Paul Miller

@nikhilsinghal @ihtesham2005 It seems obvious to me that the post was written by a person. Maybe the worst aspect of AI is its ability steal credit from people. LLM AI may be DEI for computers.

@ihtesham2005 Dude. Stop using Claude to write your posts. Just a cursory check shows this is pure AI slop. Do a little effort

A Hungarian psychologist raised three daughters to prove that any child could become a chess grandmaster through early specialization. He succeeded. Two of them became grandmasters. One became the greatest female chess player who ever lived. Then a sports scientist looked at the data and found something nobody wanted to hear. His name is David Epstein. The book is called "Range." The Polgar experiment is one of the most famous case studies in the history of deliberate practice. Laszlo Polgar wrote a book before his daughters were even born arguing that geniuses are made, not born. He homeschooled all three girls in chess from age four. By their teens, Susan, Sofia, and Judit were dominating tournaments against grown men. Judit became the youngest grandmaster in history at the time, breaking Bobby Fischer's record. The story became the gospel of early specialization. Pick a domain young, drill it hard, and you can manufacture excellence. Epstein opens his book by telling that story honestly and then quietly demolishing the conclusion most people drew from it. Chess works that way. Most things do not. Here is the distinction that took him four years of research to articulate, and that almost nobody who quotes the 10,000 hour rule has ever read. There are two kinds of environments in which humans develop expertise. Psychologists call them kind and wicked. A kind environment has clear rules, immediate feedback, and patterns that repeat reliably. Chess is the cleanest example. Every game ends with a winner and a loser. Every move is recorded. The board never changes shape. The pieces never invent new ways to move. A child who plays ten thousand games will see most of the patterns that exist in the game, and pattern recognition is exactly what chess mastery is built on. A wicked environment is the opposite. Feedback is delayed or misleading. Rules shift. The patterns that worked yesterday may be exactly the wrong patterns to apply tomorrow. Most of the real world looks like this. Medicine is wicked. Investing is wicked. Building a company is wicked. Scientific research is wicked. Almost every job that involves a complex changing system with humans in it is wicked. The Polgar sisters trained in the kindest environment any human can train in. Their success was real and the method was correct. The mistake was generalizing the method to fields where the underlying structure of the environment is completely different. Epstein's research is what made the implication impossible to ignore. He looked at the careers of elite athletes outside of chess and golf and found that the pattern was almost the inverse of what people assumed. The athletes who reached the very top of their sports were overwhelmingly people who had played multiple sports as children, specialized late, and often switched disciplines well into their teens. Roger Federer played squash, badminton, basketball, handball, tennis, table tennis, and soccer before tennis became his focus. The kids who specialized in tennis at age six and trained year-round for a decade mostly burned out, got injured, or topped out at lower levels of the sport. The same pattern showed up everywhere he looked outside of kind environments. Inventors with the most patents had worked in multiple unrelated fields before their breakthrough work. Comic book creators with the longest careers had drawn for the most different genres before settling. Scientists who won Nobel Prizes were dramatically more likely than their peers to be serious amateur musicians, painters, sculptors, or writers. The skill that mattered in wicked environments was not depth in one pattern. It was the ability to recognize when a pattern from one domain applied unexpectedly in another. That kind of thinking cannot be built by drilling a single subject. It can only be built by accumulating mental models from many subjects and learning to move between them. The deeper finding is the one that should change how you think about your own career. Specialists in wicked environments often get worse with experience, not better. Epstein cites studies of doctors, financial analysts, intelligence officers, and forecasters showing that years of experience in a narrow domain frequently produce more confident judgments without producing more accurate ones. The expert builds elaborate mental models that feel comprehensive and turn out to be increasingly disconnected from the actual structure of the problem. They stop noticing what does not fit their framework. They mistake fluency for understanding. Generalists do better in wicked domains for a reason that sounds almost mystical until you understand the mechanism. They have less invested in any single mental model, so they abandon broken models faster. They are used to being a beginner, so they are not threatened by the discomfort of not knowing. They have seen enough different domains that they can usually find an analogy from one field that unlocks a problem in another. The technical name for this is analogical thinking, and the research on it is one of the most underrated bodies of work in cognitive science. The single most useful sentence in the entire book is the one Epstein puts almost as a throwaway. Match quality matters more than head start. A person who tries six different fields in their twenties and finds the one that genuinely fits them will outperform a person who picked one field at fourteen and stuck to it on willpower alone. The lost years were not lost. They were the search process that produced the match. Every field they walked away from taught them something they later imported into the field they finally chose. The reason this is so hard to accept is cultural, not empirical. We tell children to pick a path early. We reward the prodigy who knew at six. We treat the late bloomer as someone who failed to launch on time, when the data suggests they were running an entirely different and often more effective optimization process underneath. The Polgar sisters were not wrong. The conclusion the world drew from them was. If your environment is genuinely kind, specialize early and drill hard. If it is wicked, and almost every interesting human problem is, then the people who win are the ones who refused to specialize until they had seen enough to know what was actually worth specializing in. You are not behind. You were running the right experiment all along.

@TerryHorowitz3 @RealPNavarro @rc_markets Much of America is recovering quickly but the deep blue places seem especially retarded when it comes to economics and justice.

@RealPNavarro @rc_markets Trumpnomics? This American guy can’t afford to eat and pay rent! Who is investing in manufacturing when companies are laying people off? Exports are because prices oil and gas are bones and sinew are skyrocketing! Recheck your facts bro!!!

🚨U.S. exports hit record highs in March. And America is making productive capital goods purchases — the bones and sinews of a manufacturing comeback. Trumpnomics is rebuilding the industrial base the globalists sold off. Read more @rc_markets. realclearmarkets.com/articles/2026/…

@IFoughtTheDoor @BasilTheGreat What?! Public schools are the place to send kids to get bullied and pressured and assaulted, by teachers and students. Catch up.

@BasilTheGreat If you understood anything then you would know that there have been concerns over several years that the abuse of home school children has gone undetected. This isn't new. But of course you make it all about Muslims 🤦🤡

Muslim girl gets murdered at home by her Muslim parents and they forced her to wear a hijab covering up the abuse Daily Mail - "Use another stock pic of a white girl"

@SensiblePGH @Oilfield_Rando @char5191 Do you read your own stuff before posting it?

@Oilfield_Rando @char5191 I need you to understand that Neo Nazi slop accounts like this are created by billionaires. Their only goal is to protect the egregious wealth of elites.

I need people to understand that our tax dollars were used to train these foreigners how to scam our welfare programs

@SkynetParadigm @KatieDaviscourt @camhigby More freedom can fix our ills. More speech is more freedom.

@Pabloat8000 @KatieDaviscourt @camhigby You’re right and I agree… but that has nothing to do with this street corner being live streamed for a year now. It really isnt doing anything but amplifying stupid leftists. Conservatives need to learn how to organize, protest, and actually fight back.

It’s impossible for me to do my job down at the Portland ICE facility, even with security. I was violently mobbed out by Antifa, and a suspect in black bloc threw a rock at my face. I have zero desire to discuss this further, but everyone is tired of it and wondering why a crackdown on Antifa — a terrorist organization— has not yet occurred.

@JFreedo41102272 @SkynetParadigm @KatieDaviscourt @camhigby 20 million Americans murdered since Roe v Wade. Rampant racial discrimination in government and corporations to implement radical Leftard DEI nonsense. Ridiculous taxation and regulation that stifles our growth and suppresses future opportunities. Massive illegal immigration.

@SkynetParadigm @Pabloat8000 @KatieDaviscourt @camhigby What would conservatives be protesting?

@adammocklerr Democrats love to gaslight people and it’s worked extremely well on willfully-ignorant democrats.

Scott Jennings claimed I got in his face; Watch what actually happened in the full CNN segment. He throws a personal jab... then folds the second he gets pressed. Scott loves to dish it but can’t take it.

@jimmy_dore Jimmy gaslights everyone for profit.

Trump on the The U.S. navy currently seizing ships in the Middle East: “It’s very profitable, we’re like pirates”. Out loud admitting & even bragging that the U.S. is an international criminal organization. Wow.

@TManitowoc @KatieDaviscourt It wast too long ago that the “news” organizations did investigative journalism and literary covered issues by doing what @Savsays is doing now. She is doing us a service; you are gaslighting.

@KatieDaviscourt This isn’t a “job”…you are a grifter with a cell phone camera. Jobs have hired positions, taxes taken out and people you answer to with your reporting who pay you. What you have here is a hobby, and you rely on people watching to pay you.

@SkynetParadigm @KatieDaviscourt @camhigby I care. I want antifa terrorists and their financial supporters arrested and prosecuted and put in prison. Most Americans agree. Catch up.

@KatieDaviscourt @camhigby There is ZERO news going on there. It’s literal kids larping around as revolutionaries. You being there keeps the stupidity going. Nobody gives a shit about what they’re doing.

@PJBrizzle @SenMikeLee @TheJusticeDept Try paying attention instead of paying lip service.

Lee, you MAGAs are shameless dirtbags. The @TheJusticeDept’s framing of their recent indictment of the Southern Poverty Law Center couldn’t be more dishonest & disingenuous. It’s no surprise a lethally stupid & gullible MAGA like you fell for it. Yes, there’s an indictment. While that part is real, the narratives they and MAGA “leaders” are pushing all over social media are wildly distorted versions of what the indictment actually alleges, and couldn’t be more dishonest…which is sadly what we’ve come to expect from this administration. The claim being blasted everywhere is that SPLC “funneled millions to white supremacists,” as if they were secretly funding hate groups out of sympathy or shared ideology. That’s flat-out false framing. The actual allegation is that SPLC paid confidential informants embedded inside extremist organizations and then allegedly misrepresented or concealed how those payments were structured or disclosed in order . That’s a fraud and transparency argument, NOT ideological support. Those payments, if proven, were tied to infiltration, intelligence gathering, and monitoring threats. The same exact methods used by law enforcement, counterterrorism agencies, and similar public & private organizations. You don’t penetrate violent extremist networks by sending in volunteers with clean résumés. You use people inside those circles. The graphic in their post strips all of that context out on purpose. It replaces “paid informants inside extremist groups” with “paid white supremacists,” because it’s “red meat” for the racist, lethally stupid & gullible MAGA base, and they know they won’t question the difference That’s not an accident, it’s their entire strategy. Always has been with this sort of thing. Let’s be clear about where this stands- This is an indictment. NOT a conviction. NOT a finding of guilt. Allegations that now have to be proven in court, and will likely crumble like most of these contrived, retaliatory suits of Trump’s do. As sane rational people know, it’s easy to get an indictment against just about anyone, but proving it in court is a very different story. So what actually exists is a legal dispute over whether SPLC properly handled and disclosed payments tied to covert sources & informants. That’s it. What’s being sold is a fantasy narrative that an anti-extremism organization was secretly funding the very groups it has spent decades exposing and dismantling. The gap between reality and what’s being pushed by MAGA isn’t subtle. It’s deliberately and repulsively dishonest, as usual.

Committing wire fraud to send money to the KKK is an odd way to safeguard democracy, Senator.

@PrezLives2022 @EricLDaugh The Left is full of liars, fakes, fraudsters, violent perps, chicken littles and wolf wannabes.

@EricLDaugh No on tried to kill the president. The president tried to make it look like that. This was staged AF. America knows it. Butler was fake also. America no longer cares about the fake cry wolf anymore.

They tried to kill our fcking president again. 100% of Americans should be furious.

@piersmorgan Pablum for toddlers.

If President Trump wants to take the Falkland Islands away from Britain, then we must reclaim the United States. Perfect way to celebrate the 250th anniversary of American Independence. King Charles can announce it to Congress next week.

@sahouraxo @grok how much $ does the USA give to Spain including NATO and all other payment categories?

BREAKING: Spain just blocked US war planes targeting Iran from flying over its territory. Airspace closed. Military bases denied. No participation. The entire country is now off-limits. Spain is refusing to be complicit. All other European/NATO countries need to follow suit.

@SorrowOfGamer @SukritGanesh @christopherrufo $140,000,000+ ????? You’re just pulling our legs, right?

@Pabloat8000 @SukritGanesh @christopherrufo Crossings' absence does.

The craziest thing about Newsom's $100 million wildlife bridge is that it will allow cougars, an apex predator, direct access into a suburban neighborhood filled with pets, children, and the elderly. It's like the radical environmentalist version of The Purge.

@Quotendeutsche Blaming America for the acts of anti-American despots all over the world, and denying the positive role we had/have in making this world a better place for everyone is Lefty pablum. For lefties, by lefties, of lefties.

Was die Amerikaner gerade Kuba antun ist einfach abseits jeder menschlichen Vorstellungskraft.

@SukritGanesh @christopherrufo The crossing will unnaturally compact their movements.

@christopherrufo No, this is literally a mostly rural area. Cougars exist on both sides of the freeway already; the crossing allows the population to mix.

@salimforva @Everytown @MomsDemand @bradybuzz Pure commie misdirection to take our rights away. The tell is in the lies: shootingnewsweekly.com/gun-control/le…

My bill SB749 to ban the sale of Assault Weapons will be voted on today. When I ran for the State Senate, I campaigned on this, and I promised that we would make real change in my first term. Together, we will get this to the Governor's desk. @Everytown @MomsDemand @bradybuzz

@SenatorHick You’re beholden to the far far left so you had no choice. It’s a cult.

I’m a NO on the SAVE Act.

@libsoftiktok He might have whispered “allah akbar” instead. Prove me wrong.

Colorado State Rep. Kenny Nguyen (D) SKIPS the words “under God” while leading the reciting of the Pledge of Allegiance in the Colorado House