great to me. If it were up to George Washington, we'd certainly have an 11,400 member House today.
Hunter📈🌈📊@StatisticUrban
@AnnoyingLibtard @AGlavkoverkh That is an insane assumption, you are not getting an 11,400 member House.
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@Wellstonecratt Because he has been out polling her for a good bit with decent pollsters, hes the strongest GE candidate, and unless something changes, Stevens in relatively sauceless and has no defining policy. She feels like a weaker Hillary and Sayed feels like a stronger Bernie
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Why is Kalshi so confident on Abdul winning?
Kalshi Politics@KalshiPolitics
🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Michigan Senator Gary Peters has endorsed Haley Stevens in the Michigan Senate race 22% chance she wins the Democratic nomination
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@TheDeepsouthDem big mistake. California will only be worth 30 EV's, TX will be worth 800
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@RespectableCon I wanna see the world where McCain got 7.6 million less votes so badly. Like how huge is Obamas landslide? Does he win Arizona or Georgia or the dakotas or West Virginia? Texas??
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Presidential GOP popular vote-House GOP popular vote
2024: Trump +2,911,716
2020: Trump +1,757,399
2016: Trump +212,603
2012: Romney +2,650,190
2008: McCain +7,698,832
2004: Bush +6,082,466
2000: Bush +3,463,619
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@saruman_desage @TypicallyJayden No. No it isn't. These words have entirely different historical contexts. Words are more than their exact definitions. This isn't to say that Brit's shouldn't say it tho,
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@TypicallyJayden Ironically kinda sexist to view it as different than “dick”
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I forgot for Americans cunt is like the n word for women 😭😭😭
manzzanita@luvmalie
@KloppSznn @meretist why are you, as a MAN, calling a woman a cunt
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@BCTSean Tbf they aren't really a lib, they're just like a moderate anti capitalist
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A tale in two tweets.
> Liberal joins DSA.
> Gets way pissed at a procedural decision.
> Call for mass expulsions of the "left" (which includes many independents!).
> Quit
All in a couple hour span, jfc.
If anything's gonna get you accused of wrecking, it's shit like this.
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@SamuelKellum @ForwardCarolina Well yeah, dumping a couple million anything in 1930s Australia would end the country. Thats like half the population at the time 💀. Tensions always exist and will always dissolve as people get to know eachother. That's why in multicultural cities ppl r the most understanding.
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Boone, North Carolina
79% White, 8% Hispanic, 3% Black, 10% Other
2016: D+17
2020: D+12
2024: D+26
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@SamuelKellum @ForwardCarolina In fact, the exact arguments against modern migration from India or east Asia or the Middle East were used against immigration from Italy or Greece or Ireland.
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#Arkansas Presidential Polling:
Trump (R): 47% (-14)
Biden (D): 45% (+11)
Hendrix College / June 10, 2020 / n=869 / Online
(% chg with 2016 Party Vote)
talkbusiness.net/2020/06/poll-i…
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