Peter

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Peter

Peter

@PeterDuzek

Slovak Republic Katılım Kasım 2024
113 Takip Edilen22 Takipçiler
Jukan
Jukan@jukan05·
Nvidia’s share in China is now 0%.
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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@LeveredSteve Presne, zdá sa mi, že skúšajú nové veci a zabudli kde majú najväčší leverage a tým pádom kto je ich “profil zákazníka”.
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Levered Steve
Levered Steve@LeveredSteve·
@PeterDuzek Celkově souhlas a crypto pořád lepší než predictinou markets, ale byl bych nejraději, kdyby se soustředili na svůj core produkt a nevymýšleli pořád nějaké další vertikály.
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Levered Steve
Levered Steve@LeveredSteve·
$HOOD reportoval Q1. Tržby $1.07B (+15 % YoY), úrokový příjem $359M (+24 %), platform assets $307B (+39 %). Net income jen +3 %, marže ze 47 % na 32 %. Tranziční kvartál. Pořád jsem long, ale zatím nedokupuju. Co se mi líbí Úrokový příjem $359M, +24 % YoY. Dnes přes třetinu tržeb a roste rychleji než zbytek byznysu. Sazby v 2026 nikam nejdou, margin lending vydělává, cash sweep platí, segregated deposits dělají svou práci. Asset growth tezi dál potvrzuje. Net deposits $17.7B za jediný kvartál, platform assets $307B (+39 % YoY). Peníze pořád proudí na platformu rychleji než kdykoliv předtím. Gold subs +36 % YoY navíc ukazují, že uživatelé Robinhood víc používají, ne jen občas zatradují. A paradoxně mě potěšilo crypto -47 % YoY. Jeden z hlavních argumentů proti $HOOD vždy byl, že je to vlastně levered crypto play. Tady se crypto propadlo, jiné segmenty propad vykompenzovaly a tržby pořád +15 %. Tahle obava se mi po Q1 výrazně zmírnila. Co zaskočilo Profitability. Net income +3 % YoY, marže ze 47 % na 32 %, náklady +18 %. Robinhood investuje výrazně dopředu a krátkodobě to ukousne velký kus zisku. Pokud peníze tečou správným směrem, dlouhodobě to vadit nebude. Krátkodobě je to ale tlak na akcii a tlak oprávněný. Co Vlad (CEO) nezvládl International equity trading. Místo toho focusu na prediction markets, raffles a listing dalších shitcoinů. $IBKR mezitím spustil korejské akcie a otevírá rekordní počet nových účtů. Mezinárodní expanze je u retail brokera nejlepší páka na fees, margin lending i cash zároveň. Robinhood ji nehraje a část retailových peněz, které mohly zůstat u nich, odtéká k $IBKR. Držím 5 %, neměním sizing, kupoval jsem přesně kolem dnešního open (tedy cca 70), takže pokud by to někoho lákalo, tak tady může být dobrý vstup. Pokud akcie ještě sjede nebo Q2 ukáže, že jsou náklady pod kontrolou, dokoupím. Hlavně chci vidět, že management se bude soustředit na jejich hlavní produkt a ne vymýšlet milion hovadin kolem, což teď trochu v Q1 působí Pořád long $HOOD
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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@PhotonCap What does it mean for SIVE? Can you tell?
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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@TradexWhisperer Had this exact thought when I heard that call, but I rather read it from a skilled person as well. Thank you a lot!!!
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Trade Whisperer
Trade Whisperer@TradexWhisperer·
$MU $DRAM CPU demand is going up and this is extremely bullish for Micron, Samsung & SK Hynix. $INTC CEO confirmed CPU to GPU ratio shifting from 1:8 toward 1:1. That is 800% more and it has HUGE implications for memory demand. These are NOT NVIDIA CPUs. These are standalone Xeon racks running agent orchestration, RAG pipelines, tool calling, and multi-agent coordination alongside GPU clusters. Traditional servers ran 128 to 256GB of DRAM. AI-optimized servers now ship with 512GB to 1TB or more per node. Every one is a new high-margin server DRAM demand event. Higher margin than HBM. Every server also needs significantly more SSD as model sizes and context windows grow. The demand multiplier is not 8x. It is closer to 16x or more when you stack both numbers together. Meanwhile GPU nodes simultaneously need more HBM and SOCAMM as context windows expand. Two demand vectors. One direction. Neither slowing down. Valuation Multiples Expansion & Structural Shift Incoming.
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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@Smudliczek Zaujíma ma, prečo si nenaskočil napriklad na CRM? Tiež ich včera stlačil sentiment dole. Pokial bude pokračovať vojna v Iráne, tak NOW môže mať problem s uzatvorením dealov v tomto regióne. Taktiež musia urobiť repricing produktov, aby marže išli hore. Nové akvizicie ich stiahli
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Šmudla | Dan Hamerník
Šmudla | Dan Hamerník@Smudliczek·
Tak jsem naskočil do $NOW a rozhodl jsem se zahrát si 𝐒𝐚𝐚𝐒𝐩𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐩𝐬𝐞 𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐨! 🎯 A pokud vás zajímá, proč jsem to udělal tak krátké summary na etoro: 👇 etoro.tw/4eFPNFT #Saaspocalypse
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Cyberpunk Sense 👑
Cyberpunk Sense 👑@napoleon21st·
Just amazing what is happening with the Swedish company Sivers Semiconductor. $SIVE The company is a small cap and makes electronic components. American stock traders have discovered the company and bought its stocks with the premise that its products play a key role in the supply chain for the build out of the next generation of computing hardware for AI. Because of this the stock has risen by 800% and become one of the hottest. But instead of greeting this success with celebration the Swedish media has started attacking its own company and trying to crash its stock because Sweden is a socialist country and there success is frowned upon. They are writing hit pieces saying how the gains in stock prices are fueled by speculation and how everyone will lose money and it's actually a bad company so don't buy it. This has created a dynamic in the last few days where Swedes dump their stocks in European hours then Americans wake up and buy the dip. Logically this way the ownership of the company has shifted from Swedish to American so Swedes have relinquished their winning company and any future gains will go to Americans.
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SandemanStocks
SandemanStocks@Sandeman52·
@napoleon21st This is amazing. A company trying to tank its own stock. I dont think I’d feel comfortable holding a company with management like that. This mindset doesn’t make sense to me. But that’s just me
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
This is actually my favorite $SIVE TA setup. I name this: "Transferring ownership of the company from Swedish locals to American investors/institutions." Good timing right before US Nasdaq listing and hyperscaler 2027 volume ramp. Special thanks to the media over there.
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weewoo@itsakek

@aleabitoreddit Looks like the Swedes are selling again 🤣

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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@Investingcom I suggest they should subscribe to $RBRK 😂
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Investing.com
Investing.com@Investingcom·
*ANTHROPIC’S MYTHOS MODEL ACCESSED BY UNAUTHORIZED USERS
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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@Smudliczek RHM.de za 400eur na akciu. To som sledoval už dlho ale naskočil som do LMT 😂🤯
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Šmudla | Dan Hamerník
Šmudla | Dan Hamerník@Smudliczek·
Máte svůj kryptonit? Promarněnou šanci? Sleduju tu akcii přes rok, 3x mi nesepla limitka a vždy jsem navyšoval target. Od prvního nevstupu by to dnes bylo krásných +110% a dál bych chtěl naskočit. Tak pojď bearish divergence! Chci vidět odraz dolů. Tentokrát už to zmáčknu.
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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@LeveredSteve Nakupoval som včera po otvorení trhu. Ešte aj rozhodnutie SEC pomáha k výtlaku akcie.
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Levered Steve
Levered Steve@LeveredSteve·
Přidával jste se někdo do nákupu? Jsem rád, že jsem si kolem těch 70/share posbíral pěknou pozici. PT bych viděl nad 120, ale pěkné pohyby už teď. Risk on prostředí HOOD, RDDT atd akciím dost sedí.
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Levered Steve@LeveredSteve

x.com/i/article/2036…

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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@DeepIceValue No pain, no gain 💪. I opened position just this week. I see it as opportunity at this price. We will see.
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Deep Value Investing
Deep Value Investing@DeepIceValue·
Is $ORCL opportunity here or too leveraged/risky? 🤔
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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@Han_Akamatsu I always appreciate your insights. Thank you
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Han Akamatsu 赤松
Han Akamatsu 赤松@Han_Akamatsu·
A $NKE Director just purchased $500k of stock here at $43. Only reasonable prices to get in: $35/40 now. Nike is oversold in nearly every timeframe. Don’t try to catch the knife though. Nike can certainly drop another -10%.
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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@jukan05 Could it be that we are witnessing a TSMC like story? If yes, I see it positive. What is your opinion?
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Jukan
Jukan@jukan05·
One-year contracts are a thing of the past… Samsung and SK hynix won't sell without 3–5 year long-term supply agreements Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have effectively abandoned the practice of signing one-year short-term memory supply contracts with global big tech companies, opting instead to supply products exclusively through 3–5 year long-term agreements (LTAs). The strategy aims to build a stable, high-margin business model through strategic collaboration with customers from the earliest stages of AI memory development. According to industry sources on the 8th, Samsung Electronics has established a policy of applying a minimum three-year LTA to all new contracts starting this year. Until last year, the company had been accommodating even quarterly ultra-short-term contracts, but has now decided to fully transition its supply policy to an LTA framework. At the annual general meeting on March 18, Samsung Electronics DS Division CEO (Vice Chairman) Jeon Young-hyun stated: "We are pursuing a shift in supply contracts with our customers from the current annual and quarterly basis to multi-year agreements spanning 3–5 years." Accordingly, Samsung is expected to secure stable three-year memory supply commitments with major customers including AMD — with which negotiations are in the final stages — as well as Microsoft and Google. Furthermore, SK hynix has reportedly been pursuing a five-year commodity DRAM long-term supply agreement with Google. While a three-year term was initially considered the leading option, an internal assessment that "even three years is too short" led to a decision to extend the contract period to five years to maximize supply stability. Given that SK hynix is currently the primary supplier of 5th-generation High Bandwidth Memory (HBM3E) to Google, the company is said to be negotiating an additional two-year extension by leveraging next-generation HBM supply as a condition. Negotiations that were originally slated for completion by year-end are now expected to be finalized within the first half. Historically, the memory market was built on commoditization. Commodity DRAM for PCs and smartphones was mass-produced and sold based on quarterly fixed transaction prices or daily-fluctuating spot prices. As a result, even slight demand fluctuations triggered price collapses, leading to trillion-won-scale losses — the inescapable "curse of the cycle." Suppliers were unilaterally exposed to market conditions in a classic subordinate position. By contrast, a shift to an LTA framework minimizes the risk of order cliffs. By locking in volumes for three to five-plus years, companies can defend earnings with pre-committed prices and volumes even amid demand shocks from economic downturns — effectively securing downside rigidity where profits no longer plunge during downturns. Samsung Electronics is reportedly reviewing supply pricing policies to hedge against DRAM price volatility alongside minimum annual supply volume provisions as part of the LTA transition. The shift is also effective from a capital expenditure efficiency standpoint. With volumes already committed, disciplined and calculated CAPEX becomes possible, replacing reckless capacity expansion races. The semiconductor industry expects that as the share of long-term contracts rises, memory companies' margins will stabilize at levels structurally higher than in the past. In particular, for products like HBM — where process complexity is high and customer requirements vary — a made-to-order supply system based on "secure orders first, produce after," akin to the foundry model, is essential to eliminate inventory risk at the source and maximize production efficiency. An industry official commented: "The era of memory companies anxiously stockpiling inventory while worrying about price declines is over. Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have now been elevated beyond mere memory suppliers to strategic infrastructure partners for global big tech."
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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@PavelFohler @MichalSemotan Ja som si prešiel tie čísla a tiež sa mi páčili. Konečne som otvoril pozíciu, dlho som tu firmu sledoval.
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Pavel Fohler
Pavel Fohler@PavelFohler·
@MichalSemotan Ten pokles u VNA zabolel. Ale nechapu tu prehnanou reakci trhu. Dluh maji pod kontrolou. Najmy maji inflacni doložku... Za me idealne dokoupit Jen neni za co 🙆😬
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Michal Semotan
Michal Semotan@MichalSemotan·
J&T Dividend výkonnost v 2026 -0.86%, za březen pak odepisujeme -8.28%. Vyšší expozice na evropské akcie je za výraznějším poklesem v březnu, ale i relativně lepším číslem od začátku roku, fond překonává evropské i americké indexy (kromě UK). Cash na fondu nyní lehce pod 10%, konzervativnější pozice než ostatní naše akciové fondy. V březnu jsme vzali profit na Exxonu, částečně Pagseguru. Poredukovali jsme zčásti váhu Vistry po špatných zprávách. Po poklesu ceny pod IPO jsme začali kupovat do portfolia CSG, přikoupili jsme Generac, Vonovii, a po poklesu ceny Metu.
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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@TVranka Toto je skôr už pre teenagerov 😂
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Peter
Peter@PeterDuzek·
@DeepIceValue Meta is transforming itself from capex light to capex heavy company with court case. Likely some more can ad up.
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Deep Value Investing
Deep Value Investing@DeepIceValue·
Im not happy to annouce this, but.. I sold my whole $UNH (breakeven) and $NVO (down 30-40%) positions to fund $META and to have more cash on the side to DCA.. While I still think $UNH and $NVO will outperform, I think $META at $520 and meta at $450 is better.. NFA..
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Han Akamatsu 赤松
Han Akamatsu 赤松@Han_Akamatsu·
You can only reply to this post if you’re following me or have engaged with me in the past and this came up on the For You feed. No region bans here.
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