Patrick Crellin

2.5K posts

Patrick Crellin

Patrick Crellin

@Paddywan

Actuary, interested in politics, economics. Yimby. Wang.

London Katılım Ocak 2009
675 Takip Edilen93 Takipçiler
Patrick Crellin
Patrick Crellin@Paddywan·
@s8mb @carajak @NickCohen4 I guess I am unusual but when the benefit system disincentivises work, I don’t care whether it is immigrants or non-immigrants getting the benefits. I just want the benefits system to be sorted out either way
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Sam Bowman
Sam Bowman@s8mb·
If Burnham wins, he’ll treat it as a mandate to do whatever terrible leftist policies he wants (nationwide rent controls, wealth tax, exit tax, ultra-high CGT). This could be quite bad. If he loses, Rayner or Miliband will become PM instead as obvious second-best choices, wounded and weak from day one and with no claim to a mandate. They are also clearly less electorally appealling. Reform winning in Makerfield therefore seems very desireable, and a lot of economic growth may be at stake.
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Patrick Crellin
Patrick Crellin@Paddywan·
@s8mb @carajak @NickCohen4 If people are spending their whole lives on benefits, isn’t that a problem with the benefits system rather than the immigration system?
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Reality Check
Reality Check@KeeperofReal16·
@Paddywan @mattyglesias Yes. You cannot have an experience of something your distant ancestors did. By that measure, everybody is "fortunate" my ancestors did a bunch of cool shit. And if its something that affects everyone, then its not "luck." It's just stuff that happened.
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Matthew Yglesias
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias·
This is a very strange conception of what “luck” is.
Matthew Yglesias tweet media
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Reality Check
Reality Check@KeeperofReal16·
@mattyglesias I mean, its not luck though. The strange conception of luck belongs to those who suggest its that something that could have been no other way. I am who I am and no other. I could not be someone else. I am not lucky to be me. I just am.
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Patrick Crellin
Patrick Crellin@Paddywan·
@leighkeystone Yes that’s true, but encountering slow vehicles and other minor annoyances is just part of driving. If a driver gets overly emotional about it, leading to unsafe overtakes, maybe driving isn’t for them.
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Leigh
Leigh@leighkeystone·
@Paddywan The fact of the matter is that on a 6-mile stretch of road, a driver going this slowly gets overtaken several times, often with bends approaching. Human frailty is what it is, but it is a situation that is needlessly created and is dangerous.
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Roman Helmet Guy
Roman Helmet Guy@romanhelmetguy·
You have to take this argument to its logical conclusion. There are ten quadrillion termites on Earth. There was a 99.99% chance that your parents would've given birth to a termite. You're very lucky that you -- literally, physically you -- weren't born a termite.
taoki@justalexoki

this is an argument i will never get. "it's deserved" i didn't do shit to get born here. it's not deserved. it's luck. and most people are unlucky as hell

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Patrick Crellin
Patrick Crellin@Paddywan·
@otokyo__ What if there is a god, but that god only likes atheists and hates everyone who believes in god?
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Tokyo
Tokyo@otokyo__·
Dear atheist, What if, after you die, you find out that God is real all along? You lose.
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Patrick Crellin
Patrick Crellin@Paddywan·
@nick5michaels @PJTheEconomist What incentive do they have to pay men more than they need to pay them though? Why don’t they just lower the men’s wages and have larger profits?
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Nick Michaels
Nick Michaels@nick5michaels·
@PJTheEconomist I think the legal argument in part is that large supermarkets aren't just price takers, unlike most employers, they're price makers; so a normal legal defence of a genuine material factor is thwarted. What they pay becomes the market, and they pay men more
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Paul Johnson
Paul Johnson@PJTheEconomist·
Courts insisting that shop workers and warehouse workers should be paid the same ignore economic realities. Yet more costs and inefficiencies that will see all of us worse off. thetimes.com/article/51e0d5…
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Quinn
Quinn@KakarikoTourist·
@spectrumarvel I think it’s funnier to imagine he was sitting on some roof across the street carving that as fast as he could while watching Cherry have a heart attack and Matt get restrained before intervening
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Jay ⋆˙⟡ 🪐
Jay ⋆˙⟡ 🪐@spectrumarvel·
I still find it so funny how Dex sent a message on one of his knives to a blind man
Jay ⋆˙⟡ 🪐 tweet media
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Patrick Crellin
Patrick Crellin@Paddywan·
@rorysutherland Speed limiters have been around for a long time now. If people really found the constant attention to be such an issue, wouldn’t drivers demand them on all cars and use them all the time?
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Patrick Crellin
Patrick Crellin@Paddywan·
@timothy_stanley I’m left wing culturally and right wing economically, and don’t feel like any party offers me what I want either!
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Tim Stanley
Tim Stanley@timothy_stanley·
Today we discussed a focus group on the Daily T and it concluded that voters are right-wing culturally, left-wing economically. As they have been since I can remember. Yet we head into another election with no one having the sense to offer just that. Such a strange country.
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Patrick Crellin
Patrick Crellin@Paddywan·
@CosmicSkeptic How many religious people would say they are certain of the existence of god, but uncertain which religion’s god it is?
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Alex O'Connor
Alex O'Connor@CosmicSkeptic·
I’m getting a lot of hate for this reel. What do you think? (P.S.: if you say “but we have evidence for dads I believe you have missed the point.)
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Patrick Crellin
Patrick Crellin@Paddywan·
@hiltonholloway Their speedometer will surely have been saying about 25 if they were doing 22? With speed limiters on modern cars it is so easy to obey the speed limit, there is no excuse really.
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Hilton Holloway
Hilton Holloway@hiltonholloway·
I was assured by the lycra people that drivers didn't get nicked for 22mph in a 20mph zone. 2mph is less than than the thickness of the speedo needle.
Hilton Holloway tweet mediaHilton Holloway tweet media
Midhurst, England 🇬🇧 English
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Patrick Crellin
Patrick Crellin@Paddywan·
@nazzobetweeting They should allocate the overhead bin space equally to each seat so that there is no advantage boarding before other people
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nazzo
nazzo@nazzobetweeting·
if you put your fucking BACKPACK in the overhead storage bin on a FULL TRANSCONTINENTAL FLIGHT you deserve to be put on the no-fly list forevermore
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Milber Jinslade
Milber Jinslade@xeode·
@Paddywan @Boenau people do speed hence them existing and the placement is highly relevant to how well they improve safety vs how well they fill coffers
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Andy Boenau
Andy Boenau@Boenau·
What exactly has to happen in order for speed cameras to raise revenue? I heard the revenue comes from people breaking the law, but I might be wrong.
Mark H@MarkH9222812974

@MarkTMcDevitt Speed cameras are mostly an excuse by politicians to raise revenue. They create accidents too w people locking brakes to avoid getting clipped by the camera.

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Milber Jinslade
Milber Jinslade@xeode·
@Boenau yes speeding is against the law but how they place them is often more to optimise revenue than to minimise harm from speeding. you can't just say 'yes but any breaking of the law is breaking of the law', there are differences of application that belie intent and don't serve us
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Patrick Crellin
Patrick Crellin@Paddywan·
@PhilBull18 @2wheelsgoodBrum I guess the point is that you should slow down before you turn whatever happens. You should slow down even more if you can’t see whether any pedestrians are about to cross.
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Phil Bull
Phil Bull@PhilBull18·
@2wheelsgoodBrum Howabout if I spot the waiting pedestrian late and would have to brake sharply and there's a cyclist up my chuff with his head down pumping away, and the road is wet, and behind him there's a truck driver?
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Tim on two wheels
Tim on two wheels@2wheelsgoodBrum·
Sadly, this is widely true. Best not to read the replies if you’re hopeful that this will change. We need more people to report the reckless driver ms who break this vital rule.
Iain Cameron@theiaincameron

Once again on this morning's run I found out that the level of ignorance on rule 170 (H2) of the Highway Code is widespread. Despite the HC changing in 2022, many drivers in the UK remain unaware that they should yield when pedestrians are either waiting to cross or have 1/2

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