Pantonia

@FPL_TomHadley Thanks Tom. What do you think the chances are of changes to the Chelsea v Forrest match tomorrow before the GW ends?

Welcome back to another bonus point + DEFCON round up after last night’s OPTA update: 👉🏻Gabriel failed to hit DEFCON 👉🏻Declan Rice has kept his DEFCON It was a tight race for 2 bonus but Bukayo Saka gained two important passes in the update. This took him precisely to the 30 pass threshold at 80%+ accuracy (+4bps), steering him well clear of Trossard in the end. Trossard actually had one of the best bps showings all season for just 1 assist! He created 2 big chances (+6bps), hit the 90% pass threshold (+6bps), completed 6 successful dribbles (+6bps) and had 2 shots on target (+4bps) amongst a few other things - with only 2 minimal negative bps actions. 👉🏻We did however have no bonus changes in the Arsenal game. A couple of important DC changes occurred in the Brighton game: 👉🏻Van Hecke hit DEFCON 👉🏻Thiaw lost his DEFCON 👉🏻Bruno Guimaraes gained 1 DC in the update and unluckily finished 1 away from DEFCON. 👉🏻Despite all this, no bonus point changes occurred. Jack Hinshelwood actually missed 2 big chances in the game (-6bps). These misses proved quite costly, he would have taken home all 3 bonus if not! 👉🏻No bonus point changes occurred in the Sunderland game, despite some close standings! Nordi Mukiele was simply two passes (successful or not) away from claiming all three bonus points. This would have seen him hit the 80% pass threshold (+4bps) and overtake Xhaka. Now the Brentford game updated in time for FPL so let’s quickly run through any changes: 👉🏻Dango Ouattara failed to hit DEFCON, in fact he lost 1 DC down to 9. Kelleher actually had one of his “saves inside the box” reclassified into a “save outside the box” (-1bps), effectively ending his minimal chances of a bonus increase. Incidentally, if Lewis-Potter simply made two fewer passes then he would be below the pass threshold (-2bps) and Kelleher would have joined him on 2 bonus. Igor Thiago ranked so low in the bonus due to the new penalty goal bps (12bps) implemented this season. If he scored this penalty last season then he’d have +12bps more and claim 1 bonus point. 👉🏻Ultimately, no bonus point changes occurred. Not a lot of changes this time! But we do have a busy Sunday and Monday schedule so I’ll be back with another bonus point roundup after Sunday’s update! See you all then! #FPL

@FPL_TomHadley How many CBs playing 90 minutes have scored 0 Defcon this season? Is struijk the first???

Struijk scoring more points in the 4-0 loss to Arsenal than against Burnley (H) is pretty funny… ffs 😂

@FPL_Harry Do you not remember the template FH last season? With the own goal?

I’ve never seen a week like it 🤣

@LetsTalk_FPL How come Anderson wasn’t in the conversation this week? WC32 FH33 had Anderson, Thiago, Bowen and Mavraponos. 50 points up

Yeah fair enough, maybe should have gone Gibbs-White 🤣 Time to turn the TV off maybe.

@FPL_TomHadley Anderson was the one

In hindsight I probably should have included at least one Forest player on the free hit… 😂

@FPLMate Had him all week then took him out before deadline 😭😭😭

Gibbs-White was the one.

@FPL_Harry 6 goals in 9 v Fulham

Watkins currently in the free hit. However, I can’t help but feel he’s a streaky player and we’ve just missed the haul. Any Villa fans or others have an opinion?

@FPL_Harry Will you pick either?

Weirdly no mention of either Cunha or Mbeumo in the Manchester United press conference... #FPL Presume it means they are fine but a difficult decision on Free Hit especially on Cunha. manutd.com/en/news/detail…

@LetsTalk_FPL Just wait for a Hill own goal

Kroupi goal, Senesi assist. Nice to get a defender assist, not so good to get a double clean sheet wipeout 😄

@BrettBP1 And getting rewarded 4 points (more than anyone in the entire game on BB33) for picking Enzo is very much ‘lucky’. It might not seem much but I’m sure if you offered me 4 more points over JP I would take them.

@Pantonia17 You replied to Gianni and said "you've got lucky". That would indicate you meant him and not the 600k.

Should have bench boosted.

@FPL_TomHadley I hope so! It means you’ll have extra work to do too🤣🤣🤣

@Pantonia17 Precisely… it’s why I’m confident that changing the final day update deadline will be one of their top priorities in the summer 🙏🏻

Here’s a mini bonus point + DEFCON roundup after last night’s OPTA update: 👉🏻Van Hecke will lose his bonus point. Van Hecke lost a valuable recovery point (-1bps). In fact, Boscgali will also lose 1 bonus. He actually gained a foul won (+1bps) but crucially lost a successful tackle (-2bps) = 1bps loss. This means just Danny Welbeck is the only player leaving the game with 1 bonus point. Why does he get bonus for playing just 10 minutes? Scoring a goal for a striker is the highest possible bps award (+24bps). Add that to his subsequent shot on target (+2bps) and playing time under 60 mins (+3bps) = 29bps! The bps system heavily favours midfielders and defenders. Strikers need that large bump when scoring as they have fewer avenues to gain bps. In fact, they often lose a lot of bps for chances missed but he didn’t play enough time to lose any. 👉🏻Mitoma and Caicedo both fail to hit DEFCON too sadly. Sorry to be a bearer of bad news to Van Hecke owners, turns out a simple recovery was a deciding factor. Tonight the OPTA changes will come too late to affect FPL so this is the last meaningful update until the weekend when we go again! Thank you all for reading as always! #FPL

@BrettBP1 @GianniButtice By lucky I was referring to the 600k who were on FH33. Average points gained is over 6.

@Pantonia17 @GianniButtice True, but hardly lucky.

@BrettBP1 @GianniButtice Better than 0!!!!

@Pantonia17 @GianniButtice Lucky? Surely he's only getting Enzo's 4 points?

@BigManBakar Losing 2 fixtures, out of 7 (assuming most have Bruno, and some also had Gabriel) is more than a tiny blip. EXTREME luck for FH33, so much bench jam.

Congratulations to all on Bench Boost. Brighton clean sheet and another Groß return was a massive swing in favour of BB. Most non-BB teams only had one Brighton at best. No João Pedro was a tiny blip, but apart from that… huge success 🔥

@FPL_Harry 27 if VH keeps his bonus

36 points on bench boost is fantastic. Shame Joao Pedro didn’t play so it’s only technically 26 but still good. That gives me 20+ the 6 I lost in GW32.

@GianniButtice WC32 FH33 Was the winning strategy. 40 points up in the models now

Rosenior has given the armband back to Enzo. Big performance off my bench too please. Who does everyone else have off the bench?

@LetsTalk_FPL it would have been better for BB33 If JP got a red card than not play at all. FH33 jam will be another level now!

Confirmed: NO Joao Pedro OR Cole Palmer in the Chelsea squad tonight.

@FPL__Raptor Ouch. And advantage FH33 over BB33 too

Joao Pedro and Palmer not seen with the squad… 🫠🫠🫠