Pepijn

@ViktorBlaskov @forresthopkinsa @peterrhague After that we have 2-6 years old, no way in hell do all of them have the abstraction to think this through. On top of that kids get taught to help other so again we would lose a big portion of the kids. But yes press red

@forresthopkinsa @peterrhague I would have to be extremely arrogant to assume I have to protect people willing to harm themselves for no reason whatsoever.

Amazing how lots of self appointed game theory experts confidently asserting that blue is the stupid choice. But every time this poll is run blue wins. Not only is the “game theory” answer predicting the wrong outcome, its explanatory power is based on it being able to predict the right answer. So it’s doubly wrong.

@ViktorBlaskov @forresthopkinsa @peterrhague The question states everyone, meaning babies as well. They should do it private, meaning no help, this means it is fair to assume atleast 40% (red being the first colour they can observer) will press blue. Meaning we are atleast giving up 40% of babies.

@itsjat32 Did you watch the extended editions, because if we are talking about the theatrical version I don't even remember how they go. But I can understand the complaint about the 3rd one ^^

@Pepijn_George the 3rd one simply doesn’t end. It start off really well, but thought it was too easy in the end.

Potter, very little distinction: 8, 7, 6, 3, 4, 1, 5 & 2. LoTR: 2, 3 & 1 HG, need to watch them again: 2, 1, 3 & 4

@Luiz_Fernando_J If you compare it to the good dinosaur Elemental opened nearly as high as TGD in most markets. Legs are looking better so it's safe to asume it will match the $210m OS-China from that movie. Add china's $16m and atleast $120m DOM, meaning the floor is $350m

Overseas, #Pixar’s #Elemental  grossed spectacular 29.8M on 3rd weekend, with insane legs, -4.8% drop from last weekend, for a 98M intl. cume over 50 markets. Allied to 88.8M cume in the US, #Disney film hits a 186.8M Global cume at #BoxOffice. Eyeing a 300M-350M Global run

@IsmalajAlbert @Luiz_Fernando_J $300m+ is locked, $400m is the question

@Luiz_Fernando_J 300M+ globally seems more and more likely at this point…

#Pixar’s #Elemental  again repeats #1 at US #BoxOffice after grossing solid 2.9M on 2nd WED. Legs stronger than ever thanks to positive WOM, just -19.7% drop from last WED (vs #Lightyear’s 2.3M, -46.3%), for a 75M cume in the US. The animation eyes a 110M-125M run

@BigSurDuluoz @EmpireCityBO @Guardians Does that mean you want to do a bet for 100$? If it ends below $500m WW, you get 100$ if it ends above you give me a 100$? Seems like an easy bet for you if it needs a miracle to top $500m ^^

The Sunday estimate for @Guardians Vol. 3 is extremely lowballed. Expect it to come in $6m above that estimate and $120m+ opening for the weekend still in play. Very strong numbers today indicating fantastic WOM and great legs.

@SeanNyberg Taking in to account that it is an animation and those tend do have worst weekdays when kids are in school. Also I am not saying it's going to do $83m but $60m 3rd weekend is happening.

@SeanNyberg Comparing it to Sonic the hedgehog 2 (same genre, same release period, game adaptation) that movie dropped 83.2% on monday. If Mario has the same monday to weekend multi it would make $83m next weekend. So yeah having a $5.8m monday in april is great.

@SeanNyberg Are you aware that movies in summer have much bigger Fridays because of smaller jumps on Saturday?I mean it’s looking at close to $40m on Saturday, that’s the 6th / 7thbiggest 2nd Sat ever for any movie? If you are going to make big claims, please just think for a second.

@gzatsalerno @NeverEverBiden @ERCboxoffice It's tuesday was 6.7% bigger than Rogue one's. RO was at $340m after tuesday, $22m more than A2. RO added $100m by the next monday. A2 will do better, probably around $120-130m but even at proforming 30% better it would 'just' be $450m by next monday.

@NeverEverBiden @ERCboxoffice We will see

Welcome to the $300M+ Club. Enjoy your short stay here. Just another spectacular Tuesday at the box office for AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER as it grossed $24M domestic yesterday, $318M total.

@So_Ethereal 1.5B => 15m yearly subscribtion = 2 animation movies a year. Also if you put them on D+ 2 months later people won't unsubscribe, so i really think the current model benifits the consumer only. And that's great.

@So_Ethereal I am pretty sure that the current model is good for consumer (from disney) but bad for the money. Before D+ their pixar / WDAS movies averaged $600m WW in the end closer to $750m WW Leaving $1.5B of revenue on the table every year is kinda big.

@So_Ethereal 100m 3-day is insanely impressive. Minions in 2015 were everywhere. Nowadays they are much less prominent. The predictions for this movie before covid hit where 60-80m range, so I would say this an amazing result. Also look at pets vs pets2, iceage was a huge brand until it wsn't

@So_Ethereal Guess family / animation movies aren't dead after all. Minions is opening to 100m 3-day 125m-day. Gues disney hurt their animation brand big time with their streaming plan. Very sad to see tbh.

@Gamerdude50002 @thajdikt @BoxOffice 3-day 100m is locked at this point xD

@thajdikt @BoxOffice Yeah a 100 mill 4 day weekend is definitely possible considering it made this on a Thursday in less than 4000 locations.

MINIONS: THE RISE OF GRU $10.75M Thursday Domestic Previews (2pm Start at 3,350 Locations) #MinionsTheRiseOfGru #BoxOffice

@MajorEnigma @ERCboxoffice Thursday previews will come in at $9m vs lightyears $5.25m. Opening is most likely between 90-105m atm.

@ERCboxoffice I don’t trust tracking on this. LIGHTYEAR was big IP and it landed way under. Feel like the demand for more Minions might not be there. Thinking a SECRET LIFE OF PETS 1 to 2 style drop, so… 55-60 3D?

The other MCU--Minion Cinematic Universe--has some impressive debuts: 1. DM ($56M) 2. DM2 ($83M) 3. DM3 ($72M) 4. MINIONS ($115M) Where does MINIONS 2 land over the traditional 3-day weekend? Will it go bananas at the box office?

@So_Ethereal True total boxoffice is still down quite a bit all over europe and we need local hits to fill up the gaps (like before). I am curious when the movie schedule will be as pact as before.

@So_Ethereal That said 200m movies aren't sustainable on disney+, in the US Disney+ doesn't have much more room to grow so big movies won't bring in subscritions. So they are paying 200m to keep people at disney + releasing them 45 days later would probably still give you this effect.

@So_Ethereal Currently in most parts of europe if your movie is a must see event Covid isn't hurting them anymore (looking at Nowayhome, TOPGUN2, DS2) It's like you said families being more hesitant + families don't have to pay if they come to disney +.